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HoI4 Dev Diary - Poland Focus Tree Rework Part 1/2

Hello everybody and welcome to another dev diary for the upcoming Barbarossa patch and yet to be announced DLC. Today I’m going to be talking about the first focus tree which is a rework of Poland.

Poland was first added as a free DLC on release for everyone titled "United and Ready" so as such what you see in this diary will be free for everyone once Barbarossa drops. Next diary we will continue on to cover the DLC parts of the focus tree, because the tree is a bit too large to cover in one go. Enjoy!

Poland is interesting because it is a hugely popular minor (it's roughly as popular as Spain and more popular than Greece). Yet it has a very difficult position sandwiched between Soviet and Germany, which tend to scare people off. Perhaps it's the challenge, or its critical role in WW2, or just the large amount of Polish HOI4 fans, you tell me.

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So, if we load up the tree we can see not only Ignacy Mościcki’s beautiful new portrait, but an entirely new tree.

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Let’s start with the industrial branch. In the old tree, the player would have to dredge through a lot of low-value research bonuses to get just a few extra factories, so many of those old focuses have been expanded with extra factories and bonuses. But, this branch is not just about getting free factories, Poland is on a tight schedule and must use her time well if she has ambitions of outlasting the Reich.

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Many industry focuses for Poland grant powerful but temporary bonuses towards consumer goods and construction speed so time the funding of your armement well to maximize the bonuses you’ll get.

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Poland was a nation with many problems in 1936, and one such problem was that their rail networks were disparate and disconnected; largely due to the fact that Poland had only a few decades prior been part of three different nations. Among many problems this caused for Poland, it also disrupted their agricultural supply networks, which resulted in the Peasant’s Strike of 1937.

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Beginning as mere whispers among the peasantry, if Poland fails to join the supply networks and enact major agricultural reform, they will be faced with a nasty peasant’s strike, damaging their stability, industry, and populace. Though on a tight schedule, Poland may pacify the countryside to delay this uprising, but until reform is enacted, the peasants will remain restless.

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Failing to enact reform entirely will result in a massive populist uprising, and a civil war is the last thing Poland needs. If Poland is to survive the Reich and the USSR, she must be united and ready.

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Moving on to another issue Poland had in the 30s; we have the Free City of Danzig! Danzig/Gdansk was in a unique and complicated position in this period. The city was simultaneously free and owned by no-one, an official Polish protectorate, and an international city partially run by the League of Nations. So representing Danzig/Gdansk as an on-map tag in 36 felt not quite right, so instead the city is demilitarized and Poland is incapable of accessing any of their factories, resources, or manpower.

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When the Nazi party took power in the city, it strangled Polish trade, so Poland begins the game with the “Embargoed Economy” trade law, similar to Undisturbed Isolation in the US but not nearly as harsh. To remove the Embargoed Economy, Poland must either develop a new trade port in Gdynia, gain a new port through conquest, or clamp down on Danzig.

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Attempting to seize control of Danzig will cause the city to begin a resistance, and Poland can fight that resistance through decisions and the usual resistance/compliance mechanics. With enough compliance, Poland will be able to ban the Nazi party and take permanent control of the city; ending the resistance, gaining access to all of Danzig’s resources, manpower, and industry, and finally being able to remove the embargoed economy.

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Failing to bring Danzig under control will result in the city rising up against you and appearing as a tag on the map. Failing to stamp out this uprising in time will cause the city to defect to the Reich.

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When either Gdynia or Danzig has become Poland’s major port, they gain access to the rest of their naval branch, granting dockyards, factories, and research bonuses.

Next up we have the old Prepare for the Next War branch, which has been expanded quite considerably since its original implementation. Poland now has access to Plan East and Plan West, military plans to fight the USSR and the Reich.

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Historically, Poland believed the USSR to be the greater threat and didn’t begin preparing Plan West until just two years before invasion. But, with the power of hindsight, the player can start either plan immediately after completing the Prepare for the Next War focus, and accumulate forts and construction bonuses along the border.

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However, until Plan West has been completed, Plan East cannot be begun and vice versa, but when complete, no further focuses from the branch may be taken.

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Finally, probably the part of the tree that has received the most love; the historical Polish political focus branch. Poland was not the united stable regime we had previously seen on release. Along with impending threats outside their borders, Poland was (like most authoritarian regimes) plagued with infighting and factionalism.

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The dictatorship was divided between the Castle lead by Ignacy Mościcki, the Sanation Right lead by Edward Rydz-Śmigły, and the Sanation Left led by Walery Sławek.

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Each branch of the Sanation has a series of focuses that can be completed for various bonuses and the player does not have to commit to one faction or the other right away. Rather, you can form your government with a multitude of policies from each of the three factions, but the longer you spend forming your government, the less time you have for other things like industry and plans East and West.

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Historical Poland will also have access to the April Constitution, the binding document of the Dictatorship. Though it begins weak, through collaboration with Sanations Left and Right, the Constitution will become a powerful bonus to Poland's politics. With all power consolidated in the President, you'll be able to change your laws and your cabinet with ease.

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Time isn’t your only opponent here though, each of the two factions will expect Mościcki to appease them by enacting their policies and giving them power. Every focus of the Left you complete will make the Right more irritated and vice versa. On top of that, both factions will passively gain irritation over time so spend too long without taking a side and you risk losing both to civil wars.

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Historically, Mościcki maintained control of the government until wartime, at which point it was agreed Śmigły would take control, but Poland failed to last long enough for this to take effect. However, if the player has appointed either Śmigły or Sławek as Chairman of Poland, the Sanation Right/Left can supercede the Castle and become the majority controller of the government. This enables some light alt-history within the historical branch, as well as unlocking new diplomatic options for Poland.

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Available to all three factions of the dictatorship is the Align With the West branch, which allows Poland to join the Allies as they were able to in their old tree.

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In the 30s, Lithuania was technically at war with Poland until the 1938 Polish ultimatum to Lithuania in which Poland demanded an end to the cold war over Vilnius. As well as being able to gain cooperation and eventually an alliance with Lithuania, Poland may also demand Lithuania’s annexation which can result in occupying Lithuania without the need for war, but take this focus with caution as it extends your frontline with the Axis.

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Lastly, the Romanian Bridgehead Strategy has now been moved to the diplomatic branch and allows Poland to bring Romania into the allies. Historically, Poland and Lithuania had an alliance prior to the war, and Poland can pursue this alliance closer, bringing Romanian guns to the Polish front.

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The Sanation Right exclusively has access to Polish Revanchism which has now been expanded into its own full branch. As well as being able to demand the annexation of Lithuania, the Right can pursue both a restored Commonwealth and fulfil the ambition of the Polish–Czechoslovak confederation.

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Lastly, the Sanation Left has access to an expanded Baltic Alliance path, allowing them to gain alliances with the Baltic states, Czechoslovakia, and Romania, and unlocking the newly expanded Between the Seas branch!

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(It's worth mentioning at this point that most focus icons are placeholder)

No matter which path Poland is pursuing, as long as Poland is not in a faction already, they will be able to realize the Intermarium ambition and create an alliance from sea-to-sea! All they need to do is be considered a major or be a faction leader already, and have a large army. At this point, Poland can be considered a real contender for a major alliance of their own.

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The old Between Seas focus was not really “between seas” so much as it was just a Baltic alliance, but now the first nation to be invited to the faction is Romania. After Romania has made their decision, the alliance can spread any direction; north into Scandinavia and the Baltics, and south into the Balkans. Though unlikely, an Italian alliance is not out of the question for Poland here, but some significant change in policy for either nation would be necessary to tempt the Italians away from the Axis.

That’s all for this one, next week we’ll be talking about Poland’s DLC-locked alternate history branches!
 
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Then you must also realise that "Lewica Sanacyjna" was just one small group among the many groups in Sanation and that even in the source you provided it is not described as remotely democratic, in fact it is given as part of the authoritarian camp.
I never said it was democratic and even said it shouldn't be democratic in a prior post. But let me ask you this: after 36, 37, did the hardline faction honestly stand any realistic chance of coming back into prominence without making political alliances with other groups? And who else were they going to align with given that Ignacy Mościcki and Rydz eventually concluded a power sharing agreement?

I wouldn't get fixated on rigidly fixing politics into strict programs. At the end of the day, to get things done, you have to compromise with others. There is a lot of room to write multiple plausible narratives. I wouldn't go around preaching that your exact route for alternate history is the "true way".
 
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I also said this is a bit strange considering my Kaszub family was always loyal towards Poland, but i believe there is not much else behind it then simply giving the player the option of more balkanization like we see in France with Occitania for example. Now, i am not that well versed in the history of Occitan Nationalism during WW2 however i don't believe it was any more of an issue to France as it was to Poland. So, whether we like it or not, it's there.

No, I was referring to the post by bartek2378, he quotes:
- The Kashubian cores is something even more absurd than the peasant civil war. Maybe there are should be more cores for Silesia, Mazovia, Kujawy, Wielkopolska, Polesia lol

I just mean that I wouldn't judge something so clearly without knowing the whole focus tree :)

I also agree that many Kashubians were faithful to Poland, plus e.g. Inept attempts at Germanization and German brutality (or the negative assessment of the value of the Kashubs s by, for example, Albert Forster) resulted in the formation of resistance groups by them (such as the aforementioned Gryf Kaszubki, later Gryf Pomorski or the Związek Pomorski in the UK).

This doesn't mean that there were no autonomous tendencies of Kashubians in II RP, which could make sense, especially in the paths of alternative history.
Also, real organizations building Kashubian identity, as far as it can be known, had among their member people who called for some form of autonomy (but not independence) within the framework of II RP. Plus what I wrote about in the previous post.


tl;dr The Kashubian tag doesn't have to be stupid when we don't know what it will be used for :p
 
Hello everyone,

Dear Meka,
I have a burning question!
Does the alt-history tree we are going to see next Wednesday contain a path where you can utilize a fast growth clone of Józef Piłsudski?

On a serious note, I started following dev diaries since the suply system post last week, and I can say with big certainty, there is a lot of toxic element in this community, I'm sorry you have to work in these conditions xD.

Cheers.
 
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Hello everyone,

Dear Meka,
I have a burning question!
Does the alt-history tree we are going to see next Wednesday contain a path where you can utilize a fast growth clone of Józef Piłsudski?

On a serious note, I started following dev diaries since the suply system post last week, and I can say with big certainty, there is a lot of toxic element in this community, I'm sorry you have to work in these conditions xD.

Cheers.
Since we are talking about Piłsudski. I would not be offended at the flying ace event similar to Amelia Earhart for Jadwiga Piłsudska :D

Fortunately, some people are more excited about the changes than annoyed ;)

Cheers!
 
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Maybe we'll get a country that wasn't a one-month speedbump.
Like how France is a "speed bump"? One of the more played countries in the game? :)

Honestly if you read the last pages there is quite a lot of enthusiastic Poles (and others of course) and even if people disagree about X and Y it still people engaging. :p

It is like going into a taco restaurant as a vegetarian and complain that there's meat options even when theres vegetarian options ready, and that is coming from me, a vegetarian. :)
 
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Maybe we'll get a country that wasn't a one-month speedbump.
I would argue though that without the Soviet Invasion, even with the chaos from not having the Polish army fully mobilized, Poland still could have pulled off the Romanian bridgehead strategy well into very early 1940 (and even they expected to do so). Polish counterattacks did eventually stabilize the south, German supply lines were stretched that far into the horrendous rural infrastructure, and most of all, winter was coming which would put a halt to serious fighting.
 
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I would argue though that without the Soviet Invasion, even with the chaos from not having the Polish army fully mobilized, Poland still could have pulled off the Romanian bridgehead strategy well into very early 1940 (and even they expected to do so). Polish counterattacks did eventually stabilize the south, German supply lines were stretched that far into the horrendous rural infrastructure, and most of all, winter was coming which would put a halt to serious fighting.
Of course mate!

Nothing Germans ever did was because of themselves, the Poles was because of the Soviets, France was because of France, the entire benelux fell sleep and Stalin kept retreating until he decided not to....

Anything else is vile Propaganda!
 
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Please add Samegrelo (Mingrelia) releasable tag. The local branch of the communist party tried to gain autonomy for the region in the 1920s, therefore it must be represented in the game as a fully releasable country!
 
I would argue though that without the Soviet Invasion, even with the chaos from not having the Polish army fully mobilized, Poland still could have pulled off the Romanian bridgehead strategy well into very early 1940 (and even they expected to do so). Polish counterattacks did eventually stabilize the south, German supply lines were stretched that far into the horrendous rural infrastructure, and most of all, winter was coming which would put a halt to serious fighting.
Although I am a bit skeptical towards such theories, although I absolutely don't claim the right to be right (I still know the subject too little).

It is true, however, that in Poland there is a group of researchers (historians and others) who suggest that without the Soviet aggression against Poland on September 17, the war with Germany could have looked less lightning fast. Which doesn't at all suggest a victory for Poland, that isn't the point.

Some, like Sławomir Koper and Tymoteusz Pawłowski (see the Polish book Mity Polskiego Września), even suggest that the situation on September 16 wan't that deplorable. Quote (my translation):
"All this [that is the news of the successful retreat] contributed to creating an optimistic mood among several Staff officers on the evening of 16 September. There was even a bottle of wine, which the officers wanted to celebrate the success of General Sosnkowski."
As he told me, it is difficult to verify, but such opinions aren't unique in Poland. I would like to see simulations of the course of the war without the participation of the Soviets.

It should also be noted that the fight between Poland and the USSR wasn't a small border clash. We are talking about the use of 8 Armies of the USSR (600,000+ soldiers) against much smaller and in many cases improvised tactical compounds and battles, incl. for Vilnius, Grodno, Szack (one of the few Polish victories on this front), etc.

I understand the mechanical limitations. I accept that the creators may not be able to talk about it yet, but some consideration of these events would be nice.

He remains very excited :D
 
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Like how France is a "speed bump"? One of the more played countries in the game? :)

Honestly if you read the last pages there is quite a lot of enthusiastic Poles (and others of course) and even if people disagree about X and Y it still people engaging. :p

It is like going into a taco restaurant as a vegetarian and complain that there's meat options even when theres vegetarian options ready, and that is coming from me, a vegetarian. :)
It's a World War 2 game with 2 of the 6 majors running on broken or outdated trees while they keep giving overpowered crap to minors like Poland or Bulgaria, or expansive "core half a continent!" boosts to countries that didn't even fight like Portugal or Turkey.

So it's more like a taco restaurant where you put in an order and it's been five hours while you watch everybody else's food come out, including burgers, hot dogs and a bunch of other stuff they didn't even have on the menu, while the only thing you've heard is a "sorry, we had to throw out part of yours" (when they broke Trotsky with LR), and now Poland's back for seconds.
 
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Edward Śmigły-Rydz intentionally changed the order of his names and it was part of his play to gain power. By putting "Śmigły" which was his nom de guerre from the days Poland was still partitioned in the first place he was trying to emphasise his role in the creation of the Polish state. It was one of the steps he took to show himself as a contender for ultimate power and should be represented.

As to Haller and other Generals that were shunned by the regime yes they should have the ability to return but not under Sanation it is important because it was one of the key elements of the regime that the army was purged out of undesirable officers and generals. Furthermore it was also extremely important later on because when Edward Śmigły-Rydz got to power he conducted a second change in leadership of the army. This second soft purge meant that essentially all of the best Generals were not in leading positions and those that were put in charge of various armies proved to be extremely incompetent greatly hastening the defeat of Poland in 1939. So Haller absolutely shouldn't start as a General, and in fact even if there was indeed some kind of re-institution of the dismissed Generals in the democratic paths Haller was getting rather old and was out of military service for so long he would probably be just passed over or given some less important position if any at all.

As to the snarky tone it would be nice to also not assume that someone trying to correct the mistakes made in this dev diary can not have a good idea what he is talking about. As you can see from the Śmigły-Rydz/Rydz-Śmigł case you did not have the full information about how this is important and decided to dismiss it instead of considering that it was very much true and relevant.
Where did i dismiss anything? I simply said that it's silly to make such a big deal out of it or mark it as a grave injustice or something, whether the devs put Smigly or Rydz in front, especially since the currently used version is the one used in most English-speaking source materials and also in many Polish speaking ones, even released by the IPN. I said it shouldn't be portrayed as "100% wrong" due to these circumstances and it most certainly does not warrant a snarky tone towards the developers.
 
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Although I am a bit skeptical towards such theories, although I absolutely don't claim the right to be right (I still know the subject too little).

It is true, however, that in Poland there is a group of researchers (historians and others) who suggest that without the Soviet aggression against Poland on September 17, the war with Germany could have looked less lightning fast. Which doesn't at all suggest a victory for Poland, that isn't the point.

Some, like Sławomir Koper and Tymoteusz Pawłowski (see the Polish book Mity Polskiego Września), even suggest that the situation on September 16 wan't that deplorable. Quote (my translation):
"All this [that is the news of the successful retreat] contributed to creating an optimistic mood among several Staff officers on the evening of 16 September. There was even a bottle of wine, which the officers wanted to celebrate the success of General Sosnkowski."
As he told me, it is difficult to verify, but such opinions aren't unique in Poland. I would like to see simulations of the course of the war without the participation of the Soviets.

It should also be noted that the fight between Poland and the USSR wasn't a small border clash. We are talking about the use of 8 Armies of the USSR (600,000+ soldiers) against much smaller and in many cases improvised tactical compounds and battles, incl. for Vilnius, Grodno, Szack (one of the few Polish victories on this front), etc.

I understand the mechanical limitations. I accept that the creators may not be able to talk about it yet, but some consideration of these events would be nice.

He remains very excited :D
The good Polish generals were warning that the strategic situation for Poland is terrible and some would go to say impossible. Much of the blame goes to the political camp as Sanation despite being made of military people did a horrendous job at keeping the army in good shape. Partly because the military people didn't in fact have proper military training and in most cases were revolutionaries or just officers that should never rise as high as they did. The army had outdated weaponry, there was no good cadre of well trained officers because the office became a prime real estate for people just trying to get prestige and better social position and all the important posts were taken by loyalists and as I said above most of those loyalists were not good generals at all. There was no serious motorisation nor were the armed forces developed in any sufficient manner. And whenever attempts at making the army better were undertook they were either very late, or implemented ineffectively. Polish airforce got into the hands of people that thought that Poland should have only bombers. Well I don't have to say to you what the risk of completely neglecting the development of fighter planes is. And then it turned out that Poland doesn't have the industrial capacity nor the knowledge to build such big planes and ended up wasting shit ton of money on projects that never got anywhere. Funnily enough the only good thing that came out of Airforce department were the airfields which were the biggest and best in Europe at the time. Cost a shit ton of money again and were so big they could as well been visible from space as far as the German bombers were concerned. They weren't even used because the airforce realised last minute that they just gonna get completely destroyed within the first few hours of the war if they gonna keep the planes in such a obvious target so they used grass airflieds instead (to be fair that plan actually kind of worked but Polish airforce effectiveness was very low in this situation and again since all the money was wasted on trying to make bombers or giant airfields there weren't any good planes around). Finally there were the two final blunders which is that Poland did not sufficiently develop its industry nor prepared enough of it for war time production (a lot factories were only comining online in september and most would only start producing in 1940 and then it would take a lot of time to get enough actual equipment and ship it to units). The second blunder is tactical and it was lack of any sound plans for a prolonged war, the idea that Polish army has to defend every inch of its western border making it extremely spread out (in fact a giant chunk of the Polish army was facing no German troops as all those were concentrated in the far north and south of Poland), late ineffective mobilisation and finally completely ignoring the information that was coming trough the intelligence network that the Soviets were going to attack from the east (You could technically add belief that the Allies would attack from the west but even then Poland would still most likely fall even if Soviets didn't enter the war).
 
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The good Polish generals were warning that the strategic situation for Poland is terrible and some would go to say impossible. Much of the blame goes to the political camp as Sanation despite being made of military people did a horrendous job at keeping the army in good shape. Partly because the military people didn't in fact have proper military training and in most cases were revolutionaries or just officers that should never rise as high as they did. The army had outdated weaponry, there was no good cadre of well trained officers because the office became a prime real estate for people just trying to get prestige and better social position and all the important posts were taken by loyalists and as I said above most of those loyalists were not good generals at all. There was no serious motorisation nor were the armed forces developed in any sufficient manner. And whenever attempts at making the army better were undertook they were either very late, or implemented ineffectievly. Polish airforce got into the hand of people that thought that Poland should have only bombers. Well I don't have to say to you what the risk of completely negleging the development of fighter planes is. And then it turned out that Poland doesn't have the industrial capacity nor the knowledge to build such big planes and ended up wasting shit ton of money on projects that never got anywhere. Funnily enough the only good thing that came out of Airforce department were the airfields which were the biggest and best in Europe at the time. Cost a shit ton of money again and were so big they could as well been visible from space as far as the German bombers were concerned. They weren't even used because the airforce realised last minute that they just gonna get completely destroyed within the first few hours of the war if they gonna keep the planes in such a obvious target so they used grass airflieds instead (to be fair that plan actually kind of worked but Polish airforce effectiveness was very low in this situation and again since all the money was wasted on trying to make bombers or giant airfields there weren't any good planes around). Finally there were the two final blunders which is that Poland did not sufficiently develop its industry nor prepared enough of it for war time production (a lot factories were only comining online in september and most would only start producing in 1940 and then it would take a lot of time to get enough actual equipment and ship it to units). The second blunder is tactical and it was lack of any sound plans for a prolonged war, the idea that Polish army has to defend every inch of its western border making it extremely spread out (in fact a giant chunk of the Polish army was facing no German troops as all those were concentrated in the far north and south of Poland), late ineffective mobilisation and finally completely ignoring the information that was coming trough the intelligence network that the Soviets were going to attack from the east (You could technically add belief that the Allies would attack from the west but even then Poland would still most likely fall even if Soviets didn't enter the war).
As I wrote myself, I am skeptical about these theories. I'm just writing that they exist and are even moderately popular.

I realize that the Polish Army had a lot of problems. Many bad strategic decisions have also been made. Hence, there are so many theories in Poland in the style of what would happen if... for example, regarding the change of the priority of production or the use of a plan where the Polish Army doesn't try to defend the entire border with Poland, which meant that for a large part of the war many units only had to withdraw.
 
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Hey, I'm from Poland too and I'm even a bit interested in this period, but it's really hard to judge a focus tree without seeing the whole focus tree. Let me refer to a few selected things.
This is a great comment! I hope the devs take all these things into account.
 
Like how France is a "speed bump"? One of the more played countries in the game? :)

Honestly if you read the last pages there is quite a lot of enthusiastic Poles (and others of course) and even if people disagree about X and Y it still people engaging. :p

It is like going into a taco restaurant as a vegetarian and complain that there's meat options even when theres vegetarian options ready, and that is coming from me, a vegetarian. :)
Absolutely!

I'm Romanian and I played Poland a lot, it may have been a "speed bump" in real life, largely due to late mobilization due to Allies pressure, but the very point of a game is that you don't have to follow real life step by step.

Honestly, after Battle for the Bosporus I was expecting the worst, but this focus looks so amazingly made I wish it was summer already so I can play it.

By the way, and a question for the actual Poles if they agree. Would you agree to have the "Międzymorze" faction renamed to it's English equivalent "Intermarium"?

Every other faction's name in the game is in English regardless of the origin of the founding nation. It leads to more consistency within the game.
 
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1. Should is a bit far fetched considering you see both iterations used. I saw, and in fact i'm also a Pole, more often "Rydz-Śmigły" then the other way around. Don't even take my word for it, just google it. There is literally an article about him on the IPN page were this wording is used.
The problem is that just because something is more common, doesn't mean it's more correct. See the very common mistake in Polish - using "tą" in the Accusative case (Biernik) instead of "tę".
 
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speedbump
Nothing wrong with playing as countries that didn't last long in the war historically. I'm eagerly waiting for the focus trees we'll (hopefully) get for the Scandi nations, and Norway only lasted for a month before capitulating.
 
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With each new DLC, there are more NFs to remove debuffs, more NFs that must be used, more decisions that must be used, and more decisions where the results of using them are randomly determined, which is frustrating.

I would like NFs to be used to determine national policies, and decisions to be limited to new nation creation, special operations, and events.

Looking forward to improvements to Soviet NF, new DLC, and the train system. Good luck with the development!
 
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I would argue though that without the Soviet Invasion, even with the chaos from not having the Polish army fully mobilized, Poland still could have pulled off the Romanian bridgehead strategy well into very early 1940 (and even they expected to do so). Polish counterattacks did eventually stabilize the south, German supply lines were stretched that far into the horrendous rural infrastructure, and most of all, winter was coming which would put a halt to serious fighting.
Polish army would try to hold in a narrow, disloyal region, having lost it`s native industry, and being unable to recruit any reinforcements. Yes, that would work out.
Rural infrastructure actually works against Poland first, since supplying army over Romanian and then Polish infrastructure under Luftwaffe attacks would be far worse than just having to content with poor infra.

As for the issue of winter putting an end to serious fighting, Winter War and Soviet counter-attacks in winter 1941-42 and 42-43 would beg to differ.

Also, I don`t know why would SU just abandon lands that it believes to be rightfully it`s, even if it wouldn`t directly invade, there was plenty of ways for them to help Polish defense collapse.
 
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