In Country Events If the AI Chance = 1 is that .01?

[ConstantineTheGreat]

Basically, I've been reloading to get Switzerland annexed as Austria and the event says:

country_event = { #FROM demands our (SWI) Annexation
id = AUS_political_events.52
title = AUS_political_events.52.t
desc = AUS_political_events.52.desc
picture = GFX_report_event_royal_parade
is_triggered_only = yes

fire_only_once = yes

option = { #yes!
name = AUS_political_events.52.a
ai_chance = {
base = 1
modifier = {
factor = 3
strength_ratio = {
tag = FROM
ratio < 0.75
}
}
modifier = {
factor = 5
strength_ratio = {
tag = FROM
ratio < 0.5
}
}
modifier = {
factor = 2
has_government = FROM
}
}

FROM = {
country_event = {
id = AUS_political_events.53
hours = 3
}
}

effect_tooltip = {
FROM= {
annex_country = {
target = ROOT
transfer_troops = yes
}
}
}

custom_effect_tooltip = GAME_OVER_TT

}


Does this mean that there's only a 15% chance of them saying yes? I don't think there's a good way for them to flip non-aligned in historical

 

[Aeroclub]

No, this represents the relative weight of the choices.
So if option A has a base change of 1 and option B has a base change of 4, it means 2 times out of ten the AI will choose A and 8 times out of ten it will choose B.

These base weight and then multiplied by the rest of the modifiers.

 

[Dimmie_Dumm]

Basically, I've been reloading to get Switzerland annexed as Austria (...)

You may have a chance as high as 99.9% on paper and still be getting the same outcome on whatever number of reloads you do - that's irrelevant.
This should make it clear enough:

The focuses themselves don't present a choice, but the events triggered by them. The AI does not care that an event was triggered by a focus, so it does not use that as an input. The random number generator uses a unique number tied to your save game, the current game time and the country (and the current unit leader for events dealing with unit leaders, e.g. sickness). If all of those input numbers are the same, the AI will generate the same "random" number between 0 and 100 to pick from the options. So if

1. within the same save game
2. the AI of the same country
3. at the same time
4. encounters an event choice with the same available options and associated weights

it will choose the same option. Changing the time the AI encounters the choice is usually most feasible to get a different outcome.

 

[ConstantineTheGreat]

You may have a chance as high as 99.9% on paper and still be getting the same outcome on whatever number of reloads you do - that's irrelevant.
This should make it clear enough:

Ah, it's on different playthroughs, but I've never been able to get them to give Habsburg up

 

[Vengirni]

Unless you both have the same ideology and you are at least twice as strong as them, they are more likely to say no. And even then it's only a 3 times out of 4.

 

[ConstantineTheGreat]

Unless you both have the same ideology and you are at least twice as strong as them, they are more likely to say no. And even then it's only a 3 times out of 4

I have 56 divisions bc of the subjugation foci and spamming out 2w. The strength ratio is div count right?