Randakar is afraid to vote me.
(Successful bait will be successful)
Fine.
Unvote Rysz
Vote Euroo7
Happy?
I'm sorry, but that reasoning is so flawed it's ridiculous you even brought it up. What you know doesn't impact what others do, since we don't know what you know. Unless you share of course. You decided to vote yourself and proclaimed that you would be lame the whole game, thus others followed and voted you. If we have no clue who the wolves are, we can at least kill of someone who doesn't seem to want to play anyway.
Baiting like you apparently did there has no guarantees whatsoever to work, since as far as we know you might as well be a wolf pulling a j-L.
It impacts what I do, and that is enough.
People voting me gives me information. In fact, people voting me gives -you- information. After all, people voting me are unlikely to be in a pack with me. Or at least, people voting me when it's dangerous for me are.
Besides, I know what I said, but I also know I cannot really resist making myself useful more often than not.
And now that I think of it, without a seer I actually stand a chance this game to not get in a JL and subsequently hunted
Promising. I'll keep an eye on you.
Agreed. Not a bad mind there.
Hmmm, well noticed randakar, what reis said does seem like a Crovaxian slip. Oh well, no sense to continue the bandwagon:
Does it? It's Reis. He tends to always make himself look suspicious.
That doesn't mean he's not a wolf, though.
No no no!
Reis made no crovaxian slip! What nonsense is that? Randakar made something of a pun. Ofcourse wolves would hate to get noted as suspicious, but so do villagers. (look reis, I'm not the one making you suspicious, it was your comment that started it this time!)
Exactly.
Also Randakar's logic indeed fails (how unusual). However, it doesn't work in that direction.
Considering everyone votes randomly: wolves have a 90% chance of voting a villager, while a villager has a 80% chance of voting a villager. However, being a villager, and getting voted upon, does not give you any information about whether the voter is a wolf or not. In fact, for any random villager, the odds of a single vote being a wolf is only 20%. This is not in away combinable with the chance of voting a villager.
I make myself easy to bandwagon, and wait to see how many people will take the excuse and mindlessly vote me. It's not necessarily about the odds - it's about behaviour.
*shrug* I'm not saying it's insanely awesome or anything, it's just me feeling annoyed and wanting to do something crazy just for doing something crazy .. and then turning it into an experiment.
I blame it on a lack of sleep on Randakar's part
Also, since I don't want to continue lynching myself, I'll vote someone who pretends he knows what a crovaxian slip is, while in fact he doesn't. Therefore basing his vote on a false assumption.
hmm, I'd follow that but he's new. New players get a free pass the first 2-3 days or so. After that, however ..
I think we will have to examine randakar through a whole different prism in this game. Let's not underestimate just how pissed he got in the Big Game.
Pissed is a big word. The lite game where AOK outed the Seer as a wolf was much, much more annoying to me than the Big game.
You've made two incorrect assumptions in your analysis, Rysz:
1.- Wolves will not vote other wolves. Wolves have no reason to not vote for their packmate. In fact, wolves are more likely to vote their packmates to give them cover later in the game should the other be lynched.
2.- Esemesas is a fool. Never put a plan into action based on your opponent's ignorance and/or incompetence. As far as you know, you're dealing with the most talented player this side of Thistletooth.
Euro analysis! *gasps*
I don't know who messed with his diet but something must have changed in his usual coctail of AOK-prescribed meds ..
The rules of this game, with no Seer, do make wolves voting each other more likely. I agree there.
:rofl:
Sorry, but I have to say, if you are a wolf this is hilarious.
Rysz is a confirmed waffle.
Not a wofl, then?
Nice dodging the bullet there.
I must say I would not mind seeing him lynched today. Not that I think he's more likely a wolf, though..
Unvote Euroo7
Vote Rysz