Having very little to go on I will just mention this post:
trespoe proclaims that he gets no baddie vibes from any of the three prominent lynch candidates Malurous (dead villager), Xeno (dead villager) and Vainglory (unknown). He continues by stating that he desires neither of them dead, yet he votes Xeno, claiming that voting anyone else would be worthless. At this point, 14:47, there is a good 7,5 hours before deadline and changing the frontrunners is certainly no impossibility. Thus I draw the conclusion that trespoe did desire one of the three dead and simply used all the pretty words as a safeguard for the future. Saying one thing, doing another.
Thus,
Vote trespoe
whatever.
I do that every game. If my vote is being wasted I change to a frontrunner. I also go to work most times (like right now) so I won't see what happens the next 4-5 hours. I should be back before deadline.
At which time...
guess what...
I may change to a frontrunner, unless snoop is in contention.
you are correct about one thing, however. It usually is about keeping one particular player alive at certain times. For example, if Kiwi or Bags had been run up yesterday I would have protected them. Why them? Kiwi is a good analyzer, and Bags is a good RPer.