I like this guy. He's like Vainglory, but he doesn't make my head explode with walls of text and fancy words.
So basically he's like me except for the fact he's nothing like me. What marks me out is the fact that I bother to present detailed cases as to why people are likely or not likely to be wolves; Randy is much the same in the weight of what he posts, Joeb also tends to think pretty hard. King and Falc tend to present more concise arguments. You're more likely to follow what others say. The other thing is that I'm often arguing on numbers - I might as well make up a chart of "when will parity occur" and stick it in my sig, I say it so often (incidentally, with 9/3 it's 3 days to parity) - whereas Yakman usually posts short, unsupported claims. Nothing like him in playstyle.
Yakman, your point about Falc is well made: he moved to save a wolf. That bears saying, sure. But that's pretty normal Falc anyway: there was a frontrunner way out so he made it closer. Does that exonerate him? No. But it adds to erode the case against him. Yeah, he voted against King. Guess what? King was on my suspects list too. Rendap was low on my suspects list, King was higher. He'd thrown his vote away on Day 1, and I usually advocate going for throwaway voters. He'd been quieter than usual. I'd probably have voted King yesterday in that situation. Villager Falc would have made that move, certainly. Wolf Falc? I'm not sure.
Then we have all the problems with the case against Falc. Why hunt Boris and narrow the list for us when there's a sucker among the immediate targets? If we hit a sucker first and the other two are wolves it might be enough to throw us off the scent. At the least it provides a 1/3 chance of the village pursuing the wrong guy if they go after the King voters, whereas hunting Boris means 100% chance we look at two wolves. It's an idiot strategy, and betting on dumb wolves has never yet paid off in my experience.
Furthermore, if Falc is a wolf, and Reis isn't, what was Falc doing? Are the other two wolves sitting about with their thumbs up their bums? Why risk Falc in trying to save Rendap and not go all out in trying to save Rendap? Half the pack's at risk already, might as well go all in because parity with 2 wolves is a
long way away, and parity with 4 is only 2 days away. If Falc and Reis are wolves, where's the last one? It's definitely not any of those who voted for Rendap in that case - alibiing on a packmate when it will blow up 2 more is a hopeless strategy. If Falc and Reis are wolves, the third wolf is among those who weren't voting either frontrunner. If only Falc is a wolf it still makes it very unlikely there are any wolves among Rendap's killers; why would Falc ignore his packmates' strategy, and why would his packmates ensure the death of a packmate? In this case it's likely that 2/3 wolves are among those who didn't participate in the vote. And if Falc and Reis both aren't wolves, then the wolves maybe alibied on Rendap, and definitely some are among those who didn't participate. I see no concrete case against Falc, or Reis, only the obvious conclusion. Wolves love obvious conclusions: they're easy to sell to the village and don't incriminate you when they go wrong.
Also, where are you getting this idea you're cleared? On Day 1 you totally ignore the strategy that works and start a 4th candidate. If anything that makes you suspicious because you are trying to obscure information and you helped create an unstable situation. A single unvote from Najs onto a third party would have left four dead villagers. On Day 2 while everyone else is getting involved in voting the two frontrunners, you throw a revenge vote on me, who at least shouldn't be run up on consecutive days making it a total waste of a vote by any measure, then you don't move it for the rest of the day. Throw away votes, refusal to cooperate in creating information: this makes you suspicious, not a cleared villager. At least I can stand on the fact that I was among those run up on Day 1 that the wolves made no effort to save, but actually had votes on me... And now you're pushing hard for the obvious conclusion. Not looking good, Yakman, not looking good.
