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Chat currently at capacity will fill you in as best I can when I get home
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So is Caillean a scanned wolf? If not, I don't see why she would get preference over Euro post-fake outing.
Would be nice, wouldn't it?
Is anyone capable of doing one of those coloured counts?
Let's assume for a second that she is a wolf. What does analysis tell us?
Is anyone capable of doing one of those coloured counts?
Let's assume for a second that she is a wolf. What does analysis tell us?
It's too bad the guy who normally does them got lynched. Such a shame.
- 7
This was sloppy JL work, I'll admit it. In my defense, I was contacted very late and in a very unorthodox manner. Now, perhaps some wolf has used Elowen to try to sow chaos in the village and she is merely a hapless villager, like myself. It's impossible to know. What does strike me is the fact that they chose to target Dedonus. He is certainly among the more helpful villagers, but did the wolves know that he was in contact with the seer, as he claimed before we, the village, killed him?
Another question remains in Alxeu. He reached out to me this morning with some sort of inane question, I thought it might be some kind of fishing attempt to find the seer, but otherwise made no note of it.
Another question remains in Alxeu. He reached out to me this morning with some sort of inane question, I thought it might be some kind of fishing attempt to find the seer, but otherwise made no note of it.
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- 2
Dedonus.
^ See that ^? That is literally the first time I have ever said the name Dedonus to you. I don't think I'd have believed that you got duped into a fake outing no matter what excuse you came up with, but naming me as your source throws whatever small chance there was of that out of the window: you are a wolf.
Also, I wouldn't have passed up on the opportunity to make an outing. They seem very exciting and I've never done one.
For the moment, I am going to honor Dedonus' dying words:
Vote Caillean
Oh, I definetly agree with this. I meant that there was not much behavioral info in this game and wondered if you have specific conclusions based on tells like behavior, not if you knew of tells outside of votecount analysis.
Okay then, if you say Euro is a legendary beast, I'll be careful. I still like what he did, though; it doesn't benefit scum to place weird votes and then carefreely explain when explainations are requested. There could be WIFOM involved here, but that's a rabbit hole we don't need to go into. Unless he truly is a mastermind at WIFOM or the tell I'm using is too weak (that's possible), he's town.
Right. But the opposite happened yesterday it seems lol... I assume there was a fake outing that generate this, but even considering that, shouldn't we have straight up ignored it instead of lynching a relatively towny guy (who was counting votes quite nicely!)? There certainly is something fishy in this EoD, and I'm gonna try to analyze that.
So you're saying wolves piled on an inactive without really advocating vocally for his lynch? Why would they do such a thing? I don't see the benefit for wolf!Arkasas in voting with Chieron on Agatha, and am not sure I like your thought process, although that may be just because I don't understand it well.
I note you want a tie that includes Caillean, though, which is perfectly understandable.
... Ah. WELL THEN. Given the timing here, the most likely scenario assuming wolf!Euro is that wolf!Caillean was about to get lynched and Euro decided to hammer on a strong townie. Else, town!Euro was given fake info by wolf!Elowen:
This means both Caillean and Elowen are still highly suspicious, and how they flip should determine Euro's alignment pretty well: if Elowen flips wolf, Euro is cleared, and if Caillean flips wolf, Euro is most likely wolf as well. I think we should lynch between those two (and perhaps both). That's what we should have done yesterday anyway.
You mean... yourself? xD
Vote Caillean
Also, I may be paranoid, but seeing Agatha was town, Alxeu's post about Arkasas could be TMI: he's considering Agatha as town even though there's virtually no reason to do so.
Summary:
Euro will be solved by the lynch of Caillean/Elowen and therefore does not need to be lynched today.
Caillean and Elowen should be lynched for the whole Panzer situation and for the sake of solving Euro.
Alxeu is slightly wolfy, although that may just be paranoia on my end.