Wagonlitz has been a hunt magnet. Go village go! Remember to wear the rainbow flannels I issued you to go incognito!
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Colored Vote Counts
Day 1
yakman-5
liefwarrior (104)
sleepyhead (106)
randakar (109)
alxeu (112)
wagonlitz (aedan 102 > capage 121 > 139)
Panzer-5
Arkasas (87)
Historydude (96)
MAWofdoom (107)
yakman (capage 103 > 120)
hdk (capage 98 > EUROO7 111 > wagonlitz 122 > yak 138 > wagon 157 > 159)
hdk-3
Capage (101)
panzercorps (105)
Wombat (alxeu 89 > 158)
Wagonlizt-3
Caillean (152)
EUROO7 (hdk 115 > 154)
happycats517 (hdk 129 > 155)
Capage-1
Dedonus (95)
Jackson-1
Ironhide (94)
Sleepyhead-1
Agatha (93)
Wombat-1
Jackson (86)
happycats515-1
CaptainGrimlock (113)
caillean-1
Aedan (capage 97 > 119)
Not Voted
None
liefwarrior (104)
sleepyhead (106)
randakar (109)
alxeu (112)
wagonlitz (aedan 102 > capage 121 > 139)
Panzer-5
Arkasas (87)
Historydude (96)
MAWofdoom (107)
yakman (capage 103 > 120)
hdk (capage 98 > EUROO7 111 > wagonlitz 122 > yak 138 > wagon 157 > 159)
hdk-3
Capage (101)
panzercorps (105)
Wombat (alxeu 89 > 158)
Wagonlizt-3
Caillean (152)
EUROO7 (hdk 115 > 154)
happycats517 (hdk 129 > 155)
Capage-1
Dedonus (95)
Jackson-1
Ironhide (94)
Sleepyhead-1
Agatha (93)
Wombat-1
Jackson (86)
happycats515-1
CaptainGrimlock (113)
caillean-1
Aedan (capage 97 > 119)
Not Voted
None
Euro-7
Ironhide (187)
HistoryDude (194)
Aedan (201)
Alxeu (207)
Arkasas (212)
Caillean (Aedan 195->219)
Maw (Caillean 205->224)
Mawofdoom-6
Dedonus (184)
Randy (199)
Grimlock (206)
Jackson (216)
Liefwarrior (217)
Euro (Aedan 220->222)
Grimlock-2
Sleepyhead (193)
Capage (MAWofdoom 209->210)
Capage-1
hdk (203)
HistoryDude-1
Team Wombat (202)
Not Voted
Witch Agatha
Ironhide (187)
HistoryDude (194)
Aedan (201)
Alxeu (207)
Arkasas (212)
Caillean (Aedan 195->219)
Maw (Caillean 205->224)
Mawofdoom-6
Dedonus (184)
Randy (199)
Grimlock (206)
Jackson (216)
Liefwarrior (217)
Euro (Aedan 220->222)
Grimlock-2
Sleepyhead (193)
Capage (MAWofdoom 209->210)
Capage-1
hdk (203)
HistoryDude-1
Team Wombat (202)
Not Voted
Witch Agatha
Grimlock-5
hdk (239)
sleepyhead (253)
Capage (Aedan 237 - > 257)
Arkasas (283)
Maw (Witch Agatha244 -> 285)
Caillean-5
Grimlock (232)
Alxeu (245)
Ironhide G1 (278)
Wagonlitz 2.0 (277)
liefwarrior (282)
Arkasas-2
Randy (249)
Witch Agatha (252)
Agatha-2
Caillean (251)
Dedonus (Jackson 230 -> 260)
Capage-1
Aedan (234)
Mawofdoom-1
HistoryDude (231)
Not Voted- 1
Jacksonian Missionary
hdk (239)
sleepyhead (253)
Capage (Aedan 237 - > 257)
Arkasas (283)
Maw (Witch Agatha244 -> 285)
Caillean-5
Grimlock (232)
Alxeu (245)
Ironhide G1 (278)
Wagonlitz 2.0 (277)
liefwarrior (282)
Arkasas-2
Randy (249)
Witch Agatha (252)
Agatha-2
Caillean (251)
Dedonus (Jackson 230 -> 260)
Capage-1
Aedan (234)
Mawofdoom-1
HistoryDude (231)
Not Voted- 1
Jacksonian Missionary
HistoryDude-5
Capage (Aedan 237 - > CaptainGrimlock 257 -> 297)
Wagonlitz 2.0 (Caillean 277 -> Leifwarrior 296 -> 301)
Witch Agatha (Arkasas 252 -> 303)
Maw (Witch Agatha244 -> Grimlock 285 -> 305)
Arkasas (Grimlock 283 -> 307)
Caillean-4
Grimlock (232)
Alxeu (245)
Ironhide G1 (278)
liefwarrior (282)
Agatha-2
Caillean (251)
Dedonus (Jackson 230 -> 260)
Grimlock-2
hdk (239)
sleepyhead (253)
Arkasas-2
Randy (249)
Capage-1
Aedan (234)
Mawofdoom-1
HistoryDude (231)
Not Voted- 1
Jacksonian Missionary
Capage (Aedan 237 - > CaptainGrimlock 257 -> 297)
Wagonlitz 2.0 (Caillean 277 -> Leifwarrior 296 -> 301)
Witch Agatha (Arkasas 252 -> 303)
Maw (Witch Agatha244 -> Grimlock 285 -> 305)
Arkasas (Grimlock 283 -> 307)
Caillean-4
Grimlock (232)
Alxeu (245)
Ironhide G1 (278)
liefwarrior (282)
Agatha-2
Caillean (251)
Dedonus (Jackson 230 -> 260)
Grimlock-2
hdk (239)
sleepyhead (253)
Arkasas-2
Randy (249)
Capage-1
Aedan (234)
Mawofdoom-1
HistoryDude (231)
Not Voted- 1
Jacksonian Missionary
Grimlock-5
Dedonus (321)
hdk (325)
Agatha (327)
Arkasas (359)
Liefwarrior (361)
Jackson-5
Maw (324)
Maw (324) alderman activated
Sleepyhead (331)
Ironhide (355)
Caillean (356)
Dedonus-2
Aedan (332)
Grimlock (333)
Aedan-2
Wagonlitz 2.0 (326)
Randy (358)
Not voted
Jacksonian Missionary
alxeu
Dedonus (321)
hdk (325)
Agatha (327)
Arkasas (359)
Liefwarrior (361)
Jackson-5
Maw (324)
Maw (324) alderman activated
Sleepyhead (331)
Ironhide (355)
Caillean (356)
Dedonus-2
Aedan (332)
Grimlock (333)
Aedan-2
Wagonlitz 2.0 (326)
Randy (358)
Not voted
Jacksonian Missionary
alxeu
hdk-3
Maw (385)
Maw (385) Alderman
Wagon 2.0 (392)
Aedan-3
Agatha (372)
Dedonus (393)
Randy (399)
Caillean-3
Sleepyhead (389)
Aedan (394)
hdk (404)
Maw (385)
Maw (385) Alderman
Wagon 2.0 (392)
Aedan-3
Agatha (372)
Dedonus (393)
Randy (399)
Caillean-3
Sleepyhead (389)
Aedan (394)
hdk (404)
Aedan-10
Agatha (372)
Dedonus (393)
Randy (399)
Caillean (406)
Arkasas (409)
Maw (the_hdk 385 ->410)
Maw (the_hdk 385->410) Alderman
Wagon 2.0 (the_hdk 392->411)
Liefwarrior (413)
Sleepyhead (Caillean 389->414)
Caillean-2
Aedan (394)
hdk (404)
Not Voted
Ironhide G1
Agatha (372)
Dedonus (393)
Randy (399)
Caillean (406)
Arkasas (409)
Maw (the_hdk 385 ->410)
Maw (the_hdk 385->410) Alderman
Wagon 2.0 (the_hdk 392->411)
Liefwarrior (413)
Sleepyhead (Caillean 389->414)
Caillean-2
Aedan (394)
hdk (404)
Not Voted
Ironhide G1
Sorry about missing the vote yesterday, was visiting a friend and forgot to follow up with a vote.
Pretty much cleared:
Mawofdoom- either is completely clear, or has been playing one of the world's best games of 4D chess. Voted by and for reds repeatedly.
Ironhide G1- I know for certain I am a villager, who used my seerish powers on Wagon. However, my voting record is currently the worst of any person alive, which really sucks.
Pretty confident:
Randakar- Targeted Aedan Day 4 and Day 5 even before the outing. Also voted yakman day 1.
Leaning villager:
Dedonus- had a spat with Aedan the past two days, could see Dedonus and Aedan doing this as a deception in my paranoid mind. But he did provide PMs, which is a possible point in favour.
Caillean- voted for by both the_hdk and Aedan. Doesn't have a great record outside of that, but did vote for Aedan first day 2.
Arkasas- followed the vote-switch on day 5, pushing historydude into the lead.
Unsure:
Sleepyhead- pretty poor voting record outside for his day 1 vote on yakman, which could be an alibi vote. Also was on Caillean with both other wolves (however, the wolves may also have piled on to a villager's vote like they did on mine day 2).
Liefwarrior- Tied Grimlock day 4, with his only positive on the voting record being the first vote on yakman day one (which could be a very easy alibi vote, especially as yak was not in danger at the time).
From the voting records, it seems that we have a candidate to pursue.
Vote liefwarrior
Pretty much cleared:
Mawofdoom- either is completely clear, or has been playing one of the world's best games of 4D chess. Voted by and for reds repeatedly.
Ironhide G1- I know for certain I am a villager, who used my seerish powers on Wagon. However, my voting record is currently the worst of any person alive, which really sucks.
Pretty confident:
Randakar- Targeted Aedan Day 4 and Day 5 even before the outing. Also voted yakman day 1.
Leaning villager:
Dedonus- had a spat with Aedan the past two days, could see Dedonus and Aedan doing this as a deception in my paranoid mind. But he did provide PMs, which is a possible point in favour.
Caillean- voted for by both the_hdk and Aedan. Doesn't have a great record outside of that, but did vote for Aedan first day 2.
Arkasas- followed the vote-switch on day 5, pushing historydude into the lead.
Unsure:
Sleepyhead- pretty poor voting record outside for his day 1 vote on yakman, which could be an alibi vote. Also was on Caillean with both other wolves (however, the wolves may also have piled on to a villager's vote like they did on mine day 2).
Liefwarrior- Tied Grimlock day 4, with his only positive on the voting record being the first vote on yakman day one (which could be a very easy alibi vote, especially as yak was not in danger at the time).
From the voting records, it seems that we have a candidate to pursue.
Vote liefwarrior
That was a mixed bag. I was correct in having aedan as a candidate though.
Going though all remaining people, I arrive at the following categories and those within them:
The primes
Ironhide has not made any important vote on any of the baddies. Has at least contributed some analysis.
Arkansas only followed a vote switch underway, which is something he would definitely do as a packmate when the ball was running for alibi. Given the fact that he also stated two days ago that voting aedan was "too soon" and then questioned "the case on aedan" yesterday makes him my prime suspect. Has not made any contribution in terms of cases.
The secondaries
Caillean I don't consider overly cleared either, it is entirely possible that only reds were in the lead and packmates went with the least active candidate rather than making any own cases. Has not made any contribution in terms of analysis or candidates herself.
Liefwarrior only has the first vote on Yakman going for him, not much since. Hasn't made much in terms of analysis nor presented any candidates of his own.
Quite unlikely baddies
Dedonus - claims to have been sorc scanned and cleared. Had a spat with aedan. Could be lying on the first and could have acted the second. Quite unlikely though, hence this category.
Very unlikely baddies
Mawofdoom, voted by reds and have helped to kill several
Randakar, helped killed several reds
As to myself I did push up Yakman when he didn't have any traction and I have had aedan as suspect the last two days, first as 1/6 and then as 1/2, as is clear from my analysis. Had to vote early yesterday and with only two votes cast, I preferred to go with my second candidate not being in the running yet. I did not consider hdk as a particularly good candidate vis-à-vis the others due to the initial tie, but then again, so did most people. In the hypothetical situation that he would have lived today, I would have rated him similar to lief as secondary.
Based on the above, I'm very much fine with any of my primes, but also on my secondaries as candidates today. I do think that Arkansas stands out for defending aedan twice as mentioned:
Vote Arkansas (Arkasas)
Going though all remaining people, I arrive at the following categories and those within them:
The primes
Ironhide has not made any important vote on any of the baddies. Has at least contributed some analysis.
Arkansas only followed a vote switch underway, which is something he would definitely do as a packmate when the ball was running for alibi. Given the fact that he also stated two days ago that voting aedan was "too soon" and then questioned "the case on aedan" yesterday makes him my prime suspect. Has not made any contribution in terms of cases.
The secondaries
Caillean I don't consider overly cleared either, it is entirely possible that only reds were in the lead and packmates went with the least active candidate rather than making any own cases. Has not made any contribution in terms of analysis or candidates herself.
Liefwarrior only has the first vote on Yakman going for him, not much since. Hasn't made much in terms of analysis nor presented any candidates of his own.
Quite unlikely baddies
Dedonus - claims to have been sorc scanned and cleared. Had a spat with aedan. Could be lying on the first and could have acted the second. Quite unlikely though, hence this category.
Very unlikely baddies
Mawofdoom, voted by reds and have helped to kill several
Randakar, helped killed several reds
As to myself I did push up Yakman when he didn't have any traction and I have had aedan as suspect the last two days, first as 1/6 and then as 1/2, as is clear from my analysis. Had to vote early yesterday and with only two votes cast, I preferred to go with my second candidate not being in the running yet. I did not consider hdk as a particularly good candidate vis-à-vis the others due to the initial tie, but then again, so did most people. In the hypothetical situation that he would have lived today, I would have rated him similar to lief as secondary.
Based on the above, I'm very much fine with any of my primes, but also on my secondaries as candidates today. I do think that Arkansas stands out for defending aedan twice as mentioned:
Vote Arkansas (Arkasas)
So then, for remaining people we have me, dedonus, randy, Ironhide, caillean, arkasas, lief, and sleepy. At this point we have to have one pack, so we have either 1 or 2 wolves depending upon whether or not a cursed was hit and whether or not the number of wolves was 25% rounded up or down. With the possibility of a cursed having been hit increasing everyday, I'm going to restrict my analysis to after night 2, which will ignore the yakman voters.
High tier villagers: dedonus and randy have been at odds with aedan, and he at odds with them quite often. If either are evil, I'd be very impressed. Ironhide also falls into this category for me because of the following.
Mid tier villager: before the outing, caillean was tied with aedan and hdk, and voted by both of them. If caillean is evil, the wolves were playing a dangerous and stupid game.
The rest:
Arky; was the last vote on historydude, ensuring his death over likely villager caillean. Choosing to wait a few seconds to let caillean die could've looked bad, but it wouldn't have been incredibly hard to make it seem like an accident. Sleepy did bring up good points regarding arky's posts possibly being attempts to dissuade us from killing aedan.
Sleepy; very little info to go off. If a wolf, mostly likely was formerly cursed due to the 2nd vote on yak, but aside from that, basically nothing.
Lief; similar to sleepy, except he's more likely to have started as a wolf. He's the most probable bad guy in my eyes.
As such
Vote Liefwarrior
High tier villagers: dedonus and randy have been at odds with aedan, and he at odds with them quite often. If either are evil, I'd be very impressed. Ironhide also falls into this category for me because of the following.
From anyone else this is meaningless, but from ironhide this is basically fully clearing.
Mid tier villager: before the outing, caillean was tied with aedan and hdk, and voted by both of them. If caillean is evil, the wolves were playing a dangerous and stupid game.
The rest:
Arky; was the last vote on historydude, ensuring his death over likely villager caillean. Choosing to wait a few seconds to let caillean die could've looked bad, but it wouldn't have been incredibly hard to make it seem like an accident. Sleepy did bring up good points regarding arky's posts possibly being attempts to dissuade us from killing aedan.
Sleepy; very little info to go off. If a wolf, mostly likely was formerly cursed due to the 2nd vote on yak, but aside from that, basically nothing.
Lief; similar to sleepy, except he's more likely to have started as a wolf. He's the most probable bad guy in my eyes.
As such
Vote Liefwarrior
Heark-
*voice cracks*
*clears throat*
Hearken to me loyal law enforcement officers! For a long time now we have been aware of rebels in our ranks, but the damage they have done nears its end! The recent deaths of our CIA and NSA leaders have greatly weakened us, but before their deaths they had sown the seeds to supplant the current rebellion. Let us stand against this rebellion and destroy it once and for all!
I stand before you as your proud AlderMAW(TM)! Shortly before her death, the late NSA Advisor sent me the following message:
All remaining players that intend to not die must send a role+trait claim PM to me.
I can only think of the following reasons for not doing so: a) you are inactive (suspicious), b) you are lazy (suspicious), c) you are a liar and are nervous (very suspicious). Therefore, even if you are evil, it is within your best interest to contact me.
Onwards to victory, and down with Rebellion!
*voice cracks*
*clears throat*
Hearken to me loyal law enforcement officers! For a long time now we have been aware of rebels in our ranks, but the damage they have done nears its end! The recent deaths of our CIA and NSA leaders have greatly weakened us, but before their deaths they had sown the seeds to supplant the current rebellion. Let us stand against this rebellion and destroy it once and for all!
I stand before you as your proud AlderMAW(TM)! Shortly before her death, the late NSA Advisor sent me the following message:
As you can see, I have been scanned, and am not a wolf. Based upon other information (Historydude being an alderman, my targeting of hdk yesterday, etc.), it should be fairly obvious I'm good. Therefore, by the power invested in me by Witch Agatha, I make the following demand:
All remaining players that intend to not die must send a role+trait claim PM to me.
I can only think of the following reasons for not doing so: a) you are inactive (suspicious), b) you are lazy (suspicious), c) you are a liar and are nervous (very suspicious). Therefore, even if you are evil, it is within your best interest to contact me.
Onwards to victory, and down with Rebellion!
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First.things first:
VOTE ARKASAS
Most of the analysis at least agrees on Lief, which is also suspicious. He looks bad, but it feels easy. So let 's bring another name up.
Secondly: Maw, any idea how the wolves managed to kill the priest and the GA simultaneously? Especially the assassin shot. It could just be lucky guessing, and both Wagon and Witch made sense as hunts, but still.
VOTE ARKASAS
Most of the analysis at least agrees on Lief, which is also suspicious. He looks bad, but it feels easy. So let 's bring another name up.
Secondly: Maw, any idea how the wolves managed to kill the priest and the GA simultaneously? Especially the assassin shot. It could just be lucky guessing, and both Wagon and Witch made sense as hunts, but still.
Unfortunately not. Agatha contacted me very close to deadline and from what I understand, only two players knew she was the priest; me due to the above contact, and wagon who I figured was most trusted and so was my recommendation for contacting someone else if she wanted to. I suspect she was shot due to the outing, but I have no idea why wagon was hunted.
Let's look at the remaining players and see if I can add my two cents to the conversation.
Cleared Without a Doubt:
Dedonus: If Wagonlitz was a hunt-magnet this game, I guess I'm the scan-magnet. The sorcerer, pretending to be the priest, scanned me Night 0 and the real priest scanned me Night 1 (assuming Agatha's list is in order of when she scanned people).
I'll be honest, my voting record isn't the most fantastic outside of me voting for Aedan prior to the outing yesterday and Aedan trying (and failing) to push my name the day before. However, my logic for my vote on Day 2 was sound, as there were two other wolves on Panzer on Day 1. I just so happened to pick the wrong person. And while both Grimlock and Jacksonian turned up to be villagers, their deaths were part of a process of elimination and hopefully will help the village win this game.
Extremely High Probability of being a villager:
MAWofdoom: Seer-scanned by the priest. I won't lie, Agatha not also priest scanning MAW gave me pause, but parts of MAW's voting record makes me confident he's a villager. Namely his participation in the switch to HistoryDude and his pre-outing vote on the_hdk. Since HistoryDude already turned up as a baddie alderman, I think it is unlikely that MAW would be a second baddie alderman and, if I am reading Agatha's scan list correctly, she seer-scanned MAW after the 2nd no hunt happened.
Randakar: Is the latest still living Yakman voter on Day 1 and voted Aedan twice in a row on Days 4 and 5. I feel confident he's probably a villager.
Likely a villager (but less sure):
Caillean: I see two reasons why I think Caillean is likely a villager. The first has already been mentioned: Aedan and the_hdk voted for her yesterday and placed her in a three way tie with themselves. I'm not quite sure why you would do that if Caillean is another baddie. The second is on Day 3, before the switch to HistoryDude. At the time, Caillean was tied with Grimlock. Both Aedan and HistoryDude had cast throwaway vote that day. This indicates to me that a baddie wasn't in danger of being lynched that day and therefore gives some goodie points to Caillean.
Question Marks:
Ironhide G1: Claims to have seer scanned Wagonlitz 2.0. A seer scan is a particularly easy claim to make by a baddie. But I find it weird that the Night after Ironhide reveals this information, Wagon was hunted again. This reads to me as the wolves hunting a player openly cleared in the thread. It just seems less likely that a wolf would announce in the thread that someone is a villager and then hunt that player. Ironhide's poor voting record, in my opinion, keeps him in the question mark category.
Sleepyhead: Voted Yakman day 1. The rest of his voting record is just meh. Did say yesterday he wanted Caillean and Aedan run up. But the day before that, he did not vote for Aedan because he did not trust Wagonlitz 2.0. The reason I am keeping Sleepy in this category is because of the Night 2 no-hunt. The biggest thing going for Sleepy at the moment is that he voted for Yakman on day 1 and because that happened before the Night 2 no-hunt, he is a potential candidate for a curse-hit. Him saying he wanted Aedan to be run up with Caillean might indicate that he did not begin the game as a cursed villager, but he could have also seen the writing on the wall, too.
Arkasas: Participated in the switch to HistoryDude. For the last couple of days, I have seen this as evidence that Arkasas might be a villager, as he voluntarily mentioned he was around at deadline and joined the switch. Some in this thread have mentioned that this could have been Arkasas selling out HistoryDude, as at the time he voted, HistoryDude was tied with Caillean. I really don't know which way I am leaning on for Arkasas. I'll end this one with this: it seems kind of weird on Day 1 if there were 4 wolves stacked up on Panzer.
Leifwarrior: Voted Yakman day 1. Looking back through the thread, I noticed that Leifwarrior never really contributed much analysis on potential wolves. I found the following post intereting.
Right now, I am leaning towards liefwarrior, but I want to first make a vote count (or wait for Culann to make one) before I commit.
Cleared Without a Doubt:
Dedonus: If Wagonlitz was a hunt-magnet this game, I guess I'm the scan-magnet. The sorcerer, pretending to be the priest, scanned me Night 0 and the real priest scanned me Night 1 (assuming Agatha's list is in order of when she scanned people).
I'll be honest, my voting record isn't the most fantastic outside of me voting for Aedan prior to the outing yesterday and Aedan trying (and failing) to push my name the day before. However, my logic for my vote on Day 2 was sound, as there were two other wolves on Panzer on Day 1. I just so happened to pick the wrong person. And while both Grimlock and Jacksonian turned up to be villagers, their deaths were part of a process of elimination and hopefully will help the village win this game.
Extremely High Probability of being a villager:
MAWofdoom: Seer-scanned by the priest. I won't lie, Agatha not also priest scanning MAW gave me pause, but parts of MAW's voting record makes me confident he's a villager. Namely his participation in the switch to HistoryDude and his pre-outing vote on the_hdk. Since HistoryDude already turned up as a baddie alderman, I think it is unlikely that MAW would be a second baddie alderman and, if I am reading Agatha's scan list correctly, she seer-scanned MAW after the 2nd no hunt happened.
Randakar: Is the latest still living Yakman voter on Day 1 and voted Aedan twice in a row on Days 4 and 5. I feel confident he's probably a villager.
Likely a villager (but less sure):
Caillean: I see two reasons why I think Caillean is likely a villager. The first has already been mentioned: Aedan and the_hdk voted for her yesterday and placed her in a three way tie with themselves. I'm not quite sure why you would do that if Caillean is another baddie. The second is on Day 3, before the switch to HistoryDude. At the time, Caillean was tied with Grimlock. Both Aedan and HistoryDude had cast throwaway vote that day. This indicates to me that a baddie wasn't in danger of being lynched that day and therefore gives some goodie points to Caillean.
Question Marks:
Ironhide G1: Claims to have seer scanned Wagonlitz 2.0. A seer scan is a particularly easy claim to make by a baddie. But I find it weird that the Night after Ironhide reveals this information, Wagon was hunted again. This reads to me as the wolves hunting a player openly cleared in the thread. It just seems less likely that a wolf would announce in the thread that someone is a villager and then hunt that player. Ironhide's poor voting record, in my opinion, keeps him in the question mark category.
Sleepyhead: Voted Yakman day 1. The rest of his voting record is just meh. Did say yesterday he wanted Caillean and Aedan run up. But the day before that, he did not vote for Aedan because he did not trust Wagonlitz 2.0. The reason I am keeping Sleepy in this category is because of the Night 2 no-hunt. The biggest thing going for Sleepy at the moment is that he voted for Yakman on day 1 and because that happened before the Night 2 no-hunt, he is a potential candidate for a curse-hit. Him saying he wanted Aedan to be run up with Caillean might indicate that he did not begin the game as a cursed villager, but he could have also seen the writing on the wall, too.
Arkasas: Participated in the switch to HistoryDude. For the last couple of days, I have seen this as evidence that Arkasas might be a villager, as he voluntarily mentioned he was around at deadline and joined the switch. Some in this thread have mentioned that this could have been Arkasas selling out HistoryDude, as at the time he voted, HistoryDude was tied with Caillean. I really don't know which way I am leaning on for Arkasas. I'll end this one with this: it seems kind of weird on Day 1 if there were 4 wolves stacked up on Panzer.
Leifwarrior: Voted Yakman day 1. Looking back through the thread, I noticed that Leifwarrior never really contributed much analysis on potential wolves. I found the following post intereting.
liefwarrior stated they prefer Aedan, but didn't go with that vote. One thing to note is that we didn't know MAW had the alderman trait. So at the time, there was a tie between Grimlock and Jacksonian Missionary. liefwarrior voted for Grimlock over Jacksonian, the latter of whom had already missed one vote and was going to miss that day's vote, too. Also, just like Sleepyhead, the no-hunt on Night 2 calls into question their Day 1 vote on Yakman. Or it could have been an alibi vote gone wrong.
Right now, I am leaning towards liefwarrior, but I want to first make a vote count (or wait for Culann to make one) before I commit.
Unofficial Vote Count:
liefwarrior: 3
Ironhide G1 (424)
MAWofDoom (426)
MAWofDoom (426)
Arkasas: 2
Sleepyhead (425)
Randakar (428)
Not Voted: 4
Dedonus (I know)
@Caillean
@liefwarrior
@Arkasas
- 1
I could be imagining this, but I recall in some of the past Bigs I've participated in had priests that also had the blessed trait. The wolves clearly had an assassin trait on their team, so maybe they shot Agatha because the assassin trait would bypass any potential bless trait. And Ironhide said that he had seer-scanned Wagon 2.0, so they probably hunted him to remove a confirmed villager.
But that would be my guess.
Thanks Dedonus! Stayed up too late playing Total War: Rome Remastered.
Unfortunately, I have things I have to do today and won't be around for deadline. Updates will be late probably around 2000 or 2100 EDT/0200 or 0300 CEST.
Unfortunately, I have things I have to do today and won't be around for deadline. Updates will be late probably around 2000 or 2100 EDT/0200 or 0300 CEST.
Rereading bits of analysis. Arky helping lynch HistoryDude is more clearing than a vote on Yak is. I can see a bunch of wolves deciding to kill their biggest liability early.
Hence the move.
Though if this doesn't stick I will probably move elsewhere.
Hence the move.
Though if this doesn't stick I will probably move elsewhere.
liefwarrior already has 3 votes, so I'll add onto another candidate. I am tempted to place a second vote onto Sleepyhead, but since Arkasas hasn't made an appearance in this thread today, I'll place my vote on him until he votes, or contributes to the conversation, or does anything, actually. Will still be considering the options as we approach deadline.
vote Arkasas
vote Arkasas
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Do you have any thoughts on today's situation. Obviously you don't think you should be lynched, but do you any other suggestions?
randy, MAW and Dedonus are largely beyond reproach. (I guess MAW could be playing us all, but if that's true we've lost already.) I honestly keep forgetting Caillean and Ironhide are playing in this game.
Honestly, I would like to kill Sleepy; he just feels like he does when he's a wolf. (Furry, for those of you who've never had the pleasure.) I suppose one of Caillean or Ironhide would be interesting as well. But in the interest of self-preservation, I will vote lief for the moment; he's as good a choice as any.
vote liefwarrior
Honestly, I would like to kill Sleepy; he just feels like he does when he's a wolf. (Furry, for those of you who've never had the pleasure.) I suppose one of Caillean or Ironhide would be interesting as well. But in the interest of self-preservation, I will vote lief for the moment; he's as good a choice as any.
vote liefwarrior