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Jouni_K

Second Lieutenant
Feb 5, 2021
120
80

Integrity​

I have verified my game files (on Steam)​

Yes

I have disabled all mods​

Yes

Required​

Summary​

AE prediction not matching with reality

Description​

Aggressive expansion predictions, which the game shows when designing a peace offer, tend to be a bit higher than what the aggressive expansion actually ends up being after peace offer is accepted. This is easily noticeable in HRE where aggressive expansion is more of a problem than usually. Here's some testing I did:

Testing nation: Austria
Target nation: Bohemia
Provinces taken in war: Praha, Budejovice, Jindrichuv Hradec, Brno. In short all bordering provinces and the capital.
Attached save file is chronologically just before the peace deal was sent.
Two tests were made. The second with Espionage Ideas(-20% AE reduction) and the first without. The second test was done a month later than the first.
All nations had some aggressive expansion malus before the peace deal due to declaring war without casus belli.

Test1
Bohemia: prediction 88 | reality 86
The Palantine: prediction 71 | reality 70
Goslar: prediction 61 | reality 60
Hesse: prediction 56 | reality 54

Test2
Bohemia: prediction 76 | reality 74
The Palantine: prediction 61 | reality 59
Goslar: prediction 52 | reality 49
Hesse: Too low to show up in predictions

The difference between prediction and reality was larger in the second test where AE reduction idea was present.

Steps to reproduce​

Cause large enough amount of aggressive expansion to make nations appear in the AE predictions. Write down the numbers shown in the predictions and compare with actual aggressive expansion the countries have after the peace deal is accepted.

Game Version​

1.36.2.0

OS​

Windows

Additional​

Bug Type​


Attachments​

View attachment Vanilla.eu4

Screenshot​

View attachment Vanilla.eu4

 
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