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Dman1791

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59 Badges
Apr 23, 2014
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I ask mainly because I had a discovered 95% plot (with 68% secrecy) against my heir for literally over a decade that I never managed to stop. Swapping out spymaster with someone from halfway across the world did nothing, so it wasn't that, and I had okay intrigue myself, and all the defensive roles hired (though I'm unsure whether those do anything for murders not specifically against me). Almost all of my vassals love me, I don't have any rivals, and I don't think I've given anyone powerful a grudge. The only thing I can think of is that I have a lot of ambitious vassals thanks to RICE's Audacious Cadets, but I would certainly hope that ambitious isn't giving the vassal AI free reign to hop on the murder bus of a beloved liege's heir. Who the hell is making it a 95% chance, and how do I deal with that?

I realized too late that the murder countermeasures only seem to delay the inevitable, so I wasn't able to use the reduced secrecy one. It also seems a bit weird that you can't do both arbitrary arrests and double your guards... I'd happily eat both penalties to be able to figure out how the hell the scheme is happening. It just feels wrong that someone can keep a discovered scheme going for 10 goddamn years with max success chance against my heir in a court where agents should (in theory, at least) be hard to find.
 
If the offensive party is just THAT good in intrigue, there is little you can do against them.

You could try switching over into Intrigue lifestyle and go down the middle path of the Schemer tree.
If you have a royal court also put your marshal on increasing palace guards.
Maybe have a good intrigue spouse on intrigue as well.
 
Does the heir have enemies? Not everything directed against your family is due to YOUR actions. Sometimes, somebody hates a character that just happens to be your family.
 
Does the heir have enemies? Not everything directed against your family is due to YOUR actions. Sometimes, somebody hates a character that just happens to be your family.
This.

Check if your heir has any rivals. And check the character traits of those who are next in line to inherit after him.

Are you the house head? If not, check if the house head has a rival because of a feud. A feud targets all members of a house.