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I had this bug. It's related to the White Walkers being 'defeated' but not in a war for the dawn, I think. If you do a character search of the whole realm, you should find one White Walker. Give him a title (I gave him the Shivering Forest) and then switch to the LC of the Night's Watch and declare a War for the Dawn on him. Imprison the White Walker via the console and you win (yay!). Then swap back to your regular character and you should finally see the 'it is warming as...' events pop up. It's a little long-winded, but it worked for me. This is a known bug, and I think it's already been fixed for the next version.