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Having two suspicious villagers lynched for each one non-suspicious villager hunted, is better odds than having one suspicious villager lynched for every non-suspicious villager hunted.

2:1 beats 1:1
I agree with you on some points, but this ratio is oversimplifying things, for instance, where do you draw the line between ''suspicious'' and ''non-suspicious''?

Almost every players falls into neither definite category, in terms of behaviour some are ''acting strangely'', but assuming this is evidence of wolfishness, or even that said behaviour is suspicious at all, is a purely subjective point of view

In terms of concrete voting analysis we have little to differentiate between players, so lynching two is not a good idea as there are are no players that are outstandingly wolfish (to me anyway) at this stage, if we are to employ tieing as a deliberate tactic at all, it is best to leave doubles to later when we have more info and have a better idea of who is ''suspicious'' and who is not, and so have a better chance of it paying off


If you can't answer in the thread then pm me, I don't think it would be explicitly revealing inside information
 
Do I need to pull out the cricket pic again?

cricket.jpg
 
TAM (7) - Jamie (1167), Paen (1179), trespoe (1180), YakII (1183), jonti-h (1212), EURO (1240), OY (1245)
Jamie550 (5) - SlinkyII (1194), marty99 (1200), Cymsdale (1206), THE_SPLIT (1208), okyriosy (1238)
OY (4) - Calamity (1156), vLN (1164), Jopi (1181), jerard (1190)
vLN (1) - TAM (1171)
SlinkyII (1) - WD (1165)
marty99 (1) - Jester180 (1231)
 
You sent the innocent chubby boy The Arche Mede to the Azkaban. I hope you're proud of yourself.

You lynch The Arch Mede a Blessed Villager

Meanwhile the Death Eaters hunt Jester, one of the last remaining Order of the Phoenix veterans.

You hunt Jester180 the Guardian Angel
 
Let's try again

Vote jamie550
 
Crap.

At least the hunt goes further to proving that there is a leak in a JL somewhere.

Vote EURO

He told me yesterday in a MP game that he'd expose said leak, and he didn't. Therefore....
It was a wrong guess, as he proved his goodieness.

EDIT: I feel I didn't explain clearly: I thought Jester was the leak. :(
 
Nautilu and Trespoe should receive some votes today please.

We need more information.

Vote Nautilu
 
Jamie should not be run up again as he was run up yesteday, we have info on him, lets not waste it
The Arch Mede's case against Ciryandor/vLN is based on very little evidence, he extrapolated that he was a wolf from his subbing, but you could make a case for almost anything based on that

No one I see stands out as particularly wolfish, so we must vote/lynch those who have received no votes, to maximize the information we have for analysis

I don't recall Trespoe getting much votes all game, so I'll tag along with EURO and

Vote Trespoe
 
Jamie should not be run up again as he was run up yesteday, we have info on him, lets not waste it
What info do we really have? All I saw was that he was saved and is still suspicious.
 
What info do we really have? All I saw was that he was saved and is still suspicious.
Exactly, he was saved, we therefore have info if one of the people who voted The Arch Mede or OY late on is shown to be a wolf, then that could tell us he is a wolf also
Players who receive a lot of votes we will get a better picture of what their role is the longer they are alive, so I wouldn't lynch him now as he could be confirmed as a wolf or proved as a non-wolf depending on the future, as he is inter-connected with a lot of players

Even if he is suspicious (I agree with you there, possibly more than anyone else) we shouldn't lynch the person who lived from yesterday, as if we are wrong it will be a disaster as we will have learnt nothing, I propose today we run up 3 candidates who received virtually no votes all game, as we have nothing on them to suggest their role at all except their behaviour

If we get close to parity I would lynch either Jamie or Yakman, but its not a good idea to vote them today IMHO, although I wouldn't mind if you did, just my 0.02$