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Revenge voting is the path to the dark side.
But I guess you know that, Shadows.
We're down to missing just three people for a start tonight. As of now, waiting for tonkatoy5, THE_SPLIT and Teep.
Aw drat, I knew I messed up somewhere.
Isn't this the definition of slackers (i.e. werewolves): they didn't show up for the start!
I found three wolves right away! This game is easy. The seer needs to find one more.
Vote The_SPLIT
VOTE SON OF LIBERTY
Quick votecount along with the preliminary statistical probabilities of it being an alibi vote:
2 - Lightssshadows: Adamus (25%), Euro (25%)
2 - Son of Liberty: Kiwi (25%), Falc (0%)
2 - Euro: Cody (25%), Light (25%)
1 - Falc: Esemesas (0%)
1 - Kiwi: K59 (25%)
1 - Split: Trespoe (25%)
Quick votecount along with the preliminary statistical probabilities of it being an alibi vote:
2 - Lightssshadows: Adamus (25%), Euro (25%)
2 - Son of Liberty: Kiwi (25%), Falc (0%)
2 - Euro: Cody (25%), Light (25%)
1 - Falc: Esemesas (0%)
1 - Kiwi: K59 (25%)
1 - Split: Trespoe (25%)
25%? Where did that number come from?
Because as far as I'm aware an alibi vote requires two people to be wolves, and therefore, the actual odds are (4/16 * 3/15) .. but that assumes you don't know the identity of the one player called "you", so realistically speaking, it should be (4/15 * 3/14) - assuming you don't publicly claim to be a wolf of course.
Calculating that the actual odds are about 5.7%.
Sorry, I should not talk about the math in this place.
Because as far as I'm aware an alibi vote requires two people to be wolves, and therefore, the actual odds are (4/16 * 3/15) .. but that assumes you don't know the identity of the one player called "you", so realistically speaking, it should be (4/15 * 3/14) - assuming you don't publicly claim to be a wolf of course.
Calculating that the actual odds are about 5.7%.
Sorry, I should not talk about the math in this place.
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I did want to start by actually putting in a vote, but as what you just did effectively puts me on the top of the list along with Euro (who for some reason also is a favorite target of noobs), I will digress….
Adamus, you seem to imply, based on the stamen above, that Split is a wolf, and the reason for that is that he has been an “inactive” player since the game started? Please feel free to correct me if that is not the case….
Now lets break this down a bit;
a)I find it somewhat strange that sure proof of split being a wolf, according to you for this game, is that I do not post much, yet as I seem to recall a few lite games ago – that you were sure that Split is a wolf when he is active and aggressive….. So which one is it, our fearless pro, what is the sure proof that split is a wolf….
b)Now unless I have mistaken – the game begins with a night deadline – thus it began yesterday at 20:00GMT – and had progressed for about 2 pages…. Now I am not sure what you would qualify as active? 1 post as most players done, 2? Or am I at fault for not posting before the game began? Do you have some sort of fetish with fake votes…….
Now this can actually go 2 ways from here…. 1) You ignore this or say ahhh split you silly goose you make no sense and keep your vote on me…. I expect that, because I have long lost faith in the players of this game to make reasonable, and fairly simple logical conclusions….. Just like when Split the great killed RanCulti, I have just pointed out to the village the logic fallacy of your argument and thus unless you object to my outline above I will assume that you are either to lazy to think for yourself or simply trying to protect Falc or Kiwi or 2) You unvote me, and take some time to think about who the wolfs are…
Why excatly is his behavior an indicator of protecting me or Kiwi? Is it not more likely to be protecting Lightssssss?
Vote esemesas
First day, so little to go on as of yet, especially as noone showed a hatred for jpr.
First day, so little to go on as of yet, especially as noone showed a hatred for jpr.