jeray2000
Hazbot
Working off the logic I know that I'm Resistance, so I'm clear. If Health is a spy, he wouldn't want to associate himself with other spies so Hazbot likely wouldn't be a spy. If Health is resistance, then his guess at who is not a spy is equally good as mine, i.e completely random. If there are flaws in my logic, I'd be glad to here them, I am new to Resistance.
It's really not about "associating" yourselves since mission 1 only needs one sabotage to fail so if you're a spy and you're on it you really don't care who's with you - you don't need another spy, it's pretty much random. But putting a resistance member on does have the one advantage of gaining you more votes. Because usually, a proposing spy can count on the approvals of his spymates and the other members of his team, so the less overlap between them the better.
eg: A, B and C are spies in a game with players A, B, C, D, E, F and G. If A proposes a team of A and B, he would expect to get the following approvals:
A(on the team), B (on the team, spymate) and C(spymate)
If he proposes instead A and D he'd get:
A(on the team), B(spymate), C(spymate) and D(on the team)
Of course it's rarely that simple. Sometimes random resistance members will approve just because, sometimes spies will reject a team with one of theirs on it for some reason or other, but in general, it's a good idea as a spy, if you want your team passed and expect it might be, to put a non-spymate on, but to maximize votes rather than from fear of association.
The "if you expect the team to be passed" is important too, since this is a special variant. You shouldn't forget Jerman wasn't allowed to vote or be on the team. If he's a spy, it's very unlikely the spies could've gotten a team passed then and if Health was a spy, he might have wanted to put the last spy on to give him goodie points then. If German isn't and Health is, this might've been a golden opportunity for the spies to get a team passed with one less opposing vote, so that *would* make Hazbot a likely resistance member.
And of course, if Health wasn't a spy which is actually the most likely(4/7), then his choice of a teammate means nothing at all.
TL;DR, Mission 1 votes still useless for analysis. There might be a 0.1% increased chance of Hazbot being Resistance, but that's about it.