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At least we got one horrible show, right?
I legitimately can't tell whether you're talking about the wolf or Here Comes Honey Boo Boo lol.
 
I'm conflicted because on one hand I dislike that Wombat gave no reason for his vote, and want to vote for him because of that. On the other, he probably wouldn't do that as a wolf since he tries harder. But I think it's a solid starting point.

Vote Wombat

Some of us work for a living, have to leave early for work, and can't be on anywhere near deadline - a fact which you know, even if the other players here don't. And anyone who actually read the previous post could have divined my reasoning for voting johho: he put an early vote (the 2nd vote) on a known villager and disappeared. But that would require, you know, actually making inferences and doing analysis, which appears to exceed your comprehension, which is usually more profound.

Today's, um, stellar results (a 3-way tie? seriously?), and johho's subsequent one post vote of the priest on day 2, make my day 2 vote potentially worthy of a follow-up round. But I'll have to read the thread to see whether anyone is more worthy of a smackdown.
 
To get the obvious points out of the way first:

1) So the no-hunt night is explained (aedan's blessing), a blessed wolf and a villager down, and the priest and presumably his picked up apprentice (aedan is an early scan magnet) is down. Serious analysis can begin.

2) The k-59 voters, and especially the later k-59 voters (Arkasas, steed, and claude) are very unlikely Cinematic Universe wolves.

3) I was really, really, really hoping for a Teletubbies pack, which unfortunately seems unlikely.
 
That was deliberately, when the doctor saves someone the update will tell us who's attacked and is incapacitated during the day.

You might want to look at the rules again, nothing says that we be told if the Doctor saves someone, there is no mention of incapacitated. It only says that the doctor and the target will be told of the attack.

Now this day results are interesting. The three way tie results were good because we got a wolf and bad because we lynched the Priest.

Now I am not 100% certain that we had an Apprentice Priest, as I would have expected something in the update saying the former Apprentice now Priest. But maybe that not the case.

Something else I am wondering is if we have 2 packs in this game now. Since we know the no hunt was a blessed hit, how likely is it that two packs would hunt the same person back to back? Either we looking at a ABBA hunting pattern, or this is one pack we looking for.

Yesterday gave us a lot of information, now lets see what we can do with it.
 
K... In retrospect, I should have chosen a comedy. RPing with Game of Thrones is basically just gonna make me sound like a raving lunatic and a meganerd in turns. Nevertheless, I'm not backing out now, so the first thing to do, clearly, is assign you all Game of Thrones characters! Bonus! I have pre-scripted ways to react to most of your deaths if I feel moved to do so!

EUROO7 (GM) is The Lord of Light.
  1. Health is Ser Loras Tyrell
  2. .Arkasas is Sandor Clegane, the Hound
  3. .BlackCrown is Robb Stark.
  4. .Claude the LateComer is Late Lord Walder Frey :p
  5. .Audren is Ser Bronn of the Blackwater
  6. .Aedan is Lord Varys. Obvs. If you roleplay as Here Comes Honey Boo Boo, my entire month will be made.
  7. .Hax is Dead, so who cares. Jon Arryn perhaps? Guess the wolves aren't Breaking Bad fans. Eh... We'll go with one of the Los Pollos Hermanos chickens.
  8. .Jeray is Renly Baratheon
  9. .Daleksbane is an Obsidian Arrowhead. This is an unimpeachable analogy.
  10. .k-59 is Petyr Baelish. Tina Fey is a national treasure.
  11. .Jackson is Qyburn
  12. .Black_Griffin is Robin Arryn, Sweetrobin
  13. .Sleepyhead is Jaime Lannister
  14. .De Chatillon is Grand Maester Pycelle
  15. .Johho is Oberyn Martell, the Red Viper.
  16. .the_hdk is Beric Dondarrion
  17. .Cliges is Tyrion Lannister
  18. .Eternaly Lost is Arya Stark
  19. .Panzer Commader is Jon Snow
  20. .Steed is Khal Drogo 'cuz horsies please don't hunt me.
  21. .esemesas is Ser Jorah Mormont 'cuz bears.
  22. .alynkio is Melissandre.
  23. .punkbob is Ramsey Bolton
  24. .DeathByWombat is Danaerys Targaryen. Obvs.
  25. .Gen. Skobelev is Dontos Hollard. Seems like a good approximation for Uncle Nasse.
  26. .Tamius is Tywin Lannister
  27. .Beamed is Joffrey Baratheon.
Whew! That took way longer than I wanted it to! Don't like the character I assigned you? Tough. They're all perfect. Oh, and I had better vote!

(Gazes into the fire for guidance -- No I'm not a priest or seer or sorc or cultist. Please don't kill me [purely] for RP reasons or I'll totally send a shadow baby after you!)
images


Only one of us is Azor Ahai reborn, only one of us is the legitimate king, and THERE CAN BE ONLY ONE HBO SHOW!!! Plus, the world would be a cleaner, happier place if Baltimore just collapsed into the Chesapeake. Plus I assigned him Ramsey Bolton to justify this RP vote against him. Everyone wants him dead!

VOTE PUNKBOB

HOLY CRAP HOW DID I MISS THIS??? And I am...

A rightful queen born in exile who has weird power over fire and dragons and has pretty much everything fall into her lap as she begins her triumphal entrance to the throne or homeland she has never seen. Yeah, sounds legit, except for the she part.
 
Day 1 Analysis:
Euro's helpful votecounts.

Tamius -3- Dalek, Griff, Crown,
Cliges -3- Ark, Jeray, johho,
Health -3- Cliges,
Audren, Claude,
Audren -2- Wombat, Beamed,
Aedan -2- De Chat, hdk,

jeray -2- Losty, Aedan,
Lost -2- ese, Skobie,
Claude -2- Steed, Health,

Crown -1- Jackson,
Dalek -1- Sleepy,
Griffin -1- Tamius,
Jackson -1-
Panzer,
De Chat -1- alynkio,


No Vote: k-59, punkbob

Second Season Premiere in 1.5 hours

Tamius, Cliges, Health in the lead. Audren, Aedan, jeray, lost, claude just behind. Note that votes on tamius are from newbies.

Tamius -3- Dalek, Griff, Crown,
Health -3- Cliges,
Audren, Claude,
jeray -3- Losty, Aedan, Jackson,

Audren -3- Wombat, Beamed, Ark,
Cliges -2- Jeray, johho,

Aedan -2- De Chat, hdk,
Lost -2- ese, Skobie,
Claude -2- Steed, Health,

Dalek -1- Sleepy,
Griffin -1- Tamius,
Jackson -1-
Panzer,
De Chat -1- alynkio,


No Vote: k-59, punkbob

Second Season Premiere in .75 hours

Jeray picks up a vote from Jackson. Arkasas puts one on Audren. Cliges drops to 2 votes. 4 way tie between tamius, health, jeray, audren.

Tamius -4- Dalek, Griff, Crown, punkbob,
jeray -4- Losty, Aedan, Jackson, Cliges,
Cliges -4- Jeray, johho, Sleepy, Audren,

Audren -3- Wombat, Beamed, Ark,
Aedan -2- De Chat, hdk,
Lost -2- ese, Skobie,
Claude -2- Steed, Health,

Health -1- Claude,
Griffin -1- Tamius,
Jackson -1-
Panzer,
De Chat -1- alynkio,


No Vote: k-59,

Second Season Premiere in Six Minutes

Punkbob - another player who hasn't played in a while - jumps on tamius. Sleepy and Audren jump on Cliges. Cliges jumps on jeray. 4-4-4 tie between 3 presumed villagers at least from the wolves' perspective (assuming no contact from tamius). Health sheds votes quickly.

Cliges -5- Jeray, johho, Sleepy, Audren, Jackson,
Tamius -4- Dalek, Griff, Crown, punkbob,
jeray -3- Losty, Aedan, Cliges,
Audren -3- Wombat, Beamed, Ark,
Aedan -2- De Chat, hdk,
Lost -2- ese, Skobie,
Claude -2- Steed, Health,

Health -1- Claude,
Griffin -1- Tamius,
Jackson -1-
Panzer,
De Chat -1- alynkio,


No Vote: k-59,

Second Season Premiere in 5Minutes

Jackson hammers cliges into the lead and urges people not to vote tamius. No movement from anyone except from Cliges and k-59.

Cliges -5- Jeray, johho, Sleepy, Audren, Jackson,
Tamius -5- Dalek, Griff, Crown, punkbob, Cliges,
Audren -3- Wombat, Beamed, Ark,
jeray -2- Losty, Aedan,

Aedan -2- De Chat, hdk,
Lost -2- ese, Skobie,
Claude -2- Steed, Health,

Health -2- Claude, k-59
Griffin -1- Tamius,
Jackson -1-
Panzer,
De Chat -1- alynkio,


Final Votecount

Jackson jumps on Cliges to save tamius and urges k-59 in thread to do the same. k-59 instead votes health, which at least is a small point in Health's favor (Health being an unlikely Cinematic Universe Wolf), as k-59 didn't appear to know the voting situation (#282) and Audren was calling for the death of Cliges or Health in thread (#274). Jeray drops out of contention from day 1, but resurfaces later.

So what can we take from day 1? For me, the initial takeaways are: 1) Audren is in contention, but never draws another vote or even a real glance from anyone after arky. 2) Health is an less than likely red wolf. 3) Johho was a quiet third vote on Cliges before arky switches off.
 
I also believe killing me might be a bit extreme.
But does it have to be me?
This exchange right here does give me some suspicion about BlackCrown, as it is fairly common for new wolves to panic when accumulating a few votes. However he hasn't done anything else and he's new so Crown isn't worthy of a vote yet but I will be keeping an eye on him.
I agree

Vote Jacksoniam Missionary

That'll put marzipan on your pie plate, bingo!



I don't think Audren cared overmuch for it tbh. As DBW said day 1 votes are pretty much just dumb "find any reason you can think of to vote someone" stuff. I really don't like it when we overanalyze them too.



Yes but it's bad form to lunch a new player day 1. What ever happened to 3 day newbie immunity?
Extremely lazy vote by Panzer but albeit it was Day 1 but he hasn't shown me anything impressive in terms of voting or posting. He's a solid CAWZ/Laziness vote if we feel like we need to go that route.

Besides that there's not a whole lot from Day 1. There is simply too much RP/TV show reasoning for votes to really mean much. I've already been over that voting me for preferring Tam to not get lynched is absurd though I agree with what Wombat has said on the matter in this post:
So what can we take from day 1? For me, the initial takeaways are: 1) Audren is in contention, but never draws another vote or even a real glance from anyone after arky. 2) Health is an less than likely red wolf. 3) Johho was a quiet third vote on Cliges before arky switches off.


Uncle Nasse wants some answers. Why was Audren so heavily against Health yesterday?




Like Jeray & deathbywombat said it has been only 1 night. It's more likely sorcerer hasn't been in contact with wolves than that he's been so those votes on Tamius don't really have much value. Which, of course, makes this



even more dubious vote.




Any particular reason?




Nasse fails to understand underlined part. Care to elaborate? How can villager get killed if he already has been lynched?




And what's wrong with trying to make others vote the way one sees best? But I agree, his vote on Jacksonian is lazy and very lackluster. I'd probably have voted but I don't want to cement the race so hard yet so I guess I'll look elsewhere.


Time for a magic trick and that needs the magic words Uncle Nasse knows: "drinks, drinks, more drinks!"



And with the help of magic drink Nasse has managed to do the greatest magic trick in the history of magic tricks! And another magic trick might be to help k-59 in getting his votes in with more timely & meaningful way:

vote k-59.

Besides, he's not had any action (which of course holds true for a lot of players) but the late vote kind of irks me a bit.
Goodie points to Skobie for getting the ball rolling with k-59, very unlikely to be a Cinema Wolf and a poor vote for now.
This is a terrible affront on human decency, and I'm not sure jeray's actions are inherently malicious. This, on the other hand, is the work of Iblis.

UNVOTE JERAY
VOTE SLEEPYHEDA
This is the 2nd fairly lazy, nonsensical and not all that serious vote from Audren. Audren is better than this and I know there isn't much to go on yet but I feel we need to move on from the TV show related votes after Day 1. Suspicion levels on Audren about the same as Panzer at the moment.

Since deadline is so close. Will be voting.

Vote De Chat.
UNVOTE Beamed

VOTE DeChat
Unvote Sleepyhead
Vote De Chat

Because Jackson wants De Chat dead
Unvote de chat

Vote k59
Unvote De Chat
Vote Jeray
There honestly isn't much to gain from this mess at the deadline unfortunately. There's a massive scramble for a tie and self preservation attempts all in the span of a minute and we stumble into a 3 way tie. If more deadline shenanigans happen though we should start looking at some of these players.

In conclusion, Audren and Panzer stick out the most to me in terms of suspicion, since the vets in this game obviously don't care all that much and so we have next to no read on them but I am pleasantly surprised with the activeness of the new players and they've done fairly well thusfar. I think I'll start off with Panzer, since his votes haven't had too much meaning to them either.

Vote Panzer Commader
 
Also, this is a message to the new people. Go into your settings and make sure people can't see your activity when they click on your profile. We've had players in the past try and exploit this and lynch people because they could see you were viewing PMs. It's a BS way to play so make sure they can't exploit that.
 
Jacksonian Missionary: 3
punkbob [288]
Beamed [291]
jeray2000 [292]

k-59: 2
Gen. Skobelev [304]
Daleksbane [308]

Sleepyhead: 2
Panzer Commader [314]
Audren [299 jeray 2000 -> 316]

jeray2000: 1
BlackCrown [302]

johho888: 1
deathbywombat [298]

esemesas: 1
Eternaly_Lost [307]

Audren: 1
Sleepyhead [309]

Health: 1
De Chatillôn [317]

not voted: 12
Black_Griffin []
johho888 []
Jacksonian Missionary []
Arkasas []
Claude LC []
k-59 []
aedan777 []
esemesas []
the_hdk []
Steed []
Health []
alynkio []

Jackson picks up votes in what must only be presumed to be joke reasoning (with that said, I think a case could be made against him as a rather active wolf). K-59 and Sleepy get some attention. De Chat goes on his Health crusade (NOTE: For future reference, De Chat tends to activate late as a goodie analysis-wise, usually around turn 3)

UNOFFICIAL VOTE COUNT

Sleepyhead: 3

Panzer Commader [314]
Audren [299 jeray 2000 -> 316]
jeray2000 [292 Jackson -> 325]

Jacksonian Missionary: 2

punkbob [288]
Beamed [291]

k-59: 2
Gen. Skobelev [304]
Daleksbane [308]

De Chatillon: 2
k-59 [330]
johho [331]

jeray2000: 2
BlackCrown [302]
the_hdk [323]

johho888: 1
deathbywombat [298]

esemesas: 1
Eternaly_Lost [307]

Audren: 1
Sleepyhead [309]

Health: 1
De Chatillôn [317]

deathbywombat: 1
Jacksonian Missionary [326]

Beamed: 1

alynkio [327]

not voted: 7
Black_Griffin []
Arkasas []
Claude LC []
aedan777 []
esemesas []
Steed []
Health []
[/QUOTE]

Sleepyhead draws some votes - again, largely it seems for roleplay, although personally I think his play bears watching. Still early in the day, so a lot of people stuck on two (De Chat/k-59/Jackson/jeray).

UNOFFICIAL VOTE COUNT

De Chatillon: 4
k-59 [330]
johho [331]
Jacksonian Missionary [326 Wombat -> 334]
Health [340]

Sleepyhead: 3
Panzer Commader [314]
Audren [299 jeray 2000 -> 316]
jeray2000 [292 Jackson -> 325]

k-59: 3
Gen. Skobelev [304]
Daleksbane [308]
Arkasas [335]

jeray2000: 3
BlackCrown [302]
the_hdk [323]
Aedan777 [336]

Jacksonian Missionary: 2
punkbob [288]
Beamed [291]

johho888: 1
deathbywombat [298]

esemesas: 1
Eternaly_Lost [307]

Audren: 1
Sleepyhead [309]

Health: 1
De Chatillôn [317]

Beamed: 1
alynkio [327]

not voted: 4
Black_Griffin []
Claude LC []
esemesas []
Steed []

De Chat in front, sleepy/jeray/k-59 right behind. Note Clause and steed haven't voted yet and break late to K-59.

UNOFFICIAL VOTE COUNT

De Chatillon: 4
k-59 [330]
johho [331]
Jacksonian Missionary [326 Wombat -> 334]
Health [340]

k-59: 4

Gen. Skobelev [304]
Daleksbane [308]
Arkasas [335]
Steed [344]

jeray2000: 4
BlackCrown [302]
the_hdk [323]
Aedan777 [336]
Sleepyhead [309 Audren -> 342]

Sleepyhead: 3
Panzer Commader [314]
Audren [299 jeray 2000 -> 316]
jeray2000 [292 Jackson -> 325]

Jacksonian Missionary: 2
punkbob [288]
Beamed [291]

johho888: 1
deathbywombat [298]

esemesas: 1
Eternaly_Lost [307]

Health: 1
De Chatillôn [317]

Beamed: 1
alynkio [327]

not voted: 3
Black_Griffin []
Claude LC []
esemesas []

Lategame. De Chat, k-59, and jeray in a 3-way. Sleepyhead not far behind. Again, johho a quiet 2nd vote on De Chat, Jackson a loud 3rd.

Final Votecount (Our Thanks to Jacksonian Missionary for Providing Provisional Counts)

jeray -5- crown, hdk, aedan, sleepy, jackson,
k59 -5- skobelev, dalek, ark, steed, claude,
de chat - 5- k59, johho, health, alynkio, jeray,
Jackson -2- punkbob, beamed,
sleepy -2- panzer, audren,
johho -1- wombat,
ese -1- losty,
health -1-
de chat,

nv - griff, ese,

A little flurry at the end. Claude breaks late to k-59 FROM de Chat (another point in his favor for being a non k-59 aligned pack), Alynkio/jeray breaks late to De Chat, Jackson breaks late to jeray.

Not likely johho's rather uncharacteristic inactivity (granted, it is early), especially since he's voted two known goodies - one post a day from him. Still not liking Audren's inactivity and his weird voting flippancy. And I just noted that Alynkio switched late to de chat? Interesting...

Claude comes off very well, as does steed.

Will sleep on it and vote in morning. Also, it should be obvious by now that I can't vote except in the early morning or really late at night, and so can't be on at deadline. Otherwise, I could have prevented that silly 3-way tie and prob saved de chat.