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The civil wars in Vic2 have the potential to really shake things up. There's also a mod somewhere that causes the rebels to get improving tech with time, so they remain relevant. Usually they stay the same strength all game, becoming more irrelevant (if very annoying) as time passes.
 
France really is a wellspring of trouble for Livonia at the moment, between a cheery march to war with Aquitane and harbouring a dangerous rebel.

France certainly is proving to be a burden on the Empire.

Communism, that is interesting.

Very ;)

If France is Bonapartist, then it's Empire now?

That's a strange decision the Vic2 devs made - the Liberal party is Bonapartist, despite still being democratic. It makes even less sense in this game, since there was never a Napoleon in the first place. I think that RossN did a good job of writing the "Bonapartist" party into his narrative, although for my story the name isn't canon.

Oh my. A mightly civil war incoming!

It's gonna be bloody

The civil wars in Vic2 have the potential to really shake things up. There's also a mod somewhere that causes the rebels to get improving tech with time, so they remain relevant. Usually they stay the same strength all game, becoming more irrelevant (if very annoying) as time passes.

I'm not sure how the tech levels for rebels work - I assume it would be based on what kind of rebel they are? The communist rebels here are definitely stronger than default 1836-levels.

And I really do love the concept of the Vic2 rebellions - they're far more threatening than the rebellions of EU4/CK2, usually. Still, this being Vic2, there's a lot of really annoying parts to them. We need a Victoria 3 :D
 
Chapter 18: The Communist Civil War (Aug 1887 – March 1888)



As the civil war broke out in Livonia, the war in France continued. The Livonian armies overseas hadn’t been corrupted by the Communist uprising, so the forces already stationed in France were still at full strength. Supplies wouldn’t be nearly as abundant as they might have been, but that wasn’t a large concern. Aquitaine’s army was in poor shape after their failure in Genoa, and the French infantry would do the bulk of the actual fighting, while Livonian artillery concentrated on besieging the country’s fortifications and capturing the countryside.

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In Suez, the Livonians held out against a large counterattack by the Misri armies. The massive fortifications built around Suez worked well here, as an attempted encirclement was thwarted by the strong defenses and the initial Misri forces were annihilated.

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Of course, the civil war was now the main focus for the country. The first priority of the Black Army was to concentrate the remaining armies together, in order to begin a concentrated offensive. Especially important was the Capital region, where the first major battles were fought. The Black Army overwhelmed the Reds around the capital in a series of coordinated attacks, managing to trap the largest remaining Red forces on the islands of Saaremaa.

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In the southeast, the Black forces were evacuated completely; the enemy presence was far too strong for the small local forces to counter. While there were some minor losses during the retreat, most of the soldiers were able to safely evacuate through Karenia and Kiev. Perhaps the greatest asset that the Black Army had was the Livonian sattelites – providing a neutral ground around the borders for the Blacks to regroup.

The other major front at the beginning of the war opened in Lithuania, where the Black Army fought not only Communists, but Lithuanian nationalists. The separatist movement had branched off from the Communists, wanting a more conventional, autonomous government that could be free from Livonia’s constant conflicts – they had relied on a Communist victory so they could enforce their demands, but their armies were crushed early in the war before a victory by either side was possible.

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There was also a big risk of rebellion in Suez, where the locals being held under Livonian rule were eager to fight for their homeland. This movement was brutally suppressed – far more severely than it would have been in more stable circumstances. Tens of thousands of potential rebels were imprisoned or shot, while strict curfews were imposed and public meetings were banned. The Misri armies were already proving difficult to hold back, and the Black Army couldn’t risk losing access to the Suez Canal.

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The front line in France had hardly moved since the outbreak of the war, but the French forces had the upper hand. Several battles and a failed counterattack had depleted the Aquitanean army, so it likely wouldn’t take much to force Aquitaine to the negotiating table. Even without Livonian involvement, France could likely occupy the entire country given enough time, which would devastate Aquitaine and likely ruin their chances of rebounding.

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In fact, it was Aquitaine that proposed peace only a few weeks later – perhaps their military situation had been more dire than the Livonians had realized (given the civil war, military intelligence was very weak). France ended up annexing Auvergne in the peace, strengthening the country further - on the outside. Internally, the war had been very unpopular, and news of the Livonian civil war only emboldened the Communists within France, where the movement had started in the first place.

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After months of brutal and disorganized fighting all across the country, the majority of the Reds had been concentrated into the south, with the north being mostly cleared of their armies. Fighting across the south had been fairly even thus far, thanks to support by the armies of Kuyavia and Kiev. The war was producing enormous casualties, but the Black Army was winning.



The failure of the Reds can mainly be blamed on the lack of communications between its various armies – often, Livonians would surround a rebel position, cutting off their communications. As a result, their advantage in numbers weren’t utilized, as Red soldiers only a few cities over didn’t realize that half of their army was being killed until it was too late. In addition, there were reports that Augusts Titov had been killed during the fighting near the Kievan border, although there was no concrete evidence of this, and such claims were common during warfare as an attempt to demoralize the enemy.

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A month later, the Black Army had organized into a unified force, and overwhelmed the disconnected Red forces that remained. The war was slowing down by December, but it would take almost an entire year before all of the Communist rebels were defeated.

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In January of 1888, the Liberal government finally passed a law forcing businesses to pay a minimum wage to workers. This had been one of the most popular demands by the population for decades, but it had taken an entire civil war for the government to listen.

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The war had been devastating for the economy. Hundreds of thousands of Livonians had left their jobs to fight in the conflict, and many of them were killed during the fighting. Those who hadn’t often came home to burnt cities and sacked farms. Factories had been a target for the Communists, and many of those in the Communist strongholds had been destroyed, especially during their retreat.

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It would take years for the country to recover from the fighting, both economically and militarily. By the end of the war, the Baltic Army at home was less than ½ of the size it had been, and recruitment would be difficult.

The Communists had been defeated, but the scars of the war would change Livonian society. The conflict in France had been one of the factors that ignited the war, and the government was being routinely criticized for its interventionism in the Mediterranean, especially with the state of France which had been a disaster ever since its inception. France was hostile with all three of its neighbors, and the divides within the country meant that even in peacetime it wasn’t safe.

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The backlash against Communism was severe as well, although the Socialist tendencies of the population and government were not affected by the rebellion – if anything, they were far more influential. The Liberal and Socialist parties controlled around 70% of the parliament, so they were able to control the message. Communism wasn’t associated with socialism – instead, it was commonly thought of as a radical, warmongering movement trying to end Livonian prosperity.

The Reds hadn’t been in control of any land long enough to actually form a government, so there still wasn’t a good example of how the movement would actually operate in practice – after all, hardline communists were only a small fraction of the group that actually rebelled, albeit the most influential. Regardless, this civil war definitely wasn’t the end of communism. One of the most powerful nations in the world had been brought to its knees by the movement - if similar unrest could be taken advantage of in weaker countries, then they would surely fall.
 
Yes, one can easily see how the discords of this war will echo for a long time yet. Surely Livonia's enemies look on with relish - Livonia must be just about the most vulnerable it has ever been in the immediate aftermath of the war?
 
That was hard fought, but good job winning.
 
Yes, one can easily see how the discords of this war will echo for a long time yet. Surely Livonia's enemies look on with relish - Livonia must be just about the most vulnerable it has ever been in the immediate aftermath of the war?

Absolutely, on both counts.

Livonia has shown that this communist movement's victory is far from inevitable. But that was a brutal civil war.

The communists in Livonia might not be inevitable, but other nations aren't so strong. While Livonia was one of the most backwards industrial nations in terms of quality-of-life for many of its citizens, there are still plenty of others out there.

That was hard fought, but good job winning.

"Winning" is a relative term :p
 
Will you try to liberate Asian part of Misr from oppressive regime in Cairo?

I assume you mean the Palestine/Levant area?

If so, then that land isn't particularly of interest to Livonia, given the large foreign population - even the small chunk of Egypt in the Suez charter has been causing issues.

The land is claimed by Iraq though, and an ambitious Al-Turkis could expand there as well. For the rest of Europeans, the main race right now is in Asia.
 
Will you acquire Alaska and Kamchatka, or those wastelands will be ugly unpopulated to the rest of AAR?

well, they're not completely unpopulated :p

I imagine that America or Jiazhou will conquer Alaska at some point [probably America given their aggressiveness] - as for Kamchatka, something screwed up with the conversion to where the game crashes when I try to mess with that territory. I'll hand it over to whoever it makes sense for when HOI4 rolls around, but for now I sadly have to ignore it [although the land is practically worthless anyways]
 
well, they're not completely unpopulated :p

I imagine that America or Jiazhou will conquer Alaska at some point [probably America given their aggressiveness] - as for Kamchatka, something screwed up with the conversion to where the game crashes when I try to mess with that territory. I'll hand it over to whoever it makes sense for when HOI4 rolls around, but for now I sadly have to ignore it [although the land is practically worthless anyways]
I mean,that there are uncolonized areas, that are yet to be settled.Will you do something about those lands, or other European countries already colonized them?
 
I mean,that there are uncolonized areas, that are yet to be settled.Will you do something about those lands, or other European countries already colonized them?

oh the inland, subarctic bits? those'll be filled in eventually :p




(sorry about the slight delay in updates, I've been sick this week.)
 
Chapter 19: Loss of the Mediterranean (March 1888 – Jan 1889)



In the Livonian Parliament, great changes were being made. The long-standing issues which led to the civil war had convinced most that Parliament was far too slow to make any changes – and those it had made weren’t necessarily the ones the people actually cared about. While it wouldn’t come into effect until 1889, the revised constitution of Livonia would grant far more authority to both the King and the newly-designated Master of Parliament.

The decline in the King’s authority over the last few centuries had been a gradual change. When parliament was founded, they mostly had been in charge of provincial matters, leaving the national policies to the King – but during the reigns of the two previous monarchs, the crown’s power had eroded, and consequently the country had become less stable. The people yearned for a strong ruler (certainly part of why the Titovist movement had gained such a large following), but currently there was nobody in such a position to do so. The current king, Aivars, was 74 years old and mainly behaved as an advisor and cheerleader to parliament. Now, he had been convinced to call for a full election in 1889, giving the country a chance to elect the Master of Parliament who would be given significant authority to make reforms.



During the chaos in Europe, England had been strengthening its position in Asia. The Indian country of Talakad had once been a colonial power in the 1500s, but their golden age had long since ended. In exchange for a large sum of money, they agreed to sell most of their islands in the Pacific Ocean to England – most of them were sparsely inhabited in the first place, and Talakad had little need for faraway strategic ports anymore.

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As a result of the purchase, England’s reach now extended all the way to Hawaii, giving them much easier access to the west coast of the Americas, as well as Japan and Korea.

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Between the French invasion of Aquitaine and the Livonian Civil War, Genoa was in the best possible position for re-expansion. In June of 1888, England agreed to form an alliance with Genoa and assist them in regaining the land that had been stolen from them in Italy. Just one month later, Genoa declared war on Rom.

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Livonia had only ended its civil war four months earlier, and the mainland army was in disarray. The forces in France were still in good shape after the invasion of Aquitaine, but weren’t nearly large enough to handle a full war against Genoa. Rom’s army was also rather small and no match for the massive conscripted Genoese horde that would soon flood into their country.

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Despite their size, the Roman defense was strong at first. Livonia called France into the war, hoping that a two-front war would be enough to curtail the Genoese advance and delay the fall of Rom in time for enough reinforcements to arrive.

Unlike the last war against Genoa though, the Baltic Army wasn’t allowed to pass through Bavarian territory– any armies that would arrive would need to do so by boat, and given the amount of soldiers needed to properly defend against Genoa, this was a big problem.

While transporting its first army, the Baltic Navy encountered the English Atlantic Fleet. This wasn’t their entire navy, but it was a good portion of it. The Livonians had long speculated about the advancement of England’s navy in recent years, but this battle confirmed that Livonia’s technological advances were equally matched by England.

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Thanks to its far larger size, the battle was a victory for the Baltic Navy, with all of England’s North Atlantic ships being sunk, while only seven Raiders and one Monitor were lost on the other side. While the bulk of England’s navy was located in the Mediterranean and overseas, this loss had robbed them of their numerical advantage, meaning a fight against the Baltic Navy would be far too risky to be worth it. Instead, their Mediterranean fleet would be positioned off the coast of Africa, where they could easily stop any Livonian ships from entering or leaving.



Meanwhile, the offensive into Genoa from France had been broken after enormous reinforcements surrounded the invaders. While the small physical size of Genoa was a big disadvantage for them (as any occupation would be a big hit to their ability to fight), it also meant that mobilization was extremely fast– soldiers could be transported from the Roman front to the French one in mere hours. The Genoese shift towards France did help to take the pressure off Rom, but the relief would only be temporary.

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Only a few weeks later, the French offensive collapsed completely, and the shattered Livonian and French armies retreated far into the borders of France – worse yet, half of France’s army had been completely encircled by the counteroffensive. The Genoese followed right behind the retreat, immediately advancing into Provence. On the other front, the Romans were beginning to exhaust from the nonstop Genoese reinforcements, and it seemed their defense was about to disintegrate.

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All this, and the first Livonian reinforcements hadn’t even arrived yet.



England’s involvement in the war meant that Africa was now a battleground as well – and it was a disaster. The Livonian management in Africa had only recruited enough soldiers to manage the natives - not nearly enough to handle any sort of war with England. Meanwhile, England had committed far more armies to their colonies – their relative lack of enemies and island position meant that they didn’t require nearly as many men to defend their homeland as Livonia. The Baltic colonial forces were quickly overwhelmed by England in East Africa, while the resistance in West Africa was practically nonexistent.
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By October, the Genoese had advanced halfway into France. Consequently, the French leadership quickly surrendered to Genoa in a white peace. It had been only three months since the war began, and already Rom’s defenses were crumbling and France had been beaten.

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In November, Bavaria declared war on Al-Turkis, emboldened now that they weren’t crippled by separatist rebellions.

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However, their invasion plan hadn’t taken into account the potential of a Pomeranian front, which turned out to be exactly what happened. Pomeranija had been quite active in their diplomacy over the past few years, forming a defensive alliance with Al-Turkis only a year earlier. The Bavarians had assumed this was simply to protect Pomerania, but it turned out that Pomerania was willing to protect Al-Turkis as well.

Pomeranija had also formed a defensive alliance with Livonia last month (meaning neither country was involved in each other’s current war). This was a good deal for both of them, as the prospect of being on opposing sides in a war could potentially devastate both sides (The Prussian region of Livonia which bordered Pomeranija was the most densely populated and industrialized region in the entire country.)



Only days after the French left the war, the Baltic Navy finally arrived in the Mediterranean with its soldiers. By the time they were unloaded in Rom, the Genoese had already started to push well into its borders – the Roman army was still putting up an incredible resistance, but they were now encircled and it would take quite a push to relieve them.

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The Livonians immediately began attacking along the coast,but given the sheer number of Genoese soldiers between them and the Romans, the situation was becoming dire. Genoa had been consistently taking heavy casualties against the entrenched Roman machineguns, but the Romans were about to run out of supplies.

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In France, the government’s sudden capitulation didn’t end up saving the country from destruction like they had planned. After the Baltic Navy had arrived, the remainder of Livonian soldiers in the country had been boated over to Rom, leaving the country almost completely undefended. As a result, the French Communists, who had been the original architects of the movement in the first place, took this opportunity to rise up.

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The movement already had quite a following within the country, but the devastation and rapid advance by Genoa along the border had convinced many of the people in those territories to join the rebellion.

As the news arrived in Livonia, there was quite a mixed reaction. The military had already come to the consensus that propping up France was a lost cause, especially given the incompetence of their leadership, and with the Battle of Rom ongoing, Livonia couldn’t spare any soldiers anyways. On the other hand, allowing communism to officially establish a state, especially in Livonia’s own puppet, was both dangerous and humiliating.

Despite the fact that France had practically spawned the Titovist movement in the first place, Parliament generally leaned towards inaction, as usual. The elections were coming up next year, although they would be delayed to the latter half of the year due to the war situation.

The progression of the war in Rom ended up making intervention in France impossible anyways – The Livonians were steadily advancing north, but the armies weren’t large enough to properly cover their rear, and now the Genoese were attempting to encircle them as well. Rom’s army was also ready to collapse at any moment now, which meant it would be impossible to reach them in time anyways.

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The war in Bavaria was going alright for the country at the moment, although the armies were still mainly fighting along the Turkish border. The Czechs, now a puppet of Al-Turkis, had joined the war on their side, and it was there where Bavaria found the most success – as they held the Turkish border, the Czech defenses were quickly being surrounded. It seemed the Bavarian plan was to force their surrender, although instead of reincorporating the country into the empire, their goal was a more pragmatic cessation of land.

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The Pomeranians had pushed quite a bit into the north of Bavaria after encountering almost no resistance, but at this point they had been halted by a series of battles.

By January of 1889, Livonia was in bad shape. It still was recovering from the wounds of a civil war, the war in Rom was going terribly, and France was likely about to be overthrown by the Communists. With the upcoming election, a new direction for the country would need to be established, or else the empire could very well shatter.
 
Well now the signs of Livonia weakening have been present for a while, but now here they are on full display. This is a trial of fire and no mistake.
 
Very well written chapter! I still can't help the feeling that Genoa is actually the country that is spicing things up the most, even after you beset it with two buffer states (Rome was independent before, but you more or less added it to your sphere of influence) at their border and cutting them down.

Now I know that Pomeranija has been your vassal state for a long time. I don't know the mechanics of Vicky II, but as I understood it they broke free from your sphere of influence because they became too powerful in comparison to you or something like that?

Also, the Bavarian-Al-Turkis wars will probably never end, will they?
 
Well now the signs of Livonia weakening have been present for a while, but now here they are on full display. This is a trial of fire and no mistake.

Yep, and it's only a question of how it ends.

Very well written chapter! I still can't help the feeling that Genoa is actually the country that is spicing things up the most, even after you beset it with two buffer states (Rome was independent before, but you more or less added it to your sphere of influence) at their border and cutting them down.

Now I know that Pomeranija has been your vassal state for a long time. I don't know the mechanics of Vicky II, but as I understood it they broke free from your sphere of influence because they became too powerful in comparison to you or something like that?

Also, the Bavarian-Al-Turkis wars will probably never end, will they?

Thanks - and I have really been consistently surprised by Genoa throughout the last 100 years or so, especially as they ended up becoming a direct rival.

While Rom is sphered, that doesn't actually cut down their independence all that much - it just gives economic priority to the sphere owner. At this point they function more like an ally really.

Pomeranija managed to slip into slot 8/8 for great powers via industry and prestige, and once you do that any puppets on the country get removed (and since a GP can't be sphered, those go as well). They ended up slipping back into a secondary power, but were still independent by that point [and turned out to be quite interesting]

And I'm pretty sure the only thing that'll stop Bavaria and Al-Turkis from going at it is the collapse of at least one of those countries :p

Great chapter! I have hope that Mediterranean will not be lost to Livonians.
P.S.:What are state religions of Genoa and France?

Thanks. The situation in the Mediterranean is certainly going to shift quite a bit, but we'll see how that ends up affecting Livonia.

As of 1882 (The closest prewar save - same borders), Genoa is 90% Sunni, which is their state religion. France is 81% Catholic, as is Aquitaine which they broke off from. The biggest Sunni minority (it exists in some dimension throughout the country) is in Provence on the border of Genoa, where 29% of the population is Sunni. It's also notable that France's demographics are a bit of a mess, as would be expected: 49% Occitain, 27% Genoese-descended (although a portion of them are catholics), and only 18% French, which is the dominant class of the country.