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Werewolf Lite CDXXII: Enter the Gungeon [Village Wins!]

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Blatant revenge vote while suspiciously breaking the TIE immediately.

Unvote Dedonus, Vote Arkasas
 
randakar said:
How does this work? You can't -receive- PM's any more? Why?
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You can't receive anything while banned. You also, obviously, can't send any. It's a bit silly as you might need to receive something important. You also won't have your ban message forwarded to your email, which is truly weird as it means you won't know why you got banned.

Pretty sure that at least as recent as the old forum people still could receive PMs during bans.
 
Vote Rovs
For bandwagoning.
 
Dedonus said:
His name was just the name that random generator spit out for me. Since I'm a villager and the "zombie" was destined to be a villager, randomly picking someone will give you a chance of 26.67% (4/15) of finding a wolf.
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Yes .. true, but that is no reason to not give newbies a little bit of slack on day 1, since those odds won't be different if you pick somebody else.

Dedonus said:
I did consider the chance that Tus was a wolf before the reroll and it would be highly unlikely he would be rolled as a wolf twice in a row, but my gut feeling tells me to stick to my guns (no pun intended).
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Is it? I mean, if you use a random distribution tool to reroll the pack odds of giving somebody wolf a second time are decidedly non-zero. And I doubt the GM would reroll the outcome based on just one person getting the same role twice in a row.

Dedonus said:
I also considered that the real wolves might try to spin it against me if I were to vote someone else, claiming that Tus and I were packmates (as if I were protecting him or something). I don't want to give the wolves any more ammunition (what's with all these gun/weapon idioms in English???) to get me hanged.
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This one I really don't follow. If you weren't voting Tus people might hold that against you? You are *not* voting 14 other people, they can use those against you just as easily. What's special about Tus?

Rovsea said:
Obvious wolf.
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Rovsea said:
Although there's an obvious logic hole with this assumption.
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You think?

Rovsea said:
Blatant revenge vote while suspiciously breaking the TIE immediately.

Unvote Dedonus, Vote Arkasas
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Uhm. You weren't voting Arkasas, were you?
.. wait. You're talking about yourself here. Right. Carry on. :p

Wagonlitz said:
You can't receive anything while banned. You also, obviously, can't send any. It's a bit silly as you might need to receive something important. You also won't have your ban message forwarded to your email, which is truly weird as it means you won't know why you got banned.

Pretty sure that at least as recent as the old forum people still could receive PMs during bans.
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I guess that starting a conversation with a banned person might enable them to spam you .. yeah, that logic has holes the size of a t-rex, but hey.
 
randakar said:
Isn't Tus new? Or just someone I haven't played with before?
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This only my fourth game. Assuming I haven't missed one somewhere, which is possible as I started playing this a little over a year ago.
 
Unofficial Day 1 (valid as of post #73)​

Arkasas: 3
aedan777 (54)
alynkio (61)
Rovsea (Dedonus 47 > 64)

Dedonus: 2
CaesarCzech (49)
Xarkan (72)

CaesarCzech: 2
Tus3 (50)
randakar (55)

Rovsea: 2
Arkasas (51)
Wagonlitz (67)

Tus3: 1
Dedonus (46)

Panzer Commader: 1
Graf Zeppelin (52)

Cailean: 1
Capibara (73)

Wagonlitz: 1
Jeray2000 (70)

Not voted: 3
@Panzer Commader
@Claude LC
@Caillean
 
Day 1 Votecount - 5 hours 5 minutes to deadline (valid as of post #74)​

Arkasas: 3
aedan777 (54)
alynkio (61)
Rovsea (47 Dedonus -> 64)

Dedonus: 2
CaesarCzech (49)
Xarkan (72)

CaesarCzech: 2
Tus3 (50)
randakar (55)

Rovsea: 2
Arkasas (51)
Wagonlitz (67)

Tus3: 1
Dedonus (46)

Panzer Commader: 1
Graf Zeppelin (52)

Wagonlitz: 1
jeray2000 (70)

Caillean: 1
Capibara (73)

Not voted: 3
@Panzer Commader
@Claude LC
@Caillean
 
Dedonus said:
His name was just the name that random generator spit out for me. Since I'm a villager and the "zombie" was destined to be a villager, randomly picking someone will give you a chance of 26.67% (4/15) of finding a wolf.

I did consider the chance that Tus was a wolf before the reroll and it would be highly unlikely he would be rolled as a wolf twice in a row, but my gut feeling tells me to stick to my guns (no pun intended). I also considered that the real wolves might try to spin it against me if I were to vote someone else, claiming that Tus and I were packmates (as if I were protecting him or something). I don't want to give the wolves any more ammunition (what's with all these gun/weapon idioms in English???) to get me hanged.
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Dedonus you made literally the exact same post last game in which you were a wolf.

Vote Dedonus
 
randakar said:
Yes .. true, but that is no reason to not give newbies a little bit of slack on day 1, since those odds won't be different if you pick somebody else.
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But if I would keep "rerolling" whenever I new player's name shows up, it would not be random anymore, now would it? Or is this a wolf trying to save a packmate with the "be kind to the newbie" excuse? Hmm...


randakar said:
Is it? I mean, if you use a random distribution tool to reroll the pack odds of giving somebody wolf a second time are decidedly non-zero. And I doubt the GM would reroll the outcome based on just one person getting the same role twice in a row.
Click to expand...
Obviously the chance of being a wolf two times in a row is a non-zero number, but it would still be small. Mattering on the way roles are distributed (I am assuming these are all divided up all at once instead of one at a time), the chance of being a wolf should be 4/17. Since past roles have no impact on future roles, you would just multiply the probabilities. So that would be about 5%, if I'm doing the math correct. 17.99% (4/17 x 13/17) for a villager becoming a wolf (and vice versa).

Please someone tell me if I'm doing the math wrong.

randakar said:
This one I really don't follow. If you weren't voting Tus people might hold that against you? You are *not* voting 14 other people, they can use those against you just as easily. What's special about Tus?
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I prematurely voted Tus before Yvanoff said the game was starting. I think that the wolves could have spun it to make me look suspicious if I had voted someone else other than Tus.
 
How new of a player is Dedonus?
 
Dedonus said:
But if I would keep "rerolling" whenever I new player's name shows up, it would not be random anymore, now would it? Or is this a wolf trying to save a packmate with the "be kind to the newbie" excuse? Hmm...



Obviously the chance of being a wolf two times in a row is a non-zero number, but it would still be small. Mattering on the way roles are distributed (I am assuming these are all divided up all at once instead of one at a time), the chance of being a wolf should be 4/17. Since past roles have no impact on future roles, you would just multiply the probabilities. So that would be about 5%, if I'm doing the math correct. 17.99% (4/17 x 13/17) for a villager becoming a wolf (and vice versa).

Please someone tell me if I'm doing the math wrong.


I prematurely voted Tus before Yvanoff said the game was starting. I think that the wolves could have spun it to make me look suspicious if I had voted someone else other than Tus.
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Someone please remind me to address this because it's actually very interesting maths but I'm currently only on through mobile
 
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