sleepy: potential yellow. day 1 shenanigans still look a bit weird to me. I still don't fully understand why he put his life in the hands of someone he didn't have a clue about the role of. I can't find the defense on that point (that reis originally raised), I know it's probably getting tiresome by now, but could you repeat it again?
@Sleepyhead ,
plus Xarkan pushed up TFW allowing Dedonus to snipe to TFW instead of killing sleepy.
He also prevented a four way tie including a yellow on day 2 - though preventing a four way on day 2 is something a villager could do as well
day 3 voted up yvanoff - helpind Dedonus
Day 4 - sniped down a yellow, self preservation so says nothing
Day 5 - Caillean in a somewhat weirdly explained post?
Hax's targetting of sleepy makes him unlikely warlock assuming they were in contact by day 4.
I'm not sure being runup alongside a yellow says much about your own yellowness. Most votes will be made by people that aren't yellow, so I would expect that one pack of three wolves can't dictate the candidates.
Brovahkiin: Kinda surprised to see him still alive, I had expected he would be hunted today instead of Aedan. But we probably shoulnd't engage in hunt analysis so let's not overthink that. Anyway, he pretty much offed the red pack by an outting that was based on (I think) a witness scan?
We should be a bit careful here since a wolf could also be witness if I'm reading the rules correctly, and a yellow wolf would have every incentive to kill a red like this. But a wolf witness would feel a bit weird to me, so I'm somewhat doubtful he's the last yellow.
Has a single vote on Dedonus but other than that no other yellow votes.
Avernite: 100% accuracy in voting for wolves. Either he's a baddie doing some brutal sellout of every other baddie in the game, or he's a goodie. I'd say the latter is more likely. I'm almost tempted to just blindly follow him since he seems to have a better idea of what he's doing than me
Reis: day 1/2 throwaway. early Ded vote day 3, and then followed Hax onto Sleepy. Ignored the Hax case when Hax got lynched.
Has a ded vote but no other yellow votes. He could still be a fit for Warlock with his behaviour on day 5
Caillean: Target of last minute runup on day 2, which Dedonus joined. if she was a yellow, why would Dedonus vote her? Saving a packmate by killing another in an attention attracting runup seems a bit pointless, so unlikely yellow.
Alynkio's day 2 runup on her also makes her at least slithgtly less likely than average to be warlock, assuming they were on contact on day 2.
Beartjah: I fully realize I have an absolutely terrible voting record against yellow, but I'm a villager that was just plain wrong. A lot.
I think Avernite and Caillean have a low probability of being the last wolf.
Reis/brovakiin have a single vote against yellow that could've been selling out a packmate. Dedonus was far from doomed when they voted, but it's not impossible one of them did it to get some street cred expecting the vote not to take off and couldn't switch without beign suspicious. Brovah is a bit less likely because of him being witness
Leaving sleepy. He's got a record of votes that help yellows.
I feel sleepy is the most likely wolf out there with Reis in second place, but I'm not entirely confident. It would seem almost so much more suspicious than the rest that i feel like I'm missing something very, very important here. And I need to be a bit careful to not let myself be blinded by his vote on me
VOTE SLEEPYHEAD
.png){kind=avatar}
