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(Nothing personal, Wagon, I’m a mushroom-farming hobbit and all you big people are obviously suspicious characters.)

Now we wait to see if Wagon’s eagerness for a tie was as bad as I fear.

(Edit: it occurs to me that maybe I sounded fierce?? I’m playing! :) I <3 you all. )
 
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Day 1/Night 1
Day 1
The adventurers had a simple way of figuring out what the right thing to do was. Clearly the people who weren't helping out in combat or roleplay were the bad guys. These people weren't just rolling poorly, they were purposely fudging their roles to be worse than they were! The gall! It was determined that HistoryDude and Ironhide were the two worst offenders of this. They tried to say it was a run of bad luck, but the adventurers knew better! Or so they thought. It turned out that both of them were just average adventurers. Ironhide the male human fighter simply wanted to avenge his parents after they were killed by goblins who raided his village and HistoryDude was a bard who hoped to regale the taverns with stories of long lost civilizations and ancient intrigue that they found during their travels.


Ironhide G1 the villager was lynched
HistoryDude the villager was lynched


Night 1
The adventurers set a rigorous watch schedule, ensuring that multiple of them were up at any one time. The hours crept slowly by as they were sure tragedy would strike again. However, nothing happened. The adventurers were left perplexed. Did the DM just forget to write up an encounter for this part? Are they being taunted? Also, did anyone else notice the DM was just a cat?

Nothing happened at night
 
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Ok do other people just see they are a villager on day zero and peace out? Very disappointing. Let’s just order everyone descending by how many posts they made and vote down the list from top to bottom. Skipping me of course since I am just a rare active villager.
 
Well… someone’s gotta answer for something…
 
Ok do other people just see they are a villager on day zero and peace out? Very disappointing. Let’s just order everyone descending by how many posts they made and vote down the list from top to bottom. Skipping me of course since I am just a rare active villager.
Wolf sign
 
just a cat
No such thing; every cat is a cat!

Alright, voting for the top 3 candidates was as follows (unless I made a mistake, and I am unfortunately error-prone):

IronhideG1HxDudemarty99
IronhideG1X
HxDudeX
Cymsdale104,
Randakar
Flockingbird
Wagonlitz132,
aedan777
TeamWombat97,
Arkasas
beartjah
marty99X
Dedonus138,111,
EmperorIke140,119,
alxeu82,
Caillean
MAWofdoom109,117,
Yakman99,

Final count, did not vote for either villager: Randy, me (tried to vote Ironhide to break tie, though), Aedan, Arkasas, beartjah, Caillean, Yakman.

Did vote for one: Cymsdale, Wagon, Team Wombat, Dedonus, Ike, Alxeu, MAW

Did not vote & still in game: marty

Suggested a tie: MAW; urged a tie, Wagon

Did not manage a vote switch to prevent a tie: all of us?

Said things that made me suspicious (previously explained in #114): @Arkasas (likely joke?), @Caillean (she & Randy were not in danger), @Emperor Ike (but he did get Wagon to post), and @Wagonlitz for urging a tie.

New suspicion: @Cymsdale for proposing voting based on lowest total # of posts, immediately after voting inactives cost us 2 of our own.

Any of you suspicious-looking people have anything to say for yourselves? @marty99 , you still sleeping? I’ll make you help me muck about with mushrooms and bat guano if you don’t wake up soon, laddie!

Edit: noticed a bunch of missing strikeovers; I don’t think they c/p over, feh.
 
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Ok do other people just see they are a villager on day zero and peace out? Very disappointing. Let’s just order everyone descending by how many posts they made and vote down the list from top to bottom. Skipping me of course since I am just a rare active villager.
There's a couple of people that tend to just vote-once-and-leave on day 1, regardless of allegiance.

So: Curse, apprentice, blessing, or save?

Really not a good result. Also, this literally Oh God, territory. :p
I used my psychic this night, which pinged back 4 baddies. Curse hit then seems unlikely, since that would imply 3 starting baddies in an 18 player game. How can an apprentice lead to a no hunt?

How the heck do you distinguish between fellow villagers shifting off someone the wolves are happy to lynch, and wolves rescuing a mate at the last minute?!
If we had any idea how to that reliably this game would get boring rather quickly :p
 
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You got it backwards. I'm advocating for voting those with MOST posts.
Ah, my brain flips things without me noticing, sorry. Would you like me to strikeover my comment above?
 
Here is the activity chart. Feel free to check my work. I count any posts made after roles were given out.

Wagonlitz - 22
Flocking - 16
Dedonus - 12
MAWofdoom - 8
Cymsdale (known villager though) - 7
E-Ike - 7
Team Wombat - 6
Yakman - 4
Alxeu (known villager) - 3
Randakar - 3
Arkasas - 2
Caillean - 2
Culann (known villager) - 2
Beartjah - 2
Aedan777 - 1
Ironhide - 1
HistoryDude (known villager) - ZERO
Marty - ZERO
 
Arrright, going over the last part of the day; quote is post #103:
Day 1 Votecount: ~1.5 hours to deadline

Ironhide: 3
alxeu [82]
team wombat [97]
yakman [99]

Yakman: 2
Wagonlitz [75]
Emperor Ike [92]

Cymsdale: 2
Dedonus [79]
MAWofdoom [83]

Alxeu: 2
aedan [80]
Cymsdale [77 Yak -> 90]

MAWofdoom: 2
Arkasas [84]
Caillean [102]

Aedan: 1
beartjah [86]

Arkasas: 1
Flockingbird [85]

Emperor Ike: 1
randakar [81 aedan -> 101]

Not Voted: 3
@Ironhide G1
@HistoryDude
@marty99

X = hour
Post 104, Cymsdale uv alxeu (1), v IH (4)—gives IH a 2-vote lead
X:18, #109, MAW uv Cyms(1) v IH (5)—gives IH a 3-vote lead
X:25, #111, Dedonus uv Cyms (0) v Marty (1)
X:26, #112, MAW asks about tie
X:30, #113, Dedonus says no
X:38, #117, MAW uv IH (4) v Marty (2)
X:43, #119, EmpIke uv Yak (1), v Marty (3)
X:50, #124, Wagon proposes tie
X:53, #127, I uv Ark (0), v Wagon (1) for proposing tie
X:53, #130, Yak uv IH (3) v EmpIke (2)—this ties IH and Marty at 3
X:55, #132, Wagon uv Yak (0) v HxD (1)
X:55, #134, Wagon urges voteswitch to HxD
X:57, #136, Wombat says no, prefers IH
X:58, #138, Dedonus uv Marty (2) v. HxD (2)—this breaks the tie between IH & Marty, saves Marty (who he voted for #111)
X:58, #140, EmpIke uv Marty (1) v HxD (3)—this ties IH and HxD at 3
I fail to get my uv Wagon v IH in on time

I’m wondering why @Yakman and @Emperor Ike made ties. Even more, I’ve been wondering why someone more skilled than I didn’t break that tie. We had people online.
 
Wait a minute.
Here is the activity chart. Feel free to check my work. I count any posts made after roles were given out.

Wagonlitz - 22
Flocking - 16
Dedonus - 12
MAWofdoom - 8
Cymsdale (known villager though) - 7
E-Ike - 7
Team Wombat - 6
Yakman - 4
Alxeu (known villager) - 3
Randakar - 3
Arkasas - 2
Caillean - 2
Culann (known villager) - 2
Beartjah - 2
Aedan777 - 1
Ironhide - 1
HistoryDude (known villager) - ZERO
Marty - ZERO
Alxeu (known villager) - 3
That’s not known. Did you mix up Alx and Ironhide, or are you an oath breaking wolf who knows something about Alx we don’t?
Alxeu: 2
aedan [80]
Cymsdale [77 Yak -> 90]
Hmmmmm. Suspicious.

Your proposal to lynch the players with the most posts would get rid of me quickly. Was there something in any of my observations that could endanger a packmate, perhaps?

I’d stroke my beard if I were a dwarf!
 
Wait a minute.


That’s not known. Did you mix up Alx and Ironhide, or are you an oath breaking wolf who knows something about Alx we don’t?

Hmmmmm. Suspicious.

Your proposal to lynch the players with the most posts would get rid of me quickly. Was there something in any of my observations that could endanger a packmate, perhaps?

I’d stroke my beard if I were a dwarf!
Labeling Alxeu instead of ironhide was a simple error, I don't know anything about alxeu. But if you're a villager you're never going to believe that, and if you're a wolf you'll press on it until I'm lynched. I ducked up, oh well.
 
Cymsdale sets up his first day 1 vote on day 0. Can't really put a finger on this, but this feels a bit weird?

Then jumps from yak to alxeu which just shuffles around the people on the 2-vote tie. Tbh this kind of shuffling around is something more people should do (including myself here).

Other than that, we've got the usual day 1 create-a-large-tie behaviour we always get, until Cymsdale pushes ironhide up to 4 votes when the rest were still on 2.
Then MAW comes along an hour later and pushes it up to five, which feels a bit excessive of a pile-up. Only to then turn around and float the idea of doing a tie on purpose, which gets pushed back on immediately. He then jumps off the ironhide traint towards marty instead.

Then marty gets attention (first dedonus, then MAW and ike) for also being a zombie just like ironhide, but only ironhide getting all the 'he's a zombie, let's kill him' attention before that point. Seems fair enough of a reason to push someone, especially when ironhide was getting a bit far ahead.

Then wagon makes a push on historydude only 5 minutes before deadline, due to being also being a zombie without getting any real attention. This results in dedonus and ike joining, making a tie, and flockingbird failing to break the tie.



In terms of reads from this, cymsdale feels to me like a vill trying to force activity, though this is more gut feel than anything resembling an argument.

I don't believe wagon is really suspicious for this last minute push on historydude: The only people that were in any real danger at that point in time were ironhide and marty, who were both zombies. The main way in which such a push on historydude would be a wolftell is if we assume that wolf!wagon was saving a packmate. A somewhat competent wolf wouldn't be taking this kind of risk to save a zombie-packmate because they are very likely to die soon anyway (if anything, I'd be actively trying to kill them for goodie points). With the 'he's saving a packmate' line of logic not really applying here, I don't really see why a wolf!wagon would be doing this.

I'm also not convinced on Ike being vote-sniper here: his vote has timestamp 20:58, so at least a minute before deadline if I'm not mistaken? That seems like a rather large time period for a snipe. Is this a villager that purposely made a tie to kill two zombies, a villager that stumbled into the tie without realizing, or a wolf hoping to have the village sleepwalk into a tie while keeping plausible deniability? Should probably get some attention today.

MAW feels off to me.
Sounds good, I'm good with Ironhide today.

Unvote cymsdale
Vote Ironhide
Piling a fifth vote on ironhide when the rest was on 2, with a comment that gave me the impression he was trying to push a further wagon against ironhide just feels wolfy to me, trying to seal the deal on a runaway bandwagon before any packmates get put into contention.
Should we try for a tie?
Only to then turn around thinking he might get a double-kill by floating the idea of a tie in an innocent questionmark kind of way without really needing to take responsibility if it gets pushed back against too hard. He's been around here for longer than I have, and long enough to know that a day 1 tie is bad idea.
Agreed. I rolled a perception check with advantage using my heightened sense of smell class feature and got 2 nat 20's: something smells fishy.

Compared to most players here, I'm rather inexperienced, though it's true I'm definitely not new. Nonetheless I've never learned the intricacies of tie strategy.

Marty's not in contention yet and ironhide has almost all the votes, so if I'm not back, I'll at least help people be able to choose between the two.

Unvote ironhide
Vote marty
Then finally realizing the bandwagon isn't going any further, and jumping off unto marty which resulted in zombies being the only viable candidates for the day because everyone was too busy arguing about which zombie to lynch (which would be a reasonable outcome for the wolves even if marty had been a wolf: a zombie wolf is dead weight anyway. Also note he was also trying to push the zombies-as-only-candidates a bit before these posts). This might be a bit too unkind of a read of MAWs behaviour here, but this feels good enough for a vote from me.

Dedonus' main contribution was to suggest marty when ironhide was getting a runaway bandwagon. This helped (together with MAW) to setup the zombies as the only candidates in any real danger. He then also threw down a vote on historydude at 20:58 breaking a tie while setting up ike for another tie. The only argument that I could make here would just be a much weaker version of the argument against MAW, at which point I might as well push MAW. And he still has the 'tried to prevent a tie' factor going in his favour as well.

VOTE MAW
 
Labeling Alxeu instead of ironhide was a simple error, I don't know anything about alxeu. But if you're a villager you're never going to believe that, and if you're a wolf you'll press on it until I'm lynched. I ducked up, oh well.
I’m suspicious of…6 people atm, and I have no idea which, if any, are wolves. You’ll notice I said it was suspicious, but didn’t vote. I make mistakes, too. You might be a ravenous, lyin’, oathbreaking wolf, and you might be a villager—I’m trying to keep an open mind. Especially since you’re part halfling!

Going to read that post that came in.
 
But if you're a villager you're never going to believe that, and if you're a wolf you'll press on it until I'm lynched.
Rereading after I read bear’s post, I realized that’s cleverly done: you admit that both villagers and wolves would vote you based on the suspicious things I noted (the novel method for choosing the lynch, your vote on alxeu + post stating alxeu is a known villager instead of Ironhide), but you word it to imply that only wolves would vote you. That’s clever manipulation.

Then @beartjah delicately defended you (and Wagon and Ike) and cast suspicion on others (MAW and Dedonus). Interesting! Now I have more people to suspect! :D Including bear! Is he defending packmate Cymsdale, or is he noticing anomalous behavior from MAW? Or both! Do we have one pack of 4 oathbreaking wolves or 2 packs of 2? Or maybe bear lied, and we have 5 baddies now?

Does anyone besides beartjah find @MAWofdoom ’s behavior suspicious?

I’ve don’t have a sense of the usual playstyles for most of you yet, but I have noticed some of you are great at misdirection! The vote record seems a safer resource, but we don’t know enough yet. Or, well, I don’t.
X:53, #130, Yak uv IH (3) v EmpIke (2)—this ties IH and Marty at 3
X:58, #140, EmpIke uv Marty (1) v HxD (3)—this ties IH and HxD at 3
I’m thinking of voting @Emperor Ike for making the fatal tie, or @Yakman for the prior risky tie, or Cymsdale for the above-noted suspicious behavior.

Beartjah said Ike’s snipe-tie left plenty of time for someone to fixit (though it sure wasn’t enough for me). Should I instead be suspicious of the experienced players who let the tie happen?

Yeah, I’ll be suspicious. But for now I’ll

VOTE EMPEROR IKE
 
@Cymsdale and @Emperor Ike are the top targets. both were highly active, split votes at approximately the same time and have supported TIE on limited data.

vote @Emperor Ike
 
Moderately interesting for day 1. A few comments:
VOTE AEDAN

I don't believe I've ever seen him get lynched day 1. Time to change that.
The one time we tried this and succeeded, he turned out seer. One reason I was opposed to
Vote MAWofdoom

Cause this bride doesn't want a doomed wedding
Anything behind this vote other than roleplay?
I'm not particularly inclined to lynch people who have actually done the bare minimum of participation on the first game in months on day 1, usually.
Interesting b/c this post essentially "locks" the between villagers. Also in


I feel that HistoryDude is often someone who often gets pushed easily when there are no clear candidates.


I still don't think keeping it a tie at deadline is a good idea.


I hope you mega-typo'd and mean gun...

Agree with dedonus that history does tend to be targeted quickly at times. My preference is Ironhide today. Not a fan of an early marty lynch.

unvote marty
vote historydude

since I believe there was a tie.
Weird because
Unvote Marty
Vote historydude
Cymsdale sets up his first day 1 vote on day 0. Can't really put a finger on this, but this feels a bit weird?

Then jumps from yak to alxeu which just shuffles around the people on the 2-vote tie. Tbh this kind of shuffling around is something more people should do (including myself here).

Other than that, we've got the usual day 1 create-a-large-tie behaviour we always get, until Cymsdale pushes ironhide up to 4 votes when the rest were still on 2.
Then MAW comes along an hour later and pushes it up to five, which feels a bit excessive of a pile-up. Only to then turn around and float the idea of doing a tie on purpose, which gets pushed back on immediately. He then jumps off the ironhide traint towards marty instead.

Then marty gets attention (first dedonus, then MAW and ike) for also being a zombie just like ironhide, but only ironhide getting all the 'he's a zombie, let's kill him' attention before that point. Seems fair enough of a reason to push someone, especially when ironhide was getting a bit far ahead.

Then wagon makes a push on historydude only 5 minutes before deadline, due to being also being a zombie without getting any real attention. This results in dedonus and ike joining, making a tie, and flockingbird failing to break the tie.



In terms of reads from this, cymsdale feels to me like a vill trying to force activity, though this is more gut feel than anything resembling an argument.

I don't believe wagon is really suspicious for this last minute push on historydude: The only people that were in any real danger at that point in time were ironhide and marty, who were both zombies. The main way in which such a push on historydude would be a wolftell is if we assume that wolf!wagon was saving a packmate. A somewhat competent wolf wouldn't be taking this kind of risk to save a zombie-packmate because they are very likely to die soon anyway (if anything, I'd be actively trying to kill them for goodie points). With the 'he's saving a packmate' line of logic not really applying here, I don't really see why a wolf!wagon would be doing this.

I'm also not convinced on Ike being vote-sniper here: his vote has timestamp 20:58, so at least a minute before deadline if I'm not mistaken? That seems like a rather large time period for a snipe. Is this a villager that purposely made a tie to kill two zombies, a villager that stumbled into the tie without realizing, or a wolf hoping to have the village sleepwalk into a tie while keeping plausible deniability? Should probably get some attention today.

MAW feels off to me.

Piling a fifth vote on ironhide when the rest was on 2, with a comment that gave me the impression he was trying to push a further wagon against ironhide just feels wolfy to me, trying to seal the deal on a runaway bandwagon before any packmates get put into contention.

Only to then turn around thinking he might get a double-kill by floating the idea of a tie in an innocent questionmark kind of way without really needing to take responsibility if it gets pushed back against too hard. He's been around here for longer than I have, and long enough to know that a day 1 tie is bad idea.

Then finally realizing the bandwagon isn't going any further, and jumping off unto marty which resulted in zombies being the only viable candidates for the day because everyone was too busy arguing about which zombie to lynch (which would be a reasonable outcome for the wolves even if marty had been a wolf: a zombie wolf is dead weight anyway. Also note he was also trying to push the zombies-as-only-candidates a bit before these posts). This might be a bit too unkind of a read of MAWs behaviour here, but this feels good enough for a vote from me.

Dedonus' main contribution was to suggest marty when ironhide was getting a runaway bandwagon. This helped (together with MAW) to setup the zombies as the only candidates in any real danger. He then also threw down a vote on historydude at 20:58 breaking a tie while setting up ike for another tie. The only argument that I could make here would just be a much weaker version of the argument against MAW, at which point I might as well push MAW. And he still has the 'tried to prevent a tie' factor going in his favour as well.

VOTE MAW