My analysis:
Likely cleared
Mr.G - He and Nautilu tried to lynch each other on the first day, each being the third on the other's bandwagon. I'm surprised he hasn't been hunted yet; he should have been hunt #1 every night. If he's a wolf, he took a totally unnecessary risk. But better to go after the ones most likely to be the right choices than to go after the ones you're most afraid of being the wrong choices.
Rysz (formerly Tulp) - The Euro/Split fiasco reminded me of something that I had considered at the time, but apparently not hard enough: Why would two players out themselves as co-conspirators and risk exposure well before the final day? It works the same way with Rysz. As a wolf, he would have to have been suicidal to defend Lemmy by countering Euro's claim (knowing as any wolf would that Euro wasn't one of them). As with Mr.G, I'd feel like an idiot for letting him off the hook, but odds are really good he ain't anywhere near that hook.
Jonti (formerly sbr) - Too experienced and competent a player to commit the number of errors the wolves have committed this game. I can't see him trying to win by playing stupid. He can win regularly by just being himself.
Byak - Voted early for Nautilu and never pulled his vote off, despite being active shortly before the first deadline. With the seer dead, it wouldn't have been impossible for him to do such a thing (though I haven't known him to be so cruel to his packmates), but on the first friggin' day, I just don't see him doing this. It's always risky pulling a vote off of an ally late, but I think he would have done it in this case. In addition, Lemmy (and Teep) had their votes on him during the third day four-way and kept them there. No reason for them to do that to an ally with two other goodies in the running, especially with the seer still alive - unless maybe, maybe punkbob exposed himself, but that requires a massive leap of faith in every other consideration, as it would have been an extremely risky and cutthroat veteran move from the whole pack.
Unlikely Wolves
joeb (formerly jens) - Jens and Lemmy voted each other on the first day, Lemmy following Euro onto jens, and jens following me onto Lemmy. Too much of a stretch for the first day.
Cleared only to myself:
Me - I haven't done anything that should clear me, but I know what I know, and I ain't a wolf. I'd like to think that everything I said about jonti above could be applied to me. I wouldn't adopt this kind of a strategy. I take the game too seriously and I'm just too full of myself to intentionally play a bad game.
Best suspects
Hax - Seems cruel, but the no-hunt, combined with full pack possibilities and a very opportunistic newbie vote on Lemmy two rounds ago (vote #7 when Euro had only four) says a lot.
Teep - Also has full pack possibilities, voted Euro early two rounds ago and didn't budge. Didn't do anything to defend Nautilu, but wasn't online for hours prior to the deadline, so he might not have recognized the danger. However, unlike half the people still alive, he never had his vote on either Nautilu or Lemmy in that round. Has done nothing but bandwagon goodies since.
