Copper Nicus said:We can of course change the condition for engines, that's the easiest way... I'll think about something.
Well that works to!
Copper Nicus said:We can of course change the condition for engines, that's the easiest way... I'll think about something.
All the planned changes from Math Guy are based on vanilla 1.05B.
An example of possible breakage would be the relative strength of militia versus infantry.
v0.6 unit and tech
- Militia
default SA 1
max SA 1 + 2 = 3
default GD 2
max GD 2 + 9 = 11
- Infantry
default SA 1
max SA 1 + 19 = 20
default GD 2
max GD 2 + 28 = 30
Apply Math Guy mod
- Militia
default SA 1
max SA 1 + 2 = 3
default GD 4
max GD 4 + 18 = 22
- Infantry
default SA 1
max SA 1 + 19 = 20
default GD 4
max GD 4 + 56 = 60
So what's the practical effect of +100% on all ground_defence default stats and tech modifiers? Let's take a battle of twelve militia versus one infantry with default values (no tech at all):
- (v0.6) 12 x SA:1 = 12 attacks vs 1 x GD:2 = (2 x 0.2) + (10 x 1) = 10.4 hits per hour
- v(0.6+MG) 12 x SA:1 = 12 attacks vs 1 x GD:4 = (4 x 0.2) + (8 x 1) = 8.8 hits per hour
Looks pretty self-explanatory, a doubling of default GD has cut loss rates by 15%. The math for the infantry is simple (1 x 0.2) in both cases, so no change there.
Now let's look at a high tech battle, again twelve militia versus one infantry.
- (v0.6) 12 x SA:3 = 36 attacks vs 1 x GD:30 = (30 x 0.2) + (6 x 1) = 12 hits per hour
- (v0.6 + MG) 12 x SA:3 = 36 attacks vs 1 x GD:60 = (36 x 0.2) = 7.2 hits per hour
This is a bit more drastic with a 40% drop in hit rate. You can see that in a high tech situation, it takes 60 SA points to saturate the defense of a *single* infantry division (ie it could defend effectively against 20 militia divisions).
It's worth noting that in v0.6 the militia SA increase allows an increase in hit rate even when infantry defence is maxed out, whereas applying the MG mod means that SA increases can't keep up with defence and the hit rate drops. This will make for longer battles.
If you look at an INF vs INF scenario, in v0.6 2 x INF (40 SA) will swamp the defences on 1 x INF (30 GD) in the late game (16 hits), but with the MG mod 2 x INF vs 1 x INF get's only 8 hits.
PaxMondo said:This is going to likely set off a firestorm, but i cannot in good conscience avoid it.
From a previous TechMod thread [now closed] by Steel:
The problem? Simple: IRL 20 divisions of militia are going to wipe out 1 INF div every single time. And our calcs have it a draw. Oops.
Now B4 the flames start flying in, follow my logic a bit first please.
20 MIL head on attacking an entrenched high tech INF div on a narrow front, the INF can probably hold on with sufficient supplies. BUT, that is a terrible assumption: HEAD ON. The province sizes in HOI are strategic, not tactical. [What's the rule, 1km of front per division? something like that] 1 INF div cannot possibly cover the entire front of any but a very few provinces. That means flanks and rear. 20 Div of MIL are going to encircle 1 INF div, cut them off, attack from all sides and obliterate them with a probability of 99.99995% IRL. It isn't about fire power, it is about manpower. It is too overwhelming. IRL the way the 1 INF survives is retreat to where it can tie up lines with other forces, protect it's flanks and rear area. It is also a problem with low tech INF against high tech INF. As i read this, 1 high tech INF can survive [if i got my math right] 6 - 8 low tech INF. Please go back and review the historical cases of this, particularly the early Korean war [best recent examples]. Without combined arms support [due to weather], hi tech did not defend any where near this well.
I am not really challenging MathGuy's calculations here in head-on situations. He has access to data that most of do not. I do hope he did look at the early korea war figures though. a lot of good men died teaching some very tough lessons, lessons that US commanders to this day have not forgotten. In both Gulf wars, they have been very conscious of not allowing over-powering manpower odds to ocurr irrespective of the technology gap.
My biggest issue is what appears to be the head-on assumption. the province scaling and the mobility of troops in this time period do not readily lend itself to this assumption. Tactical encirclement is fundamental, not advanced leadership. It is why 3:1 odds have historically been considered minimum to guarantee victory: it allows the attacker to attack from 3 directions simultaneously in strength equal to the defender. The defender then has no mobility, no reserves to counter any breakthrough. so the first break through is usually the end.
Again, for a historical basis read up on the first few months of the Korean conflict. a perfect, relevant example of low tech INF attacking against high tech INF defending without air support.
My next biggest issue is that i don't know how to fix it. I'm hoping Steel or MathGuy, both being beta's now may be more aware of ho hte game egine works and can suggest a fix. The fix would be something that looks at corresponding MP on both attacking and defending forces, and an imbalance would progressively create terrible odds reflecting this.
Something like:
3:1 MP => multiple attacks similar bonus as for attacking from multiple provinces.
6:1 MP or so => encirclement bonus.
FORTIFICATIONS would be a HUGE nullifier of this new variable. Maybe like each level of relevant fortification looks like 1 Mp is the above equation. So the Maginot line, gibraltar, malta, etc. would retain all of their effectiveness.
This also will increase the effectiveness and need for reinforements. getting even 1 div into def now could mean a huge thing.
frank2u said:[What's the rule, 1km of front per division? something like that]
Hmmm it's more like a company of 150 men on 400 meters in the first frontline,
then some 50 in the next line(mortars, HQ, fuel/ammo/food, medics), up to 400 meters in depth
10 in third line(again medics, supplys etc) 5 km in depth
4th line 50 persons at a howitzer battery etc. from 2 km to 7 km in depth
All in all approx 260 <= 300 men per 400 meters of frontline
Remember a Division has approx 10.000 men.
300/10000 men = 33.33 * 400 meters of front = 13333.33 meters = 13 km of a front section. As a defender you choose the terrain, so the defence front could be longer.
And don't get me started on using the terrain building defences, aka building along streams, small citys, forrests, hedgerows, etc..![]()
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But still some good points you came with.
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/Frank2u
PaxMondo said:Last night, just happened to watch a forensic study on the Battle of Little Big Horn ... funny ~20:1 odds [~5000 .vs. 350], low tech .vs. high tech. Only about 200 of the indians had rifles at the start [of course they gained another 300 that day]. granted high [unknown exact] losses for the indians. custer? history book.
BTW, the forensic study suggested that the indian losses were probably lower than previously thought. They were able to roll the right flank of Custer. About 80 men died on that flank with relative low cost to the indians. The "last stand" area also was not as high loss for indians as thought either ... they were able to close. Once Custer went down, C&C was lost, and the un-organized defense was probably not as strong as thought. indian losses were still high, but not what many people percieve. probably hundreds, not thousands
CyberMajestic said:I saw something about that last night also. Did you see the part about the Indians having Henry repeating rifles while the Cavalry had single shot rifles? Seems that, in this case at least, the Indians had the better tech.
ArmdChair said:Where did you find the range of the Henry rifle at 200 yds? I really need to review my data...![]()
If Custer didn't have his head up somewhere dark, he would have returned to Benteen's position and in all probability survived. Just another example of ignoring intelligence because it didn't fit one's preconceived notions (Boy Browning anyone?).
Jedrek41 said:Polish tanks in CORE are just screwed up. OK, there's 7TP, 9TP, 10TP... But why an Advanced Medium Tank with 80+mm cannon is T-34/85? Why MBT is Centurion?
The same applies to Polish jets. There are LIM fighters, which were in fact Russian Mig fighters. IMHO all Polish jets and advanced fighters should be completely hypotetical. I.e. Rocket fighter could be called PZL P-88 Jaskolka(Swallow) and jet could be named PZL P-89 Orzel (Eagle)
Semi-Lobster said:The advanced medium tank is the T-34/85 because Poland did't have any tanks or tank prototypes or tank design that could go under the 'advaced' category and Poland didn't have any MTB's. We have a timeline for our techs that go to about the late 60's. Unless of course had a site with info on these ships. Also, can you provide a site about the PZL P-88 Jaskolka and PZL P-89 Orzel along with some stats?