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Great updates, I really liked them. It looks like you are holding quite well at the moment, but if the British do not get their act together quickly, the only one left to save you is realistically the Soviet Union, as Italy probably has a firm grip on Gibraltar and the Allies wont be able to get to you. Its going to be a long war.
 
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Ah, i think the level6/7 forts are indeed the problem. 9%penalty to attackers per fort level on top of the hefty terrain penalty one will suffer with a German style army in a heavily forested and hilly country like yugoslavia will amount to them not attacking. And thats before counting rivers. These forts are almost Maginot style strenght and we all know you go around that line, not through it.