The Avalanche Strategy
That was not a very detailed AAR guys...and I'm sure you wouldn't make a public post simply to gloat. In the interest of helpful feedback, I offer the following observations:
Well, no, not to gloat, but perhaps to brag. I was just too lazy to try and drag into my memory for the details.
1. Germany, Italy and Japan effectively employed the "avalanch" strategy against the UK, which has become a staple of our games involving the canned Paradox '36 scenario. The strategy involves a simultaneous attack by the Axis against the UK on all fronts. The USA and Russia are left alone. The UK player (me) is then buried in managerial tasks and can't fight effectively on any front.
I think the only way the Axis can win is to knock either the British or the Russians out of the game quickly, before anybody else can respond. Had Russia DOW'ed as soon as Germany entered France, the game would have been different, as Germany immediately would have pulled out of France and put everything into defending the East Front. The idea with you was to divide your attention. Based on the fact that we saw no signs of UK troops in France, and how heavily you appeared to be fortifying in Egypt and India, I suspected that when war came you would basically leave France to the AI. That gave me hope that we could conquer France before Russia stirred.
3. The effectiveness of the avalanch strategy was most evident when Germany invaded the UK. I didn't even know the UK was invaded until just before London fell. As I'm sure fpolli will confirm, my forces (what little I had in the UK) just sat there and did nothing. I was too busy trying to fend off attacks in the middle east and Asia.
The invasion of UK was not part of the Axis strategy but was a happenstance. I had a sub sitting off Ireland and just happened to notice after finishing off France that Edinburgh, Cardiff, Perth and a couple other provinces were totally empty. When I saw beach provinces empty I sent a fleet to the opposite coast and saw that Conventry and Sheffield were also completely empty. So I sent a plane over and saw that London had no ground troops in it! Apparently, you only had 8 divisions in England, with six of them on the Channel coast and 2 in Bristol.
It was too big an opportunity to resist. I only had six transports in my navy and no invasion troops massed. I diverted two armored corps, a mechanized corps and an infantry corps that were marching across Germany towards the Polish frontier back to the coast, loaded up my transports and went.
So the invasion of the UK was I guess an accidental byproduct of the Avalanche strategy, and not at all a part of it.
5. In hindsight, when playing the UK in Paradox's '36 scenario, the UK should mass her forces in two places. The home island is one, and then either pick India or Egypt. Simply concede the rest of your empire to the Axis early in the game. The avalanche strategy prevents the UK from effectively defending all of its valuable holdings, even if the UK can muster decent defensive forces in those provinces.
Absolutely. You cannot try to hold everything. I would give up Egypt as it is the least valuable and the most easily recaptured. But you absolutely have to keep the home islands defended. You cannot leave open beach provinces. You also had very little navy in the area, which was key. I've had a Japanese ally and now a UK adversary make the mistake of leaving the home islands lightly defended, and in both cases it proved fatal for that player. Invading UK was not even in the long-range plans, because I've already learned that it is impossible against a careful and attentive UK player. I've had my butt handed to me trying it. I will not expect you to ever make the strategic choices again that you made in this game.
6. The other thing worth mentioning in the AAR is that the Soviet Union stood on the sidelines. A quick Soviet DoW on the Axis might help counter the avalanche strategy. In our game the Soviets were positioned to play this role. The Soviets had taken Romania, and therefore had a common border with the Axis. The Soviets also had half of Persia, and could have attacked the Axis in the middle east. But no Soviet offensives were forthcoming. How effective the Soviets would have been? I'm not sure, but it certainly would have forced the Axis to devote at least some resources away from the avalanche strategy. I would interested to know if the Axis were able to convince the Soviets not to intervene, or whether this was an independent decision...and if so, what was the strategic thinking behind it.
I can correct one factual error here and confirm that the Axis did not convince the Soviets not to intervene. Japan massed on his Asian border to dissuade him from moving into Poland, but that was about all we did. An offer had been made to divide Romania, but that offer was rejected sub silentio.
The error is that the Soviets had Romania when we invaded. They did not. Early in my battle in Netherlands, USSR declared war on Romania. Germany learned of this too late to prevent USSR from getting the provinces we needed to form a land bridge between our European holdings and Turkey. We purposely left Romania and Poland as a buffer until we were done with France, because the one thing Germany fears is a Russian DOW while Germany is trying to conquer France. I wanted Russia to have to take on 20% dissent to attack me, and I wanted the time to respond that having a buffer would give me.
The one fear I had was a Russian invasion while I was trying to conquer France. When it never came, I knew I was in good shape. I don't know why it never came. It's probably too late now, because we've been able to establish defenses in the East.
As for the 38 scenario, you are right about its purpose, but it also does prevent the very early Axis rampage, because by the time the scenario STARTS, all that rampagin usually has been done, and the scenario starts with just Ethiopea, Albania and Austria having been conquered.
But the Early Axis Rampage rarely contributes to long-term success. The 36 scenario favors the anti-Axis generally.
Anyway, thanks for the lengthy work, and I did not want to gloat over your fallen body. It's been my fallen body many times, and certainly will be many times again.