EDIT: It was proven here: Explanation 1 and here: Explanation 2 that my logic was incorrect. So, if you have/had the same doubts as me, go check those threads for some evidence.
For a summary: while the non gestalts might have higher variance they do not significantly lag behind gestalts (or ahead) and are on par, and even in cases when one exceeds the other, the differences are negligible enough that even if one nation is lucky at the end the difference in pops is very small to really matter.
Hi,
I was thinking about this a moment ago and noticed something. If my understanding is correct (which I will briefly explain as it is the basis of the entire post) this is how (summarized) pop growth works:
An individualist empire with 3 species can have for each species several pop groups depending on strata, ethics and factions. Lets assume that each species has 5 pop groups. That means that on a specific planet, you get 15 pop groups in total. Then, lets say that you get 5 total growth. Since it is split among pop groups, each group will get a proportional amount. However, since there are so many pop groups, it is likely that the amounts that each receives (except perhaps for the larger groups, if any) is below 1, and thus proportional. Meaning that pops only have a chance to grow.
On a gestalt, however, pop groups are usually smaller since they have one less strata, no ethics and no factions. So even a hive mind with several (3 to be consistent with the above example) species (not common, but not impossible) instead of having 15 pop groups will only have 6 groups. This means that when receiving the 'growth split' (assuming the same 5 for simplicity) it is much less likely that several groups receive less than 1, and those that do, should not receive tiny numbers.
If this logic is correct, the difference is huge!
You might think that in the end it does not matter, as over a large period of time the fractional growth will tend towards the expected growth, right? Not exactly.
There are some issues. First, a pop that grows will further influence the growth of the group, it can also start to work right now and not in X months. That same pop might start working an assembly job for instance, giving an immediate benefit that compounds.
So, no, the fractional pop might seem ok, but if you get a pop 3 months later, not only I benefited from a pop for 3 months earlier, but that pop also contributed to the economy and the growth itself during that time, potentially making it so another pop can grow.
This means that nations with few pop groups, and specially gestalts, should have a much better growth. If I am incorrect in something, please someone correct me and explain it to me. If I am correct though, this needs to be addressed somehow.
For a summary: while the non gestalts might have higher variance they do not significantly lag behind gestalts (or ahead) and are on par, and even in cases when one exceeds the other, the differences are negligible enough that even if one nation is lucky at the end the difference in pops is very small to really matter.
Hi,
I was thinking about this a moment ago and noticed something. If my understanding is correct (which I will briefly explain as it is the basis of the entire post) this is how (summarized) pop growth works:
- growth is calculated based on a certain formula
- the total growth is given to pop groups in a proportional matter, that is, bigger pop groups receive more
- fractional pop growth is not added each month, so if a pop group has 0.5 growth it has a 50% chance to grow 1 pop
An individualist empire with 3 species can have for each species several pop groups depending on strata, ethics and factions. Lets assume that each species has 5 pop groups. That means that on a specific planet, you get 15 pop groups in total. Then, lets say that you get 5 total growth. Since it is split among pop groups, each group will get a proportional amount. However, since there are so many pop groups, it is likely that the amounts that each receives (except perhaps for the larger groups, if any) is below 1, and thus proportional. Meaning that pops only have a chance to grow.
On a gestalt, however, pop groups are usually smaller since they have one less strata, no ethics and no factions. So even a hive mind with several (3 to be consistent with the above example) species (not common, but not impossible) instead of having 15 pop groups will only have 6 groups. This means that when receiving the 'growth split' (assuming the same 5 for simplicity) it is much less likely that several groups receive less than 1, and those that do, should not receive tiny numbers.
If this logic is correct, the difference is huge!
You might think that in the end it does not matter, as over a large period of time the fractional growth will tend towards the expected growth, right? Not exactly.
There are some issues. First, a pop that grows will further influence the growth of the group, it can also start to work right now and not in X months. That same pop might start working an assembly job for instance, giving an immediate benefit that compounds.
So, no, the fractional pop might seem ok, but if you get a pop 3 months later, not only I benefited from a pop for 3 months earlier, but that pop also contributed to the economy and the growth itself during that time, potentially making it so another pop can grow.
This means that nations with few pop groups, and specially gestalts, should have a much better growth. If I am incorrect in something, please someone correct me and explain it to me. If I am correct though, this needs to be addressed somehow.
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