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RedNapoleon99

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Oct 16, 2023
20
16
Sisu: A Historical Finland AAR

Finland Flag.png


"Swedes we are no more, Russians we cannot become, therefore Finns we must be"

Introduction:
Hello fellow HOI4 enjoyers, and welcome to my first AAR! Having been a long-time lurker of this forum, and an avid reader of many of the fantastic creations some in this community have provided over the years, I decided to try my own hand at the AAR game. With the new release of the Arms Against Tyranny DLC, it gave me an idea, to try one with Finland, a country whose history in the interbellum and Second World War provided plenty of intrigue, heroism, and grit.

Why Finland?
Simple, Finland is the centerpiece of the new "Arms Against Tyranny" DLC, and with both its focus tree, and well-known historical part in the Second World War, I do believe that it provides for an interesting story. Being myself a fan of Soviet history, the Winter War played a key part in the story of WW2, and the possibilities with this country, with an unkind geopolitical situation, in the crosshairs of two goliaths, are endless.

I'll be playing with all DLCS bar By Blood Alone installed, with historical focuses on, for the immersive feel of leading up into the catastrophe that was World War II, and myself will be prioritizing a historical path for Finland, with the race against time to build the nation up until the Soviets come knocking to be a true test. Although being historical, pending on how things go, we may deviate and strive to fulfill the dreams of Finnish nationalists with a Greater Finland, but that is reliant on many things going right for us and on the general path of this AAR.

Game Details
  • Historical Focuses on
  • All DLCS bar By Blood Alone, to bring as much flavor into the story as possible, plus I enjoy the various components these DLCS bring in
  • Regular difficulty
  • Player-Led Peace Conferences, Peace Deals and State Transfer Tool mods enabled. These, solely to assist the narration of the story, and to modify any possible border gore that does result in the peace deals (i.e. no random Soviet Union owning Bavaria and to give Bialystok back to Poland after a potential Allies victory (that part of Poland never being returned post-war as was historically does quite annoy me))
  • Will Strengthen China +1, they always get overrun by Japan with the most feeble fight whenever I do not play with them, so I do want to balance it out somewhat)
  • Will attempt to recreate historical Finnish divisions when possible
  • All other rules Vanilla

Welcome, to my AAR!
 
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Welcome to AAR writing!
 
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Sounds interesting and managing and narrating a small-medium player is always more manageable. Will follow with interest. Welcome to the writAAR‘s fraternity. :)
 
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I'm struggling to get the "No one crosses the Finnish line" achievement, and I will be looking out for any useful ideas on how to make the Finnish army overperform.
 
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Prologue: Independence, the Interbellum and the National Path

State of Finland, Jan 1, 1936.PNG

Risen from the collapse of the Russian Empire at the end of the Great War, the young nation still looked with alarm to its its increasingly revanchist, powerful neighbor to the East

The Birth of Finland
A part of Sweden since the 12th century, Finland became part of the Russian Empire in 1809 following the Finnish War, where it became an autonomous Grand Duchy within the Empire. As Tsar Alexander I put it, Finland was a "nation among nations", a status most other subject peoples of the Empire were not granted. However, despite this autonomy towards the end of the 19th century, as with those other subject peoples, a fierce policy of "Russification" became implemented on the Finns. This, of course, was occurring at the same time as the rise of the era of nationalism throughout Europe, where oppressed peoples started developing national consciousness and a will to break free. In 1899, Tsar Nicholas II published the February Manifesto which curtailed the autonomy of the Finnish Grand Duchy. Furthermore, in 1901, the Tsar tightened conscription rules on the Finns, mandating they serve to protect the Russian Empire as well as the Finns. In 1908, a further restriction was applied, this time curtailing the power of the Finnish parliament, increasing centralization in Saint Petersburg.

Then came the Great War. With the Russian Empire's military collapsing on the front, the Tsar was forced to abdicate in February of 1917, and then, with the provisional government unwilling to put an end to a deeply unpopular war, Vladimir Lenin's Bolsheviks overthrew the provisional coup in November 1917, following a spontaneous assault on the Winter Palace in Petrograd. After the Bolsheviks declared the right of national minorities to self-determination, including the right to secession, on November 15th, Finland had their chance.

Independence
Independence.jpg

The Finnish Parliament Convenes to Approve the Declaration of Independence

That same day, the Finnish Parliament declared the assumption of legislative powers, and began the process to independence. Though still technically a monarchy, due to the personal union with the Tsar being abolished with Nicholas II's February abdication, and the general apathy towards the idea of monarchism, which the Finnish elite considered outdated, forming the groundwork for the new state was necessary. On November 27th, Pehr Evind Svinhuvfud, the newly appointed Prime Minister, formed a Finnish Senate and gave them a mandate to forge the path to Independence as soon as was possible. On December 6th, the Senate officially declared independence, and on the 22nd, the Soviet government recognized the Finns' Independence. The first step of building a nation was complete.

The Civil War
Immediately however, the new state was in crisis. In the years prior to independence, Finland had gone a rapid period of industrialization and a rising labor movement which led to an increase of socialist popularity amongst the workers; on the flip side, the architects of the newly independent Finnish state largely comprised of conservatives, monarchists and anti-communists. In the power vacuum left by the collapse of the Russian Empire and the proclamation of a new Finnish state, both groups looked to exert their control on the country. These simmering tensions soon boiled over.

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Carl Gustaf Mannerheim, White Marshal

The first clashes between Red Guards, determined to start a socialist revolution in the country, and Civil Guards, otherwise known as the Whites, who favored a nationalist Finland, began in early January, in Karelia, which was the industrial heartland of the newly born nation. On January 12th, 1918, the Finnish government led by Svinhuvfud appointed Carl Gustaf Mannerheim, a former general in the Imperial Russian Army, as commander-in-Chief of the White Army. Mannerheim issued a decree to his forces to prepare for an offensive against the communists. The Reds, with their headquarters in Helsinki, mobilized their forces on January 27th. Battle lines were drawn and civil war fired up.

FInnish Civil War battlelines.PNG

Battle Lines of the Civil War

When hostilities erupted, the front line developed through southern Finland. The Finnish Reds largely controlled the urban centers of the south, with nearly all of the major cities and industrial hotbeds of the nation under their control, areas prime for socialist movements, with the exception of Viipuri. The Whites controlled most of the northern areas of Finland, with the exception of Oulu and Varkas. Seizing the enclaves controlled by the other became a high priority for both sides.

The Reds, while differing from the Soviet Russians on the question of how to rule, being much more social democrats than Leninist authoritarians, still looked to Lenin and the Soviet Russians for help. This, however, was less an alliance than a "realpolitik" partnership, with infighting amongst the Finnish and Russian reds on national borders and demarcation lines being a consistent theme. It was an uneasy alliance, and the Treaty of Brest-Litovsk signed between the Bolsheviks and Germans in March 1918, which officially handed Finland over to the German "sphere of influence" splintered this partnership even more. Though in combat over the type of governance, where both Reds and Whites were united in was the question of Finland's national borders, with both left and right having revanchist idea of a "Greater Finland".

Where the Germans were hostile to the Reds, they were more than reliable for the Whites. Marshal Mannerheim sought material support from Germany, and on February 14th, Berlin gave him what he wanted. The Imperial German Army sent troops to Aland on March 5th, two days after the Treaty of Brest-Litovsk had been signed. Alongside them came Jaegers, elite Finnish light infantry trained in Germany and deployed on the Eastern Front during the Great War. Alongside them also came Estonian and Swedish volunteer divisions.

With material support, backing from a major power, and a new spirit, Marshal Mannerheim decided to go on the offensive. In late March, the Whites struck the Red stronghold of Tampere, an industrial center, where one of the bloodiest battles of the civil war would be fought. In a bloody two week battle, where street-by-street fighting took place for control of the city, and immense losses on both sides, Tampere fell on April 6th.

Soon after, German troops, with the help of the Jaeger units, attacked Helsinki, Finnish capital and White stronghold on the Baltic coast. In a blitz reminiscent of their tactics during the Michael Offensive on the Western front, they quickly seized control of the city, and, joined by White Guard partisans in the city, quickly overwhelmed the Red garrison. On April 14th, the Red garrison of Helsinki surrendered, and an Imperial German Army military parade marched through the center of the city.

German Troops in Helsinkoi.jpg

German Troops in Helsinki

After the loss of Helsinki and Tampere, the Reds were in full retreat towards the Karelian Isthmus, to their last remaining stronghold, in Viipuri. Seeking to avoid having to lay siege to the town and avoid the bloody street to street combat that occurred at Tampere, Marshal Mannerheim devised a new plan. They focused on getting the Reds out of the city proper and into the outskirts. White forces performed a flanking maneuver, cut off the supply lines to Viipuri from Petrograd, and destroyed the bulk of their forces in the Karelian Isthmus. With Red forces weakened and lacking supply, Jaeger troops sent out an artillery barrage that demoralized what was left of the White garrison, and swept them aside, capturing Viipuri within two days.

Finnish Civil War parade.jpg

Marshal Mannerheim leads the victory parade, May 16th, 1918.

With control of the country lost, Red leadership fled to Petrograd. They had been defeated, the attempts to establish a socialist Finland had collapsed, and the civil war was over. White forces held a parade through Helsinki on May 16th, and the newly independent Finnish state would be outside of the socialist world.

Aftermath
The civil war had left the nation in tatters. Major cities were in ruins, 35,000 people had lost their lives, 15,000 children had been orphaned. Both Whites and Reds had committed atrocities against those they perceived as sympathizers of the other. Despite consolidating control of the country, deep divisions still remained in Finnish society. Socialists were seen as Russian agents. Even amongst the whites, the issue of how to rule still hung over their heads. Conservatives favored a return to the monarchist system, while liberals favored a democratic republic, in the mould of other nations born from the former Russian Empire. Remaining socialists were themselves divided, with communists, social democrats, and radical, non-Bolshevik supporting socialists, all disagreeing on how to organize the movement.

Building the Nation and "The Compromise"

Stahlberg.jpg

Kaarlo Juho Stahlberg, the first President of Finland

Due to the Treaty of Brest-Litovsk, the role the Germans played in helping the Whites win the civil war, and considerable monarchist support amongst the ranks of the whites, there was originally pressure to restore a monarchy, with German prince Frederick Charles of Hesse to be made king. However, with the German collapse in the Great War and abdication of the Kaiser, along with pressure from more socially moderate wings of the Whites, this was shelved. Eventually, the liberal faction of the Whites managed to get their way. With both sides tired of bickering amongst themselves, and wanting to rebuild the nation after the civil war, conservatives got in line in support of a Republican form of government. One of the prevailing arguments amongst the conservatives was that going any further right would only enable socialist movements further, and after the bloody civil war, both sides just wanted to focus on building the nation. On December 20th, 1918, Finland became a Republic, and this was confirmed in July 1919 by the Constitution Act. Kaarlo Juho Stahlberg, a liberal nationalist and Republican, was elected as Finland's first President, defeating Marshal Mannerheim overwhelmingly.

The young state largely focused on social and economic reforms in its early days. Many Reds were pardoned, trade unions were strengthened, and the Lex Kallio Law, a sweeping land reform law that redistributed land from wealthy landowners to the peasants, quelled the socialist movement. These policies also greatly earned the favor of the farmers, who had lent their support to the White movement during the civil war. Both sides of the aisle, however, were very much against the Communists, and the Communist Party was banned in 1931. Furthermore, a right wing nationalist movement named the Lapua Movement, who preached Finnish ultranationalism, pro-Germanism, anti-Communism, and fascism, also grew in strength throughout the 1920s. Very much similar to Mussolini's Black Shirts or the SA Brownshirts of the German National Socialists, their methods of street fighting led to them being banned in 1932, though an underground movement still operated quietly.

Foreign Policy and the (still existing) Soviet danger
Although having secured independence from the remnants of the Russian Empire, finding their place geopolitically would still prove to be a challenge for the young nation. Finland joined the League of Nations in 1920, and began a pursuit of policies strengthening ties with the Scandinavian nations of Sweden, Norway and Denmark, along with the Baltic statelets that too had achieved independence in the chaos of the Bolshevik takeover. In particular, however, Sweden and Estonia were the two main geopolitical allies for the Finns. Between the Swedes and Finns, however, laid territorial disputes over the territory of Aland, a set of Islands in the Upper Baltic between the two, where an ethnic Sweden majority lived. To settle the issue, Aland was demilitarized and given autonomous status by the Finns. The Estonians in particular provided a special bond for the Finns, with both Estonians and Finns tracing back to a common Finno-Ugric background. There was even talk of creating a union between the two nations, yet it never materialized.

With all that said, however, the Finns still looked with caution at their former overlords in Russia. Lenin's Bolsheviks, who had originally accepted Finnish Independence in 1918, and who preached "self-determination" upon taking power, quickly reneged on those principles after the nullification of Brest-Litovsk, and entered into a string of wars with the various other states that had been born of the Russian Empire's collapse. Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia all had to fight wars of independence to preserve their fragile freedom, the Ukrainians who had attempted their own fight for freedom, were subdued back into Russian control, and even Poland, who had risen back like a phoenix in 1918, had to defeat the Red Army at the gates of Warsaw to prevent being swallowed back into this *Socialist* Empire. For the Finns, Bolshevik attempts to retake Finland were a matter of if, not when.

Soviet FInnish NAP.jpg

Signing of the Soviet - Finnish Non-Aggression Pact

During the 1920s, the Soviet Union and Finland each went about ways to destabilize the other. Finland covertly supported Finnish Karelian uprisings on the other side of the border in the dreams of a "Greater Finland", while the the Soviet Union backed Finnish Communists in the USSR, with the aims to eventually have them stage another socialist uprising back in their homeland. Trade between the two was almost non-existent as well, with only 1% of Finland's foreign trade involving the Soviets.
Despite the consistent tension between the two, a Non-Aggression Pact was signed between Finland and the Soviet Union in 1932, and it was re-affirmed for a 10 year period in 1934. Though, with growing revanchism across Europe, only time would tell if this would last.
 

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I liked this writeup on OTL history. Let's see if Finland can defeat the Soviets without losing territories...
 
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I liked this writeup on OTL history. Let's see if Finland can defeat the Soviets without losing territories...
Losing territories? The brave Finns will gain territories! At the very minimum, it would be great to do justice the job the Finns did OTL. Of course, lets see if the Soviet Red Army in 1939 will be as incompetent as their real life counterparts were
 
If nothing else I admire the ambition of trying to take territory off the Soviets in the Winter War. Incompetent as the Soviets were in 1939, the were significantly better by the start of 1940 and moreover had started to finally effectively use their massive numerical superiority. Politically even Stalin at his peak would struggle to shrug off the shame of a defeat by Finland, he needs to come away with some gains to secure his position, especially if the opening months do not go well.

Still this is a Paradox game so anything is possible where the AI is involved. I wish you, and Finland, the best of luck.
 
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If nothing else I admire the ambition of trying to take territory off the Soviets in the Winter War. Incompetent as the Soviets were in 1939, the were significantly better by the start of 1940 and moreover had started to finally effectively use their massive numerical superiority.
Given I'm personally not the best at this game, it is indeed quite bold to want to gain territory. But I am thinking about the Continuation War and doing the ahistorical thing of actually assisting in taking Leningrad does have its appeal. We'll see how things turn out though.
 
Chapter 1: The domestic situation of Finland internally at the start of 1936 (January 1st, 1936)

Internal Politics

Svinhufvud.PNG


One of the Founding Fathers of Finnish Independence back in the winter of 1917-1918, Pehr Evind Svinhufvud had been serving as President of Finland since 1931, with two non-concurrent stints as Prime Minister in the years since Independence. Born into a noble Finnish-Swedish family, he had plied his trade as a lawyer, rising up the ranks to become a judge on the Finnish Court of Appeals at the turn of the century. Having been sacked from his position due to opposition to the Tsarist Russification policies, he found himself back in the political frame after helping found a new parliamentary system in the Finnish Grand Duchy after the 1905 revolution in the Russian Empire. There, his fiery speeches were part of the reason the Tsar had Parliament dissolved in both 1909 and 1910. Nevertheless, he became a judge once more in 1908, serving in Lappee.

At the outbreak of the Great War, due to the Tsarist regime replacing Finnish officials with Russians in an effort to curtail secessionist sentiments, Svinhufvud once more found himself removed from office and exiled to Siberia. Upon leaving Finland, he promised to return "with the help of God and Hindenburg (the German Field Marshal war hero and future Weimar President). Upon news of the February Revolution and the abdication of the Tsar, it was time for Svinhufvud to return home, and was given a hero's welcome upon his return. His promise was fulfilled.

Appointed chairman of the Finnish Senate in November 1917 following the Bolshevik proclamation of "self-determination" for all nations, he was one of the architects of Finland's declaration of Independence and personally met with Lenin in Petrograd, where the Soviet government formally recognized Finland's independence.

Upon returning to Finland, Svinhufvud found the country on the verge of civil war. When hostilities did break out, Svinhufvud travelled to Germany to rally support for the White cause, and, being a monarchist at heart, and as acting regent, tried to get Frederick Charles of Hesse as the new King. He did succeed in getting German military support, but was less successful at restoring monarchy. With the German defeat to the Western Allies in the fall of 1918, and the subsequent adoption of a republican government in Finland confirmed, Svinhufvud decided to retire from the public scene, though privately working with anti-communist groups, with an ambivalent attitude towards the Lapua Movement.

He did not remain outside of the public eye for long, however. In 1925 he ran for President as the candidate for the conservative Kokoomus party, albeit unsuccessfully. However, the growth in strength of the Lapuas , along with his cooperation with them and his status as one of the Founding Fathers got appointed as Prime Minister a few years later. And in 1931, he ran for President once more, this time successful, defeating Kaarlo Juho Stahlberg, the first President of Finland, by the barest of margins.

As a conservative nationalist, Pehr's term had been firm but fair. He courted policies to appeal to Finnish moderates, while shunning fascist and communists aside. After the Lapuas had stirred up a failed coup against his government in 1932, he had them promptly banned and its leaders arrested. That same year, he had Communism banned and all Communist Party members in Parliament arrested. This was part of his plan to "eradicate communism" from Finland, despite being much more conciliatory towards the Reds at the conclusion of the civil war many years prior. Even Social Democrats he looked at with suspicion, believing their policies would lead Finland into chaos, anarchy and Marxism, and as a man that saw the horrors of the Civil War, he absolutely wanted to avoid another round of it. To counter possible socialist movements, he instituted land reform policies that gained the support of many farmers throughout the country, who had also supported the Whites during the Civil War. Nonetheless, by 1936, Svinhufvud's popularity within Finnish society was beginning to wane, allowing opposition parties to take advantage.

Tanner.jpg

Vaino Tanner, leader of the opposition

Pehr's main opposition came in the form of the aforementioned Social Democrats, and their party leader Vaino Tanner. Tanner, who had briefly served as Prime Minister in the 1920s, was a banker and lawyer by trade, and also a skillful politician. Having remained neutral during the civil war, after its conclusion, he helped lead the rehabilitation of the Social Democrats in the eyes of the Finnish public, binning off the extremists parts of the movement in favor of a more patriotic, pragmatic approach. This saw no favors from their sister parties in the other Scandinavian nations, seeing the Finnish SD's as being too nationalistic, though in fact they had formed a coalition with the Agrarian movement, themselves anti-communist, as a counterweight to the nationalist Svinhuvfud government. With the Presidential Election being around the corner in 1937, there were calls to use this coalition to find a candidate that could defeat President Svinhufvud, and an early candidate was former Prime Minister and current Speaker of Parliament, Kyosti Kallio, another father of Independence, though with a much wider appeal to the general Finnish population than the conservative Svinhufvud.

Finnish Fashies.PNG

Propaganda Poster for the IKL, bearing uncanny resemblance to fascist movements in Germany, Italy and Spain

Moving out of the moderates and towards the extremes, there was also the Isanmaallinen Kanssanliike (or IKL), which was a far-right, fascist, and anti-communist party, led by Vilho Annala. Born out of the ban of the Lapua Movement, this party was as anti-Swedish as it was anti-Soviet, and they even had their own blackshirted thugs modeled on Mussolini's Blackshirts, who saluted each other using the Roman salute. The party's support base was similar to that of other fascist movements in Europe, comprising of wealthy farmers, the upper middle class, and clergy. They were also very large proponents of the Greater Finland myth. Economically, they wanted to abolish capitalism in Finland and replace it with a corporatist system not too dissimilar to that in Fascist Italy. With all this however, they were sitll on the outside looking in politically, comprising 19% of the Finnish parliament and not having much real influence, as the Svinhufvud government did crackdowns on their activities and papers, and conducted raids against them.

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Aimo Aaltonen, de-facto leader of the Communists, though sitting in a prison cell

Finally, there was the SKP, which was the Finnish Communist Party. Although out of government and banned by President Svinhufvud back in 1932, there still remained an underground communist movement, backed by Moscow. Their leader, Aimo Aaltonen, had studied in Moscow and been arrested upon his return to Finland in 1934. With the social democrats courting many of the policies that less radical socialists would be inclined to support, and the general thought in Finnish society that Finnish Communists were nothing more than Soviet agents, there was a general negativity towards them, and they were expected to remain irrelevant barring being installed by force, should the Soviets ever come invade.

The Economic Situation

Having fought a bloody and destructive civil war less than two decades prior, Finland had managed to pull itself together quite well by the time 1936 came around. Naturally, due to the geographical topography of Finland, most cities and therefore heavy industry lay in the southern part of the country near the Gulfs of Finland and Bothnia, with the major cities like Helsinki and Tampere being the manufacturing hotbeds. Tampere was the birthplace of Nokia, a world renowned electronics company. However, the most developed part of the country was in Karelia, with the city of Viipuri as its main industrial hub. On the flip side, Northern Finland was largely agrarian, though it did possess sizeable amounts of steel and chromium. Finland's trade was mostly with its fellow Scandinavian and Baltic neighbors, except for the Soviet Union. Only 1% of Finnish total trade was done with the Soviets.

The Military Situation

Marshal Mannerheim.PNG

Breakdown of Finnish Army at the start of 1936

Despite having a rich tradition and reputation of being fearless warriors, at the start of 1936, Finland's armed forces were not really in any fighting shape to take on their powerful neighbor to the east. With Civil War hero Marshal Carl Gustav Mannerheim as Commander in Chief of the army, it was comprised of 18 total land army divisions. However, the prevailing thought in the military was that the armed forces would eventually need to be expanded. To make matters more complicated, due to Finland's very small population, recruitment to drive the size of the army was extremely constrained. Of the 18 divisions, 10 divisions were moreso infantry brigades in their composition as opposed to full strength divisions as they were composed of 6 infantry batallions each. Another 7 divisions were garrison divisions built for garrison duties or for line filler in a potential conflict, having only 3 batallions in each, Finally, there was a singular cavalry division, in accordance with Finnish military tradition. However, there were calls within the military to either disband it or transition to motorization, seeing how ineffective cavalry had become in the new age of warfare in the Great War. Another major issue plaguing all the branches of the land army were the lack of guns and support equipment, with not a single one of the 18 divisions being even at 50% supplied.

Infantry Tempaltes.PNG

Division Composition of the Infantry, priority would be set to expand and strengthen them as much as possible

The Finnish Air Force was at the moment non-existent. Though the need to expand the Air For had become clear, Finnish military industry had not yet grown to support the production of one, and though there were ideas for research and development of domestic models, the likelihood was that the Finns would have to reach out to some other nation to make purchases into order to build an air stockpile.

Finnish Navy.PNG

State of the Navy, with plenty of room to expand if properly invested in

The Finnish Navy was also quite weak in comparison to other players in the region in 1936. the Suomen Merivoimat was comprised of 6 total military vessels, of which only two were part of the sea fleet, and the other four were submarines. There were plans to expand the fleet to rival that of the neighboring Swedes, or even the Soviets' own Baltic Sea Fleet, including plans to develop destroyers, yet the navy was still neglected for the most part.

Use of propaganda poster is purely for storytelling purposes, I do not condone or support the views held by the IKL
I thought of providing more of a background on Kallio, but I feel that would be more appropriate once the 1937 election rolls around
 
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The Finnish Air Force was at the moment non-existent
There goes the Finnish claim to having the first independent air force, which is fair enough as it was always a bit questionable.

While I am always a fan of naval development in the case of Finland I'm not so sure. The two coastal defence ships and a few submarines, backed up by all the coastal forts and artillery the Tsars built (suitably modernised of course) probably does the job of defending the Finnish coast, or at least buying enough time for the army to counter-attack any landings. Given the desperate need in the Army and Air Force I think a bigger Navy may be a luxury Finland cannot afford.

In any case it will be interesting to see what choices Finland makes and how they turn out.
 
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A bigger army would be useful.

It looks like the next elections might change many things for Finland...
 
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There goes the Finnish claim to having the first independent air force, which is fair enough as it was always a bit questionable.
Not exactly the wisest thing to brag about when it is so clearly false, yet at the same time the Scandinavian climate may really not be the best place for such operation, as seen in various military battles where Air was grounded due to winter.
While I am always a fan of naval development in the case of Finland I'm not so sure. The two coastal defence ships and a few submarines, backed up by all the coastal forts and artillery the Tsars built (suitably modernised of course) probably does the job of defending the Finnish coast, or at least buying enough time for the army to counter-attack any landings. Given the desperate need in the Army and Air Force I think a bigger Navy may be a luxury Finland cannot afford.
Come to think, you may indeed be right. WIth the small industry Finland has, a coastal defense fleet should relatively suffice, the Soviet Red Navy and its Baltic Fleet aren't exactly the Royal Navy.
 
Chapter 2: The Gathering Storm (January - March 1936)

The Economy

Economic Situation January 1936.PNG

The industrial and technological expansions in Finland at the start of the new year

Coming into 1936, the Finnish government led by Svinhufvud decided to make major inroads in the economic development of the country. Research programs were started in the fields of electronic mechanical engineering, as well as into industry, to develop more advanced methods that would help with the industrialization and economic growth of Finland. Alongside that, seeing the natural steel and chromium resources in Lappi province, an initiative was undertaken to develop the infrastructure there, to increase the mineral extraction in the region. This infrastructure effort was expected to be completed in July 1936.

Infrastucture Focus.PNG

Infrastructure Effort

In addition to the infrastructure efforts in Lappi, there was a concurrent move for development of the southern regions of the country, those that had the bulk of the country's population, urban centers and industry. The provinces of Uusimaa, Turku, Hame, Kymi and Mikkili underwent infrastructure development programs at the start of the year, alongside with further urban expansions in those areas, to support an ever growing working class. Not only that, but many new railways were laid, most notably a new railway connecting the capital Helsinki with the bustling industrial center of Tampere. Despite certain voices in the government and industrial elite calling for increased German and Swedish ties to help with these efforts, for the time being, these programs were to be self-sufficient.

Military Industry

Starting Production.PNG

Finland's military industry was still incredibly underdeveloped at the start of the year, and it was clear to everyone that substantial investment over the coming years was needed to get the Finnish Army into a self-sufficient fighting force not wholly reliant on foreign aid

Finland's military industry was not in the best shape as the calendar flipped to 1936. Most production was focused on producing guns, in which the army was in a deficit of. Support equipment were being produced as well. However, both those in the government and in the military agreed that heavier weapons had to start getting produced at some point, once the industry could support their production. First in line to be added were to be tower artillery pieces, and eventually anti-air units were to be added into production as well.

On the naval side, for the near future all effort would be spent on building convoy ships. As Finland's trade partners were primarily their fellow Baltic states, convoys were a necessity, not just for trade, but potentially for future conversion into coast guarding ships.

Of course, the current production took a lot of Finland's domestic steel production. Despite the infrastructure effort meant to increase Lappi's steel, any further increase in the military industry would surely have to rely on steel imports, either from the neighboring Swedes, the friendly Germans, or, the hated Soviets. For now, production and the efficiency of the production lines were not greatly affected, yet the Finns had their steel constraints in mind when planning for future increases in production.

Rising global tensions

Ethiopia.PNG


While domestically, Finland was concentrating on its own internal development, externally, the world order that had been forged at the conclusion of the Great War was beginning to crack at the seams. In Ethiopia, Italy's Fascist leader Benito Mussolini launched an unjust war of conquest, seeking revenge for the military disaster the Italians had suffered there in at the end of the previous century, and to start his conquest of his own "Roman Empire". After Italian troops had arrived en masse to the Italian colonies of Somaliland and Eritrea at the end of 1935, Il Duce gave out the strict orders to conquer Ethiopia "by any means necessary" and to avenge the defeat that brought national shame to Italy.

Italian troops, possessing modern weapons and an air force, were proving to be no match for the Ethiopians. Despite the war in the northern, mountainous terrain of the Ogaden province being an absolute grind, solid progress was still being made. In the south, however, Italian forces were having much more success. The important city of Harare had been captured by the end of February, along with the railway to the capital of Addis Ababa being cut off. Furthermore, Addis Ababa was in the reach of the Italians, and to most observers, it was rather a matter of when, not if, Ethiopia would be conquered.

Rhineland.PNG
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German troops enter the Rhineland. Foreshadowing of what is to come?

Closer to home, however, a shockwave hit the world. In the early hours of March 7th, 1936, German Fuhrer Adolf Hitler boldly directed his troops to march into the Rhineland. This region, which was Germany's industrial basin, had been demilitarized since the Treaty of Versailles that had concluded the Great War. This was a blatant violation of that treaty, and the world watched how the Great Powers, in particular France and Britain, would respond. Inside France, there were major debates how to respond. The re-militarization of the Rhineland was seen by many as a step undermining French national security, and some in those tense hours after the first Germans had crossed the Rhine into Cologne had argued that a swift military campaign was necessary to put Hitler and Germany in their place. However, concerns about internal stability, the defensive minded French military doctrine, and British apathy towards the events had convinced PM Laval to ultimately issue nothing more than a half-hearted diplomatic protest.

In Germany, Hitler was ecstatic. In this bold move, he had openly flaunted the Treaty of Versailles, and had become emboldened and convinced that the Western Allies were too weak and cowardly to enforce their own terms laid in that French palace all those years ago. In a speech to the Reichstag announcing the decision to move in, he stated "Neither threats nor warnings will prevent me from going my way. I follow the path assigned to me by Providence with the instinctive sureness of a sleepwalker". The man who made it his mission in his manifesto "Mein Kampf" to restore Germany as a great power had successfully started on this mission.

Nevertheless, with the boldness in Berlin, and passiveness in Paris, the first steps in eroding the fragile peace that had been agreed some 17 years prior had been taken.
 
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Paradox taking it's usual lax approach to resource locations, but to Finland's benefit so that is nice.

All fairly standard so far and it will probably be a good few years until Finland can influence much, unless the HOI4 AI goes off the rails as it so often does. ;)
 
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The Finnish focus on the military is good. They should be prepared for another great war.

Ethiopia is doing surprisingly well against the Italians. I would've expected them to be conquered quickly.
 
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All fairly standard so far and it will probably be a good few years until Finland can influence much, unless the HOI4 AI goes off the rails as it so often does. ;)
Really is just a quest against time to build the country up before Uncle Joe comes in making demands for Karelia, very much a similar race against time as it is for countries in Germany's crosshairs