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Garbon said:
So then how is that they actually managed to get by in this timeline?

The same way they survived as long as they did IRL? A combination of foreign knights, successful alliances, mercenaries. And the big 'foil' is the survival of the Il-Khanate, the threat of which has kept the Caliphate from turning its full attention on the KoJ.

So, while I think its understandable to move Samaria to Crusader culture and Catholic, I personally see the balance there to be both believable and balanced.
 
Avernite said:
Well, they survived for 300 years already; why should they not survive?


I said not easily by the ai. It doesn't fit the 'standard' (most-likely-to-occur) storyline we have devised. In the same way, we haven't conceived on Crete doing really well in the hands of the ai. Sure, a player might take it to a WC, but the ai should normally go basically nowhere as Crete. Or Albania. Or a dozen other states which have survived for 300 years, but still shouldn't do well under the ai normally.
 
MattyG said:
I said not easily by the ai. It doesn't fit the 'standard' (most-likely-to-occur) storyline we have devised. In the same way, we haven't conceived on Crete doing really well in the hands of the ai. Sure, a player might take it to a WC, but the ai should normally go basically nowhere as Crete. Or Albania. Or a dozen other states which have survived for 300 years, but still shouldn't do well under the ai normally.

Hmm, I guess.

Still, the very fact of 300 continuous years of rule by the same government tends to have a profound effect. Perhaps on the government, which becomes more similar to a local church in communion with Rome, rather than Roman Catholic. Or maybe on the people, who get used to the rule by the catholics.

Basically, 'just getting by' is pretty close to what the KoJ did in real life, with any setback having to be fixed by a massive organized counterstrike from Europe. There WILL be setbacks in 300 years, yet Interregnum (IIRC) does not imply any extra large crusades into that region.

So, something has to better than reality, IMO. Something that allows the kingdom to rebound on its own, be it a surviving powerfull crusader order that continues to draw real strength from Europe, or a greater participation of the locals. It may not be enough to save them for the AI, but it should have a serious impact on both Jerusalem, and any conquerors.
 
Avernite said:
Hmm, I guess.

Still, the very fact of 300 continuous years of rule by the same government tends to have a profound effect. Perhaps on the government, which becomes more similar to a local church in communion with Rome, rather than Roman Catholic. Or maybe on the people, who get used to the rule by the catholics.

Basically, 'just getting by' is pretty close to what the KoJ did in real life, with any setback having to be fixed by a massive organized counterstrike from Europe. There WILL be setbacks in 300 years, yet Interregnum (IIRC) does not imply any extra large crusades into that region.

So, something has to better than reality, IMO. Something that allows the kingdom to rebound on its own, be it a surviving powerfull crusader order that continues to draw real strength from Europe, or a greater participation of the locals. It may not be enough to save them for the AI, but it should have a serious impact on both Jerusalem, and any conquerors.


Yes, I think that when I say there has been no fourth crusade, there has been no fourth crusade as we knew it. No huge collection of knights in that exact period who then went and sacked Byzantium. But just as there was a fifth, sixth, seventh etc crusades into the levant that nobody talks or cares much about, the KoJ continued to get influxes of crusading knights. And during this 300 year period the boundaries were in pretty-much constant flux. Syria, Judea, Aleppo - all these provinces came and went from their control. That they find themselves in 1419 with as much territory as they do is due to two factors.

1. The EU2 vanilla map, which has these massive province sizes.

2. That the previous 20 years has seen the Kingdom retake territory it has lost and is almost as big as it has ever been. This partially accounts for the realization within the Caliphate of its own political/social mallaise which it is soon to leave, thans to the energy of Qazavani.


So, in the Interregnum world, the KoJ has just crested and the Caliphate is at one of its low points. Soon this will reverse itself, but we postulate that this is not just the latest in the series of rises and falls, but that the dynamic of the region is about to change. The Caliphate will have a genuine cultural and political revival. If it can survive the most aggressive Il-Khan in centuries, Hulagu III and the cost of its own internal changes. The Il-Khanate is having its final hurrah, most likely, unless it can capture Baghdad or accepts Islam. And the Seljuks are also to head into a period of ascension, just in time to face down to Caliphate and prevent it from expanding effortlessly. (But not before its own civil war ...). And the KoJ will finally have to face a future without the influx of fresh flesh from Europe, especially Sicily, which has been the principal source of support in the last two generations (hence the sequence of events where Siciliy can be effectively granted the kingdom should it fall to the saracens).
 
Usefull discussion on the history forums, interesting quote:

"Nevertheless, it would appear that it wasn't too much of a motivation for conversion, as rural society in Muslim Egypt, Syria, and Palestine was overhwhelmingly Christian up to the time of the Crusades and even beyond."

http://forum.paradoxplaza.com/forum/showthread.php?t=329813&page=4&pp=20

Now, this certainly allows the viability of the crusader states to improve, since it means many of their provinces will not be of muslim religion, rendering them less valuable to their foes.

Maybe some could even be 'catholic' to represent those christians not opposed to Crusader rule?
 
Avernite said:
Usefull discussion on the history forums, interesting quote:

"Nevertheless, it would appear that it wasn't too much of a motivation for conversion, as rural society in Muslim Egypt, Syria, and Palestine was overhwhelmingly Christian up to the time of the Crusades and even beyond."

http://forum.paradoxplaza.com/forum/showthread.php?t=329813&page=4&pp=20

Now, this certainly allows the viability of the crusader states to improve, since it means many of their provinces will not be of muslim religion, rendering them less valuable to their foes.

Maybe some could even be 'catholic' to represent those christians not opposed to Crusader rule?


Debatable

It is true that there were parts of the Levants that were overwhelmingly Christians, but they were of the orthodox, Greek, or Coptic rites - and not, Catholic (With the exception of the maronites). There was however, a considerable Muslim presence in many parts of the Levant, and I say considerable. IRL the Kingdom of Jeruslem before Saladin's prompted response had, as far as scholars are concerned, around 25 thousand Franks from a population of Arabs, Syrians, and other minorities that could have very well ranked a few hundred thousand.

You must also understand that the Crusaders themselves were being assimilated by the east through the simple formula of living in the east. By the 13th century, the remaining Crusaders in IRL were, as the saying goes "More Arab than the Arabs!" and given the fact that they lorded over a generally Muslim peasantry, made them more sensible I would say to Muslim doctrine and ideas.

You want to make the Crusader states more viable? Make a special event that decreases the revoltrisk and increases taxes rather than turning provinces into Christian dominated regions.
 
Calipah said:
You want to make the Crusader states more viable? Make a special event that decreases the revoltrisk and increases taxes rather than turning provinces into Christian dominated regions.

Well, there are stronger penalties than that. The real killer is stability - for a Christian country, each non-Christian province is as destabilising as about five right-religion ones. That's the rule, no exceptions, and the result is that 1 point of stability for the KoJ costs about as much as it would for some 25-province blob in Catholic Europe. Now I accept that the KoJ is not going to be as stable as most countries, but so much instability seems overly harsh.

This is the key problem: historically, rulers often had little desire to convert their subjects, because there was little incentive to do so in terms of staying in charge. In EU2 the incentive is absolutely massive. The most extreme case of this is in southern and eastern Asia, where EU2 penalises Confucian rulers for having Buddhist subjects :wacko:

What you say about Arabising of the rulers is interesting, and it's why we have the possibility of KoJ becoming a Levantine-cultured state. Surely if they became more like the locals, this would make their rule seem less 'foreign'? This assimilation is also why the whole 'crazy Templars take over and ruin everything' storyline that seems to be almost inevitable in the current events doesn't wash for me - their desire and opportunity to do this would have been much greater 200 years earlier.

It could equally be said that after the Mughals conquered Delhi, they became very much like Indians. The one thing they kept is their Muslim faith. (Mughal India had a significant and steadily increasing Muslim minority over its history, to be fair, but prior to the Mughals, there were Muslim-ruled states in India that were overwhelmingly Hindu, without this causing much problem.) In the absence of significant immigration, I can imagine the ruling class in the KoJ transforming similarly, becoming much like the local Muslims, except that they remain Christian (nominally Catholic), though probably considerably at variance with standard Roman Catholic practices in Western Europe. This process would already be well underway by 1419, which is why I'm suspicious of the 'Crusader' route being the default. Perhaps this could eventually lead to a break with Europe, if the KoJ survives long enough, resulting in an independent church in Jerusalem? I'm thinking the KoJ could switch to 'Orthodox', especially as it's likely to find more common cause with Byzantium and local eastern churches than any Catholic country. But this still wouldn't affect the whole Christian/non-Christian thing as far as penalties are concerned (though it would at least allow them to bring the local Christians on board).


What if we gave the KoJ Levantine culture from the start, but made sure they couldn't convert anywhere in the region without a lot of tries (ie the current reconversion events, only more of them)? We could also give them some extra opportunities to gain stability by random event (at some suitable cost). That way we'd keep the religious position realistic, without penalising Jerusalem too heavily. As I say, the KoJ shouldn't be just as easy to run as a single-religion country, but it shouldn't be impossible either.
 
Calipah said:
Debatable

It is true that there were parts of the Levants that were overwhelmingly Christians, but they were of the orthodox, Greek, or Coptic rites - and not, Catholic (With the exception of the maronites). There was however, a considerable Muslim presence in many parts of the Levant, and I say considerable. IRL the Kingdom of Jeruslem before Saladin's prompted response had, as far as scholars are concerned, around 25 thousand Franks from a population of Arabs, Syrians, and other minorities that could have very well ranked a few hundred thousand.

Yes, I am not saying they entirely controlled everything.

Still, after 300 years, they likely got into more of an understanding with the local eastern christian communities, and that could very well be a majority in many places, due to these christians being favoured over less liked groups. Not all will be converted, but I think a unified christian government in Jerusalem could definately be as stable as, say, the ottoman government ruling all of the Balkans.
 
One of the very tricky aspects of the Kingdom of jerusalem, something that makes it a much more difficult file to write, is that the crusader states didn't last, there isn't anything in the world at the period on which can properly model it and realistically a lot of different outcomes were possible.

Here, though, are a few points which I think ought to bear on the decisions we make.

1. Cultrual Change Affects Everyone
The local culture would have/did change the conquerers. but the conquerers would also have changed the cultures present. Cultural change is never a one-way proposition. With 200 extra years the regions which had been long crusader-dominated would no longer appear very arabic to the arabs living in baghdad, for exmaple. Not cultural or linguistically.

2. Something MUST Have Been Different
The alternate history of the region must be different from the real. This seems obvious, yet we often fall into the trap of arguing that because something didn't happen historically, then it mustn't be a very likely option. But the crusaders did not last, so it actually follows that if they were to have survived, then they MUST have done something significantly different in our world. This ought to include at least one of the following:

a. Greater and sustained military involvement from Europe, meaning the European population would have been even greater.

b. Somehow winning over local populations through fair governance. This would need to include some degree of religious tolerance.

c. Somehow becoming genuinely accepted by the arab/muslim neighbour states.

3. The Military Orders Need to be Represented

I don't think that the "'crazy Templars take over and ruin everything' storyline" is so far fetched. The catholic world and its military orders have a vested interest in the area and would have considerable sway back in Europe with powerful leaders there. And while the religious tenor of the levant may have been more orthdox than catholic, it isn't so far fetched that the ruling elites are catholic and would not go quietly into the night. Not that it has to happen, either, but its the storyline that this file needs, I feel, because players are going to want to have that aspect of Outremer reflected in the storylines available to them. Currently its the 'action_b' path so the ai won't choose it that often.
 
MattyG said:
One of the very tricky aspects of the Kingdom of jerusalem, something that makes it a much more difficult file to write, is that the crusader states didn't last, there isn't anything in the world at the period on which can properly model it and realistically a lot of different outcomes were possible.

Here, though, are a few points which I think ought to bear on the decisions we make.

I think we're basically on the same page here, it's just a matter of degree.

1. Cultrual Change Affects Everyone
I think this is well represented by Levantine culture, which can slowly spread if the KoJ prospers. Whether we need a separate Crusader culture is another matter - I don't think the culture is that relevant at the level of whole provinces, because the Europeans are not numerous enough to dominate whole provinces culturally (with the possible exception of Judea). As such, JER might as well have no culture if we really want to screw them over. But overall I think giving them Levantine from the start is fair - they'll suffer enough penalties as it is from wrong-religion.

2. Something MUST Have Been Different
Yup. Over the KoJ's long Interregnum history, it must have done all three I think, particularly in establishing some level of religious tolerance, and in being militarily more secure. It is less of an affront to Muslim states by 1419 partly because it isn't actively threatening Muslims, but mainly simply because local Muslim rulers have got used to it being there, and religious solidarity is often trumped by inertia or convenience. I think the EU engine does quite enough by itself to stir up hatred between different-religion states, what with the way the AI sets its tolerance sliders (no provinces of the relevant religion = zero tolerance), so we don't need to make the KoJ even more of a pariah. If anything, by sheer necessity the KoJ is going to be rather better at making deals with Muslim rulers than either Byzantium or later Christian arrivals to the fringes of Islam.

3. The Military Orders Need to be Represented
Represented yes, but in a balanced way, bearing in mind how both JER and the military order must have evolved to still be around in 1419. If they are all-powerful, then they must have supported the direction in which the KoJ has evolved politically, so they can't have been dominated by fanatics. If they're more of a radical fringe politically, the risk of them taking over should be dependent on circumstances, and the way this ought to happen is not as straightforward as winning vs losing. For instance, if the KoJ suffers on the battlefield, you might think 'JER is shown to be weak, rebel Templars take over'. But actually, those same fanatics would have been first to charge off and attack the enemy, large numbers would be vulture food by the time it became clear that JER was losing the war, and in any case they'd have better things to do than launch a coup (better to fend off the external enemy first, then take over). Rather, military orders would tend to thrive if JER is too successful militarily, as they would get a lot of the spoils in terms of newly-conquered frontier territories. On the other hand, a KoJ on reduced territory but with major European immigration would not strengthen the established military orders so much, as they would be seen to have failed, but it would increase the concentration of Christians somewhat and increase competition for land, which might destroy some of the relations built up between the different communities.

At the other end, we could consider different fates for the KoJ. Here are some ideas:

- A local Muslim leader launches a successful rebellion, however he tries to carve out his own kingdom rather than submit to the Caliph of Baghdad. We can have some revolter tag to represent this - call the revolter 'al-Sham' or 'Palestine' maybe?

- After rejection of crusades, heresy and schism in the Catholic world, the KoJ undergoes a rapprochement with the Orthodox world, seen as more useful allies in the region. This may reach a point where we give the KoJ Orthodox state religion - for instance, the king might marry a Byzantine princess, one of whose children wants to switch to Orthodoxy, or alternatively, the KoJ sets up its own church, separate from both Rome and Constantinople but more sympathetic to the latter.

- The Kingdom gets inherited by a large outside power with the military muscle to fight for it - but do they have the will? The most likely candidates here are Sicily and Byzantium - the latter either by true inheritance (if there's a rapprochement) or due to a takeover by pro-Greek forces in the Kingdom, such as Cypriots or potentially Armenians.

- Even for Muslim states, the JER may be the lesser of two evils. The most likely scenario is that Egypt is hard-pressed by the Caliphate, and decides to form an alliance of convenience with JER. This is the kind of logical choice a player might make, but we need to help the AI if we want it to behave sensibly according to regional politics.

- With the combination of different religions, a concentration of holy sites and pilgrims, and the influence of schisms ripping through the Christian and Muslim worlds in the 15th and 16th centuries, strange things could happen. Maybe some novel religious movement springs up in Jerusalem, probably represented by Reformed (if Christian) or Mutazelite (if Muslim) or even use one of the eastern tags (some kind of weird evangelical Jewish or Gnostic sect?). Little chance of survival and even less of taking political control of the Kingdom, but fun for those who want the ultimate challenge for JER.
 
There are some great ideas here.

I don't feel that the military orders need to be made out to be fanatics. Fanaticism seems too much of a modern term. The Order of Solomon wants to maintain Catholicism and the Catholic churches hold over Jerusalem. In fact, the ore we move the KoJ to a more pragmatic, orthdox state the more likely it is that the Order will be these 'fanatics' as there is a growing threat to the church's hold on the holy land. The military oders take their formal authority from the Pope and answer only to him (at least in theory). They will also have local political power that comes from wealth and land ownership. No doubt they also have "friends back in Rome" and elsewhere who want to see Jerusalem remain in Catholic hands and see the Kingdom slipping slowly into heresy.


One difficulty is that the fun cultural change ideas probably should have happened by 1419, but it's more fun to have them occur in the time frame of the game, naturally.
 
Well..

The reformaton is definately going to be interesting for them (if they are still around).

A fake pope in Rome, and another in Germany? That'll harm the power of the Orders. I'd say it is the perfect time for an orthodoxist reform in the KoJ.

Also, I'd like the events to be a bit more balanced. Maybe, for the first succesfull conversion of a province, it gets turned to the right culture but still reverts to the old religion? IE, the KoJ has managed to gain influence in the region, but not absolute dominance.

Of course, the Caliphate really should lose the 'Oh dear, I conquered Jerusalem. Now everyone there likes me' events. That way, it has some actual impact what Jerusalem does, and they might become less of a nice picking for the Caliphs. Not that they'll be likely to survive, as the Caliphate is still a hostile neighbour with a lot of power...

But at least it would more reflect the more Mediterranean inclination that would be present in the region, compared to the more Arab-focused Caliphate.
 
Avernite said:
A fake pope in Rome, and another in Germany? That'll harm the power of the Orders. I'd say it is the perfect time for an orthodoxist reform in the KoJ.

Yes, that's the right approach.

Also, I'd like the events to be a bit more balanced. Maybe, for the first succesfull conversion of a province, it gets turned to the right culture but still reverts to the old religion? IE, the KoJ has managed to gain influence in the region, but not absolute dominance.

Yes, like it.

Of course, the Caliphate really should lose the 'Oh dear, I conquered Jerusalem. Now everyone there likes me' events. That way, it has some actual impact what Jerusalem does, and they might become less of a nice picking for the Caliphs. Not that they'll be likely to survive, as the Caliphate is still a hostile neighbour with a lot of power...

Agreed, part of making the region a bit more comlex is that it has to have more complexity for the caliphate too.

Excellent point all.
 
An addendum to my idea...

Maybe Jerusalem goes a sort of national church, installing a new Patriarch of Jerusalem (or suporting the current one) to justify their rule AND to get the Patriarch of Aleppo on board (converting the culture of any not yet culture-converted Syrian province, maybe?).

This could definately also have impact on the Egyptian crusade, which could have triggered by this time while KoJ was catholic; As orthodox, they could strike a deal with some Coptic leaders to allow more control of Egypt, making it a real part of the KoJ rather than a conquered province.
 
Avernite said:
This could definately also have impact on the Egyptian crusade, which could have triggered by this time while KoJ was catholic; As orthodox, they could strike a deal with some Coptic leaders to allow more control of Egypt, making it a real part of the KoJ rather than a conquered province.

This is kind of the idea I had when making the conquest of Egypt events. The KoJ currently has 4 options for pro-Jerusalem Egypt, which affect the state religion of Egypt. In order of competence and revolt risk, starting with the best:

- Mameluk elite merchant family (Traditional Islam - hmm, maybe Mutazelism would also be a possibility?)
- Coptic nobles (Orthodox)
- Frankish counts of Syria (Catholic - this one is only available if JER is catholic/counterreform)
- Continue to rule directly

These options could change a bit if Jerusalem has its own church, probably to something like:

- Mameluk merchant (Muslim of some kind)
- Coptic nobles (Orthodox)
- Direct rule with concessions to the Copts
- Direct rule, no concessions

The direct rule with concessions would still be pretty unpleasant in terms of revolt risk, but not quite as bad as the no concessions version.

If JER changes religion after releasing a Catholic Egypt, then Egypt should get an event asking whether they support the new church in Jerusalem, with the default being to accept.
 
One point to remember is that in Interregnum 2 there is no mameluke state, no Mamelukes period. With the alternative history that we have established for the region Calipah realised that the mamelukes could not have emerged, and Egypt is controlled by the Seljuks in 1419.

I do like these ideas above. But we still need to come to a definitive plan for the early years.