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How about a civil war in the UAE caused because two muslim sects both want power, and one controls most of the government, so the South breaks away to protect its religion, which is now a minority?

That could be cool. Then the south of the UEA actually sympathizes with Mexico et al.
 
That could be cool. Then the south of the UEA actually sympathizes with Mexico et al.

et al
It would be interesting to have Mexico also be ruled by the South's religion, therefore Mexico trys to protect the South.