• We have updated our Community Code of Conduct. Please read through the new rules for the forum that are an integral part of Paradox Interactive’s User Agreement.
They already lost

​Vote livingstone, keep the tie

So we meet again old friend.

*Lights another cigarette*

I had hoped it would be on friendlier terms, but it appears I am wrong.

*Crushes cigarette underfoot*

If I wasn't sure that Ithvan was a wolf, I would challenge you to that duel here and now. As it is... next time.

Why? Anyone wanna share why you reckon the Marshall a likely wolf? Granted, there's likely been alibi-voting with the seer gone, but assuming the new guy doing it each and every day is a bit rich imo. Ithvan is as good a bet as any of the candidates available and the fact he's no longer playing makes him an obvious choice for me. Gotta say I'm clueless why you expect the Marshall to be a baddie tho. PM stuff?

I have to agree with oy on this one. Of the two, Marshall is the least likely one in my opinion. Of course, it might be better this way, as Marshall will continue to be a candidate that draws our attention away from the real baddies.
 
Why? Anyone wanna share why you reckon the Marshall a likely wolf? Granted, there's likely been alibi-voting with the seer gone, but assuming the new guy doing it each and every day is a bit rich imo. Ithvan is as good a bet as any of the candidates available and the fact he's no longer playing makes him an obvious choice for me. Gotta say I'm clueless why you expect the Marshall to be a baddie tho. PM stuff?

He showed some really suspicious behaviors early on that he's been run up for ever since. I wouldn't call his votes alibi votes so much as votes he needed to keep himself alive and not look like a complete wolf. At any rate, he's still a solid candidate in my opinion. Obviously, there's no guarantees here.

I guess this is headed for a tie anywhichway, so I'm looking at...

a) both are baddies and I bag a most undeserved victory. Prognosis: 1%
b) neither are baddies and I get hunted tonight. Prognosis: 49%
c) Marshall is the only baddie and I get lynched tomorrow. Prognosis: 1%
d) Ithvan is the only baddie and I'm at great risk of getting hunted. Prognosis: 49%

Doesn't look good. Please have a look at Marshall-voters tomorrow if I'm gone.

Oy

If you really think you have a 98% chance of being hunted, that's hilarious. I'd put it at pretty near 0%. Both a and c are distinct possibilities, on the other hand. The first half of d is also possible, and may be combined with the second half of c. Both parts of b are highly unlikely, but would make you and Livingstone/Panzer likely wolves if true.
 
Uggh. Another screwed up tie.