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Try covering my name on the post before you decide then. Would the wolves risk two of their own following a witness announcement when the game seems a remarkably likely win? No they wouldn't. Because that's dumb.
I was wondering if someone would do this. I wonder which one it is, though. Hm.
This popcorn is delicious.
This popcorn is delicious.
On one hand we have Rendap. On the other hand we have myself and Snoopdogg. Simple reasoning concludes that Rendap must be the wolf, because his packmate would not risk supporting his theory and have his cover blown up. If I was a wolf, why would Snoop do the counter-outing, rather than myself? If I ended up dying, he would be lynched next day. So, the obvious answer is that both myself and Snoopdogg are innocent, and Rendap is a wolf.
It is also no accident that they picked me, who did not vote any wolf down, for the fake outing.
It is also no accident that they picked me, who did not vote any wolf down, for the fake outing.
Yus. The only pertinent question right now is this: Who do you have to make more assumptions to believe?
Option A) Rendap is a wolf. He takes the risk that his story will be believeable enough to get a Stalingrad tomorrow. Even if a witness comes forward, which has a high probability of not even happening with all the absentee players, this is very possible.
B) Snoopdogg is a wolf. Excluding the obvious (I am not a wolf), I'm only taking this chance if it bolsters the team's chances of winning in my mind. I'm not sticking my neck out and potentially hurting the team just to save a packmate. So I'd have to be confident that I could both convince someone among the villagers and get at a minimum one packmate into snipe position. And I'd have to have come up with my lie immediately after Rendap's story, which makes it very unlikely I would have even consulted with one of my packmates.
Mmm, it's already 4-3? Then you must kill the wolf, and not me. Make the right choice.
As Snoop said, the pack would not come out with both wolves guns blazing against the fake outed guy. If they could not convince the village to lynch the fake-outed guy, they would be exposed.
A somewhat meta argument, but no less valid because of it, is that I would not have stopped voting and let you lynch a packmate of mine and then getting subbed by someone who could ruin my pack.
Notice that there already are a couple of votes on me. The baddies are desperate. However, for safety, assume that everyone else can be a wolf and may change their votes, so put me as out of reach of the lead as you can.
PS : I would not have let my pack hunt Kingepyon. I am not that bad a wolf.
As Snoop said, the pack would not come out with both wolves guns blazing against the fake outed guy. If they could not convince the village to lynch the fake-outed guy, they would be exposed.
A somewhat meta argument, but no less valid because of it, is that I would not have stopped voting and let you lynch a packmate of mine and then getting subbed by someone who could ruin my pack.
Notice that there already are a couple of votes on me. The baddies are desperate. However, for safety, assume that everyone else can be a wolf and may change their votes, so put me as out of reach of the lead as you can.
PS : I would not have let my pack hunt Kingepyon. I am not that bad a wolf.
joebthegreat will sub for reis91
Since Athalcor's vote is on a dead person, drxav will sub for Athalcor.
Since Athalcor's vote is on a dead person, drxav will sub for Athalcor.
Well, Well, Well... Not only did we get the witness results on Reis (Joeb now), but we even got us a lynch target for tomorrow. That's even better than I've hoped for!
That only means that we have to locate one more wolf. Like it is being said, we are at 4-3 so we just got to hit a wolf tonight or we'll lose. Simple as that.
I am currently in the airport on my way to Brussels and most likely wont be back before after deadline tonight (Bloody Work) - Therefore I most likely wont make any additional posts today, since I hate doing it from my phone. I will try to get online from my meetings, but since I'm presenting I don't think it will be likely.
To be 100% certain that no technicality will be called as foul play:
UNVOTE REIS91
VOTE JOEBTHEGREAT
VOTE JOEBTHEGREAT
If the GM takes my first vote as valid, everything is good re. first part - If not, the second part of this should go into effect. Sorry Ese, but that's the best I can do with my time table at the moment.
That only means that we have to locate one more wolf. Like it is being said, we are at 4-3 so we just got to hit a wolf tonight or we'll lose. Simple as that.
I am currently in the airport on my way to Brussels and most likely wont be back before after deadline tonight (Bloody Work) - Therefore I most likely wont make any additional posts today, since I hate doing it from my phone. I will try to get online from my meetings, but since I'm presenting I don't think it will be likely.
To be 100% certain that no technicality will be called as foul play:
UNVOTE REIS91
VOTE JOEBTHEGREAT
VOTE JOEBTHEGREAT
If the GM takes my first vote as valid, everything is good re. first part - If not, the second part of this should go into effect. Sorry Ese, but that's the best I can do with my time table at the moment.
I am not a wolf. Allow me to give some food for thought.
If a person is to make a false outing, will he wait until late in the day, or do so as soon as possible? Would he rather be the first person in the day to make an outing (assuming an outing gets made at all), or instead make that outing in response to the real one?
It seems to me that the sign of a false outing is this: It is made as soon in the day as possible, so as to gain credibility and make the real one sound like a counter rather than a real outing. It is made on a day where wolves aren't afraid to give themselves away, because they are only one push away from parity.
Every single person voting for reis91/joebthegreat is a wolf. EVERY SINGLE ONE. If any single villager votes for reis91/joebthegreat, then the game will be over. You can try to tie, and I would honestly WANT you to tie, but wolves wouldn't be afraid to give themselves away in breaking that tie.
So VOTE RENDAP and turn this potential stalingrad into a steamroll goodie victory, please.
If a person is to make a false outing, will he wait until late in the day, or do so as soon as possible? Would he rather be the first person in the day to make an outing (assuming an outing gets made at all), or instead make that outing in response to the real one?
It seems to me that the sign of a false outing is this: It is made as soon in the day as possible, so as to gain credibility and make the real one sound like a counter rather than a real outing. It is made on a day where wolves aren't afraid to give themselves away, because they are only one push away from parity.
Every single person voting for reis91/joebthegreat is a wolf. EVERY SINGLE ONE. If any single villager votes for reis91/joebthegreat, then the game will be over. You can try to tie, and I would honestly WANT you to tie, but wolves wouldn't be afraid to give themselves away in breaking that tie.
So VOTE RENDAP and turn this potential stalingrad into a steamroll goodie victory, please.
For the record, this isn't a Stalingrad. You lucked out and nabbed a wolf on day one.
GM out.
GM out.
Votecount, 2 hours 40 minutes to deadline:
joebthereis - 3 - Rendap, tamius, Boris
Rendap - 3 - snoop, joeb, drxav
Not voted - 1 - Bagricula
GM NOTICE: If Bagricula fails to vote today I will not bother and autolynch him. If you can't be bothered to vote don't sign up at all. I'm sick and tired of having to sub people
I feel better now.
joebthereis - 3 - Rendap, tamius, Boris
Rendap - 3 - snoop, joeb, drxav
Not voted - 1 - Bagricula
GM NOTICE: If Bagricula fails to vote today I will not bother and autolynch him. If you can't be bothered to vote don't sign up at all. I'm sick and tired of having to sub people
I feel better now.
