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Werewolf Lite CCXV - My Little Werewolf: Analysis is Magic

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Kingepyon said:
I'm less suspicious of Najs for openly admitting it. E_L I'm more suspicious of because his vote seems like a revenge vote but he didn't admit it was one.

I'm going to sleep on my vote, and see how the numbers change tomorrow before I (potentially) change my vote.
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Oh right, had you backwards. Well the problem is my vote has to stand due to deadline, and right now it's all fragmented to hell when we should be consolidating. If drxav is a candidate then that's no problem, but if we're going another way it's for the good of the village to get info on my preferences.
 
AOK. 11 said:
frankje.jpg


Hey Neighbor!
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How you doin'?
 
If drxav did this kind of thing last game and he was a wolf (on phone hard to check) I would say he's a decent target. Tamius is decent just because snoop is crazy lucky day 1 and if we can't find a better target go with him. Of course snoop could be a wolf, but I've seen him do this to his own packmates. E_L is decent because of his vote. Unless someone does something crazy in the next few hours, those targets are as good as they get for an average day 1.
 
Kingepyon said:
If drxav did this kind of thing last game and he was a wolf (on phone hard to check) I would say he's a decent target. Tamius is decent just because snoop is crazy lucky day 1 and if we can't find a better target go with him. Of course snoop could be a wolf, but I've seen him do this to his own packmates. E_L is decent because of his vote. Unless someone does something crazy in the next few hours, those targets are as good as they get for an average day 1.
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drxav was a villager last game. I think it was OY who did it, and he was a villager too. It's all guess work and hunches right now, but as long as you talk through the reasoning for all to see that's better than nothing.

tamius was my other option apart from drxav for the record, due to the existing votes in place. They were the only ones where my vote wouldn't be alone of those on my suspicious list. It might be interesting to run up snoopdogg and tamius against each other, since there seems to be groups forming around them.
 
Could be. I'm also interested in the mini E_L pile at the start. Not the first guy who voted him, but the secon makes me look twice, just because it happened so quickly. I think it was xeno.
 
Vote Count, 12 Hours to Deadline

Day One

(2) Eternaly_Lost - esemesas (110), XenomorphII (118)
(1) esemesas - Lord Strange (112)
(1) EUROO7 - reis91 (115)
(2) drxav - Falc (116), Capt. Kiwi (121, 143)
(3) snoopdogg - tamius23 (122), Boris ze Spider (124), AOK (119, 133, 139)
(1) tamius23 - snoopdogg (123)
(2) Capt. Kiwi - Najs (126), enkhuush (130)
(1) Boris ze Spider - Syber_sid (145)
(1) Syber_sid - Kingepyon (146)
(1) Kingepyon - EUROO7 (149)
(1) XenomorphII - Eternaly_Lost (152)
 
Way too fragmented. You and I could vote together to put drxav, tamius or Xeno out to three of those we've spoken about.
 
What about someone else then? Somebody needs to step up to try and help me sort out this mess, or the day is going to be useless information wise.
 
Concentration is always a worthy cause :) And on day one there's plenty of time to change and not much reason to need to, so we may as well get the vote concentrated before we work out if we're happy with the magical 2-3 we've chosen for the day.

Unvote drxav
Vote tamius

To get another candidate up to three. Let's see if there's anything in snoopdogg's "baddie tell" this time, and perhaps more importantly whether there's anything in the counter vote movement on snoopdogg.
 
Oh man, you guys are entertaining(insert missing rofl smiley here)

You're saying we should check out revenge voters, but fail to see how snoop revenge-voted tamius?

You're better than this, Kiwi, you're also better than this Kingepyon.

So, here's your third candidate:

Unvote E_L
Vote Kingepyon
 
Capt. Kiwi said:
Right now the last thing we need is more vote fragmentation. If we could start focussing on our candidates for the day, that'd be great, thanks.
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Who do you think you are? Where did you gain the right to simply come here and organize our lives? You surely are an agent of Greenpeace. Or worse...you are an emissary of the European Supreme Court. But I bow to none.

vote Capt. Kiwi
 
Votecount, roughly 8,5 hours to the deadline:


(4) tamius23 - snoopdogg (123), Kingepyon (146, 169), Capt. Kiwi (121, 143, 170), reis91 (115, 171)

(3) Kingepyon - EUROO7 (149), Adamus (172), esemesas (110, 173)
(3) snoopdogg - tamius23 (122), Boris ze Spider (124), AOK (119, 133, 139)
(3) Capt. Kiwi - Najs (126), enkhuush (130), Athalcor (174)

(1) drxav - Falc (116)
(1) Eternaly_Lost - XenomorphII (118)
(1) esemesas - Lord Strange (112)
(1) Boris ze Spider - Syber_sid (145)
(1) XenomorphII - Eternaly_Lost (152)
 
This won't do! Kingepyon must die, he said so himself.
(Face it people, all votes until late in day 1 WILL be bullshit)

Unvote Kiwi
Vote kingepyon
 
esemesas said:
Oh man, you guys are entertaining(insert missing rofl smiley here)

You're saying we should check out revenge voters, but fail to see how snoop revenge-voted tamius?

You're better than this, Kiwi, you're also better than this Kingepyon.

So, here's your third candidate:

Unvote E_L
Vote Kingepyon
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More interesting is that a number of people then voted snoopdogg. Like EL voters, this isn't likely to mean much. However, snoopdogg has more than his share of luck with first picks, so why not? If you can come up with someone better, that'd be great.

Athalcor said:
Who do you think you are? Where did you gain the right to simply come here and organize our lives? You surely are an agent of Greenpeace. Or worse...you are an emissary of the European Supreme Court. But I bow to none.

vote Capt. Kiwi
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Someone who would quite like to get a chance to play for at least a couple of days after a week of being forced to sit on the sidelines thanks to a leader lynch and random hunt. And someone who got complimented for organising the village early on last game. People would be worried if I wasn't organising.

I don't particularly care who you vote, either. Only one I trust is me, so any candidate is fine. But splitting the vote too much is not in the village's interest. 2-3 candidates, force people to choose.
 
We have tamius, Kingepyon and snoopdogg - you happy Kiwi?
 
esemesas said:
We have tamius, Kingepyon and snoopdogg - you happy Kiwi?
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Yeah, that'll do. In terms of fairness snoopdogg and Kingepyon are still in big, while tamius got a few days play. Kingepyon was a multiple casualty of the last Lite and tamius got lynched midway, while snoopdogg got lynched early, so that could be better. But you've got to allow a certain amount of organicness to the vote, and this is what the people have chosen. It's not like anyone has presented any serious evidence yet, and someone has to be first up. I'm more interested in information - who is going to choose whom, and what reasons do they give? It's why I'm talking and organising. The more people say, the quicker you'll find inconsistancies.
 
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