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Werewolf Lite CCXV - My Little Werewolf: Analysis is Magic

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I'm just going to plop this down here before beddy bye time:
snoopdogg said:
Capt. Kiwi said:
I'm not sure if the village will have any choice but to lynch one of you today. However, I'm not entirely convinced that a wolf snoopdogg would brazenly try a tie snipe, or that a wolf AOK would twice see someone he names as suspicious at deadline hunted.

Now, there could be explanations for this that still leave one or both of you guilty. If snoopdogg had succeeded, and if LS was not a wolf (and they can't be both wolves I think we can agree), then the wolves would just need one villager lynched to win. As for AOK, hunting the people you find guilty may be intended to let you look like you're analysing without having to lynch anyone for it, while making people assume you're not in control of hunts.

But all that is beside the point. While I currently back lynching one of you, as the most obviously suspicious targets, the point is I am not convinced. In particular, I am interested in the hunt of Najs for another reason. He was going after enkhuush, and Xenomorph. The attempt to lynch enkhuush was counterwagoned onto Lord Strange pretty quickly, with Xeno in particular quick to jump on. With Najs dead, the attention hasd conveniently shifted to you, just as tamius wanted.

So what I am asking you is, do you see anything there? The village needs to be united, or risk a snipe. At the moment I'm going with one of you, depending which way the village wants to go. But do you see a tamius-Xeno-enkhuush pack working, or have I missed something?

Thanks. Whether you're wolves or not, your response will be most illuminating.
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I see a Xeno-Enkhuush pack as very likely. With Xeno being the most likely. Tbh, I'd be verrrry surprised if he's not a wolf. In addition to what you said of him, look at his rather blatant efforts to protect euro both the day Reis got lynch, and even the day euro did (with the LS wagon).
I see Tamius more as a conveniently used scapegoat who's now serving his purpose. Among other things, I don't see him blatantly pushing for euro the way he did if they're both varulver. Good luck tomorrow.
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And finally:

UNVOTE AOK
VOTE XenomorphII

He is my best bet. I have been rolling snake eyes all game but all I can do is keep trying.

XenomorphII said:
So, what are you going to do when you lynch me and see I'm a villager?
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Shoot ourselves and congratulate the wolves on a game well played. In that case, they will take a very deserved victory.
 
696_flutterbitch_yourface.gif
 
XenomorphII said:
So, what are you going to do when you lynch me and see I'm a villager?
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I've said what I'd do if that turns out to be the case. AOK remains my second best option, and that's where I'd go, unless something interesting came up today. I don't know whether he'd really go for giving up or not, it seems surprisingly defeatist. However, the fact is you make a more convincing wolf than he does for this vote, at least to me. And no one else stands out apart from you two and maybe snoopdogg or enkhuush, at least as far as I can see. I'd love to hear someone say otherwise, because tunneling is bad even with two to choose from.

@snoopdogg's post: I can verify that is the message I sent snoopdogg and AOK, and that his reply is also correct. Should be pretty clear given that he's posting it while I'm still alive.
 
drxav said:
Xeno and Enkuush. Period. I've campaigned for 2 or 3 days now and they've always been safe.


VOTE XENO
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I have not always been safe. Please make accusation with a fact. Also I'm not wolf, so don't include me any pack you made of.

Vote AOK.
 
The ease with which I got a Xeno bandwagon going is concerning. Nobody is even bothering to defend him or attack me. It is possible Xeno is telling the truth and that they will railroad me tomorrow.

But its too late for doubt at this point. If he is not a wolf I am toast regardless. If that is the case, I would imagine EURO let himself get lynched and Syber and Enk could be the wolves. Or maybe one of the others fooled us. Who knows at this point.

On a side note, I liked this setup. With competent wolf play, which we certainly have here, I think it is a bit unbalanced in favor of the baddies. I would add either a coupld of villagers with one shot scanning powers, A guardian angel, or a witness of some sort. Make the witness gain 20% chance to witness per night starting at zero, and once he uses his ability it is gone.
 
I've been wondering why I haven't been hunted. Is it possible I got completely the wrong end of the stick and that Kiwi, Enk and Xeno are the last wolves??
?
?




?
 
How about you're a wolf with AOK? And you guys are playing your masterpiece, feeding us EUROO.

I reckon anything is possible now. I'll stand where my vote's at because Xeno's the most likely wolf along Enkhuush. Both throw-away or played along a baddie, both got near death and got away with it.

That's my final thought. It's either Xeno and Enkhuush along another one to determine, or it's AOK, snoop and you. Let's put theory one to test, then we'll proceed with theory 2 if this doesn't work.
 
tamius23 said:
I've been wondering why I haven't been hunted. Is it possible I got completely the wrong end of the stick and that Kiwi, Enk and Xeno are the last wolves??
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If you are really innocent, then they are hoping to use you to help lynch me tomorrow.

EURO ordered his boys to save me for last. If Xeno is innocent, then all they need is one villager and the game is over. Again, if you are innocent, they are probably counting on you to help them end the game. That would be my best guess.

Edit: And Xeno, whatever you are, bad show. You could of at least tried.
 
I'm still of the opinion that the three most likely wolves are snoop, AOK, and Xenomorph. In that order.

AOK, you should learn that if you pull stunts like those which happened yesterday and the day before, YOU WILL BE KILLED. It doesn't matter whether you are innocent or not. I've learnt this, and I've been killed for far shakier reasons than that. Veterans shouldn't be exempt from being killed, just for having played this game for a long time. Look at EUROO7.
 
tamius23 said:
Look at EUROO7.
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And? The one thing I have on EURO is that I am better at avoiding the noose. Or rather, I am more skilled at bitching and making people let me live.

As for the rest of your nonsense, no, I will not change my playstyle. I used to get hunted/lynched before day 3 almost every game, but I persevered. Now, I am allowed to live. If you go back to killing me, I will not change. You can kill me as often as you want. I will still play the way I do. And nobody is going to change that. Eventually you will realize the folly of killing me, and I will go on living, as I do now.
 
tamius23 said:
I'm still of the opinion that the three most likely wolves are snoop, AOK, and Xenomorph. In that order.

AOK, you should learn that if you pull stunts like those which happened yesterday and the day before, YOU WILL BE KILLED. It doesn't matter whether you are innocent or not. I've learnt this, and I've been killed for far shakier reasons than that. Veterans shouldn't be exempt from being killed, just for having played this game for a long time. Look at EUROO7.
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You made ties. Don't even try to compare it.
 
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