Werewolf Lite CDII: Hads-Ning Shires' Railway

[Hax]

9 players left - 5 villager, 4 wolves

Remove yourself from the list of candidates and you all have a 50% chance to vote for a wolf. I will vote for one of those who had a throw-away vote on day 1.

VOTE alxeu

 

[F72Voyager]

I'll be honest, I'm not feeling particularly optimistic.

 

[alxeu]

Player analysis:

Matthew - I don't think he's evil. His play is something I've seen other silly goodie players do, and get lynched for because of it, but he's probably only been spared due to his newbiness.

jeray - Been kinda silly since day one, voted aedan for silly reason (dunno if he was joking or not), made vote near the beginning of the day, like me, also never returned to it. Votes Audren for silly day one tie on day two, and Capibara on day three for same reason. Has just kinda... existed, sorta like me. Decent lynch.

Hax - I dunno, tbh. Seems to play the same whenever good or evil. Wouldn't lynch him unless a final 3 or 4 sorta situation, when the better choices are weeded out. Participated in day one tie, and was probably around at deadline, chose to let tie run through.

Audren - TIE silliness day one, first one Ike day two, first on jeray day three. He's been fairly reasonable with his arguments, but falls into the same trap as everyone else in having yet to be successful. Meh.

Alxeu - Throwaway on Eternaly_Lost Day One, was around near deadline tie, but was personally attests to not being around for the last minute where the snipe occurred. Day Two, was second on Ike, felt he was being lazy. Day Three, voted Castor for throwaway day two where he gave no reason, switched after Castor's defense to Voyager, because of voyager's previous vote, despite previously not being interested in pursuing a silly case. Probably as a good a lynch as anybody else.

F72Voyager - Voted jeray day one, switched to Euro and disappeared. Day Two started case on jeray, remained around until deadline, Day Three voted alynkio because alynkio actually analyzing players rubbed him the wrong way.

Claude LC - When he voted Euro day one, broke tie, but Capi soon restored it. Votes Voyager Day Two following Voyager's silly day two vote, and day Three votes Capibara to avoid possibility of Tie, despite preferring Voyager as a candidate.

alynkio - Subbed in for BlackCrown, Day One voted throwaway Capage, Day Two didn't vote, Day Three posted an analysis post and voted Capibara second, due to Capi not getting any attention for the TIE day One. Good lynch for being a previous zombie, but his play yesterday was somewhat resonable, so solidly meh like most everyone.

Aedan - Still alive, Day One voted Jeray completely without any other context, Day Two was on Capibara, post largely ignored, felt going after Audren and Capi was a good idea, but chose not to go after the one who already had votes. Day Three voted Voyager but sniped to Capibara to avoid a TIE. Extremely quiet, no focus on him. Decent choice, amongst other decent choices.

 

[alxeu]

I don't really know, to be honest, I'd rather have more people analyze the field before I make a decision.

Remember, the entire village needs to rally around one candidate, otherwise the wolves will certainly win.

 

[Claude LC]

Working on something to post, gimme a minute

 

[Audren]

I haven't like the cut of jeray's gib (jib?) all game, and I'm confused as to why he's still alive. He was notably the alternative to Ike Day 2, yet managed to slip away. He's received considerable pressure the past few days, but never enough to kill. Seems to me like wolf savings. Voyager could be a decent choice too for being the alternative yesterday, but jeray's had more interactions with people. They're also fairly unlikely packmates, unless there's some serious alibi voting going on (which would be fair).

VOTE JERAY

 

[alxeu]

I'll be honest, I'm not feeling particularly optimistic.

What's your opinion of the other players?

I haven't like the cut of jeray's gib (jib?) all game, and I'm confused as to why he's still alive. He was notably the alternative to Ike Day 2, yet managed to slip away. He's received considerable pressure the past few days, but never enough to kill. Seems to me like wolf savings. Voyager could be a decent choice too for being the alternative yesterday, but jeray's had more interactions with people. They're also fairly unlikely packmates, unless there's some serious alibi voting going on (which would be fair).

VOTE JERAY

It does look like the unlikely packmates are going to end up being the wolves at this rate, though.


Vote Voyager

Still don't like him, and his voting of alynkio yesterday after alynkio's analysis bothers me. Didn't even vote the guy because he used to be BlackCrown, instead alynkio "rubbed him the wrong way."

Naturally, I'll consolidate my vote around another candidate closer to deadline, but more options right now isn't going to hurt us. We need to explore each possibility.

 

[Claude LC]

Ok people, if we want to live to die another day we need to start moving.
I will try to come up with something, feel free to argue, say or comment about my thoughts. Please.

Ok alive people.
Alxeu, Voyager, Audren, jeray2000, BC/Alynkio, Hax, aedan777, Matthew and yours truly.

Ok so here it goes.
Few points before you go, I tried to mark like day 1, 2, etc. I wrote as the votes appear not as the players appear, the players are by roster list. So if you have doubt or don't understand something please feel free to make me know.

1. Alxeu

• Vote Eternaly_Lost
  
  I'm the only one here who is allowed to be lost.

  The first one to cast a vote day 1,
• Day 2 vote
  

  I'd agree that Voyager's vote is kinda silly, and makes no sense whatsoever.
  
  Ike's being kinda lazy, too. But maybe I'm just still annoyed with him over the Big.
  
  Eh. Still no strong cases out there, but I guess that's a given on most day 2's. Only thing we really have going is that it feels impossible that there isn't at least one wolf in the TIE, but that really just comes down to a given, kinda.
  
  Vote Emperor Ike

  Metagaming? Easy vote?
• Day 3
  

  Vote Castor
  
  I get that he doesn't usually explain his vote, but his vote yesterday is the absolute bare minimum effort, which appears to be him only voting the guy who posted above him. Then again, how am I supposed to know, as he doesn't explain his vote.
  
  This kind of play is very, very bad, and I'd like some kind of explanation, preferably as to why his post was completely devoid of anything.
  
  Also, where is everyone? This game is dead.

  That's a pretty good response.
  
  Unvote Castor
  
  Vote Voyager
  
  I prefer Voyager as an alternate candidate to Capibara (that is, if we want to have two candidates today, so far seems like we have one). Jeray was first voted by Voyager yesterday in a truly baffling fashion that makes me prefer a case on Voyager for doing so, in addition to aedan's comments today.

  Votes Castor then changes to Voyager
  
  
  • WHAT I REALLY THINK OF HIM
  • Really hasn't done anything really good or really bad, he was part of the killing the seer comitee, but as stated or you will see stated in other persons, can't really attack that. Half and half?

2. Voyager

• In day 1 he and Audren cast almost back to back votes against Jeray (1 hour difference between them, but 2 posts apart)
• Day 2
  

  I really only wanted EURO gone so I could get jeray dead.
  
  Vote jeray.

  Mmmm kind of lazy vote, the person to post before him, voting him instead of voting the 2 people that that day had more chances of getting attention (the ones making the tie on day 1), arguing he wants to annoy the crap out of Jeray.
• Day 3
  

  Not a great look, but a silly one.
  
  In all seriousness however, something about you rubs me the wrong way. I can't say what specifically yet, but given that you will likely survive the day, I feel relatively confident in applying some small amount of pressure.
  
  Vote alynkio.

  Day 3 didn't gave us much, only gut feelings.
  
  • WHAT I REALLY THINK
  • Hasn't commit hard on anyone, he doesn't look too good to me. He has made some lazyvotes, voted people with not really a case or at least some suspicion of something. Wolfish

3. Audren

• In day 1 he and Voyager cast almost back to back votes against Jeray (1 hour difference between them, but 2 posts apart), then at the end of the day he made some shannanigans with Capibara making an unnecessary tie.

• I'm inclined to look at somebody like Ike, for voting Arkasas very shortly in succession, and for a lazy vote today (that I'm sure he has every intention to change, and certainly won't "forget" to change). Can't say I have a problem with Castor, either.
  
  VOTE EMPEROR IKE

  Voted the seer day 2, can't attack or defend this one. Attack a little bit more because of Ike being the seer. But Ike played a terrible game.
• Day 3
  

  This may be a tad obvious a place to look, but Jeray was the other main candidate to be brought up yesterday, in opposition to known seer Ike. Taking a further look at him seems prudent to me.
  
  VOTE JERAY

  Still not convinced in the Jerays case but still.
  
  • WHAT I REALLY THINK
    
  • Made a tie day 1, part of the kill the seer comitee, Voted jeray and i think he voted him today also. Haven't done that much. He was the first one on Ike I think. Not looking that good, not that bad. Wolfish?

4. jeray2000

• Get's defended by EURO (Villager) day 1.
• Day 2
  

  I'm of the belief that wolves would have been hopping at the chance to break a Day 1 TIE and get easy goodie points, so we should look at the people who tried(and failed) to break the TIE. So that's Audren and Capibara. Of the two, I do not trust large rodents, so I'm leaning towards Capibara. I'm not sure of the origins of Audren's username, but presumably they are less suspicious than willingly associating yourself with a mammal that's officially classified as a fish by the Catholic Church.
  
  Vote Capibara

• Day 2 part 2 Votes Audren, then part 3 goes and votes Ike
  

  Unvote audren
  Vote Ike

  Also preventing a snipe and another tie, so as you will see stated in Matthew (I wrote matthews day 2 part first) can't really attack this vote even though it killed the seer because he was trying to prevent a tie and actually to get killed himself. So...
• Day 3
  

  We had that dumb TIE Day 1 too though, if the wolves are remotely competent they'll win. It's not hopeless though, the wolves may well be incompetent.
  
  Anyways, I think I'll vote Capibara. He was the other person who caused the TIE and a candidate who didn't get much attention yesterday, making him decent for a lynch. Other good candidates IMO are Audren, for the same reasons Capibrara is(I don't want to vote the same person twice in a row though) and BlackCrown for being inactive.

  Then he goes and votes Capibara.
  
  • WHAT I REALLY THINK
    
  • Day 1 nothing really important, day 2 killing the seer but also saving his ass in the process so no that much weight on his vote. He has voted Capibara a few times, Audren and Ike. Really don't know what to think of him

5. BC/Alynkio

• Jumping the gun a bit early, don’t you think Capage? Plus, why would you question his vote and immediately follow it? Is that not just as, if not more, suspicious?
  
  Vote Capage

  Votes
• Day 3 Votes Capibara, he makes an analysis
  
  • WHAT I REALLY THINK
    
  • Inactive player, Alynkio made an analysis yesterday, but nothing much really.

6. Hax

• Unvote Capibara
  Vote jeray2000
  
  TIE

  Makes a bigger tie day 1, a 4 way tie to be exactly. Then Arky and EURO make it a 2 way tie, more in survival reasons that really reasons.
• Day 2 vote
  

  VOTE Castor94
  
  First voter on Arkasas. We have four unknowns on Arkasas and two on EURO, so there is a higher probability that we find a waffle in the Arkasas bandwagon.

  Well as we saw later on the game, all Arkasas voters where villagers and the seer as he was kindly enough to color for us.
  

  Arkasas: 5
  Castor94 [118]
  Capage [119 EURO -> 120]
  Emperor Ike [123]
  EUROO7 [113 Voyager -> 117 Lusty -> 130]
  Capibara [108 EURO -> 151 Losty -> 154 Arky -> 157 Audren -> 158]

  So dunno what to think of this.
• Day 2 vote part 2
  

  Unvote Castor
  Vote Ike
  
  Made a very wolfish post after deadline.

  Changes from Castor to the seer, also can't attack or defend a lot this one. Was early on the game, Ike didn't gave that much of a defense or something to work on of him being the seer. As stated in other players, can attack a little bit because he voted the seer.

• VOTE Capibara
  
  I will do a quick day 1 analysis, but my gut doesn't like all those vote switches by Capi on the first day.

  I waited for the analysis but it didn't arrive, I see this like an easy vote in the candidate that had already a lot of attention and was an easy lynch maybe
  
  • WHAT I REALLY THINK
    
  • Day 1 makes bigger tie, Day 2 goes after Arkyboy voters all villagers, kills the seer with the kill the seer committee, day 3 easy vote on Capibara villager stating he will make an analysis which never appeared. Thinking wolfish of him

7. aedan777

• Day 1 vote, voted Jeray not much to say here.
• Day 2 vote
  

  I don't know. I've looked the thread over a few times, haven't seen much of use. Maybe Capibara and Audren for making a tie day 1. Best I can see I guess.
  
  Vote Capibara

  To be honest one of the few cases in that day with the Voyager case also. But dunno, lemme think a little bit
• Day 3
  

  You get rubbed the wrong way by Alynkio making a post about his thoughts on all the players? Not necessarily wolfish, but I'm suspicious of such a vague claim in this instance. More importantly, you're voting him, but you aren't expecting to lynch him. The seer is dead, and our free tie was already used up by killing two villagers. This is not the time to be throwing away votes, every villager needs to find the player they are most suspicious of and try their utmost to bring about their death. Wolves on the other hand, can afford to sit back, throw out suspicion, but leave an opening if they need to change their vote to protect packmates, or to avoid attaching themselves too heavily to a case against a villager. Which is how I'm reading this.
  
  Vote F72 Voyager

  This made me start trusting a little bit aedan yes he is difficult to read, and he is good in both sides of the game, but my gut is telling me, he aint a wolf.

• Unvote Voyager Vote Capibara
  
  Can't risk tie

  Tie preventing reasons
  
  
  • WHAT I REALLY THINK
    
  • I think he is one of the ones I trust most or see as the most potential villager, day 1 nonimportant, day 2 at least started a case against the tie boys, day 3, he sees Voyager the way I see him I think a little bit at least. Then votes Capibara preventing tie reasons at least I think
  • Villager?

8. Matthew:

• So the new kid in the block, really nothing much to work here, in favor or against. In any case a little more against that in favor of him. He has voted himself stating
  

  I have to vote for SOMEBODY but I don't know anybody well enough yet to be suspicious so
  VOTE MATTHEWFW190

  but I don't want to

  That he didn't want to break the tie, that he felt to nervous to make a move like that. In little of defense to him, he is new so maybe he really did'nt want to be so decisive in his first day, still to have in mind.

• I think it went well.

  Second day at the beggining, yes he may be being funny and sarcastic but also, there is no need.
• Day 2 vote
  

  Vote Ike because my vote should probably actually accomplish something this time

  Voted the seer, not looking good for Matty boy, but also, as stated before, early in the game, he only arrived at the end and sort of prevented a more likely tie, so good points in that aspect, bad points because he killed the seer. Of all the bunch that voted the seer I could see this the least likely to be a wolf vote on the seer, because of the "tie preventing" purpouses that had this vote.
• Day 3 Jumps in the Capibara bandwagon he even states it
  

  Still haven't got a good read on anybody yet so I might as well jump in on the bandwagon again.
  VOTE CAPIBARA

  • Really new player, oh boy, he hasn't the best record or anything
  • Day 1 votes himself doesn't want the spotlight, day 2 starts being sarcastic and then votes the seer, but as stated I feel he was trying to prevent a tie at least or at least is what I understand. Day 3 he only bandwagoned that day.
  • So WHAT I REALLY THINK he is a really new player, but I feel that if he was a wolf at least his pack would help him in the posts he made, I remember my first ww game ever I was a wolf and my pack helped me a lot, so I dunno. I feel they could have "helped" a little bit more to make him look at least decent.

9. Yours truly

Spoiler

Ok so my analysis is everything of the alive players, I think, unless something important slipped my way.
Feel free to comment argue or do anything will all confidence, we need to start moving.

IMO Hax, Audren, Voyager could be the potential pack with someone else there.
Half and half Alxeu, Jeray, Alynkio
Villagers aedan, me
Don't know what to think Matth

Funny extras.

Spoiler: Spoiler

I literally was looking for a tree with balls on it.

Balls on it XD (Yes I have the humour of a 12 years old)

 

[Audren]

I think you're overvaluing the importance of the "kill the seer" committee. With as inactive as Ike was, that's not really any different from killing a villager, which is only a problem if jeray is indeed a wolf (which I suspect he is).

Your thoughts on Hax are interesting. The fourway on Day 1 could certainly be helpful in pushing attention from packmates, though I don't find his advocation for Arkasas particularly compelling as suspicious.

 

[MatthewFW190]

It's probably not much to go on but Alxeu feels a bit suspicious to me. I've played with him IRL and he usually LOVES analysis. The fact that he waited this long to put some sort of analysis out there feels a bit off to me, but it could just be that he was a bit lazy. Also possibly the fact that he doesn't do as much online as he does in physical games, I haven't done enough online to know for sure :/

 

[F72Voyager]

I haven't like the cut of jeray's gib (jib?) all game, and I'm confused as to why he's still alive. He was notably the alternative to Ike Day 2, yet managed to slip away. He's received considerable pressure the past few days, but never enough to kill. Seems to me like wolf savings. Voyager could be a decent choice too for being the alternative yesterday, but jeray's had more interactions with people. They're also fairly unlikely packmates, unless there's some serious alibi voting going on (which would be fair).

VOTE JERAY

It's jib. Named after a sailing term.

Also, yeah. jeray's looking fishy (or wolfy?). He's been run up a couple times but either escapes or it wasn't particularly serious to begin with. As for possible other wolves,

aedan is usually lynched or hunted at this point due to him being too good of a player for his own good, but that's kinda meta-gamey, so I'll leave it alone.

Hax is hard to read. He's a pretty consistent player. It's hard to tell.

Matthew's new. He's acting new. For the moment, that can be dismissed.

Claude's analysis seems way out of left field. Possible divergent behavior?

Audren and alxeu are both sort of blending into the background. Whether that's due to my poor analysis technique or to actual attempts to pretend to be villagers, I'm not certain.

BC/alynkio. Still getting vibes, man. But, with nothing else to go on (and I told you he wouldn't be lynched), I'll let it go for now.

Tentative wolfpack is jeray, Claude, alynkio, Hax/aedan (either one of these could easily be a wolf and I likely wouldn't be able to tell.)

Vote jeray.

 

[aedan777]

Villagers aedan, me

Huh, I'm surprised you've got me as a likely villager. I've been super lazy this game and have nothing in my favor. Still, I know I am a villager, and I somewhat doubt a wolf would be quick to put me in a likely villager slot over every other player, so I'm leaning villager for Claude.

Hmm, I'm going to grab the final votecounts real quick. Not color them, no real point with no wolves yet, but I want an idea of who has been voting surviving players so far.

Official count, day 1, deadline​

EURO: 5
F72Voyager [112 jeray -> 114]
Eternaly_Lost [115]
Arkasas [116 Lostie -> 132]
Hax [110 Capi -> 129 jeray -> 150]
Claude LC [153]​

Arkasas: 5
Castor94 [118]
Capage [119 EURO -> 120]
Emperor Ike [123]
EUROO7 [113 voyager -> 117 Lusty -> 130]
Capibara [108 EURO -> 151 Losty -> 154 Arky -> 157 Audren -> 158]​

Lostie: 1
alxeu [103]​

Mat: 2
MatthewFW190 [135]
Audren [109 jeray -> 149 Mat -> 155 Arky -> 156]

jeray: 1
aedan777 [127]

aedan: 1
jeray2000 [105]

cabage: 1
BlackCrown [122]

Not voted: 0​

Hmm, so the only surviving players who voted surviving players on day 1 are Audren on Matthew, Matthew on himself, and Jeray and I exchanging votes. Not a whole lot to go on.

Official count, day 2, deadline​

Ike: 5
Audren [195]
alxeu [197]
Hax [193 Castor -> 203]
MatthewFW190 [205]
jeray2000 [185 Capi -> 187 Audren -> 215]

jeray: 3
F72Voyager [188]
Capage [191]
Capibara [207]

Audren: 1
Emperor Ike [192]​

Voyager: 1
Claude LC [196]​

alxeu: 1
Castor94 [198]​

Capi: 1
aedan777 [199]​

Not voted: 1
@BlackCrown []​

Voyager on Jeray and Claude on Voyager are the only ones day 2.

Official count, day 3, deadline​

Capi: 6
jeray2000 [246]
Alynkio [247]
MatthewFW190 [248]
Hax [262]
Claude LC [266]
aedan777 [254 Voyager -> 270]

Voyager: 3
alxeu [256 Castor -> 263]
Capibara [261 jeray -> 264]
Castor94 [260 Capi -> 271]​

Alynkio: 1
F72Voyager [253]

jeray: 1
Audren [241]

Not voted: 0​

Alxeu on Voyager, Voyager on Alynkio, and Audren on Jeray.

Voyager sure has voted or been voted by a lot of players. Jeray, Claude, Alxeu, and alynkio. If I also exclude myself, that leaves potential Voyager packmates who haven't voted him as Hax, Matthew, and Audren. Which is possible. Also, it is possible for the votes exchanged with Voyager to be alibi votes, but I seriously doubt the wolves would be going after each other after the seer died, so the day 3 votes are highly unlikely alibi votes. The voyager/Jeray feud predates the death of the seer, so it could be alibi, but I don't quite feel it is. That leaves Claude as a potential alibi vote on Voyager day 2, but Claude is the player I am perhaps least suspicious of.

So I am fairly confident that if Voyager is a wolf, Hax, Matthew, and Audren are the other three wolves. The question then is, is Voyager really a wolf? Considering how many votes he has with surviving players, lynching him would be good for information regardless of role, but we have no room for error anymore. With no wolves caught so far, it's kind of a crapshoot trying to pick out likely wolves. Though I do feel a bit better about this pack possibility with Audren and Voyager both going after Jeray and Hax voting Alxeu while Matthew soft pushes the case against Alxeu.

Vote F72Voyager

 

[MatthewFW190]

OK GUYS HERE I GO
So I went through and ran statistics on all players still alive based on whether or not they voted for somebody who was confirmed at some point to be innocent (unfortunate death).
(to be fair I assumed I myself was not confirmed innocent for the purpose of unbiased statistics.)

On day 1: Voyager, Hax, Claude, Alxeu, and BC(subbed by Alynkio later on) all voted for somebody who was later confirmed to be innocent.

On day 2: Audren, Alxeu, Hax, Myself, Jeray, and Aeden voted for somebody who was later confirmed to be innocent.

On day 3: Jeray, Alynkio, Myself, Hax, Claude, and Aeden voted for Capi, the only person on the voting list who has died.


So taking into account the odds of somebody voting for a wolf by random chance alone, and compiling the results for each night together, I have made the following conclusions. Assuming that the wolves did not vote for each other during the course of the game, then:

PROBABILITY OF BEING A WOLF (Based on probability of voting due to factors OTHER than random chance )
HAX: 68.8%
JERAY: 57.6%
AEDEN: 57.6%
MYSELF: 57.6%
ALYNKIO: 53.3% (bear in mind that this statistic may not be accurate as BC, who Alynkio subbed in for, did not vote on day 2.)
CLAUDE: 53.3%
ALXEU: 51.1%
AUDREN: 33.3%
VOYAGER: 26.7%

Based on this data, I believe Hax to be the most likely candidate, and therefore:
VOTE HAX

 

[Claude LC]

OK GUYS HERE I GO
So I went through and ran statistics on all players still alive based on whether or not they voted for somebody who was confirmed at some point to be innocent (unfortunate death).
(to be fair I assumed I myself was not confirmed innocent for the purpose of unbiased statistics.)

On day 1: Voyager, Hax, Claude, Alxeu, and BC(subbed by Alynkio later on) all voted for somebody who was later confirmed to be innocent.

On day 2: Audren, Alxeu, Hax, Myself, Jeray, and Aeden voted for somebody who was later confirmed to be innocent.

On day 3: Jeray, Alynkio, Myself, Hax, Claude, and Aeden voted for Capi, the only person on the voting list who has died.


So taking into account the odds of somebody voting for a wolf by random chance alone, and compiling the results for each night together, I have made the following conclusions.

PROBABILITY OF BEING A WOLF (Based on probability of voting due to factors OTHER than random chance )
HAX: 68.8%
JERAY: 57.6%
AEDEN: 57.6%
MYSELF: 57.6%
ALYNKIO: 53.3% (bear in mind that this statistic may not be accurate as BC, who Alynkio subbed in for, did not vote on day 2.)
CLAUDE: 53.3%
ALXEU: 51.1%
AUDREN: 33.3%
VOYAGER: 26.7%

Based on this data, I believe Hax to be the most likely candidate, and therefore:
VOTE HAX

Good analysis and good that you are being more pro-active.

I like the idea and were this is going, but we have to take in account other factors, I think aedan states it very well in his post, we have to take in account the people that have only voted persons that are alive until today, meaning alabi votes, meaning throwaway votes, etc. Votes we can not take in account today
So yes we can take a lot in account this but with some sort of caution, and having in mind other factors.

 

[aedan777]

People, if the village doesn't consolidate onto a single candidate, the wolves can snipe to a random villager and win. So we need to collectively agree on a candidate and vote together. Splitting the vote is a certain loss for the village.

 

[Claude LC]

Votecount
Voyager 2
Jeray 2
Hax 1
Alxeu 1

I think if not mistaken like this right now. People I know maybe some of you were busy with the big, well the deadline was 12 mins ago.
Need more people here.
We have 6 voters with 3 non voters including myself.

 

[MatthewFW190]

Good analysis and good that you are being more pro-active.

I like the idea and were this is going, but we have to take in account other factors, I think aedan states it very well in his post, we have to take in account the people that have only voted persons that are alive until today, meaning alabi votes, meaning throwaway votes, etc. Votes we can not take in account today
So yes we can take a lot in account this but with some sort of caution, and having in mind other factors.

That is certainly true, and I could probably make the stats more accurate by taking those into account. Honestly though, I'm just a tad too busy today to factor in those variables because it's too time-consuming. That being said, my analysis is not necessarily decisive, but a good reference to have available.

 

[Hax]

Votecount
Voyager 2
Jeray 2
Hax 1
Alxeu 1

I think if not mistaken like this right now. People I know maybe some of you were busy with the big, well the deadline was 12 mins ago.
Need more people here.
We have 6 voters with 3 non voters including myself.

What do you want to know? Now is just pure gambling and I say alxeu is our best bet.

 

[Claude LC]

What do you want to know? Now is just pure gambling and I say alxeu is our best bet.

I don't need to know something, I need the village to know that we have to consolidate in 1 candidate

 

[MatthewFW190]

What do you want to know? Now is just pure gambling and I say alxeu is our best bet.

Actually if we're taking a shot in the dark here I'd say hax(you, lol) is the best bet based on the statistics I ran earlier. Alxeu still isn't out of the woods by any means, but I feel like Hax is the most likely candidate at this point. Nobody has gotten a good read on people yet, so if we go by statistics alone then Hax is the best shot.