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Yes, from a population standpoint you are correct, but I don't really see why that would actually influence the map of the region after all countries did excist.
If you're talking eg about frankish states, then yes – they doubtlessly existed. But e.g. more to the east „countries” as we know it didn't really exist at that point. To give you example: unification of Poland happened circa X century AC. Prior to that point, there were no „country” here: it was all about local tribes, which aren't really documented. You can't really talk about eg Poland and Bohemy at this point, as there were none: there were only some tribes, each acting as it was the highest political entity of whichever land there were in. And some of them migrated, so you can't even „safely” say where they were at which point.

I imagine you could do some game with „countries” model, but it would be limited to Byzantium, state of Clovis etc, as in good half of CK II map there were no countries during the time period. There, „migration” wasn't exactly only demographic factor, as migrating tribes were major political entities in absence of any else political presence. OFC, I am not talking about Balkans ATM, as I am versed somewhat only in Byzantine history ;)
 
After all what really happened during the dark ages

10 Kids' Answers to “What Happened in the Dark Ages?” from Ask.com

  1. “In the dark ages many things happened. Many horrible plagues swept the continents. They were a time of poor hygiene and superstition.”
  2. “Not much is known about the period, making it ‘dark’ with little facts about it. “
  3. “The term is because not much evidence of civilization was found by archaeologists.”
  4. “Even though they were a time that modern people would consider ignorant many advances were made.”
  5. “The dark ages were caused by the falling of Rome.”
  6. “We were bottelnecked by the loss of millions of minds. Fear and pestilence went wild. And we had a small ice age around that time didn't we? Knights and Dragons...ooo what a dark time in history.”
  7. “It is strange because for the middle east things were looking good, right? I wonder if that is true or not.”
  8. “It was dark times which lots of diseases, no medication, their rulers didn't care. The rich got richer and the poor died.”
  9. “Because they didn't have electric.”
  10. “Prisons were underground, and you got no light.”
 
“We were bottelnecked by the loss of millions of minds. Fear and pestilence went wild. And we had a small ice age around that time didn't we? Knights and Dragons...ooo what a dark time in history.”
Inbe4 someone brings out Sunset Invasion: totally would play such a game!