Chapter 8 - New Conflicts
August 25, 869 AD
You could feel the unrest in the Ashina settlement in Theodosia. The air was shimmering in the summer heat, as if it was filled with tension waiting to be unleashed. Dozens of fresh recruits had been brought in over the past weeks. Marshal Tabghaç had redoubled his efforts when word spread that Khagan Manasseh had declared war again, only days after Sol of Pechenegs had surrendered. Still, as Tabghaç had predicted, there would not be enough manpower anytime soon to form a host as big as Khan Zachariah had demanded of him.
Manasseh's new target was the Khagan of Bolghar who ruled over the sizeable realm to the northeastern border of Khazaria and had taken a province of Khazarian tributary Burtas in the turmoil of the Pecheneg war. This had seemingly angered Khagan Manasseh, who was bursting with confidence after his recent victory.
It was short before noon, and the camp was bustling. When armies got prepared for march in the Steppes, it was as if a whole village moved (which happened too – the main difference was whether the village was intent to come back). It wasn't uncommon that the trecks along larger armies, with all the people supplying and maintaining the troops, contained four or five times as many people as there were actual soldiers. At wartime Theodosia was mainly inhabited by women and children. No call to arms had arrived yet, but with the news of Manasseh's newest exploits everybody knew this would most likely be a matter of time.
Tabgha
ç was hurrying through the ado to the Khan's yurt with important news. The guards announced his arrival. Zachariah who had been fiddling with a dreidel picked some papers from his desk and set up his usual impression of being swamped in the countless duties and responsibilities of a Khan. He barely looked up when Tabghaç entered. "What's going on, Marshal?"
"My Khan, there's actually quite a lot going on since Sol called his defeat.
As you already know, Khagan Manasseh attacked the Bolghars two weeks ago. The Bolghar Khagan has called in his vassals successfully in the meantime and it's safe to expect that Manasseh will too send out calls to arms soon.
The Magyars have finished their invasion in the West. Árpád Álmos stands stronger than ever before and is expected to soon move his court to his new lands beyond the Carpathian.
Now, my Khan" – Tabghaç made a pregnant pause to make sure he had his liege's attention – "there's news from the northern border.
Yelisey, the High Chief of Polotsk, has declared war for subjugation of the Pronskians. As their suzerain, Manasseh is responsible for their protection and has little choice but to take on that war as well. High Chief Zhavoronok of Pronsk is already under heavy pressure from a host of revolting peasants from Vorotynsk, a chiefdom under his control bordering Polotsk. There is little prospect of him being able to defend himself on his own."
Zachariah had been paying attention after all and agreed that this was indeed important. The council was called in as of immediate.
The news were met with awe. It was obvious to everyone that Manasseh, even with the help of his vassals, would struggle to win two wars at the same time. Zachariah saluted to Tabghaç when he had briefed the council of the situation and took up word.
"Thank you, Marshal. I fully agree with your assertion that a call to the Bolghar war will come in soon. Nevertheless – in my eyes it's only remotely our problem. Any hostilities will take place to the other side of the realm, and Manasseh has essentially brought this two-front situation upon himself. I will of course answer any call to arms – anything else would be terribly dishonorable", and he smirked a little, "but as long as the Bolghars and the Polotskians stay out of Ashina lands, there is no particular reason to shed the blood of our men for Manasseh again. The pending expansion of our own horde should be our first priority. Now Ezra, as the leading expert for foreign affairs in our humble lands, I would like to hear your thoughts on the matter."
Ezra was pleased by the comment on his skills, but remained stern as usual. "Well, first I would advise you to stay wary in all cases. Neither the Polotskians nor the Bolghars have an immediate reason to cross our borders, that is true. Yet that might change quickly if things go badly for Manasseh. And sometimes, for things to go badly all it takes is one wrong turn and one lost battle. Especially if you're fighting on two fronts.
Manasseh can obviously call his vassals and tributaries into the war on Shilki of Bolghar. With their support, he outnumbers the Bolghars considerably. However, no calls are possible for the war in Pronsk as Manasseh is not leading that war, so he's largely on his own there and might well be outnumbered by the Polotskians. There's also the issue of time. Pronsk may already be lost by the time the war on Bolghar is concluded, which would leave Khazaria very vulnerable to the Russian flank - where there's another potential threat looming.
Do you remember that Varangian self-appointed King who's settled in Könugardr, across the river from the the Jabdertim Clan? That man has brought a sizable force from his homeland and they're expanding. He's subjugated Turov and Minsk in quick succession and is currently besieging the High Chiefdom of Smolensk, right next to Pronsk. He supposedly has even more men than the Polotskians, who count in at about 5000. If we're lucky, Könugardr and Polotsk turn on each other and leave Khazaria alone. If not – or if Manasseh is weakened – these two wars are just the beginning. There is no mercy in the Steppes nor in the Russian plains for weakened ones."
"Or people counting on their luck", Yeldem added grimly.
Zachariah had not been able to fully keep track of the chancellor's effectuations, but what he had understood was that his actions suddenly carried weight. What he and his staff decided would not be a nuisance or a friendly gesture to the Khagan. It could change the course of the war, possibly the realm. And he'd better not gamble around.
"That was very insightful, Ezra. I'll have to contemplate on it. Scribe, I hope you paid attention. Yeldem, you're itching to talk, I see that. Go ahead."
Yeldem gave him a half-amused, half-annoyed look. "I just want to remind everyone that Polotsk and Könugardr are not the only realms to possibly benefit from a weak Khagan. Neither of the other Khans is going to pass if a chance arises – through certain events - to become Khagan themselves or break off his rule. At least not because they're particularly fond of him.
And you know exactly how those Bulanids pay off loyalty. They have their interests, we have ours - they don't necessarily coincide."
"Thanks for the input, Yeldem. You're most certainly right, which makes it all the harder to decide what to do. I have to think through this in quiet, and fast. I dismiss the council for today and rule as follows:
As long as there is no call to arms, we act as if nothing ever happened – we can't do much anyways without a formal invitation to Manasseh's wars. Should the call arrive, we answer and send a small reinforcement troop at max until the situation calls for other measures. Council dismissed."
With that, Zachariah left. His concubine Shirkka, with whom he had been planning a ride on the beach, was waiting for him. Plenty of time to think through what this new eruption of conflicts at the Khazarian borders would mean to him. His other councillors stayed behind, save for Kayghalagh the court Rabbi, who claimed he needed to preside over a wedding. The others knew he cared little about politics (or religion), so they didn't ask questions.
"So this might be a major turning point for Khazaria and the whole region - and we do nothing. We just sit and wait", Kundaç turned to Ezra with visible discontent.
"Yes. It might be a major turning point. Or not. It might actually be the smartest thing
for now to watch the events unfold before we decide on a course of action. We'll at least wait until the call to arms arrives and see how things are looking by then."
Kundaç grunted "There's no honor in trying to wait things out for your own favor, and y'all know it very well. We're under an oath to the Khagan to join his side in war, not to hold a ceremony where we lie about joining his side. Those are the ways of the wretched decadent castle lords and so-called 'Burghers' to the West, where children's throats are cut by their own maids if some Berron or however they call themselves decides he's bored of his hold and all the incest within it. You should be ashamed of yourselves, not to speak of that so-called Khan!"
When Kundaç had finished his rant, he as well stormed out. Yeldem, Tabghaç and Ezra snickered and returned to their business of ruling the realm. They were used to his rambling about blood and glory as well as to Zachariah's sometimes overcautious decision-making by now and were positive the opportunities would show themselves.
Although no one would know yet how soon.