Chapter 24 - Earthquake
December 22, 877 AD
4:33 AM
A man rode through the night with tremendous speed. He was one of the elite rider brigade of the Khazarian spymaster, supplied with full passage anywhere and the fastest horses of the realm. Four of them had been sent out that night. It was icy cold, and no cloud was to be seen on the star-spangled sky over the strait of Kerch behind him. He had been on his way for several hours, and finally he spotted the torch lights that indicated the Ashina camp was nearby.
The message the riders carried was an earthquake, and they were spreading the ripples.
4:51 AM
Theodosia laid quiet when the elusive messenger reached its main entrance. The guards made way without a word when he showed them his ring, and he headed straight toward Zachariah's yurt. The guard captain unsuccessfully tried to convince him to first go to Ezra with his message as the Khan would probably be with his family and unapproving, but the messenger wouldn't even talk to him. He went into the yurt.
Khan Zachariah was ungently awoken by a hand shaking him at the ankle and a muffled voice. "Khan Zachariah? Are you awake?"
Then little Baghatur started to cry.
"Yes...and now everyone is. Very good job at that. Who the hell are you and what the hell are you doing here?"
"I'm...my name doesn't matter. I come from Khan Buzer, Spymaster of Khazaria. I bring a very important message, it is urgent and I have to make sure you receive it. All further instructions are enclosed." and the man disappeared as fast as he had come, leaving a large envelope next to Zachariah.
"Oh, please" he grunted. "And this was really necessary?" Khan Buzer hadn't been spymaster for long and was obviously taking this whole 'in the shadows' act a little too eager. But Virág and the children were awake anyway now and it would take some time until everything was at peace again, so he could as well read this stupid message if it was so urgent.
Zachariah went out of the sleeping area, which was somewhat separated from the rest of the room by leather racks, and to his desk to light a candle. When he opened the envelope and unfolded the pergament, his face turned pale and his eyes wide. He read the pergament again.
Manasseh II. had succumbed to an infection in the early morning hours. The scroll before him was a declaration of fealty to his eldest son Nisi Bulanid, the new Khagan of Khazaria, waiting to be signed – or be returned with refusal, with the immediate consequence of declaring Ashina independent. His response would be requested at the next sunrise, when Khagan Nisi of Khazaria would be coronated.
Zachariah sat at his desk in disbelief for the better of five minutes. Then he whispered to Virág he wouldn't come back to bed, put on clothes and made his way to the central yurt, with orders given to his personal guards to get his council together immediately.
5:37 AM
His councillors were no less surprised when they got thrown out of bed than Zachariah was earlier. In his almost eleven years of ruling, the Khan had not once called in a nightly spontaneous meeting. This had to be something of highest importance. And they weren't disappointed when Zachariah disclosed the death of the Khagan to them. Shock and awe were the reaction.
"This might change a lot of things around the realm, my Khan", Ezra pointed out. "You'll probably figure that each of the Khans gets such a letter. The same goes for Dyre of Könugardr, as his only non-Khan vassal."
"Yes, I'd thought that much – though I didn't know it would also apply to Dyre. Who, by the way, was his court physician when a wound hardly anyone had heard of prior apparently spiraled out of control. No one's ever going to know, but Dyre might well have taken his revenge after all." Everyone took a moment to grasp that Zachariah, never short of a daring hypothesis, was possibly right this time.
"Now as I see it, each of his vassals has the chance to declare independence without triggering a secession conflict, right? And what could Nisi do about it should he choose to?"
Khatir answered him. His general staff had used the time without greater conflict to prepare for many scenarios, one of them the sudden death of a Khagan in battle or under similar conditions.
"That's right, my Khan. Each Khan is always factually entitled to declare independence of his Khagan, but under normal circumstances this is a breach of the fealty contract and thus a war declaration.
When a Khagan dies, refusing the fealty to his successor is not considered such a breach. The new Khagan might still fight his former vassal to bring him back under his rule, but he would have to declare the war himself. You already know where the difference is when it comes to calling in his vassals – expanding the realm is much less likely to gather support than defending it."
"I see. So that is the first option. The other one obviously is to stay within the realm. And I'll need to head off at dusk to be there on time for the coronation." Zachariah paused and contemplated. "I don't know Nisi well myself, as Manasseh mostly kept him out of public affairs and he's been on the road a lot. We'll need intelligence on him."
"You're right, my Khan" replied Ezra. "I'll find out what the other Khans think of him. Even more important will be whether they are planning to declare independence or not."
"Very good, Ezra. I'll await your findings. Furthermore, we need to know what a declaration of independence would entail for a new Ashina Khaganate. That's a job for you, Kundaç. Now all head out, I need to be able to make a decision this evening."
And now I'll go back to bed and think about all this, Zachariah caught himself thinking. He was terribly tired.
10:10 AM
Zachariah was studying some maps (the ones Ezra had shown to his class months ago) when the chancellor stepped into the central yurt.
"We've got the first findings, Khan Zachariah."
"Great. Well, I hope they're great. Out with it!"
"Our envoy to Jabdertim has met open ears. Yavdi is just as concerned as you and offers to keep in contact. He's not decided, but seems to lean toward staying within Khazaria. Also, Dyre has already openly declared he'd break off. He was still in Azov and left three hours ago after ripping the contract apart. Nisi is going to need a more trustworthy court physician."
"Thanks for the heads up. What Yavdi does is of great importance to me. See to it that the contact is kept and maybe for our delegations to the coronation to meet a few dozen miles before Azov."
11:42 AM
This time it was Kundaç with news. He had found out about the requirements coming in place as an independent Khaganate.
"My Khan, it is fair to assume that in an independent Khaganate of our size an ambitious lower noble would pop up somewhere in Etelköz and demand land and recognition. Furthermore, it's expected of an independent realm of above 8 provinces – we own 13 – that two thirds of the land is redistributed to rulers under the Khagan, else these rulers would be very unsatisfied. That would in turn render them pretty much useless to you and prone to rebellion."
Zachariah was baffled. "Are there any upsides, too?"
"Well, you would of course yourself no longer be object to calls to war from the Khazarian Khagan. And you could declare war on anyone in Khazaria. Other than that, I can't think of much."
"Thank you, Kundaç. I wouldn't have thought that a Khagan had so many constraints and obligations."
I'm seriously doubting that the other Khans will take this upon them. Shouldn't bet on a lot of independence declarations from them. Khagan Zachariah would still sound pretty good.
3:15 PM
Zachariah's suspicions turned out to be wellfounded. Over the course of the day, it was made more and more clear that none of the other Khans would follow Dyre into independence. Their realms were too small to gain anything from going on their own, and Zachariah was strongly in favour of that sentiment by the afternoon. Khatir's report on the military situation was ready and the marshal briefed Zachariah.
"Nisi's troops are roughly equal to ours in number, and their commanders match ours in skill. If a war broke out, the outcome would stand and fall with his vassals.
In that case, it's highly unlikely though that Nisi would be able to draw upon any support from the other Khans. They seem to be very unsatisfied with him, to say the least. He's been on quite an adventure in the Far East years ago as captain of a mercenary band his daddy financed for him, but he's also gained a reputation with his men as a self-centered smartass who pulled out his arse as soon as things got rough. He is deemed too weak for his position, and because he's weak the other Khans want more land of him, which makes him even less popular."
"Interesting. This explains further why no one is declaring independence. They can likely press their interests for more land better within the realm."
"His tributaries aren't as abhorrent of him, and we can't say with certainty if they would come to help him – but they're also far away and constantly busy fighting among each other and against their eastern and southern neighbours."
6:00 PM
Exactly in time for dinner, the council was dismissed. It had been an extraordinarily successful day of efficient statecraft in Ashina, at least in the eyes of its ruler. Zachariah was honestly proud of himself and his advisors who had diligently procured the puzzle pieces for him to put in place. The picture was clear now: Declaring independence would likely squander everything he had built over the past years. Under a weak Khagan, the liberties of powerful Khans were great – and the Ashina horde had shown time and again what it was capable of. He was still insecure about what it meant for the near future, as Nisi would not be undisputed for long, but a tremendously important question had been brought to a conclusive and well-informed answer.
Ashina would stay loyal.
11:45 PM
Khan Yavdi and his entourage were already waiting by the agreed meet-up point somewhere in the plains of Lower Don when they heard another group of riders rapidly approaching. It was Zachariah, his friend and fellow traveler from Theodosia and his men.
"Good to see you, Zach. Who would have thought it would be so soon, with you never attending a council meeting?"
Both laughed heartily. Yavdi had been a general advisor to Manasseh, but similarly uninvolved into Khazarian politics and generally lent his voice to whoever made the best offer.
"Got me on that one, Yavdi. Well, you don't seem very shaken after all."
Yavdi shrugged. "Manasseh had it coming. I already thought he had gone insane when he insisted on giving Dyre a place on the council. I mean, the guy practically breathed and sweated hate for Manasseh. And then he found it a good idea to make him his damn physician?"
"You also think Dyre is responsible?"
"Who else would it be? The infection was confirmed, so nobody will be able to prove anything – also, he said goodbye and bolted off to the West before Manasseh was even cold. Which doesn't exactly calm the suspicion."
Zachariah nodded. "It doesn't matter anyway if he's independent again. What does matter now is if Nisi proves a worthy Khagan."
Yavdi looked at him. "If it even comes to that. Nisi is weak, and he won't have room for failure. Do you know who becomes Khagan if something happened to him?"
"His younger brother, I suppose."
"Wrong. His brother Kibar would inherit the Bulanid lands, but a child can never be Khagan. In that case, the title goes to the most accomplished Khan, which at the moment is Bulçir."
Zachariah was genuinely surprised. He didn't know that rather important detail about succession in Khaganates. "God damnit, this Nisi lives dangerous now."
"Would you stop slandering the Lord, please? - But yes, you're right. Even if you're not as trusting as Manasseh, the world is a dangerous place. Especially if you're deemed weak."
He stopped for a while, then said: "You know as well as I that Nisi is not going to stay Khagan for long – at least not without a fight. And were it not for the beating that my troops received from yours, I'd think of putting my hat in the ring."
Zachariah nodded and the two grew silent again. There was a lot to think about.
What would Muhan do?