Rereading bits .. the very first team:
Hm. tamius and aedan both approve. So did Citizen. Two people on that team are known resistance - randakar and falc. Yet, at least two spies approved this proposal, if Citizen is resistance.
Point against Citizen, really. Though this vote also matches his "I am merlin" story, it also matches the "He is morgana" story, and the spy votes support that theory more than his own vote does.
To be fair to citizen, tamius approving means nothing as he is Ysbaddaen.
But Aedan, Octa, approving an all-resistance team makes no sense. Okay, there was a slight chance of Ickybad being on that team, but why take that chance? The odds of a team having none of SLancelot, Octa, or Morgana on it, are quite small. So why approve one, when you can easily reject and the next team will almost certainly have a known spy on it?
Aedan's vote makes no sense at all here if citizen is Merlin. As for tamius23 I don't think we can read anything into his votes, at least in the early game.
Even now, we can't make too many assumptions. All we know is, he doesn't want to approve a team with no spies on it (presumably why he's voting privately, which otherwise makes little sense at this point)
But who are we to guess who he thinks the spies are? My guess is, he's realised that the proposed team is all-resistance; he has no arguments against it so can't reject publicly, but he knows if he doesn't reject the mission will pass.
But it's still just that, a guess.
That team has two resistance members and Spy lancelot. Note the lobsided vote. Octa/Morgana actually should be voting in favor of this due to them knowing Spy Lancelot - and both aedan and citizen do exactly that.
Agreed. Note also, I rejected it. And although Merlin doesn't start off knowing TNT was Spy Lancelot, I had more than enough information to figure it out by that time.
.. because it confuses matters further?
So: Spy lancelot on here, and two new people we have nothing on, after I explicitly asked for a team that reuses parts of earlier proposals, without even commenting on that question.
Not good, and from that point onward I just stopped trusting him.
Good point. While it's very hard to actually second guess what Ysbaddaen would do, one thing I think would be a priority would be to minimise any concrete information we have by spreading the mission team over more people, instead of consolidating what we already knew. He does exactly that. I hadn't actually considered this before.
Quoted for the record, since this is still not entirely in everyone's heads, apparently.
Apologies, but it did not say so on the front page, and to be fair I did ask for clarification - which I'm grateful for.
Another interesting vote. TNT approving makes sense. Citizen and marty as merlin-claimants approving does not make sense.
Already gave my explanation, that I was gambling on it to fail. Like it or not, my gamble paid off. Citizen could say the same thing in this case, of course, although he hasn't actually responded to it. Note that Aedan accused me of being inconsistent here, yet said nothing to citizen, even though citizen voted the same way and is also saying Aedan is Octa. Makes you wonder why Aedan didn't question citizen at all.
Note how ALL of the people rejecting this are known goodies at this stage (with perhaps the exception of videonfan, though right now I will stipulate to him being highly likely resistance.)
And that the spies approve this team overall is really weird, given that TNT - the spy lancelot - is on it, as well as at least two highly suspect people - probable spies, them accepting it makes this vote extraordinarily strange.
I think it's a tiny bit strange, but not as much as you make it out to be.
Firstly, tamius knows jack shit. His approval means, again, almost nothing.
TNT knows only that he is a spy, as far as he is concerned it's as likely to be a one-man spy team as any other, so him approving is also not weird in the least.
Citizen and Aedan approving a two-spy team (I don't think they suspected tamius of being Ysbaddaen more than anyone else) may seem weird. But it's not that incredible.
Firstly, since Aedan is on the team, he knows that by approving, he can choose not to sabotage and thus he personally knows there is no risk of a double-sabotage. He also has TNT's statement that he will sabotage, so he can be fairly confident of that.
So in my view, three of the spies' voting there is perfectly rational behaviour. The only slight question mark is citizen. He is the only one consciously running the risk of a double-sabotage.
But even then, a two spy-team isn't disastrous. Even in the worst case scenario, where there are two sabotages, the expected reaction would be that it takes out two spies but also one resistance out of any future mission team. Leaving Mission 3 having to pick 4 resistance members, from a pool of 5 resistance members and 2 spies. One of these last four resistance members is Good Lancelot, tonka, who could switch, and if that happens, then picking 4 resistance members is very unlikely, unless the resistance picks someone from the double-sabotage team, in which case the spies would essentially get away scot-free. In either case, a double-sabotage wouldn't turn out to be disastrous.
(I know it was a 3-spy team, but neither citizen nor Aedan could have known that tamius was ickybad)
And then there is the fact that Citizen knows one of the spies is Spy Lancelot. I actually don't think we've paid enough attention to this. In my view,
Morgana would not care whether or not SLancelot was found out as a near-certain spy because a) he's likely to switch to the goodies at some point and thus become a liability for the
resistance, and b) the goodies still might trust TNT because they know he might switch. We know this because both of those have actually happened in this game.
Lastly, Citizen also sees TNT's post, reckons Aedan has too, and hopes Aedan knows not to sabotage.
All in all, while that vote may look curious in first, in actual fact, each one of them has their own excellent reasons to approve.