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Chapter Forty-Eight: British Admiralty Special Report (1 January 1945)
Chapter Forty-Eight: British Admiralty Special Report
(1 January 1945)

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A Royal Navy ship flying the White Ensign.

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Overall Fleet Strength and Dispositions

At the request of the Polish government, as it considered the safety of troop convoy routes around the world, the British Admiralty provided a special classified report of Royal Navy dispositions around the world as at 1 January 1945.

Democratic parties, currently led by Winston Churchill’s Conservatives, held a large majority in Britain’s body politic. The next election was due in late 1947. Churchill’s current national policy focus was on battleships.

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A readout of current fleet numbers overall and in different locations was provided. There were big fleet concentrations in England itself, Madagascar (!?)and Egypt. The rest were spread out on escort duty or in smaller regionally based task forces.

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When regarded by tasking, those on strike force duty formed by far the largest proportion, concentrated in three locations.

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Naval invasion support was assigned 12 ships (a destroyer flotilla led by a light cruiser), while a dozen destroyers were assigned patrolling duties in the Mid-Atlantic Gap.

Five task forces, composed mainly of destroyers with a few light cruisers, were at work conducting convoy escort duty.

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And an assortment of 14 subs, small ships and one heavy cruiser were being held at four bases, stretching from Newfoundland to Iwo Jima.

The overall British assessment of sea zone security in the routes most likely to be used by Poland was also provided. Most were deemed safe, except for those off the north-east and north-west American coasts.

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Assessments by Sea Areas

The main central Atlantic convoy route was safer the further south one proceeded.

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Note: does anyone know what the numbers in the naval boxes actually measure? Strength of escorts along convoy routes?

The situation was obviously more dangerous in the contested approaches to the British remnant holdings in Labrador, Newfoundland and Halifax.

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Unsurprisingly, there was strong UK, and also French, naval strength in and around north-west Europe, with the Germans being the other main holders of capital ships in that region, plus a smaller Dutch European and Norwegian presence.

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Apart from RN convoy escorts operating in the Med, there was the major naval base in Egypt, a smaller one at Gibraltar, and minor French, Yugoslavian and Italian fleets.

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The picture was far more contested in the Western Pacific, where the Japanese Peoples Navy was the dominant player. The UK, Dutch East Indies, Italy and Australian maintained smaller fleets and flotillas in the area.

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I decided to do this as a separate supplementary report so as not to crowd out a normal chapter with it. The next month was already played through when I went back to its beginning on the previous save for this info. That chapter will come out soon, as a follow-up to this one, which qualifies as ‘bonus material’.

So no playing advantage was gained; the additional info did not play a role in what Poland decided to do (or not do) in the January 1945 session. The info is now a month out of date, but I still thought it may shed light on things for those who are more familiar with the HOI4 naval game.

Myself and a few readAARs have been curious about the naval situation for a while now. I thought it reasonable to do a quick tag over to the UK to get a naval report from them in the narrative game context. It was more useful than trying to patch together bits and pieces from the screens available to Poland, and as I know very little about the naval system as yet in HOI4, it was hard for me to figure out what was going on.
 
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Not as broken as I've seen in HOI4 games, but the UK AI is pretty good at building a ton of ships and then using them. You'll probably be safe on the seas, unless the US really starts cranking them out.
 
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Not as broken as I've seen in HOI4 games, but the UK AI is pretty good at building a ton of ships and then using them. You'll probably be safe on the seas, unless the US really starts cranking them out.
It's a pity there isn't something like the HOI3 ledger where you can see what ships have been sunk over time (unless there is I I'm not aware of it).

Oh, maybe there is. I found a 'lost ships' button on the naval summary screen, but for Poland it didn't seem to contain any info. But tagging over as the UK it does seem to be populated. I'll see if I can glean anything useful from it.
 
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Note: does anyone know what the numbers in the naval boxes actually measure? Strength of escorts along convoy routes?
I know the percentage is how "efficient" the ships are at doing their jobs. What that actually means or does, I'm not sure. I'm also not 100% on what the other numbers mean, but I think if the box says something like 1/3, 0/1, etc. the denominator is the number of fleets assigned vs. how many fleets are currently active.

So, for the screenshot above where you asked this, in the Saragoso Sea there are 0/1 fleets assigned to (naval invade?) and 4/4 fleets patrolling.
 
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I know the percentage is how "efficient" the ships are at doing their jobs. What that actually means or does, I'm not sure. I'm also not 100% on what the other numbers mean, but I think if the box says something like 1/3, 0/1, etc. the denominator is the number of fleets assigned vs. how many fleets are currently active.

So, for the screenshot above where you asked this, in the Saragoso Sea there are 0/1 fleets assigned to (naval invade?) and 4/4 fleets patrolling.
I guess that makes sense, but I until I play a game that has meaningful naval warfare in it, I'm unlikely to get that good a feel for what it might really mean in game terms.

To All: another short 'naval war in review until the end of 1944' episode follows, a supplement to Chapter 49 giving a review of the most significant naval casualties and fleet holding I could find, given the curiosity about them. All of it would be realistic intel info from allied sources, I think.
 
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Chapter Forty-Nine (Part 2): Selected Naval Statistics 1936-44
Chapter Forty-Nine (Part 2): Selected Naval Statistics 1936-44

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Allied Statistics

The Royal Navy disclosed its analysis of ships lost and enemy vessels sunk in all fighting up to the end of 1944. More than half of its total losses were in convoys, most of the rest destroyers and just three cruisers. The vast majority of enemy ships sunk were submarines, the bulk of those from the USN, the others from the JPN.

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Of note, in 1943 they had sunk two enemy carriers: one (the Hōshō) from the JPN, the other (the Kaga) from Imperial Kwantung (as it was then) before it switched sides to join the Allies and become the Manchurian Federated States after the collapse of the Asian League. At the time of the Japanese Revolution, Manchukuo and become the Kwantung Imperial States.

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Hōshō (Japanese: 鳳翔, "Phoenix Flying") was the world's first commissioned ship that was built as an aircraft carrier, and the first aircraft carrier of the Imperial Japanese Navy (IJN) – later serving in the Japanese Peoples Navy (JPN). Commissioned in 1922.

The French Commune fielded a fairly large fleet, having only suffered light losses in naval vessels (mainly subs) during the war so far. Their biggest losses had been early on in convoys, prior to 1944. At that time, they had taken an even heavier toll on Japanese convoys, but not all convoys sunk seemed to have been accurately recorded, nor match up with the headline total of enemy ships sunk. More recently, they had taken quite a heavy toll on US convoys.

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Their main enemy scalp had been against Imperial Kwantung in late 1943, sinking the carrier Ryūjō.

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Ryūjō (Japanese: 龍驤 "Prancing Dragon") was a light aircraft carrier built for the Imperial Japanese Navy (IJN) during the early 1930s. It served with Imperial Kwantung after the Japanese revolution until sunk by the French in December 1943.

The Italian Navy, another ‘Allied convert’, still fielded a modest fleet led by a couple of battleships. Its main operations seemed to be by its sub fleet, which had taken all their losses to date, for rather modest results.

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The Yugoslavian subs had been very active, with earlier successes against Kwantung and then Japanese convoys. Their more recent efforts against the US, however, seemed to have led to disastrous losses for no result, while quite a few of their own convoys had been lost in the last couple of months.

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The United States

America’s entry to the war had seen a lot of action in the Atlantic, with scores of their own subs lost (if the figures were to be believed), a handful of destroyers and many of their own convoys. They had the largest amount of carriers and battleships of any single navy currently in operation.

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Japan and Manchuria

The Japanese Peoples Navy had been seriously depleted when Imperial Kwantung took a large slice of their fleet during the Revolution. Since then, they had lost one carrier to the British (as we noted above) in 1943. Of surface ship losses, around ten destroyers and a cruiser had been sunk, plus 13 subs. They had both lost and sunk hundreds of convoys up to the end of 1944, though again some of those figures looked a little unreliable, and a lot of Allied destroyers, especially British and quite a few Italian.

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Manchuria, as mentioned above, as Imperial Kwantung had taken over a slice of the former IJN, but subsequently lost its two carries to the British and French. They retained a few capital and support ships and a sizeable flotilla of subs – which didn’t seem to be doing anything much.

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Kaga (加賀) was named after the former Kaga Province. She was built from 1920-28 and refitted from 1933-35, serving initially with the IJN and then Imperial Kwantung, before being sunk by the Royal Navy in 1943.

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Polish Army Strength

There was also a snapshot of the number of battalions and divisions that constituted the Polish Army at the end of 1944.

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Chapter Forty-Nine: A Worldwide War (1-19 January 1945)
Chapter Forty-Nine: A Worldwide War
(1-19 January 1945)

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US Army troops advance in northern Mexico, early January 1945

With the war now being fought in a range of separate and largely self-contained theatres and fronts in both the Americas and the Asia-Pacific, for continuity and flow each will be dealt with by region in this chapter.

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Mexico and the Atlantic

At this time probably the most dynamic and critical of the various theatres, in Mexico the chaos of December 1944 had given way to two more consolidated fronts as 1945 began. In early January 1945, the Allies, led by the UK and Germany, was still sending large troop convoys across mid-Atlantic.

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Ten of thousands of Allied troops made their way across the Atlantic in troop convoys during January 1945. They tended only to come under threat of interception by US subs as they neared their destinations.

By the afternoon of 2 January, heavy fighting continued in Mexico, as the Allies sought to wrap up the last UMS units fighting in the south and to stabilise their defence against the US in the north.

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Five days later, the US pressure had increased in the north as things became easier for the Allies in the south.

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By the 10th, the Allies had tightened the noose on the last few UMS divisions holed up on the south coast.

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But in the north-west it was a different story, with the German-run Tijuana enclave cut off from the rest of Mexico and the city itself under heavy American attack.

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Tijuana, Mexico, in more peaceful times just before war came to devastate it from late 1944 onwards.

By 16 January, a Hungarian division had driven along the eastern coast of the Sea of Cortez though a gap in the US lines and was making a brave but difficult attack on two US divisions to the east of Tijuana, where the German defenders were on their last legs. The rest of the mixed Allied force was entrenching just to the south, in the port of Ensenada while a French armoured division advanced north along the Baja California peninsula.

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To the east, a large Allied concentration was confidently withstanding a US attack south of Juarez.

But by the next day, the gallant attempt to relieve Tijuana had failed. The Hungarian attack had been defeated and they were now buckling under an American spoiling attack from the north.

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Meanwhile, an American motorised division had occupied Tijuana itself, as the German defenders fell back to Ensenada – where at least they could maintain supply by sea.

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US troops inspect destroyed and abandoned German equipment on the road to Tijuana, 16 January 1945.

There was better news for the Allies in the south, where the last UMS troops there had surrendered by the morning of 17 January.

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On the other hand, by the afternoon of the 18th, Ensenada had been sealed off on all sides, the French armoured relief column having evaporated. The Hungarians had held their ground in the north but were now in danger of being cut off themselves as the British came under concerted US attack to the south-east.

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Canada

It was perhaps no longer the decisive front in North America – almost ‘the Forgotten Front’ – but dozens of Allied divisions still fought on in Western, Central and Eastern Canada as 1945 began. In Newfoundland, the US had advanced to occupy most of the main island by the evening of 7 January, but eight Allied divisions still held out in the port of St. Johns and seemed to be receiving adequate supply by sea.

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A week later, reports from the west indicated the Allied pocket cut off on the western shore of Hudson Bay may have opened a narrow line of communication to the rest of the Allied division cut off in Western Canada. At that time, up to 45 divisions were still fighting back, though with ever diminishing supplies.

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In the east, eight German divisions had reinforced the British garrison in Labrador, where they were actually counter-attacking in the north. A breakout from St. Johns was being counter-attacked by the Americans in Newfoundland.

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Over 20 Allied divisions (five defiant Canadian formations among them) were holding in Halifax, seemingly secure from US attack but also unable or unwilling to break back out.

By the afternoon of 19 January, the Germans were attempting to cut off the US salient in Newfoundland with two attacks from Labrador, while fighting in and north of St. Johns raged back and forth.

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Mainland Asia

The latest border clash in Manchuria lasted from 2-4 January, serving as another distraction for both sides. At least it was still keeping many MAB divisions fixed on the Manchurian border and around its southern enclave.

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The conflict also seemed to trigger a renewed, almost customary, frenzy of MAB attacks in Western China and Indochina.

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A key vulnerability was identified at this time in Ganzi, where the Polish-funded supply hub was slowly being built. Formerly behind the lines, the province was now on the front line after MAB advances in late 1944. This would periodically interrupt construction during attacks, which were persistent.

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With only one South African division as garrison, HQ 4th Army was concerned it may fall and the whole massive investment be lost if the Allies did not lend it the proper priority. As an interim measure, the KBK cavalry division was sent from reserve to bolster the defence, as the MAB kept up heavy attacking pressure all along the central front in Western China.

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KBK troopers on their way to Ganzi, 4 January 1945.

By the afternoon of 5 January, the latest spate of MAB attacks had been resisted, but three of the five Polish divisions in the sector were now back in reserve to recuperate from their recent losses.

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The South Africans won their defence of Ganzi just six hours before the KBK arrived to reinforce them on the morning of 8 January. This allowed a brief period where construction of the supply hub could be resumed.

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Four days later, the KBK was proving of use for the defence of Ganzi, as the MAB resumed its attack. This battle would last far longer than any of the defenders anticipated in the early hours of the battle.

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Up to the north, the Allied defence of eastern Jiuquan was looking solid enough that an extension of the rail supply line was added by Poland to the end of its construction queue.

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Though the defence was still holding strongly in Ganzi, the Poles were worried enough about the security of the partly-completed hub to have brought two recovered Polish divisions from further north to further reinforce the area as a reserve. The first of these, 5 DP, was sent south to Ganzi early on 18 January “just in case”.

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Dismounted Polish troopers from the KBK manning a machine gun position in Ganzi, 18 January 1945. They were pleased to hear more comrades were on their way.

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South-West Pacific Area

In Sulawesi, in early January the Allies were maintaining fairly good supply from the port of Manado through to the front line at the ‘neck’ of the northern peninsula, though not enough was getting through to the final province. The five Allied divisions there had been bottled up again by three Japanese formations.

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Two British and one French division garrisoned the port itself: their organisation remained poor and they had to keep an eye on the six enemy divisions in or passing by Japanese-occupied North Maluku – including some renegade UMS units.

In New Guinea, the Japanese lodgement near Wewak was holding against an attack from the port, but three Australian divisions had closed in from the east and south by the night of 8 January. The Japanese landing in West Papua seemed static for now, with one Dutch division having closed up to them.

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The next day, the enemy situation in between Sulawesi and Papua was a little clearer, with at least three Mexican and three Japanese divisions lurking in the Moluccas and two more Japanese divisions on the tip of West Papua.

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By the morning of the 12th, the pocket east of Wewak had been liquidated, the Japanese division there having just surrendered.

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Australian troops advance during the Wewak Campaign, January 1945.

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Domestic Developments

With the recent rail upgrades in eastern Poland neared completion and work temporarily suspended in Ganzi due to fighting, on 12 January the front-line airfield at Nowogródek began an expansion, while the radar there and at Lwów was also improved.

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Work begins to expand the airfield at Nowogródek on 12 January 1945, to cope with a possible influx of aircraft should Trotsky decide to attack from the east.

Six days later, after the rail extension in Jiuquan was queued, plans for another new military factory for Kielce were put in place.

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The war still remained in the balance, though the Allies were generally becoming a little more concerned with the overall strategic position in both the Americas and Asia as each week went by. While outright defeat was certainly not inevitable, the path to victory was becoming more difficult to envisage.
 
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Trotsky did nothing. Canada slight plus from zombie to barely living. Mexico small loss. China/Indochina slightly better. Sulawesi shuffles. Nineteen days of 1945 and slightly better is ok. Thanks for updating
 
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Chapter Forty-Nine (Part 2): Selected Naval Statistics 1936-44
An interesting look at the attritional nature of these many wars on countries' navies.

I'm wondering, does Poland have any naval bombers? And, if so, would it be feasible to base some in Brittany or Bordeaux (maybe even Mexico if it doesn't fall too quickly) to try and pick off some US ships? Same goes for the Pacific theater.
It's interesting how Canada is still holding on despite everything. Maybe Halifax will hold yet.
Six days later, after the rail extension in Jiuquan was queued, plans for another new military factory for Kielce were put in place.
Why did you queue the factory there and not in Warsaw where you have a larger bonus to construction speed? Was it just to save Warsaw's slots for something more important?
 
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Trotsky did nothing. Canada slight plus from zombie to barely living. Mexico small loss. China/Indochina slightly better. Sulawesi shuffles. Nineteen days of 1945 and slightly better is ok. Thanks for updating
Trotsky seems to have turned turtle as soon as he won his civil war against Stalin: not sure if he will ever emerge! My own feel was Canada and Asia were a bit worse, Mexico marginally better, so a little worse for the Allies overall, but it’s hard to tell.
I'm wondering, does Poland have any naval bombers? And, if so, would it be feasible to base some in Brittany or Bordeaux (maybe even Mexico if it doesn't fall too quickly) to try and pick off some US ships? Same goes for the Pacific theater.
No, none at all - not something we’ve ever developed. After doing the naval reviews, I did start thinking about maybe creating new sub models for the Atlantic, in case things turn nasty there, so Danzig can make something other than convoys. I guess naval bombers would be another option. But the techs for both would need to be developed from scratch.
It's interesting how Canada is still holding on despite everything. Maybe Halifax will hold yet.
Having collapsed sooner than I’d expected, the west in particular is lasting longer than I thought it would. A bit like that slow collapse of the Allied pockets in China when the nationalists lost.
Why did you queue the factory there and not in Warsaw where you have a larger bonus to construction speed? Was it just to save Warsaw's slots for something more important?
Haha, no it’s because I had no idea Warsaw has a bonus to its construction speed! :D I have pretty limited experience of the game. Where does this bonus come from? Is it because it’s the capital, or from somewhere else?
 
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Haha, no it’s because I had no idea Warsaw has a bonus to it’s construction speed! :D I have pretty limited experience of the game. Where does this bonus come from? Is it because it’s the capital, or from somewhere else
No worries :)! When you are on the construction screen, you will see each state has a percentage number (in 10% intervals) next to it. That's a bonus to constructing things in that state. It is increased by having more infrastructure in the state. So a state with max infra. has a 100% bonus to construction speed in that state.
 
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November/December:

On 3 November, a very welcome communiqué was received from London: they had persuaded the Czechs to join the Allies! The consequences of this decision would unfold in coming hours and days, having more significance in the end than may have been realised at the time.

Then, as a bolt from the blue, came the announcement late on 20 November 1944: the newly admitted Czech, of all people, had now induced Mexico to join the war on the side of the Allies!

Well done, Czechoslovakia!

Given experience in China, the Poles were keen to have reasonable logistic support in place on their own patch – just in case.

It's good when you can learn lessons from your expeditionary wars and apply them on the home front. :)

The Japanese destruction of Allied shipping had been huge by comparison to all others, followed by the US in the five or so months they had been involved in the war.

On 1 December, the Allied Far East Command provided an intelligence estimate of relative naval strengths in the Asian Theatre. If these figures were to be believed, the MAB (primarily the Japanese Peoples Navy) held naval supremacy throughout the region.

Unfortunately it looks like the Japanese have had much the better of the naval war so far (not too much of a surprise as it's their back yard) but that's going to make it a lot harder for the Allies now to fight a global war.

Unreported in the last chapter, the US had held its presidential election on (presumably) 7 November 1944 (the OTL date). In a result that surprised many, the American electorate punished President Willkie for dragging the US into war against the Allies, which the Czechs had joined just three days before.

Roosevelt had inherited a war that had spread to two fronts within two weeks of his election.

I feel rather sorry for Roosevelt, inheriting that mess!

Speaking of Halifax, it was now the new provisional capital of Canada – which meant that Montréal had finally fallen to the enemy. And by 3 December, the long-feared Canadian capitulation occurred.

In total, up to 77 remaining Allied divisions were in danger of destruction in the mess that the Canadian Expedition had become.

Well played, United States. I honestly didn't think Canada was in such imminent danger of capitulation and this leaves the trapped divisions with precious little hope. Thankfully the Allies have such a crazy number of divisions they can probably cope with the loss!

But this news was vastly overshadowed by frantic reports emanating from Mexico. Fighting had broken out everywhere between the Allies in country and Mexican forces suddenly batting for the other side!

No real details were available on how this had happened or why a supposedly democratic-led government had overthrown another and then joined the MAB, but a coup had overthrown the Mexican Republic and created the United States of Mexico! A new political faction (!?) of the PAN led by Álvaro Cervantes had taken over, reinstating elections and taking Mexico back into the MAB.

Crazy, crazy stuff! o_O

But the overall result was chaos and the collapse of an effective southern front, even as their comrades marooned in Canada fought a life and death struggle against all odds. In the most important theatre of the war, within a week the entire Allied position had imploded.

At least the Poles were happy they had not committed troops to either of the hot messes that had eventuated in Canada and Mexico.

With the benefit of hindsight, I quite agree. :D

A locally based Mexican division went rogue right in the middle of the latest MAB attack.
In southern Indochina, an intra-provincial battle was under way to eliminate two more rogue Mexican divisions trying to take the port there.

To be fair, the poor Mexican troopes caught overseas were probably just as confused as everybody else!

Early the next day, the chaotic and short-lived United States of Mexico collapsed barely two weeks after the disastrous coup of 11 December.

But the damage had been done and the long-term viability of the Allied position in Mexico was far from certain. Especially once the US had completed their own mopping in Canada.

Yes, that's done a great of damage. I just hope the supply situation is functional given all those separate Allied zones of occupation that now exist in Mexico.
 
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No worries :)! When you are on the construction screen, you will see each state has a percentage number (in 10% intervals) next to it. That's a bonus to constructing things in that state. It is increased by having more infrastructure in the state. So a state with max infra. has a 100% bonus to construction speed in that state.
Ah right, will keep that in mind - thanks for the tip! :)
November/December:


Well done, Czechoslovakia!
They proved very useful diplomatically, even if things then went south, it wasn't their fault. It also decisively removes that long southern border as an area of concern and adds their army to the pool should either the US or USR (or both) come calling at some point.
It's good when you can learn lessons from your expeditionary wars and apply them on the home front. :)
Indeed, especially as I've hardly played the game before and am learning stuff frequently.
Unfortunately it looks like the Japanese have had much the better of the naval war so far (not too much of a surprise as it's their back yard) but that's going to make it a lot harder for the Allies now to fight a global war.
Yes, and you will see more detail on the naval position in coming chapters, now I've discovered where the records are kept!
I feel rather sorry for Roosevelt, inheriting that mess!
Well played, United States. I honestly didn't think Canada was in such imminent danger of capitulation and this leaves the trapped divisions with precious little hope. Thankfully the Allies have such a crazy number of divisions they can probably cope with the loss!
He's actually lucky the game doesn't implement the OTL transition period, because now he can claim all the recent successes!
Crazy, crazy stuff! o_O
With the benefit of hindsight, I quite agree. :D
To be fair, the poor Mexican troopes caught overseas were probably just as confused as everybody else!
Yes, that's done a great of damage. I just hope the supply situation is functional given all those separate Allied zones of occupation that now exist in Mexico.
As others have said "Order 66" was, like the Spanish Inquisition, unexpected. Montezuma had his revenge, even if it was self-destructive for Mexico. Still, it evens up the game and provides the Allied AI with a difficult late game challenge.
 
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Chapter Fifty: Backs to the Wall (20-31 January 1945)
Chapter Fifty: Backs to the Wall
(20-31 January 1945)


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Ursus A trucks being delivered to the newly formed Polish Army logistic companies that began to be introduced across most regular divisions from January 1945 onwards.

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Domestic Developments

The doctrine for specialised Polish Army logistics companies was introduced on 20 January 1945. Given the experiences of the Asian War, the benefits for supply sustainment and fuel efficiency were seen to be vital for that theatre but should also be of use if it came to war with the Soviets.

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The next level of logistics research was pursued immediately, to leverage the hoped-for benefits. This would be implemented by the immediate introduction of logistics companies to around two thirds (65) of the 94 Polish divisions.

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Adequate manpower and trucks were held in stockpile to achieve this, but there was now a significant deficit of support equipment. Production of support equipment was ramped up, but it was hoped the bulk of the shortfall might be supplied by willing Allied partners via lend-lease.

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Just two days later, new Allied member Norway joined Belgium (the largest contributor) and the Netherlands in pledging equipment. The first deliveries were anticipated in a month’s time.

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By the end of the month, another review of Poland’s ‘foreign political outreach’ program was provided. Slow progress was still being made in trying to keep Germany from going Communist at (or before, via coup) the next election. The pro-Polish DNVP was just behind Zentrum in the polls.

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Romania looked to be safe from that fate and the Fascists were also in a small minority, as the Polish-supported FRN was the main opposition to the government democratic PNL government.

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Canada

By 23 January, the three main Allied pockets in western and central Canada were holding on grimly as supplies ran out. The Hudson Bay pocket even seemed to have briefly opened a narrow communication corridor to those trapped in the Plains, while the bulk of the remaining forces in the Rockies had been squeezed further east and even away from any unlikely coastal supply rescue.

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In the east, British and German forces led the defence of Labrador, where a powerful new British fleet had recently based itself. A German division had pushed out north from St. Johns in Newfoundland, but the attacks from southern Labrador on the exposed US communications lines had failed.

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A large Allied force of over 20 divisions was still holed up in Halifax. While they now easily outnumbered the four US divisions immediately to their front, the overcrowding seemed to now be having a negative effect of the Allied supply situation.

As the month ended, the Germans were attacking again from southern Labrador, where promising progress was being made, but the US had ejected the German incursion into Newfoundland. At sea, a French sub flotilla had run into and attacked what proved to be a large US carrier-led task force in the Newfoundland Sea.

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So far, one French sub and two US transports were reported as having been sunk. The Royal Navy had not joined the fight.

The situation in the west had deteriorated, however, with three distinct pockets now being compressed by the Americans, who seemed to be able to do this with smaller troop numbers than the Allies, almost certainly due to the Allies’ parlous supply situation and lack of reinforcements for combat losses.

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Mexico and the Atlantic

In Mexico, by early on 20 January the US had managed to consolidate a wide swathe along the northern border on behalf of their co-belligerents (but not Allies) the United Mexican States, whose exiled government sat again in Juarez. The Ensenada enclave in the north-west remained cut off but supplied and resisting strongly.

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On the main front, the US was pushing the attack in the west and centre, the Allies in the east, with all those battles currently running in the Allies favour. US subs were raiding Dutch transports in the south of the Sea of Cortez.

Two days later, the Germans were still holding out strongly in Ensenada and had actually managed to counter-attack and retake Tijuana. But further east, the Americans had managed to cut off the Allied salient by reaching the coast of the Sea of Cortez.

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Huge Allied troop convoys were still sailing across the Mid-Atlantic. Some troops were still being sent to eastern Canada, but the majority were heading towards Mexico.

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A week later and the situation around Tijuana and on the Baja Peninsula had improved for the Allies. Not only had it and Ensenada been defended from the latest attacks, but German panzers had punched through to surround an American motorised division on the Pacific coast.

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Progress had also been made in the east, with the Allies securing the southern bank of the Rio Grande from the coast to some distance in. The US was now attacking across the front, the Allied defenders meeting with mixed results.

But just as the month was ending, the US had sprung another surprise: a naval invasion of the Belgian-controlled Yucatan Peninsula! They had secured a foothold on its northern tip, taking an airfield but not yet a working port, still held by the Allies, who were now attacking the beachhead with some success.

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Two more US divisions were trying to get ashore to the south-west, but were so far being defied by two Belgian divisions. And while new Allied formations continued to arrive by sea, they would need time to reorganise after arrival and it was unknown whether any large US Navy task force may be in the area to support the invasion or disrupt Allied reinforcement convoys.

The situation in Guyana was one again in stalemate, with ten French, German and Belgian divisions holding the last Allied outpost in Cayenne.

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Overall, in the Americas the Allied situation was one of wary pessimism but not yet hopelessness. The troops trapped in western Canada were undoubtedly lost, though still occupying significant US attention as they raged against the dying of the light. Meanwhile, Labrador, Newfoundland and Halifax continued to hold out quite well, providing another distraction for the US, now effectively fighting on three fronts, all greatly separated.

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Despite the recent US attack on Yucatan, the Allies had secured most of southern and central Mexico and should be able to shift more forces to the northern front as the Germans also performed well in holding on to the north-western Tijuana-Ensenada enclave. And more forces were arriving across the Atlantic convoy pipeline all the time. Whether the increased numbers could be effectively sustained or not was another matter.

To date, Allied casualties in the war against the US had been far heavier than for the Americans. On paper and in total the Allies had far greater troop numbers and industrial might than the US. But as in Asia, the problem for the Allies was applying those advantages effectively away from their homes bases at great distances.

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Their own ‘home advantages’ in North America had been lost with the falls of Canada and Mexico, so sustainment and application of force remained their main problems. Interestingly enough, Belgium had born the brunt of the fighting against the US so far, followed by China (no doubt all those EFs), the UK, Germany, France and Yugoslavia as the major participants.

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The South-West Pacific

By the end of 20 January, reports filtered back to Warsaw that disaster had struck in Sulawesi, in the form of a large Japanese amphibious assault that had apparently quickly overrun the only Allied port of Manado some days before and then pushed the last remaining Dutch division in the vicinity in a rapid westwards retreat.

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This left the four Allied divisions at the base of the northern peninsula completely cut off, with no port for supply or escape. It seemed the long, see-saw campaign in Sulawesi had finally been decided by the bold Japanese end-run.

In New Guinea, the Wewak campaign had been won by Australian and British troops, the last two Japanese divisions defeated and the survivors now lodged in POW camps. This provided at least a measure of good news to counter the terrible news coming out of Sulawesi.

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Dutch and now the lead elements of a British push were moving through the jungles of Papua to confront the Japanese lodgement in the west.

By midnight on the 23rd, a Japanese attack had dislodged the main Allied defence in the south of Sulawesi, while in the north the exhausted Dutch were unable to offer meaningful resistance to the advancing Japanese.

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Over in Papua, the Allies were now advancing in force but had yet to close up to the Japanese defensive lines. And their supply lines via Hollandia and Wewak would remain vulnerable to the lightning amphibious raids the Japanese had shown they were very prepared to make all around the region.

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But the rapid Allied collapse in Sulawesi was now fast approaching its tragic denouement as the Japanese Peoples’ Army closed in from both directions. By the morning of the 25th.

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By the afternoon of 28 January, it was almost all over, with the last Dutch division retreating south even as all their comrades in the south had already surrendered.

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As the month ended, the long Sulawesi Campaign was over, but the fight in Papua was just gearing up as the Allies fanned out along the Japanese front lines.

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The Asian Mainland

In Western China, the desperate battle to save the supply hub being built with Polish resources in Ganzi continued. By the morning of 20 January, the Polish KBK cavalry division and its south African colleagues were coming under heavy pressure as the PLA mounted a heavy offensive across the central sector.

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While the defence seemed to be against the odds, the defenders still retained good organisation and 5 and 7 DPs were now en route from the north.

To assist with the defence in the central sector, the gathered surplus of Polish TAC bombers was ordered to deploy to Urumqi as the new 5 DB, while 4 DB in Qinghai redirected its efforts closer to home rather than in Western China, which 2 DB would continue to cover from Urumqi while 5 DB completed its setting up.

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By midnight on the 21st, the extent of the latest MAB general offensive was plain to see. The Allies were still resisting strongly as MAB casualties piled up, but the initiative seemed firmly in the enemy’s hand at this time.

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5 DB was operational by 0800hr on 22 January and were sent to support operations in the north of the Western China front (as some battles in Qinghai were approaching their maximum range). While fighting had also continued steadily in Indochina during this time, the battles were somewhat smaller than in Western China and no more territory had changed hands.

The largest battle involving Polish troops of the month to date ended at mid night on 22 January, where a PLA attack on central Gannan was defeated with 4,430 enemy and only 238 Allied casualties. But this did not stop the PLA starting a new assault there soon afterwards. Next came another heavy repulse for the PLA in south-west Golog at 1600hr on the 23rd, with 270 Allied and 3,730 PLA troops killed.

By the night of 23 January, the South Africans had routed from Ganzi as relief closed in from the north and the KBK stood alone, its defence now rapidly wearing it down. They could not hold out before reinforcements arrived, forced to retreat at 1700hr on the 24th after a hard fight.

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But Ganzi was not yet lost. 5 DP arrived on the morning of 25 January, before the PLA could take possession of the key province and its building works. They were immediately under severe pressure but a little more time had been bought and defensive air support began to be flown again.

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A day later 5 DP was still alone and the PLA had added another division to the renewed attack, but the gallant Polish defenders were already starting to turn the situation around.

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Enough time had been bought and 7 DP reinforced the defence on the morning of 27 January. That battle would not end for another two days, with a heavy defeat for the human wave attackers for few Polish casualties this time.

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Another large and more deliberate attack was beaten back on the 30th, then a third probe was snuffed out on the morning of 31 January with barely any effort. Ganzi had been secured again for now, though the constant attacks had continued to impede progress on the much-needed supply hub.

Meanwhile, to the north-east the PLA offensive continued, with a huge attack on north-east Gannan defeated at 1600hr on the 27th, with 607 Allied and 7,570 PLA casualties. But all the pressure finally told. Despite good defensive terrain, a large Allied defensive force and disproportionate enemy casualties, a PLA attack on the city of Lanzhou finally succeeded early on the 28th, with three Polish divisions, including two of its crack mountain formations, forced out.

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This prompted the remaining Polish division in north-east Golog to be withdrawn as well: it was already almost exhausted anyway and there were fears of a PLA breakthrough if a strong new defensive line could not be secured west of Lanzhou.

As the month ended, the line in Indochina remained static and temporarily quiet. Two Polish divisions remained at the front in the centre and on the Tonkin coast.

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Two more were resupplying in reserve along the coast, while another was camped in reserve on the east bank of the Mekong, where the French defence had been looking a little shaky.

Overall, apart from the setback in Lanzhou, which had not yet been reoccupied by the enemy at the end of the month, the Front in Western China remained largely unchanged, though the fighting had often been ferocious and bloody. The same applied, to a smaller extent, in Indochina. The war here resembled the trench lines of the Great War more than anything else and was quite different in character to the more mobile campaigns fought recently in North America.

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Polish casualties for the last month sat at a little under 2,500. Total war casualties for both sides (not including the separate toll for the war against the now defunct fascist Asian League) numbered over 5 million combined for the MAB and non-aligned US and 6 million for the Allies. And it seemed there was no end in sight to the effusion of blood, which only looked likely to intensify. Should the USR intervene, being left alive would seem more of a rare privilege than a human right.
 
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Does HoI have a war exhaustion factor? The Sulawesi Shuffle ends with the Japanese standing strong. Mexico/Canada and Mainland Asia continue making widows and fatherless children. Thank you
No war exhaustion, afaik. It's more about losing VP cities/provinces. Sulawesi was a bit of a sudden shock.
 
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The doctrine for specialised Polish Army logistics companies was introduced on 20 January 1945. Given the experiences of the Asian War, the benefits for supply sustainment and fuel efficiency were seen to be vital for that theatre but should also be of use if it came to war with the Soviets.
A good decision. This should certainly help on any front where Polish troops are fighting.
This would be implemented by the immediate introduction of logistics companies to around two thirds (65) of the 94 Polish divisions.
Why only two-thirds? Were you concerned about lack of equipment?
Huge Allied troop convoys were still sailing across the Mid-Atlantic. Some troops were still being sent to eastern Canada, but the majority were heading towards Mexico.
I wonder what the Allies' plans are for North America. It should be interesting to watch.
By the end of 20 January, reports filtered back to Warsaw that disaster had struck in Sulawesi, in the form of a large Japanese amphibious assault that had apparently quickly overrun the only Allied port of Manado some days before and then pushed the last remaining Dutch division in the vicinity in a rapid westwards retreat.
Well, at least the Allied AI doesn't have to worry about that front anymore. And I don't think taking it has given the Japanese any real advantage, other than a moral victory.
The largest battle involving Polish troops of the month to date ended at mid night on 22 January, where a PLA attack on central Gannan was defeated with 4,430 enemy and only 238 Allied casualties. But this did not stop the PLA starting a new assault there soon afterwards.
Can you check and see how much manpower the PRC has left? It might just be a matter of bleeding China dry before advancing.
And it seemed there was no end in sight to the effusion of blood, which only looked likely to intensify. Should the USR intervene, being left alive would seem more of a rare privilege than a human right.
A grim ending to this chapter. Hopefully Russia stays out of this (though I would like to see all of Polland's defensive preparations come into play).
 
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I just looked your AAR for the past 2 days ! Very interesting !
But it's seem the Allies Faction are deeply in a difficult situation... if the CCCP enter to the dance, it's will be mortal..
 
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I just looked your AAR for the past 2 days ! Very interesting !
But it's seem the Allies Faction are deeply in a difficult situation... if the CCCP enter to the dance, it's will be mortal..
Thank you for reading and commenting - :) welcome to the group! Difficult for the Allies and there's only so much I can do to help them as Poland: it should be interesting. If the Soviets do attack, Poland will fight bitterly, but it may, as you say, be too much for the Allies overall and in the long term.
 
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Thank you for reading and commenting - :) welcome to the group! Difficult for the Allies and there's only so much I can do to help them as Poland: it should be interesting. If the Soviets do attack, Poland will fight bitterly, but it may, as you say, be too much for the Allies overall and in the long term.
Thank's !


When i see the Mandchuria peace and war and again peace, i always laughinf :D paradox joke :p
The Mexican Trahison just on the most important moment...

But i think you do great job, specificly in Europe with your lobbying political party, i think Trotsky have something similare for Europe (France are a good example, Germany too).
 
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