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No one at the CP has any better idea. For now, Inönü’s first impulse is to ignore them. It would not be worth diverting the first-line infantry units or aircraft required to deal with this unexpected landing.

“The Axis does seem to have become suddenly interested in the Eastern Med, though,” he remarks rhetorically, to no one in particular.

"Funny that," Kelebek said offhandedly. Lighting a cigar, he smirked and said, "Alright wise guy, pay up."

News Report: Berlin, Germany. A formal statement from Adolf Hitler claimed that the United States "has attacked Germany" and that Roosevelt had been placed before the "tribunal" for world judgment. Germany disputed the American account of the sinking of the Reuben James and claimed that a German submarine only attacked after American destroyers attacked German submarines first. [Comment: perhaps a little unwise of Hitler to be jabbing the sleeping giant like that, but that is his demagogic way.]

"For some strange reason the Axis seem to think the US are primed for attacking them, that wasn't you too was it?"
"Eh...no, actually that's really shoddy spy work on their part, pus rampant paranoia in Hitler's inner circle and a moderately successful British diplomatic mission to the US. They had all their finest seducers on call for the last few weeks. It was...surprisingly effective." Kelebek shrugged. "The American president still doesn't really think he has enough public support for a war against Germany but give it a while. The Axis only has to continue doing idiotic things to the sleeping giant to guarantee explosive results."

“Haydi canım? Yok artık?” [Got this from the dreaded Interweb. @diskoerekto, I hope this translates somewhat correctly as an exclamation of disbelieving amazement.]

"Did the Japanese actually declare war? With their entire military in Siberia and the Axis combined fleets at the bottom of the Mediterranean? Are they completely insane?"
"Possible," Kelebek said, "though note the British don't actually want a war with the Japanese so the Royal Navy isn't going to be going up against them anytime soon. To be frank...we have no idea what is really going to happen. We think the US will try to keep Russia in the war any way they can, so it is more likely that they will send us a lot of weapons and resources...for a price of course, and be our go-between us and the Allies."
"So nothing against Japan?"
"Maybe. It really depends on Japan. If they carry on in Russia, then there's not much the US can do except sink the Japanese fleet and land in China. That being said, if Japan doesn't move back home to defend it, we might get a quick victory from them. And the wildcard that is the Allies must be considered too. If India suddenly becomes a viable front, China will probably fall quite quickly."
"So you really had nothing to do with this one?"
"We may have...ensured...the document got sent to every newspaper in America and every representative's private residence but in essence, their declaration remains unchanged. Yes, they really are that suicidal overconfident."

But I'm now rather pleased with the gamble of joining the Comintern and dragging the Soviets into the war: I'm not the only one who reckons it's worth getting with the strength, regardless of ideological differences. Looking forward to the forthcoming anti-Fascist leader meetings and ganging up with Stalin and Roosevelt on the poor old British. :p

We are going to rule this world.

Mr Churchill, the Prime Minister of Great Britain, while affirming the special relationship between our two countries, has advised me that the Allies remain at peace with the Empire of Japan and, as we are not a member of that Alliance, its mutual defense clauses do not apply in this situation. We will, however, continue to support the Allies with materiel and share the fight with the rest of the Axis pact.

News Report: London, UK. In London, following these events, PM Churchill was asked for comment. Clearly perplexed but ultimately philosophical about these developments, he offered the following: "I cannot forecast to you the action of America. It is a riddle, wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma; but perhaps there is a key. That key is American national interest."

Gossipers in the press claim he had several heart attacks the evening he found out about the alliance. Presumably, his Turkish cigars saved his life. We'll send some more tomorrow, with a get well card.

Minister Aras thought we could add a claim on French Indo-China, to potentially give us a base in South East Asia in the New Comintern World Order. Similarly, with Germany the Foreign Minister suggests adding another region to expand the Glorious Union in central Europe.”

Vietnam is sure to be a good investment.

“For Italy, we are now suggesting a bold approach. Initially, we have claimed two regions already as part of a post-war settlement. We are now suggesting a full conquest of Italy, to incorporate it entirely into the Glorious Union if it can be managed. Everyone agrees that we ‘owe them’ and it would sting badly if we were to recreate much of the old Roman Empire - except from east to west.”

Well, the Allies will cry foul but they have no teeth anymore so sod them. Let's take it all!

I know, even if it was onto a dead-end island, them actually getting an airdrop together and executing it!? Wonders will never cease. We may not have laser guns of werewolves, but we do have S.I.T.H. and the Red Butterfly! :D

Yanks with Tanks too.

One of the underappreciated thus far aspects of this AAR that's fascinating to see is the transition by a burgeoning minor-major power from WWI-style foot soldier armies to mobile and armored warfare tactics in slightly-faster-than-real-time. :)

I know right? So cool.
 
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If you have a lot of units in it, then a low skill Logistics Wizard will save you a significant amount on supply consumption.

I actually used to think this, and then I realized that if you put a Logistics Wizard in the theater command of a full "proper OOB" with the traditional Theater -> Army Group -> Army -> Corps -> Divisions structure, the benefit is only a 1.5% reduction in supply expenditure, and while "every point counts" is a nice thought I'd rather have those Logwiz leaders at a lower level where they give a bigger bonus to the units like tanks that really benefit the most from it.

Of course if you have a scattered, "incomplete" OOB with units attached directly to theaters and other missing HQ levels you get more benefit, but it seems like most players don't like missing out on the other HQ bonuses.

To me, a big nuancing factor is the amount and type of traits. I tend to avoid putting leaders with multiple traits in charge of Divisions, especially non-elite ones, placing them at Army and Corps level instead, to try and get the most out of their traits, with the higher skilled ones at Army level, and the lower skilled ones on Corps level, this to strike a balance between spreading the traits amongst as many units as possible, and those same traits still having a significant effect on the individual units.

I actually do the opposite, putting leaders with a lot of traits at the division level early on so they rack up a lot of XP to earn levels and maybe even more traits, but I do later move those leaders up to Corps/Army commands before the big campaigns, e.g. for Germany I might have Rommel commanding a panzer division in Poland, France, Africa, etc. but put him in charge of a Panzerarmee for Barbarossa. But hopefully by that time I have other strong division leaders for those panzers as I really do believe in the value of an elite breakthrough force
 
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None of this with HOI4 currently. Just army commanders and army group commanders, and stats for both. So most named generals are going to stay that way and get used as army heads whilst army group leaders (for nations with armies and fronts big enough to bother) tend to get pushed into the background with generated characters.

And since the AI is aggresive as a small dog on crack, boosting defence stats and skills at the expense of everything else tends to be very effective.
 
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My first thought was: wtf, USA in the Comintern? This is way to strange. But then: So much in TTL is unthinkable compared to OTL, why not even more.

And positive, too: Antonescu has the chance to meet other right-wing-generals now although they wouldn't be royalists, of course.

Thinking about licences: Forest Sherman-DD were a mid-1950s design in OTL, so probably a good choice for having better screens for the mighty Yavuz than the 2 pre-WW1-CLs WE have.
 
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ZgI89v.jpg
If we're in the business of adding wargoals, we can definitely add Sinkiang (and maybe Xibei San Ma) if they're ever annexed by the Japanese. There's our ancestral lands after all.
 
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If we're in the business of adding wargoals, we can definitely add Sinkiang (and maybe Xibei San Ma) if they're ever annexed by the Japanese. There's our ancestral lands after all.

Would be better to establish puppet governments in Chinease lands and focus on land acquisition in places we can actually hold, so middle east and persian lands. If we can establish a sphere of influence in South chinease waters great, but we're trying to establish the empire, not already overextended it to china. Middle east, north africa, maybe italy and persia if we can. Dont be too greedy unless and until we can back that up with force.
 
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Would be better to establish puppet governments in Chinease lands and focus on land acquisition in places we can actually hold, so middle east and persian lands. If we can establish a sphere of influence in South chinease waters great, but we're trying to establish the empire, not already overextended it to china. Middle east, north africa, maybe italy and persia if we can. Dont be too greedy unless and until we can back that up with force.
I wish there was a Turkestan revolter which we can release in those lands but anyway they are (luckily) not under Japanese occupation.
 
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Heh: because this won’t be going through to Great War 3 I have a bit of impunity in claiming things. o_O But I will try to remain fairly practical and realistic ;)
 
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May I suggest a Dieppe-like raid on a Western-Med target? It might reap some great rewards and force the enemy to either redeploy or concede precious territory.
 
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If nothing else it will keck up the AI for a while.
 
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If nothing else it will keck up the AI for a while.
In fairness, a stiff breeze and a withering glare will send the AI into a tizzy, so that's not exactly an accomplishment! :p
 
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Yeah but it's fun.
 
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So, just to let you know, the next half-month session is played through and I’m into the usual editing process. Plenty happening, so I’ll see if it can be be squeezed into one episode!

Many thanks too for whoever voted in the annual awards to see TT come in third in a large and excellent field!
 
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Great comments and a lot there - this time I might be a bit more general, as the next episode is ready to publish. But first ...

A lot to unpack here.

German paratroopers in Mitylene, interesting... Germany really seems to have a soft spot for that island (in 'Odin's timeline, Germany is also in control of Mytilene, in that case, thanks to the fact that Germany got all the Greek territory not controlled by Italy or Bulgaria (Half of Crete and Mytilene) after their invasion of Greece) It's really somewhat useless, especially in German hands, as it's definitely tough to supply from Germany...

The whole Petrovac affair just proves that the Germans are incapable of properly following up big breakthroughs on the Balkans front in strength. 16 ID (mot) pressed on very well, but no other German formations followed into Petrovac or Turnu Severin. The Germans worked so hard to get that beachhead, and then they don't throw everything they have at it? Too bad for them, all the better for the Comintern. This, of course, is not meant to diminish the stellar efforts the Turkish armed forces put into throwing the offending Motorised Division back across the Danube. The Turkish Air Force's constant harassment of the invaders, and the many thousands of soldiers who fought tooth and nail to the point of exhaustion to buy the Army enough time to react. The Gebirgsjäger in Turnu Severin shouldn't be too much trouble, they came out of that first battle in significantly worse shape than their motorised colleagues, and they're defending plains, not exactly the type of terrain they've been trained for...

As expected Beograd was an easy defence, with the SS attacking (half of their number across a river) into urban terrain held by a more numerous, dug in, and determined enemy. I'm sure that once all is said and done, the casualties will be pretty one-sided in Turkey's favour.

The Japanese attack on the US was a welcome surprise, and then the US asking to join the Comintern was an even better one. It seems Roosevelt's UK ambassador made inquiries with the British soon after the Japanese attack. All I could find out is that the US asked for the Allies to declare war on Japan as a condition for the US to join the Allies. When the British turned them down, the US foreign minister seems to have said that if the Allies wouldn't fight the Japs, then the US would go find friends who already were. A state visit to Moskva later, and the US is officially part of the Comintern, now also known in the US as the 'anti-Japanese Pact'. Despite the Capiltalist nature of the US, realpolitik and the priorities of the war prevailed on both sides, we hope to build a strong, mutually beneficial relationship within the same supranational structure. There will be full collaboration and a system for widespread intelligence sharing is already being set up, I personally met with a few of my American counterparts to help set it up. With the USA in the Comintern, it is no longer a question of whether we will win the war, but when we will. They bring a lot to the table: A massive industrial base, a powerful navy only rivaled by the Royal Navy, and a lot of very advanced weapons designs we will be able to produce or receive through lend-lease to aid our own war effort. While some have been saying that a conflict, or at least a hard rivalry, between the Communist and Capitalist giants is inevitable, this is likely to prove them wrong. The Comintern has gone from an Alliance to promote Communism in its most Stalinist form to one to promote the destruction of Facist and Imperialist powers, and a harmonious new world order once the fighting is done. In part at least, we have Turkey to thank for that, despite their lack of Stalinist Communism, they courted the Soviet Union to Join the Comintern out of strategic considerations. Some in Soviet Diplomatic service have been overheard, behind closed doors, saying that if it were not for Turkey being part of the Comintern, the US may have never seen joining the Comintern as an option in the first place.

Let us all rejoice at the newly enlarged and emboldened Comintern,

SkitalecS3

On the appointment of Corps commanders, this is a good and necessary move. The effects of traits trickle down, this means that, when short on leaders with good traits, the corps level is very important. All Divisions within a corps get 50% of the trait effects of the Corps commander applied to them. Just as vital is reinforcement time, which is impacted by the Skill Level of the Corps commander. Of course, having a skilled Division leader improves combat efficiency and gives that Division the full effect of all of his traits, but that's only a single Division that gets that benefit, instead of 5, you do the maths. Ideally, you want Corps commanders with as many traits as possible and a decent skill level. It all depends on what you want to prioritise, if it's supplies, then you need high skill on AG level, if it's Organisation, high skill levels at Army Level, if it's reinforcement chance, and spreading around traits as effectively as possible, it's high skill and many traits at Corps level. High skill at Division level creates a few expertly-led and more combat effective Divisions, at the cost of the benefits to the rest of the Army that would have come from placing said leaders elsewhere in the hierarchy. Oh, and you can reduce stacking penalty with highly skilled Theatre commanders... not that that's really relevant to Turkye in the slightest. Of course, most people mix and match a bit in an attempt to balance priorities.
We dealt with the corps commander issue in general discussion, but as to the other points. Interesting that Mytilene should be of interest to the Germans: must be some AI algorithm thing! You will see the outcome of the Beograd and Turnu Severin battles in the coming update, but I agree, in this case they didn't do their follow-up very well. They do occasionally but I reckon (apart from any AI failings) they simply don't have the numbers to run rampant on any one sector of the Patriotic Front without endangering another. It could end up rather like WW1 for a while, except on an even more massive scale. Which won't be good for the Axis.

Yes, in this time line it's more about realpolitik than economic ideology. But hey, if the US is on our side rather than the Allies, then we'll use it. Not so much of a difference to Germany and Japan: I doubt they care what colours the Americans pin on their lapels, they fight them one way or another. But as to the new world order ... :D
Yıldırım Savaşı :D

:eek:o_O:confused: all those Uzo distilleries in enemy hands who don't know how to enjoy it! Blasphemy!

Please God let this end with envelopment and capture in detail of overreaching Germans.

One of my favorite defensive tactics. Very powerful and relies on modest skill level instead of a skill difference which might be hard to achieve sometimes.

Excellent, they just shot themselves in the foot! That'll show them.

duhuhasdhahudsihasasdnaisn ioenoanoaie oien

WHAT THE BLOODY FUKCH ASjajsajs I can just press random keys and nothing else at this moment!

This has REALLY been an unexpected development. I, for one, welcome our comrade Americans into Comintern :D

Before reading the rest which probably includes you tying this interesting game behaviour into the narrative, I can say that it only makes sense for the Americans (who join the war by getting attacked by the Japanese) to join the side who's actually trying to fight the nazis and the fascists.

Although, I'm really worried about the American AI ever since I subscribed to this great American AI AAR @Eurasia writes I hope in our universe they're more competent (maybe you can consider making their default HQ division include some fighthing brigades? :D )


Very fitting usage of the phrases.

Man, I still don't know what exactly to say. This really came out of the blue. Greatest AAR ever :)
Turkish version of Blitzkrieg noted - thanks! :) And glad those phrases were on the money. As to the US and it's AI: I'm not too worried - as long as they send me bucket-loads of lend-lease and distract the Japanese or even the Germans a bit, I'm happy. The second front isn't as big a thing here as it was in OTL, and they won't be pairing up with the UK anyway. If they do intervene in some useful places or even send some EFs, that would be a bonus. ;)
It's an age-old debate, but I always find it interesting how people choose to prioritize assigning their commanders. Personally, I tend to emphasize Army Group > Army > Division > Corps >>>>Theater (almost never assigning a theater commander in fact) but I've seen it done every which way! Regardless of how one handles it...the real problem is: too many men, not enough leaders. Not the worst problem to have, of course, and I'm sure many of Germany's conquests (and a few of Turkey's, to boot!) would have preferred it over the opposite problem! :p
Yes, and you'll recall I deliberately didn't go the (quite reasonable and suggested by some commenters) path of editing the save file to utilise commanders from conquered countries in the UGNR, for example. I'm using it as a deliberate handicap for the human player. Same with leadership. The larger I get, the more I dilute my talent pool. C'est la guerre! <Gallic shrug ;)>
Exactly, when you run out of leaders, you have way more units than would be historical (except if you play SU, and the big purges just happened), so you're definitely doing something right... Theatre level command is not the most important, but it's not worthless. If you have a lot of units in it, then a low skill Logistics Wizard will save you a significant amount on supply consumption. AG >Army > Division > Corps > Theatre makes sense to me, it puts supply over combat, and combat over reinforcement, and stacking penalties. To me, a big nuancing factor is the amount and type of traits. I tend to avoid putting leaders with multiple traits in charge of Divisions, especially non-elite ones, placing them at Army and Corps level instead, to try and get the most out of their traits, with the higher skilled ones at Army level, and the lower skilled ones on Corps level, this to strike a balance between spreading the traits amongst as many units as possible, and those same traits still having a significant effect on the individual units. At AG level, I get the highest possible skill, preferably with no traits (or maybe Logistics Wizard). Of course, this way of doing things is somewhat linked with the game, and the way I'm playing right now, using the AI to run Soviet Armies, and even Army Groups. With manual control, it can make more sense to maximise a few elite Divisions/corps that are meant to do all of the offensive operations, giving them a highly skilled and trait-filled chain of command maximising combat, org, and reinforcement stats, while the line units get the leftover Generals, and a chain of command based around lowering their supply consumption. It all depends on so many factors, personal preference, type and number of units, playstyle, even the quality of the infrastructure in which the fighting will happen is a factor.
I like to fill them where I can, even with the Theatre Commander, part for role-playing, part for the general (if diffused at higher level) benefits.
"Funny that," Kelebek said offhandedly. Lighting a cigar, he smirked and said, "Alright wise guy, pay up."

"For some strange reason the Axis seem to think the US are primed for attacking them, that wasn't you too was it?"
"Eh...no, actually that's really shoddy spy work on their part, pus rampant paranoia in Hitler's inner circle and a moderately successful British diplomatic mission to the US. They had all their finest seducers on call for the last few weeks. It was...surprisingly effective." Kelebek shrugged. "The American president still doesn't really think he has enough public support for a war against Germany but give it a while. The Axis only has to continue doing idiotic things to the sleeping giant to guarantee explosive results."

"Did the Japanese actually declare war? With their entire military in Siberia and the Axis combined fleets at the bottom of the Mediterranean? Are they completely insane?"
"Possible," Kelebek said, "though note the British don't actually want a war with the Japanese so the Royal Navy isn't going to be going up against them anytime soon. To be frank...we have no idea what is really going to happen. We think the US will try to keep Russia in the war any way they can, so it is more likely that they will send us a lot of weapons and resources...for a price of course, and be our go-between us and the Allies."
"So nothing against Japan?"
"Maybe. It really depends on Japan. If they carry on in Russia, then there's not much the US can do except sink the Japanese fleet and land in China. That being said, if Japan doesn't move back home to defend it, we might get a quick victory from them. And the wildcard that is the Allies must be considered too. If India suddenly becomes a viable front, China will probably fall quite quickly."
"So you really had nothing to do with this one?"
"We may have...ensured...the document got sent to every newspaper in America and every representative's private residence but in essence, their declaration remains unchanged. Yes, they really are that suicidal overconfident."

We are going to rule this world.

Gossipers in the press claim he had several heart attacks the evening he found out about the alliance. Presumably, his Turkish cigars saved his life. We'll send some more tomorrow, with a get well card.

Vietnam is sure to be a good investment.

Well, the Allies will cry foul but they have no teeth anymore so sod them. Let's take it all!

Yanks with Tanks too.

I know right? So cool.
Kelebek's role is about to gear up again - the next episode sets the scene, the hijinks will start after that. In the meantime, you have described some of his extra-curricular exploits. Yes, I'm now hoping the odds have indeed swung heavily towards an ultimate Comintern victory. But there's plenty of war to fight, with the Axis deep in both the west and east of Russia and Japan ready to perform their usual (we assume) mischief in the Pacific. I think we'll be meeting Winnie in person soon at one of those Big Four allied get-togethers to discuss the course of the war. Though he may be feeling a bit outnumbered. Especially when the Soviets, US and Turkey all demand permanent seats on the security council of this new 'United Nations' (and interesting we will have the United Kingdom, Union of Soviet Socialist Republics, United States of America and the Union of Glorious National Republics dominating it. Very 'United' Nations indeed! :D

Re Vietnam: I'm glad (if it does come to pass) that the possible Vietnam acquisition doesn't need to be maintained post-war! :eek:Victory will be the end of alternate history <phew>
I actually used to think this, and then I realized that if you put a Logistics Wizard in the theater command of a full "proper OOB" with the traditional Theater -> Army Group -> Army -> Corps -> Divisions structure, the benefit is only a 1.5% reduction in supply expenditure, and while "every point counts" is a nice thought I'd rather have those Logwiz leaders at a lower level where they give a bigger bonus to the units like tanks that really benefit the most from it.

Of course if you have a scattered, "incomplete" OOB with units attached directly to theaters and other missing HQ levels you get more benefit, but it seems like most players don't like missing out on the other HQ bonuses.

I actually do the opposite, putting leaders with a lot of traits at the division level early on so they rack up a lot of XP to earn levels and maybe even more traits, but I do later move those leaders up to Corps/Army commands before the big campaigns, e.g. for Germany I might have Rommel commanding a panzer division in Poland, France, Africa, etc. but put him in charge of a Panzerarmee for Barbarossa. But hopefully by that time I have other strong division leaders for those panzers as I really do believe in the value of an elite breakthrough force
I take a relaxed attitude to shaping these things, but do lean to developing and keeping combat generals with the best divisions. These become the elite, the others (especially leaderless ones in my case) are like the reserve or cannon-fodder units, and when used try at least to have them co-located with a decent battle commander for the tactical command benefits. But I don't get too scientific or doctrinal with it (perhaps I should, but other things interest me more ;)).
None of this with HOI4 currently. Just army commanders and army group commanders, and stats for both. So most named generals are going to stay that way and get used as army heads whilst army group leaders (for nations with armies and fronts big enough to bother) tend to get pushed into the background with generated characters.

And since the AI is aggresive as a small dog on crack, boosting defence stats and skills at the expense of everything else tends to be very effective.
It (HOI4) sounds a little vanilla to me, but perhaps the flavour comes in other aspects. I'll go to CK2 for the real complicated personality and role-play stuff. ;)
My first thought was: wtf, USA in the Comintern? This is way to strange. But then: So much in TTL is unthinkable compared to OTL, why not even more.

And positive, too: Antonescu has the chance to meet other right-wing-generals now although they wouldn't be royalists, of course.

Thinking about licences: Forest Sherman-DD were a mid-1950s design in OTL, so probably a good choice for having better screens for the mighty Yavuz than the 2 pre-WW1-CLs WE have.
We explore the new license options more fully in the next chapter - and start to invest in some of them. The US ships available are clearly miles ahead of indigenous or Soviet designs, for sure. As for Antonescu - well, he gets a mention in passing in the news reports in the next update. ;)
If we're in the business of adding wargoals, we can definitely add Sinkiang (and maybe Xibei San Ma) if they're ever annexed by the Japanese. There's our ancestral lands after all.
I'll think about them if the opportunity arises later - just for the fun of it, as I won't have to cope with the post-war world in this one!
Would be better to establish puppet governments in Chinease lands and focus on land acquisition in places we can actually hold, so middle east and persian lands. If we can establish a sphere of influence in South chinease waters great, but we're trying to establish the empire, not already overextended it to china. Middle east, north africa, maybe italy and persia if we can. Dont be too greedy unless and until we can back that up with force.
Indeed. In general, puppets are quite useful (and you get to keep their remaining armed forces on your side if they turn).
I wish there was a Turkestan revolter which we can release in those lands but anyway they are (luckily) not under Japanese occupation.
Quite.
May I suggest a Dieppe-like raid on a Western-Med target? It might reap some great rewards and force the enemy to either redeploy or concede precious territory.
If nothing else it will keck up the AI for a while.
In fairness, a stiff breeze and a withering glare will send the AI into a tizzy, so that's not exactly an accomplishment! :p
Yeah but it's fun.
Raiding or limited seaborne invasions could well come into it as things progress. Especially to stake the claims on Italy, perhaps Spain towards the end-game too. But for now, it's eyes on the main prize in the Balkans. :)
As always, thanks so much for the in-depth comments, support and side-discussions. To the next episode soon (I did manage to get it all into one chapter but, as I also like my narrative diversions and tracking OTL events and weaving them in or comparing and contrasting them to ATL, its reasonably long. In part also because I like to keep you apprised of what is happening away from the Turkey-centric front. This is a Great (and now truly global) War, after all! ;)
 
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Chapter 152: The Arsenal of Socialism (4 to 15 November 1941)
Chapter 152: The Arsenal of Socialism (4 to 15 November 1941)

Big world events, combat, new theatres of operations and the industrial impact of America’s entry into the war all feature in this update. Alternate history weaves around, diverting and then drawing back to the general trend of our own history. Fasten your seatbelts – it’s a long, fast and furious ride, as always!

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4 Nov 41

Waiting for the Milli Şef as he wakes up on the first morning of a new era is some work his War Ministry staff have done overnight to show what is on offer for licensing from Turkey’s two great allies – old and new.

First is a report on what both the Soviets and Americans can offer in terms of licenses where both produce a similar item. Where there is a clear advantage of one over the other, a green arrow has been shown in the margin. If it there is some debate but advice leans in a particular direction, a question mark is put alongside it. In only one case (TAC bombers) are the merits evenly enough poised that there is no obvious ‘winner’.

TpaSuE.jpg

Sea. The notes explain the US has far and away the better destroyers and light cruisers to offer. It is not possible to obtain licenses for capital ships (heavy cruisers or above) under license from any power. In addition, in shipping the US can offer landing craft for sale, which the Soviets can't.

Air. For aircraft, US designs are generally superior: in morale by a large margin, for organisation in most cases (except in CAS) and in night-fighting ability (across the board). They can also offer strategic bombers where the Soviets cannot. Transports, NAV and CAGs were not considered. For TAC, there were pros and cons for the Soviet and American designs.

Land. On land, American light and medium armour was slightly better, though only for the training and doctrine they could provide – otherwise there was nothing between the respective characteristics: A late-1941 Sherman was effectively rated the same as a T-34. The TDs were also quite closely matched, the Soviet SU-100 probably a little better on balance.

Exclusive Items. Only the Soviets can produce heavy armour – with the IS-2 (a brigade of them recently ordered by Turkey) the only such offering for the anti-Fascist forces. But the Americans offer both SP Arty and SP Rocket Arty (these types of units are highly sought after by the Turks for their mechanised formations), plus marines (which could come in handy later in the war) and paratroopers (likely to be an unnecessary luxury for Turkey for the foreseeable future).

This exciting array of Comintern hardware was becoming available at just the time Turkey expected to have a large amount of unused industrial capacity to spend on it. Apart from SP artillery, there was a lot of interest in some of the less manpower-intensive items, especially aircraft. Small ships could be purchased later, but the need was not urgent. Some infrastructure items might also come into calculations.

---xxx---

Another early morning report indicated Mexico had granted military access to the US. Well, good luck for them, thought Inönü, but I don’t care much. Closer to home, at 6am 5 Inf Div joined 1 Mot Div in Petrovac, to help reconsolidate its defence. 1 Cav Div was by then in Cuprija and would arrive in Petrovac in the mid-afternoon the following day – to commence a quick assault on Turnu Severin, hopefully before the enemy could reinforce it.

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“General, a report from Beograd.”

Inönü unfolded a simple note – it told him everything he needed to know. More than 2,500 SS fanatics had been sent to their deserved fate and the crucial city remained safely in Turkish hands.

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In the evening, two telegrams arrived from the Foreign Office in Ankara. The Turkish Ambassador in Washington had been briefed on two diplomatic developments which had occurred one after the other. The declaration of war had sharply spurred national unity in the newest Comintern power, with both a huge immediate influx of manpower (500,000 men, according to estimates) and a large continuing increase [45%] in recruitment rates. Deciphered Japanese signals indicated they were devoting special attention to port strikes for the next six months. If the Americans were wise, they would be careful what they kept in port in their Pacific island bases!

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OTL News: Detroit, US. Viscount Halifax (the British Ambassador to the US) was pelted with eggs and tomatoes by isolationist women demonstrators in Detroit as he was leaving City Hall. Halifax was afterwards quoted as saying, "How fortunate you Americans are, in Britain we get only one egg a week and we are glad of those." The quote was actually fabricated by someone in the British Press Service, but it was widely disseminated in the media and created a burst of sympathy and goodwill towards the British and Halifax in particular. [Comment: no such problems any more in this ATL, with war coming a month early.]

---xxx---

Meanwhile, in Naples, Cennet is due to meet with her recently successful ‘business associate’ ‘Vito’ Corleone. But an hour or two before she is due at Vito’s office, he is at his home, talking to a woman – someone from the neighbourhood, apparently.

“Signora Columbo, why did you come to see me?” asks Vito.

“Your wife told me to ask you if you could help me.”

“She's in bad trouble, Vito," implores his wife. "The neighbours complained to the landlord about her dog. He told her to get rid of it. But her little boy loves that dog. So she hid it. When the landlord found out, he got angry and told her to leave. Now she can't stay even if she gets rid of it.”

“Oh, I'm so ashamed Mr Corleone! He said he'd get the police to throw us out on the street. I can't move. Can you to talk to him, tell him I want to stay?”

“What's the landlord's name?”

Armed with the details, Vito tracks this Signor Roberto down at a barber’s shop and walks up to him as he leaves, introducing himself.

“My name is Vito Corleone. Signora Colombo is a friend of my wife. She says she's been evicted for no good reason. She's a poor widow, she has nobody to take care of her. She has no relatives, no money. All she has is her neighbourhood.”

“I already rented the place to another family,” Roberto says dismissively and starts to walk away.

“I told her that I'd talk to you. That you're a reasonable man. She got rid of the animal that caused the trouble. So let her stay. Are you Calabrese, Signor Roberto?”

“No, I'm Sicilian.”

“But we're practically paisan, do me this favour.”

“I already rented it! I'll look like an idiot. Besides, the new tenants pay more rent.”

“How much more a month?”

“Fifty lire”.

“Here's six months increase in advance. But don't tell her about it. She's very proud. Come see me in another six months. Of course, the dog stays. Right?”

“Huh!”

“The dog stays.”

Roberto refuses and hands back the money. “Who the hell are you to come and give me orders? Watch out or I'll kick your Calabrese ass right into the street.”

“Do me this favour. I won't forget it. Ask your friends in the neighbourhood about me. They'll tell you I know how to return a favour,” Vito, who has remained perfectly calm, polite and reasonable throughout, then walks away.

“What a character!” Roberto says to himself, then keeps on his way.

---xxx---

An hour later, Vito is at his place of business – now set up as the GENCO Olive Oil Office, where he has begun to distribute Luca Brasi’s signature product.

Cennet walks in for her meeting. As she does, she sees Tessio is introducing a fawning, nervous and somewhat frightened looking man. She tales a seat in the corner of the office and watches proceedings with amusement.

“That landlord is here - Roberto, the one who owns those ratholes,” announces Tessio.

Roberto looks into the office meekly. Vito waves him in. Roberto is fumbling at the door handle and can’t seem to open it.

“He's been asking all around the neighbourhood about you,” says Clemenza quietly to Vito.

Vito gets up and opens the door easily, ushering Roberto in graciously.

“Grazie!” says the fidgety landlord, who enters and takes off his hat, holding it in front of him in both hands. “I hope I'm not disturbing you, Don Vito.”

“What can I do for you, Don Roberto?”

“What a misunderstanding! Holy Mary! Of course Signora Colombo can stay!”

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“What a misunderstanding!” The formerly arrogant Signor Roberto’s fawning is now almost comical. Note the stacks of GENCO product waiting to be distributed – a handy cover for the approaching start of active intelligence operations in Italy. And a chance for Luca to “wet his beak” a little in the process! [NB: For fans of Fawlty Towers, I think he looks a lot like Manuel here! :D]

“Grazie, grazie,” says Vito magnanimously.

“Don Vito - I'm giving back the money you gave me. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6. Because after all, Don Vito, money isn't everything.”

Roberto sits down then leaps up again, as if there had been a needle in it. “Can I sit down?”

Vito gestures for him to do so.

“Your kindness to that widow made me ashamed of myself,” says Roberto as he stands up again nervously. “The rent stays like before.”

Vito looks at Roberto and smiles.

“I'll, I'll even lower it. I'll lower it 50 lire,” offers Roberto.

Vito remains silent, a look of expectation on his face.

“I'll lower it 100 lire.”

“Grazie, grazie,” says Vito, at last shaking Roberto’s hand. “Can I offer you some coffee?”

“I'm late for an appointment! I can't this time! Ask me another time!” Roberto starts to babble.

“You'll have to excuse me for now,” he says as he walks over to the door. Which he is too nervous and clumsy to open. “I wish I could stay longer!” Still fumbling at the door and looking over his shoulder at Vito. “Just call me and I'll be here!”

Vito walks over and smoothly opens the door for him, whereupon Roberto laughs nervously and leaves hastily.

“He won't be back. He'll hide out downtown!” laughs Clemenza.

Cennet, amused by this little drama, walks over to Vito, offering her hand, which he kisses elegantly. “I heard Don Fanucci met with a little accident. And your business is looking up.”

“It certainly is, Miss. And we too are going to do some very lucrative business together, I hope.”

“Oh yes, Don Vito, that we are. This GENCO Olive Oil importation is just the beginning. In fact, I can tell you some more associates of the interests I represent will be in town soon. Here and throughout Italia.”

“I see. Anything I can do to be of assistance?”

“Oh, assuredly. Some day soon I may ask you for a favour – and that day will surely come. Until then, I suggest you may wish to hire plenty of men who don’t mind getting their hands – dirty – with some good hard work.”

“Noted. Until then, Miss.”

“Arrivederci, Don Vito!”

---xxx---

5 Nov 41

The day begins with a major research breakthrough – Tactical Command Structure doctrine has been advanced. This means Turkish doctrine experts can now begin to research Superior Firepower – which will lead to the most far-reaching reform of the Turkish Army since the early days of the Turkish Wars of Expansion. While Central Planning and ultimately the ability to produce Grand Battle Plans would also be very welcome (to improve combat reinforcement), that line of research will have to wait a while longer yet.

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Industrial capacity is currently being squeezed by the need to reinforce the army and air force after all their recent combat losses – the demand is at unprecedented levels (almost double what had been considered ‘high’ until recently). This will slow down projects at the bottom of the production queue, but those at the top (shown in the figure below) will make some room when completed – especially when the first heavy armour brigade rolls of the production line in just over a week.

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That afternoon, 1 Cav Div arrives in Petrovac – and an hour later, they are engaged against the enemy mountain troops trying to hold Turnu Severin. 3 Cav Div, to the south in Zajecar, is still reorganising and cannot attack for another 58 hours! Wehib pasha does not care:

“We will attack immediately – the devil take these potato-eaters. Vur ha!”

Though the wily German commander does his best to delay and inflict casualties.

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OTL: Pacific. Isoroku Yamamoto issued Top Secret Order No. 1 to the Japanese Combined Fleet, detailing the plan for the attack on Pearl Harbor. [Comment: Oops, they’ve blown the element of surprise this time. Not that the Americans were keeping anything significant in Pearl anyway.]

---xxx---

6 Nov 41

After a day of fighting, the Turks swing into a classic armoured assault – but meet an effective German counter-attack. Despite this, the mountain troops are caught in the open against the (two) old but still effective T-28 medium tank brigades of 1 Cav Div, which press the attack, along with their brigade of motorised infantry and tank destroyers.

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At this time, word comes through that the Americans have ramped up their lend-lease deliveries to Turkey enormously now they are switching to wartime production. A fourfold increase in US support [now over 20 IC, taking total IC from 140 to 155] and a simultaneous decrease in the reinforcement demand means the production deficit has been erased and new expenditure is possible. To maximise the use of diplomatic delegations and mitigate delays, two licenses are bought at once: American SP artillery is the first priority. On balance, the combat power of artillery rather than the speed and reduced initial cost of mobile rocket batteries are preferred. Two M12 brigades are started in parallel.

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The new SP artillery and the already-commenced IS-2 brigade are elevated in the queue to ensure 100% effort, with some mountain and motorised infantry divisions shunted below, where some of them will be temporarily delayed – though not for long.

With the Danube Line now close to being stabilised and increasing Axis activity along the Adriatic, that night the recovering 19 Inf Div is shifted south to Kolasin, to prepare digging in and reinforcing the somewhat thin position there, in case the Soviet screening divisions in the mountains are pushed back.

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A further major increase to US lend—lease [now over 30 IC] and increases to British and Soviet aid [about another 5 IC each, to over 26 and 31 IC respectively] see Turkish industrial output leap even further [now 175 IC]. And this is before the capacity released from the new heavy tank brigade [more than 20 more IC] is released on 14 November! Another purchase from the US is desired, but cannot be negotiated before the afternoon of 13 November, given the recent mission sent. The surplus capacity [11 IC now all shortfalls have been absorbed] is temporarily parked in supply production.

News Report: Moscow, USSR. Joseph Stalin made a radio address broadcast worldwide declaring that Hitler's "crazy plan" to draw Britain and the United States into a coalition to destroy the Soviet Union had failed. Stalin said that a coalition of the United States, Britain and the USSR was "now a reality" and expressed his hopes that a "second front" would be established "in the near future." [Comment: this OTL news report stands up pretty well I think in our ATL. You can just interpret the words in line with the new reality.]

OTL: Eastern Front. Frostbite began to appear among German troops on the Eastern Front. [Comment: Mwahaha – it’s just the beginning, suckers! It looks like we can’t expect the same degree of winter assistance in this ATL, but that’s because were in a comparatively better position than OTL November 1941.]

---xxx---

7 Nov 41

“Mr President, I’m afraid I have some unfortunate news,” says GRU Agent SkitalecS3, shortly after lunch on 7 November. “The Fascists curs have managed to force the retreat of the 4th ‘Smolenskaya’ Rifle Division from the mountain of Cevo on the southern Yeniçeri Line. This will not be publicly reported, of course, but you need to know. The province will fall in a few days.”

“Thank you for being so frank, Comrade Skitalec. The cursed dogs will have their day for now. I will withdraw the request to defend it – it is not tenable. We thank the brave soldiers of the Soviet Union for holding there so long and allowing us to establish a new southern branch of the line, when all seemed so desperate many weeks ago.”

But a few hours later there is much better news: Wehib Pasha reports victory in Turnu Severin. Despite their tactical trickery, the Germans have been soundly beaten and are retreating back across the Danube!

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Later that day, it is dinner time at HQ 1st Army in Sofiya again. And once again, the Foreign Office LO arrives with momentous news. November is proving to be an eventful month!

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“This is truly now a Second Great War, even more global in scale than the last one,” exclaims the President. “And great news too for our Soviet allies – perhaps at least the beginning of the end of their misery in the Far East could be at hand. But we must be prepared for the Japanese menace to expand before it is rolled back, as surely it will be.”

Once again, there are toasts to the anti-Fascist fight and a feeling of cautious optimism is becoming harder for the Turkish High Command to resist.

With the war now shared fully with their British co-belligerents, the British staff LO to the headquarters shares a confidential briefing on the situation in Egypt, which is of course of crucial interest to Turkey. The British at last seem to have mustered some significant forces – though no armour as yet.

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As he enjoyed a rare relaxing evening, listening to music on his gramophone, one of Inönü’s aides appeared, wearing a sharply turned out uniform and a big smile.

“General, I have a message to relay from Major General Wehib Pasha. I have managed to memorise it verbatim.”

“Oh yes, and what is it?”

“’It’s Ours!’ is all he said.”

“Ah, very good, very good.” ‘It’ was, of course Turnu Severin, into which the victorious 1 Cav Div had rolled at 9pm.

News Report: Moscow, USSR. In an important symbolic event, Soviet troops march in Red Square to commemorate the anniversary of the October Revolution as per the annual tradition. Soldiers taking part in the parade then marched straight on to the front line.

Entertainment News: US. Bette Davis became the first female president of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences.

OTL: Pacific. Senior commanders of the Japanese Army and Navy were informed that the start of war against Britain and the United States was tentatively set for December 8 (Japanese time).

---xxx---

8 Nov 41

The next morning, with 1 Cav Div in Turnu Severin since the evening before and 18 Inf Div now moving north to join them, the still badly disorganised 14 Inf Div (its previous defenders) were ordered back over the border from Romania into the UGNR from Jiana, which was now safely behind the lines and would be Romania's and the Soviet’s responsibility.

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Late that afternoon, 4 Inf Div, only just starting to recover from its ordeal, arrived in Pozarevac to shore up its defences, left a little thin after 1 Mot Div was sent east to retake the enemy bridgehead. They joined HQ 1st Corps and 8 Inf Div and began digging in as quickly as they could. There were concentrations of Axis divisions all along the northern bank of the Danube, threatening Beograd, Pozarevac and Velico Gradiste. Who knew which might next turn into a threat? But Pozarevac had been attacked before and could be again - and had only been defended by a reinforced Corps HQ and a light infantry division.

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On the diplomatic front, Britain (somewhat ambitiously, and it seems largely for the domestic propaganda effect) declared the 'United Nations' to have been formed. An admirable anti-Fascist sentiment – but who would dominate that body? The Comintern, if the suddenly strengthened pact had anything to do with it in the longer term. But, one enemy at a time.

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Agent SkitalecS3 provided another confidential report that evening, advising that the pocket south of Tallinn containing two German infantry divisions had been ‘satisfactorily eliminated’ in the last few days. Any prisoners taken would be lucky ever to see their homes in Germany again.

---xxx---

9 Nov 41

At 5am, 19 Inf Div completed disembarking from their troop trains into Kolasin on the Yeniçeri Line. At around only 20% effectiveness [ie org], it would take days yet to return to proper fighting condition – and still lacked a permanent commander, like many Turkish divisions these days.

At 9am, the last of the espionage cells being trained by Ögel completed its preparations. With 13 teams now available, the word was given to begin the insertion process. In Switzerland, Ambassador Mike Ceylan began moving his pieces into place in Monaco and Italy – and he hadn’t forgotten about the latent conspiracy against him, including his own rat in the ranks. Kelebek in Rome and Cennet in Naples began activating their own contacts to ease the way of the ‘conventional’ espionage teams into place. And making their own S.I.T.H. operational arrangements on behalf of Mike Ceylan. The Secret War was to hot up again soon!

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At midday, after delays from more supply problems, 3 Cav Div was able to start heading to reinforce Turnu Severin, where it should arrive by the following night. They were rushed there in part because of the sighting of German medium armour and an infantry division seemingly headed there to attempt another crossing from Baja de Arama. Having just regained it, no undue chance would be taken to lose it. At 7pm, 18 Inf Div joined 1 Cav Div in Turnu Severin itself, at which time a few drawn breaths were carefully let out. They soon had their shovels out to improve their defences.

OTL: Eastern Front and Romania. The Germans occupied the Crimean city of Yalta. A referendum on the policies of Ion Antonescu was held in Romania. The vote was recorded as 99.99% in favour. [Comment: the would-be ‘Conducător’ has been well and truly put back in his box in this ATL. He’s never been the same since Luca Brasi made him ‘an offer he don’t refuse’ when he proved too slow getting his forces into action during the Turkish invasion (er, 'Liberation' I mean ;)) of Yugoslavia in 1937!]

---xxx---

10 Nov 41

Early in the morning, the latest US lend-lease figures were available: it had risen again [now almost 37 IC, with total UGNR industrial output up to 180 IC, from 140 just a few days before]. Once more, the surplus [18.5 IC] was temporarily diverted to supply production. But another new major acquisition was planned soon.

A recon report received by Wehib Pasha at 7am brought good news: the German units seen in Baja de Arama heading south to Turnu Severin the day before had turned around and were now heading north-east. Alert levels were relaxed a little and the request for a possible diversionary attack on 'BdA' by the Soviets was called off. , 3 Cav Div arrived at 8pm to add their weight to the new defensive stronghold: the Germans would find it hard to repeat their previous breakthrough if they tried it again now.

Further south, Cevo was lost as expected at 10pm. The Soviet screen was slowly being rolled up, with only the mountains of Niksic and Danilovgrad now held in front of the Yeniçeri Line. COL Diskoerekto could find himself in action again soon.

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OTL News: UK and US. Winston Churchill declared that although he would view "with keen sorrow" the opening of a conflict between Japan and the English-speaking world, "should the United States become involved in war with Japan the British declaration will follow within the hour." [Comment: It didn’t happen that way in this ATL, thanks to game mechanics. The rest is alternate history! And then the Japanese declared war on Britain and the Allies anyway :D. Comintern’s gain, their loss. In net terms though, it doesn’t matter that much to the Axis which faction the US joins. They’re still at war with them and the US is still giving large amounts of lend-lease to the main combatants as the Arsenal of $ocialism!]

---xxx---

11 Nov 41

14 Inf Div – at full numerical strength but still badly shaken from their harrowing defence of Turnu Severin, made it back to UGNR soil at midnight. They would recuperate for some time yet and form an emergency reserve for the Danube Line in the meantime.

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With lend-lease deliveries booming from the USSR [32.1 IC], UK [26.8 IC] and the ‘Arsenal of Socialism’ [the US, 38.3 IC], Turkish industrial capacity had never been higher [184 IC]. And soon it would have shiny new toys to build. As soon as the licenses could be arranged.

Two days after the order to insert had been given, the Turkish spy teams had all arrived in Italy and began to make their presence felt, with far more information about their foe now available. Turkish efforts were devoted solely to counter-espionage, in the hope of grinding down the Italians' ability to resist. They seemed to have seven teams devoted to their own counter-espionage efforts with one team in reserve. Turkey had three teams waiting in the wings - it may be a bloody battle!

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Britain reported that morning that the Japanese were assaulting Hong Kong. Their single garrison division was not expected to hold out too long against the Japanese infantry division attacking it, but it was putting up a valiant fight.

News Report: Arlington Nation Cemetery, US. President Roosevelt gave an Armistice Day address at Arlington National Cemetery. "Our observance of this Anniversary has a particular significance in the year 1941," the president said. "For we are able today as we were not always able in the past to measure our indebtedness to those who died ... Whatever we knew or thought we knew a few years or months ago, we know now that the danger of brutality and tyranny and slavery to freedom-loving peoples can be real and terrible. We know why these men fought to keep our freedom - and why the wars that save a people's liberties are wars worth fighting and worth winning - and at any price." [Comment: another OTL report I didn’t need to change. Timeless words.]

News Report: Canberra, Australia. The Australian War Memorial was opened. [Comment: It’s amazing. If you ever make it to Canberra, you must visit it. A must for any WW2 buff, among other conflicts: for example, see the original ‘G for George’ Lancaster bomber from the Dambusters raid - indoors. Allow a decent time for a tour: it’s like a huge and modern museum.]

---xxx---

13 Nov 41

The first Turkish intelligence service casualties in Italy were suffered at midnight (of course), with one team being apprehended. Another replaced them, leaving two teams in the Turkish reserve. The Italians still had their seven teams and one reserve. First blood to them.

The Soviets decided to abandon Niksic with little resistance when attacked by four Axis divisions that night – 6 and 183 SDs headed for Kolasin, while a sizeable Soviet force seemed be moving into Danilovgrad from the south. If that pivotal province could be strongly held, it would take a lot of pressure off the Yeniçeri Line in that vicinity.

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---xxx---

14 Nov 41

With all Turkish eyes on the Balkans, the restive Iranians decided to try their luck again, rising in Pudana. Unluckily for them, 1.13 Inf Bde happened to be passing nearby on their way back to Ahvaz after counter-insurgency duty in the south. They were diverted to take care of the latest rabble to disturb the peace in the Iranian GNRs.

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In Beograd, a red-letter day was celebrated in the Turkish Armoured Corps: the new IS-1 equipped Heavy Armoured Brigade, ordered many months before, arrived and began work-up training. The intention was to attach them to one of the veteran infantry divisions once they were combat-ready (preferably deployed not in urban terrain, but in more suitable country). These tanks were now easily the most heavily armoured and gunned in the Balkans, with none of the feared Tiger tanks yet sighted there – they all seemed to be off fighting the Soviets in Russia for now.

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The release of the factories producing the IS-1s (the IS-2 brigade was already being separately constructed) meant there was now a huge [54.3 IC] surplus factory capacity in Turkey. It would soon be used.

First, two new interceptor wings were ordered with US licenses again able to be requested. In addition, merchant shipping (one unit = 10 convoys) was ordered to ensure no enemy action could disrupt the lend-lease lifelines from the US and UK, given Turkey had no escorts and no means to produce them. New air base facilities were also ordered, most likely to expand the airport at Beograd, which was now at maximum capacity (six wings).

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Simultaneously, the first two wings of CAS for the Turkish Air Force were ordered from the Soviets – the reliable IL-2M Shturmovik. This should allow far more effective attacks on enemy armour in the future. The American Curtiss A-25 was arguably marginally better, but there was not much in it and the War Ministry didn't want to wait again for a license negotiating team to be available.

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Within an hour of these acquisition orders being placed, LTGEN Cakmak, Commander 1st Corps, reported contact in Pozarevac. Fears of another enemy probe there had been well-founded after all! However, he didn't sound too concerned.

“One this is One-One, contact, German panzer-grenadiers and Hungarian infantry assaulting from Vrsac. They are determined but very poorly positioned. We shall dance on their graves. Out!”

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Although the situation in Pozarevac looks secure enough, as a precaution and to give them another outing, the Air Force was directed to strike the enemy’s forming up place (FUP) for the attack in Vrsac. 1 TAK will perform the ground strike, with 1, 2 and 3 AFs providing interception cover. Daytime-only raids are sanctioned this time round, so air action will not commence until after first light.

The first raid commences in Vrsac at 6am, giving the Turks a good look at the structure of the enemy divisions there (one of which is not taking part). At 7am, three Hungarian fighter wings appear – another fierce dogfight ensues.

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After the dogfight is over, one enemy fighter wing is heavily damaged, another moderately. In return, the enemy fighters managed to hit 1 TAK fairly hard, with the brunt of the air-air defence being born by the LaGG-3s of 3 AF. 1 TAK’s ground attack is seen through (37 enemy estimated killed), though the Hungarian interference may have decreased its effectiveness. 4 AG (the two La-5 MR wings) is put on intercept alert for Vrsac at 7am, but they unable to reinforce the current battle: though if the Hungarians dare to return, they will be met with a nasty surprise.

Also at 7am, 3 Cav Div (currently in Turnu Severin) is ordered to begin heading towards Pozarevac as a precaution, in case the attack is reinforced or the enemy widens the attempted bridgehead offensive. They can be stood down if the attack peters out.

Indeed, eight hours later the enemy call off their probe on Pozarevac. Cakmak is actually disappointed: he had hoped they might continue, given he was butchering the enemy at a rate of almost 10-1 casualties.

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3 Cav was stood down, to remain in Turnu Severin. The air attacks on Vrsac were called off (a second raid had finished just before the enemy called their attack off). By then, 1 TAK was down to 84% strength and low on organisation [18/37]: they would need a decent period of repair and replacement. 3 AF had suffered 10% casualties and was also down on organisation [31/47] and also went into recovery mode.

Air Report. The two Turkish air raids on Vrsac killed 105 Axis soldiers in total.

---xxx---

15 Nov 41

Delivery was taken of the newest TD brigade – armed with an 85mm gun, the SU-100 should prove useful against all but the heaviest German tanks. They are paired up with the IS-1s in Beograd in a holding formation designated the Reserve Armoured Division, while they conduct their work-up to full combat efficiency. The spare space on the production queue is used to produce the infrastructure for another airfield (either to add to existing facilities or create a new one as needed).

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The ‘tail end’ of the production queue is shown here, with the four new licensed air wings under construction, thanks largely to ‘foreign donations’, which are being reinvested in US and Soviet gear. [@diskoerekto – what do you think of their designation of CAS as ‘Tank Avci Filo’?]

The rest of the day passed with little to report, both sides along the Yeniçeri-Danube Lines staring at each other with mutual loathing. As usual.

OTL: Eastern Front. The Germans renewed the drive on Moscow after a three-week lull. The Soviets were pushed back from the Volga Reservoir north of the capital but with temperatures dropping to -20 Celsius across the Eastern Front, the German advance was very slow.

---xxx---

Summary Reports

The wider Patriotic Front has remained largely steady, with Comintern gains moderately outweighing those of the Axis. Of particular note is the earlier elimination of the ‘Baltic Pocket’ and the pleasing and concerted gains in northern Romania-southern Ukraine. An analysis of aircraft activity shows the heaviest fighting over the last week has been in the Northern sector.

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The British report mixed news in Egypt. Cairo has been retaken, but it appears the Italians may have been able to escape being surrounded there, by launching a rescue operation. Also, having briefly occupied El Hammam, the 2nd Marine Division looks to have been recently expelled. But the British and Iraqis remain active. Most of the British combat forces previously languishing in East Africa seem to have been transferred to Egypt – at last!

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The story in the Far East is the 'least worst' it has been for a while. Romanian units remain active as part of the Comintern holding force there and the Pact has actually managed to push back in a few places. But the overall situation remains dire, if now with some hope the Japanese may need to divert troops to fight both the US and the Allies. The British report that their garrison in Hong Kong has been forced to surrender, with the Japanese now in the process of occupying the key base.

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With no British defenders in place, Thai forces (part of the Axis as a Japanese puppet) have begun occupying the southern strip of Burma west of Phet Buri and Bangkok. No Japanese troops are in evidence there – yet.

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In news of the Secret War, two enemy spies are reported as having been apprehended in Turkey in the last couple of weeks: details will be provided in the monthly Midnight Express report. In Italy, there remains just the one Turkish team 'neutralised' so far, with two teams still in reserve. It is not certain, but one Italian team may have been eliminated: their counter-espionage strength remains at seven, but they no longer have a spy team in reserve. Of course, perhaps they were just reassigned elsewhere – the details remain murky. It will be some time yet before some emphasis can be switched to tech espionage, the ultimate aim of this venture [apart from revenge, that is :mad:;)]. To cover this period of active Spy-vs-Spy engagement, espionage training is increased a little more, at the expense of diplomat and officer training.

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---xxx---

Coming Up: Has the situation in the Balkans now stabilised – or have we been here before and this is just the calm before another blitz? What will this winter be like on the Patriotic Front? Where will the Japanese lash out in the Pacific and will it give the Soviets a breathing space from their disastrous Eastern Front? US industry may be gearing up, but their armed forces still have a long way to go before they can impose themselves seriously except perhaps at sea – and will they choose to intervene, if they do? Or will they be happier to provide assistance to others via lend-lease as the ‘Arsenal of Socialism’? How will the British and their Allies fare with Japan now actively in the war against them – especially in South East Asia? Now that the Secret War is well and truly on again in Italy, will the Fascists and their Mafia associates strike back – and can Mike Ceylan survive such a blow, knowing he has a traitor in his own ranks?
 
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Another thrilling and exciting update, albeit more so for the nerds who like building big, badass-looking hardware, as the thrill of battle is less in evidence than it has been in past updates. Still, a hearty vur ha all around!

First is a report on what both the Soviets and Americans can offer in terms of licenses where both produce a similar item. Where there is a clear advantage of one over the other, a green arrow has been shown in the margin. If it there is some debate but advice leans in a particular direction, a question mark is put alongside it. In only one case (TAC bombers) are the merits evenly enough poised that there is no obvious ‘winner’.

TpaSuE.jpg

I may be blind, but it looks like the American TACs are far and away superior. Not least because Air Defense doesn't actually work due to a persistent bug! :p

They can also offer strategic bombers where the Soviets cannot.

This is particularly hilarious, given that out of many, many mistakes the OTL Soviets made prior to Barbarossa, one of the more obvious ones was that they overbuilt long-range logistical/strategic bombers. So naturally, Paradox must have decided to help the poor Soviet VVS commanders along the right direction by not giving them the technology to build their historical planes. :confused: :p


Oh dear...if the Soviet tank corps is our shining example of a well-organized and efficient command structure, there may yet be hope for the Bratwurst-munchers! :eek: :p

Early in the morning, the latest US lend-lease figures were available: it had risen again [now almost 37 IC, with total UGNR industrial output up to 180 IC, from 140 just a few days before]. Once more, the surplus [18.5 IC] was temporarily diverted to supply production. But another new major acquisition was planned soon.

I might suggest ordering enough heavy tanks to backlog the queue in future orders, both for a cushion in case of our IC continuing to increase and because they're an effective investment given the current state of the war - quite high IC-to-MP usage which is good, and a lot of punch for breakthroughs if we want to go on the offensive come 1942! In addition of course to rendering whole provinces impregnable with their massive armor values.

In net terms though, it doesn’t matter that much to the Axis which faction the US joins.

I wonder if it might, though. If the US and UK are not in the same faction, I doubt they could pull off any kind of joint operation such as a D-Day landing, although in fairness I'm not sure that the AI can do this anyways so it may be a moot point as you say. :p

Simultaneously, the first two wings of CAS for the Turkish Air Force were ordered from the Soviets – the reliable IL-2M Shturmovik. This should allow far more effective attacks on enemy armour in the future. The American Curtiss A-25 was arguably marginally better, but there was not much in it and the War Ministry didn't want to wait again for a license negotiating team to be available.

Marginally better, my foot. Everyone knows that the plane with the coolest name is the best one, and you won't find many better than "Shturmovik" at least not in this faction! :mad: :p

armed with an 85mm gun, the SU-100

85mm gun
SU-100


Oh dear...has Paradox done it again? :eek:
 
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The front has stabilised, German elite units are licking their wounds on the far side of the Danube, and the Turkish armed forces, and the Comintern continue expanding.

First, let's review the US offerings, especially those the Turkish analysts may have doubts about:
@nuclearslurpee already pointed out the clear superiority of US Tac over Soviet Tac. CAS are pretty similar, except that the Il-2M's are a bit short on Morale, and the A-25s are s bit short on Organisation. It should be noted that the US seems to have researched all the relevant onboard radar equipment for its aircraft, which is what gives them the 10% night attack bonus. The TDs are really interesting. Whether the discrepancy is due simply to the Soviets researching H Arm and it's Armour upgrades and the US not doing so, or whether it's a deliberate choice, the fact remains that both are a valid choice but for slightly different purposes. The M36 is a great choice to go along with faster combined Arms Divisions. High speed and Organisation mean that it's ideally suited for armoured offensives. The SU-100 (with a 100mm gun IRL...) is more suited to defensive warfare, and probably to your purposes. For the other tanks, the only difference is Org and Morale, meaning that the hardware is equivalent in every way, but US training manuals and tactical doctrines are slightly better.
In an effort to be realistic and avoid logistical complexity of having so many different spare parts (not portrayed in HOI3), it might be interesting to stay with a single supplier for any specific unit type, unless the other has a vastly superior offering (eg US Tacs, Ftr & Int)

Oh, assuredly. Some day soon I may ask you for a favour – and that day will surely come. Until then, I suggest you may wish to hire plenty of men who don’t mind getting their hands – dirty – with some good hard work.”
It's clear that Don Vito isn't really the real godfather here, merely a frontman for the real power in Naples, Cennet. (who is in turn dependent on Kelebek, and S.I.T.H. for financial, logistical, and many other forms of support...)
The mission in Italy seems to be going decently well. The 7 counterespionage teams somewhat scare me, but it seems everything is in hand, with minimal losses, and no increase in Italian counterespionage at least.

Turnu Severin, Beograd, and Pozarevac, were well handled, and the causality rations are impressive. Many propaganda pieces will be written about that whole series of events, which started with the fear of a German breakthrough, and ended with a couple of decisive victories against some of Germany's finest.

The Turkish Air Force did well. Those old Tacs seem to be both the focus of attention amongst Hungarian fighters, and quite vulnerable, no wonder the La-5s took so much damage attempting to shield them last time around. New US Tacs would be a good item to add to the shopping list. Congratulations on purchasing Il-2Ms, I'm sure they'll serve Turkey well, especially with the addition of more Air Base capacity in strategic locations.

The release of the factories producing the IS-1s (the IS-2 brigade was already being separately constructed) meant there was now a huge [54.3 IC] surplus factory capacity in Turkey. It would soon be used.
It seems that the US entry into the Comintern, as well as the Japanese DOWs, have sparked some competition amongst the three big Turkish lend-lease purveyors. That's definitely great news for Turkey. I'm sure you'll get good use out of all that additional industrial capacity. Hurray for the first Turkish Heavy Tanks, that many more may follow. Good move on the convoys, you need to keep the LL flowing, at almost any cost.

The patriotic front is looking good, A few German Divisions wiped off the map, and modest progress on average, is it a fluke, or is the tide really turning ever so slightly? Even in the place we don't mention, the Romanians are pushing back, and the British are doing ok in Egypt, it looks like they might cut off two Italian Divisions once more pretty soon.

I'm quite optimistic now, and I will decidedly drink to the creation, by the imperialist British, of what is, in effect, the United Socialist Nations,

SkitalecS3
 
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The Turkish Ambassador in Washington

Now there's someone that probably shot up the pecling order and just got a much nicer office.

Later that day, it is dinner time at HQ 1st Army in Sofiya again. And once again, the Foreign Office LO arrives with momentous news. November is proving to be an eventful month!

“This is truly now a Second Great War, even more global in scale than the last one,” exclaims the President. “And great news too for our Soviet allies – perhaps at least the beginning of the end of their misery in the Far East could be at hand. But we must be prepared for the Japanese menace to expand before it is rolled back, as surely it will be.”

Those idiots. Do they have the army to even move against the colonies?

On the diplomatic front, Britain (somewhat ambitiously, and it seems largely for the domestic propaganda effect) declared the 'United Nations' to have been formed. An admirable anti-Fascist sentiment – but who would dominate that body? The Comintern, if the suddenly strengthened pact had anything to do with it in the longer term. But, one enemy at a time.

Hmm. Kelebek will monitor this. Seems like some form of trap.

OTL: Eastern Front and Romania. The Germans occupied the Crimean city of Yalta. A referendum on the policies of Ion Antonescu was held in Romania. The vote was recorded as 99.99% in favour.

I doubt they will get to Crimea this time, right?

Britain reported that morning that the Japanese were assaulting Hong Kong. Their single garrison division was not expected to hold out too long against the Japanese infantry division attacking it, but it was putting up a valiant fight.

Mm. Okay so they have some troops (somehow) to spare from the massive push east but unless they turn most of their army around towards india, its going to be their puppets that make the moves in the south. GB has to finish their fight in africa soonish so they can reinforce india.

The British report mixed news in Egypt. Cairo has been retaken, but it appears the Italians may have been able to escape being surrounded there, by launching a rescue operation. Also, having briefly occupied El Hammam, the 2nd Marine Division looks to have been recently expelled. But the British and Iraqis remain active. Most of the British combat forces previously languishing in East Africa seem to have been transferred to Egypt – at last!

Well this is probably a good thing. With africa solidly locked down, they just need to push out the italians and then they can send literally everything to India and China.

But the overall situation remains dire, if now with some hope the Japanese may need to divert troops to fight both the US and the Allies. The British report that their garrison in Hong Kong has been forced to surrender, with the Japanese now in the process of occupying the key base.

Mm but I don't know how large the jap army is. I can't believe them capable of a two front campaign that involves russia and india at the same time though. More intel needed.

With no British defenders in place, Thai forces (part of the Axis as a Japanese puppet) have begun occupying the southern strip of Burma west of Phet Buri and Bangkok. No Japanese troops are in evidence there – yet.

As I said, puppets for now. I suspect japan would do better trying to take as much of india as possible rather than siberia but the AI does what it wants.

It's clear that Don Vito isn't really the real godfather here, merely a frontman for the real power in Naples, Cennet. (who is in turn dependent on Kelebek, and S.I.T.H. for financial, logistical, and many other forms of support...)

All is as it should be.
 
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Thanks for the great episode man, I really needed this fix :D

TD: Speed is important, defensiveness not so much. Armour is indeed important, so we need to evaluate what is the amount of divisions that we'll face with piercing value between 3 and 6. Nearly every non armor non AT brigade between 1938 and 1941 are between 3-6 piercing. After 1942 models, only cavalry, AC and commando type units have between 3-6. If the majority is either below or above that and not in between, then having 6 over 3 has marginal advantage. Otherwise, it is really important and moreso in formations where TD is already coupled with a slower brigade so the speed advantage is not used.

So if the aim is to use piercing/armor advantage on 1938-1941 non-armor non-AT formations definitely the Soviet model. Otherwise, USA.

CAS: Air defensiveness is not important, and while some people value organization over morale, I think the opposite. My verdict: USA. (Although I wouldn't veto the selection of Shturmovik because it's cool as hell and the difference is not that much)

TAC: Toughness is also unimportant to my understanding, so A-20 it is.

I have more sympathy to Soviet equipment but the American versions are mostly better.

SP Rocket Arty
me drools :D

This means Turkish doctrine experts can now begin to research Superior Firepower – which will lead to the most far-reaching reform of the Turkish Army since the early days of the Turkish Wars of Expansion.
And the research will be done in 5 months only. Our training and doctrine HQ (EDOK Komutanlığı) has definitely raised a lot of staff officers who know more about superior firepower theories.

On balance, the combat power of artillery rather than the speed and reduced initial cost of mobile rocket batteries are preferred
Oh, they didn't research the same year's rocket techs yet. Nice to have those mobile and heavy hitting units. With our limited manpower, the more we gear towards a more technical army the better.

OTL: Eastern Front. Frostbite began to appear among German troops on the Eastern Front. [Comment: Mwahaha – it’s just the beginning, suckers! It looks like we can’t expect the same degree of winter assistance in this ATL, but that’s because were in a comparatively better position than OTL November 1941.]
Let's see if the Japanese like the Siberian winter.

“This is truly now a Second Great War, even more global in scale than the last one,” exclaims the President. “And great news too for our Soviet allies – perhaps at least the beginning of the end of their misery in the Far East could be at hand. But we must be prepared for the Japanese menace to expand before it is rolled back, as surely it will be.”
It's been great that they first declared war on USA and then England and not the other way around. I hope the British Raj is well defended? And I mean by well defended, more infantry than HQ :)

Further south, Cevo was lost as expected at 10pm. The Soviet screen was slowly being rolled up, with only the mountains of Niksic and Danilovgrad now held in front of the Yeniçeri Line. COL Diskoerekto could find himself in action again soon.
My men are raring to fight the swine!

In Beograd, a red-letter day was celebrated in the Turkish Armoured Corps: the new IS-1 equipped Heavy Armoured Brigade, ordered many months before, arrived and began work-up training. The intention was to attach them to one of the veteran infantry divisions once they were combat-ready (preferably deployed not in urban terrain, but in more suitable country). These tanks were now easily the most heavily armoured and gunned in the Balkans, with none of the feared Tiger tanks yet sighted there – they all seemed to be off fighting the Soviets in Russia for now.
The new Yıldırım Savaşı being researched will have a direct positive effect on this brigade for example in addition to the battle event chance.

Reserve Armoured Division
Zırhlı İhtiyat Tümeni

[@diskoerekto – what do you think of their designation of CAS as ‘Tank Avci Filo’?]
Close Air Support Fleet is Yakın Hava Desteği Filosu or YHD Filosu for short. Tank Avci Filo is something like Tank Hunter Fleet which would be Tank Avcısı Filosu. Still good approximation :)

Another thrilling and exciting update, albeit more so for the nerds who like building big, badass-looking hardware, as the thrill of battle is less in evidence than it has been in past updates. Still, a hearty vur ha all around!
Indeed, I've been waiting for this episode for some days now, constant refreshing of the watched threads page :D

I might suggest ordering enough heavy tanks to backlog the queue in future orders, both for a cushion in case of our IC continuing to increase and because they're an effective investment given the current state of the war - quite high IC-to-MP usage which is good, and a lot of punch for breakthroughs if we want to go on the offensive come 1942! In addition of course to rendering whole provinces impregnable with their massive armor values.
Very good idea.

@nuclearslurpee already pointed out the clear superiority of US Tac over Soviet Tac. CAS are pretty similar, except that the Il-2M's are a bit short on Morale, and the A-25s are s bit short on Organisation. It should be noted that the US seems to have researched all the relevant onboard radar equipment for its aircraft, which is what gives them the 10% night attack bonus. The TDs are really interesting. Whether the discrepancy is due simply to the Soviets researching H Arm and it's Armour upgrades and the US not doing so, or whether it's a deliberate choice, the fact remains that both are a valid choice but for slightly different purposes. The M36 is a great choice to go along with faster combined Arms Divisions. High speed and Organisation mean that it's ideally suited for armoured offensives. The SU-100 (with a 100mm gun IRL...) is more suited to defensive warfare, and probably to your purposes. For the other tanks, the only difference is Org and Morale, meaning that the hardware is equivalent in every way, but US training manuals and tactical doctrines are slightly better.
In an effort to be realistic and avoid logistical complexity of having so many different spare parts (not portrayed in HOI3), it might be interesting to stay with a single supplier for any specific unit type, unless the other has a vastly superior offering (eg US Tacs, Ftr & Int)
One thing to add here (I also forgot in the top part of my long reply) is that once we finish researching Blitzkrieg '38, the org difference between Soviet and American armor will drop to 5 from 10.

Let's have one HArm for every division :p
 
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Another thrilling and exciting update, albeit more so for the nerds who like building big, badass-looking hardware, as the thrill of battle is less in evidence than it has been in past updates. Still, a hearty vur ha all around!
Thanks! Three battles resolved (all favourably for once :)), but not the heart-in-mouth stuff of some of the other recent ones! And I was particularly pleased getting those IS-1s and ordering four wings of planes at once, plus the SP Arty (and other bits and pieces). I might start some transport infra work too ...
I may be blind, but it looks like the American TACs are far and away superior. Not least because Air Defense doesn't actually work due to a persistent bug! :p
I have heard of the Air Defence bug a few times before but keep forgetting about it (in part for this AAR as I don't actually do any aircraft research, just getting off-the-shelf stuff from my allies, so it's not front and centre in my consciousness). In that case yes, the US A-20 wins hands-down. The air force boffins will alert Inonu accordingly. ;)
This is particularly hilarious, given that out of many, many mistakes the OTL Soviets made prior to Barbarossa, one of the more obvious ones was that they overbuilt long-range logistical/strategic bombers. So naturally, Paradox must have decided to help the poor Soviet VVS commanders along the right direction by not giving them the technology to build their historical planes. :confused: :p
Ah well, it is an alternate history - they're free not to make elementary mistakes from OTL! :D
Oh dear...if the Soviet tank corps is our shining example of a well-organized and efficient command structure, there may yet be hope for the Bratwurst-munchers! :eek: :p
haha - picked that one because they're our main Ally and Faction Leader. Just for propaganda/sucking up to Uncle Joe purposes ;).
I might suggest ordering enough heavy tanks to backlog the queue in future orders, both for a cushion in case of our IC continuing to increase and because they're an effective investment given the current state of the war - quite high IC-to-MP usage which is good, and a lot of punch for breakthroughs if we want to go on the offensive come 1942! In addition of course to rendering whole provinces impregnable with their massive armor values.
Yes, now that Soviet research has progressed to the IS-2, I think they are a good investment for all those reasons. The other thing I'm now looking at is maybe one or two high-speed/pursuit type divisions (light armour, mot inf, TD, maybe SP RArt) for the hoped for later exploitation of breakouts, or rapid response reserves (a role the old cav divs have been doing for years now - a "poor man's" work-around).
I wonder if it might, though. If the US and UK are not in the same faction, I doubt they could pull off any kind of joint operation such as a D-Day landing, although in fairness I'm not sure that the AI can do this anyways so it may be a moot point as you say. :p
I think you've answered your own rhetorical question there, Professor Slorepi! :D
Marginally better, my foot. Everyone knows that the plane with the coolest name is the best one, and you won't find many better than "Shturmovik" at least not in this faction! :mad: :p
There actually was a bit of that in it, TBH. :D We'll see which side researches better and more quickly for any future purchases - on aircraft, my money would be on the Americans. I had to settle for Wildcats for the fighters (pity the British won't sell me their INT): they have Mustangs, but as MR and for these I wanted the air superiority. Alas, the Air Def thing being the Wildcat's main - largely useless I'm reminded :( - tactical benefit, at least they have the night fighting ability and better org & morale than the infamous LaGG-3s. Also, I ididn't think @El Pip would forgive me if I bought any more of them! :rolleyes::D
85mm gun
SU-100


Oh dear...has Paradox done it again? :eek:
Yes, noticed that at the time :rolleyes: - was not surprised though. Thought it would be more heavily gunned if it had made the '100' designation!

---xxx---

The front has stabilised, German elite units are licking their wounds on the far side of the Danube, and the Turkish armed forces, and the Comintern continue expanding.
It's been a good couple of weeks - but the Milli Sef is always cautious about counting eggs before they hatch ... ;)
First, let's review the US offerings, especially those the Turkish analysts may have doubts about:

@nuclearslurpee already pointed out the clear superiority of US Tac over Soviet Tac. CAS are pretty similar, except that the Il-2M's are a bit short on Morale, and the A-25s are s bit short on Organisation. It should be noted that the US seems to have researched all the relevant onboard radar equipment for its aircraft, which is what gives them the 10% night attack bonus. The TDs are really interesting. Whether the discrepancy is due simply to the Soviets researching H Arm and it's Armour upgrades and the US not doing so, or whether it's a deliberate choice, the fact remains that both are a valid choice but for slightly different purposes. The M36 is a great choice to go along with faster combined Arms Divisions. High speed and Organisation mean that it's ideally suited for armoured offensives. The SU-100 (with a 100mm gun IRL...) is more suited to defensive warfare, and probably to your purposes. For the other tanks, the only difference is Org and Morale, meaning that the hardware is equivalent in every way, but US training manuals and tactical doctrines are slightly better.
In an effort to be realistic and avoid logistical complexity of having so many different spare parts (not portrayed in HOI3), it might be interesting to stay with a single supplier for any specific unit type, unless the other has a vastly superior offering (eg US Tacs, Ftr & Int)
Yep, thanks to all for reminding me of that bug. That's a nice bit of nuance re the TDs: I may go US for the above-mentioned pursuit/rapid light armoured divisions when the time comes. Will also re-check the specs when it comes time to place the order as research will be dynamic (both sides likely to invest in the relevant capabilities, I'm hoping). I'm going to ignore the logistical complexity aspect (it did occur to me, as I saw it in a number of regional partners when I used to work in that area) and go for whatever seems best at the time. Partly because that's realistic when you have competing benefactors and a less-capable and sophisticated receiver (there are some almost(?)-horror stories out there in RL - and some dark suspicions about how some of those decisions are made), but also I'm rationalising that the vast amounts of LL support coming in will include enough logistical backup to keep things going for the duration. The Soviets absorbed a lot of mismatched Allied gear into their inventory during WW2). I'll conveniently leave the post-war inventory gore to the notional after-game. ;):p
It's clear that Don Vito isn't really the real godfather here, merely a frontman for the real power in Naples, Cennet. (who is in turn dependent on Kelebek, and S.I.T.H. for financial, logistical, and many other forms of support...)
The mission in Italy seems to be going decently well. The 7 counterespionage teams somewhat scare me, but it seems everything is in hand, with minimal losses, and no increase in Italian counterespionage at least.
Yes, Don Vito here is just a middle-level functionary. Though you can imagine how well he will do if the Turkish intervention proves successful - and even more if Turkey does indeed end up conquering Italy, breaking it up into constituent Glorious National Republics and incorporating it into an expanded UGNR!
Turnu Severin, Beograd, and Pozarevac, were well handled, and the causality rations are impressive. Many propaganda pieces will be written about that whole series of events, which started with the fear of a German breakthrough, and ended with a couple of decisive victories against some of Germany's finest.
Yes, after the defensive carnage of the initial German breakthrough and bloodbaths on the southern bank, it was good to have these relatively painless (for us) victories, whilst poking the Axis in the eye with the figurative burnt stick! :D
The Turkish Air Force did well. Those old Tacs seem to be both the focus of attention amongst Hungarian fighters, and quite vulnerable, no wonder the La-5s took so much damage attempting to shield them last time around. New US Tacs would be a good item to add to the shopping list. Congratulations on purchasing Il-2Ms, I'm sure they'll serve Turkey well, especially with the addition of more Air Base capacity in strategic locations.
I considered more TAC, but with the previously ordered Yak-4s arriving soon, the CAS will fill a gap in the repertoire. And were cheap and quick. I'm hoping US research on their TAC might improve a bit now and will see if some improvements there may warrant a purchase after the Yaks are delivered.
It seems that the US entry into the Comintern, as well as the Japanese DOWs, have sparked some competition amongst the three big Turkish lend-lease purveyors. That's definitely great news for Turkey. I'm sure you'll get good use out of all that additional industrial capacity. Hurray for the first Turkish Heavy Tanks, that many more may follow. Good move on the convoys, you need to keep the LL flowing, at almost any cost.
Yes, the convoys are a precaution - I've been very lucky and my unescorted convoys are rarely hit. Given I don't have the tech for escorts and my puny screen capability would be fairly useless, I thought I'd better have some spares in the pocket. Thet might also be useful later if I need to sustain sea supply for any amphibious adventures ... And more IS-2s are indeed likely in the future - but also maybe some more light and medium armour for once we get the fascist offal-munchers on the run!
The patriotic front is looking good, A few German Divisions wiped off the map, and modest progress on average, is it a fluke, or is the tide really turning ever so slightly? Even in the place we don't mention, the Romanians are pushing back, and the British are doing ok in Egypt, it looks like they might cut off two Italian Divisions once more pretty soon.

I'm quite optimistic now, and I will decidedly drink to the creation, by the imperialist British, of what is, in effect, the United Socialist Nations,

SkitalecS3
Inonu shares this cautious optimism: he hopes the days of the worst threat are over. The Balkan front (including Romania) came close breaking a few times. While danger remains, there is now a sense of the tide having turned. Let's hope it doesn't ebb back!

---xxx---

Now there's someone that probably shot up the pecling order and just got a much nicer office.
Yes, quite amusing and ironic for someone who was shunted over there after being associated with Chamberlain and the appeasement policy to be egged by American isolationists! Though he will be blamed in no small part for having the US join the Comintern on his watch: one can imagine the despairing and 'robustly worded' cables he would have sent back to London lamenting the lack of British follow-through on the Atlantic Charter undertakings. Clearly there were a few back-room meetings at that tripartite conference in Moscow the British were never made aware of!
Those idiots. Do they have the army to even move against the colonies?
They have the army all right - it is just that a large part of it is up to its nuts in guts thousands of kilometres away on the Soviet (Far) Eastern Front. But, as had been mused previously, that commitment is the in-game equivalent of their long and draining war against China in OTL, where the vast majority of Japanese ground forces were committed before and during WW2. And their super-nova still expanded a long way before it shrank back into a dwarf rising sun. ;)
Hmm. Kelebek will monitor this. Seems like some form of trap.
I think Uncle Joe knows all about political traps - and how to spring them on those who set them! Or at least try to. Cunning but obtuse at the same time ... I think the US entry into the Comintern is very timely for Turkey. Maybe they would start courting them seriously as a balance against a rampant post-war USSR? "Oh, and by the way Roosevelt/Truman/whoever, we seem to have discovered rather a lot of oil in the Gulf. At all interested? Care to help us keep it safe and secure?" UN = threat + opportunity? o_O
I doubt they will get to Crimea this time, right?
I don't think they'll get close now.
Mm. Okay so they have some troops (somehow) to spare from the massive push east but unless they turn most of their army around towards india, its going to be their puppets that make the moves in the south. GB has to finish their fight in africa soonish so they can reinforce india.
Asia is now a blank canvas and 'usual' HOI3 outcomes for Japan (Malaya, Burma, Indonesia, Philippines, Pacific Islands, Australia etc) could go anywhere. Fortunately, not my problem as Turkey - yet, anyway. And I now have the advantage of being able to set allied objectives for the US if there's something I'd like to try to help remedy. Even if they do ritually ignore them! :oops::mad:
Well this is probably a good thing. With africa solidly locked down, they just need to push out the italians and then they can send literally everything to India and China.
China is neutral and has a NAP with Japan. They need to protect the Burma 'gateway to India' and of course the resource-rich Malaya, Borneo and the important base in Singapore. They usually don't do the latter ones very well - but who knows how Japan will play things this time? :confused:
Mm but I don't know how large the jap army is. I can't believe them capable of a two front campaign that involves russia and india at the same time though. More intel needed.
There's virtually none on Japan - my one attempt at getting a network in there was an abysmal failure. Just what we see on the Far East Front, which is of limited 'granularity'.
As I said, puppets for now. I suspect japan would do better trying to take as much of india as possible rather than siberia but the AI does what it wants.
Quite. We'll soon find out whether they can walk and eat sushi at the same time - as mentioned above, their situation is probably roughly analogous to OTL and their sapping involvement in China.

---xxx---

Thanks for the great episode man, I really needed this fix :D
Glad to have provided it! With the other two AARs and the amount of prep I put into these TT chapters, it will rarely be more than once a week, but I try to pack a lot in when they go up!
TD: Speed is important, defensiveness not so much. Armour is indeed important, so we need to evaluate what is the amount of divisions that we'll face with piercing value between 3 and 6. Nearly every non armor non AT brigade between 1938 and 1941 are between 3-6 piercing. After 1942 models, only cavalry, AC and commando type units have between 3-6. If the majority is either below or above that and not in between, then having 6 over 3 has marginal advantage. Otherwise, it is really important and moreso in formations where TD is already coupled with a slower brigade so the speed advantage is not used.
Interesting analysis. Given my benchmark opponent is the German Army, the aiming point is higher end. I think I'm going to want bigger guns for the heavier divisions (and they can probably be AT rather than TD, as they'll be governed by HArm/foot-infantry speeds) and speed for the lighter more mobile ones. So I may well, as discussed in a reply above, mix and match depending what is on offer from my two big arms suppliers.
So if the aim is to use piercing/armor advantage on 1938-1941 non-armor non-AT formations definitely the Soviet model. Otherwise, USA.
Noted as well. I have enough of the AT and TD units at the moment (all previously purchased) and will revisit if/when I'm in the market for more, later.
CAS: Air defensiveness is not important, and while some people value organization over morale, I think the opposite. My verdict: USA. (Although I wouldn't veto the selection of Shturmovik because it's cool as hell and the difference is not that much)
Yes, that air def bug gets me every time. I've got goldfish memory for stuff like that! :confused::oops::D
TAC: Toughness is also unimportant to my understanding, so A-20 it is.
Got it. :)
I have more sympathy to Soviet equipment but the American versions are mostly better.
Agree - but I'll compare each time to get the latest and best.
me drools :D
I might actually look at SP RArt later, as discussed above, for a future high-speed unit. Even though they are supply hogs. It will mainly depend on whatever the slowest other unit in the divisional setup is as to whether the RArt is justified.
And the research will be done in 5 months only. Our training and doctrine HQ (EDOK Komutanlığı) has definitely raised a lot of staff officers who know more about superior firepower theories.
I'm so looking forward to it. I'll also be renaming and reconfiguring the armoured/motorised/mechanised/cavalry designations too at that time.
Oh, they didn't research the same year's rocket techs yet. Nice to have those mobile and heavy hitting units. With our limited manpower, the more we gear towards a more technical army the better.
Definitely, especially now we have the LL boost and choice of excellent license purchases to do it. Best of both worlds.
Let's see if the Japanese like the Siberian winter.
I really don't know whether it will be worse for them than the Russians: as long as you have the same gear, I don't think it discriminates much. I think they are more likely to now suffer from strategic distraction now they have rashly declared war on both the US and British.
It's been great that they first declared war on USA and then England and not the other way around. I hope the British Raj is well defended? And I mean by well defended, more infantry than HQ :)
Yes, very convenient. I wouldn't be at all confident re Burma: they may have problems just stopping Thailand, let alone the IJA if it ever makes it over there. :eek:
My men are raring to fight the swine!
We'll see if those consumers of vile offal make the attempt!
The new Yıldırım Savaşı being researched will have a direct positive effect on this brigade for example in addition to the battle event chance.

Zırhlı İhtiyat Tümeni

Close Air Support Fleet is Yakın Hava Desteği Filosu or YHD Filosu for short. Tank Avci Filo is something like Tank Hunter Fleet which would be Tank Avcısı Filosu. Still good approximation :)
Thanks!
Indeed, I've been waiting for this episode for some days now, constant refreshing of the watched threads page :D
Always lovely to have such a dedicated readAAR! :) The next will take a while as Gardariki and ancient Rome get their turn.
Very good idea.
I agree - Prof Slorepi provides very sound advice there. :)
Let's have one HArm for every division :p
Maybe not one in every division, but I'd definitely like some more! For those punch-through divisions, I'm thinking HARM/2xINF/ARTY and maybe ENGR (for river-crossing, fortress busting etc) once I can have the five-brigade divisions.
One thing to add here (I also forgot in the top part of my long reply) is that once we finish researching Blitzkrieg '38, the org difference between Soviet and American armor will drop to 5 from 10.
OK, noted, good little pick-up. Though the next round of Blitzkrieg may have to remain on the back-burner for a while, as the next doctrine priority will be to fix combat reinforcement via better planning.

---xxx---

Thanks for these excellent, in-depth comments so far. :) Still plenty of time for others to chime in (whether in detail or more briefly) on the last chapter or subsequent discussions before the next session is played. Onward along the Path to Glory!
 
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