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Bwahahahahahahahahahahaha! Ahem...I mean I am doing no such thing. Nobody is sending the IJN tips or hints. NOR is anybody passing on information to the Japanese about American positions, strengthens, and shipping routes.

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(I have this book - it is pretty good)​
It looks like the Japanese AI in your game has a copy too! Very careless of you. :p And now you have let your AIs talk to their counterparts in mine. <shakes fist theatrically> :D
I wonder what Google thinks about you and what kind of kinks you have based on the search history :D
:eek: very strange indeed :confused:
 
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Practically, as the only human player with AI allies, I simply can't get them to really agree to anything in advance.

When the HOI Oldguard Expanded universe forms and you all do a massive multiplayer aar that takes several centuries to write, this will change.

And this was based on the actual conduct of the OTL meeting. Churchill & co naively spoke of confidential matters in quarters provided by Stalin! <facepalm emoji>.

Not that the russians ever did anything with their data. I mean, their spy networks were suprisingly amazing even in the 80s (or so NATO believed) but it's rendered irrelevant by the Soviets being unable to do anything with them.

As above, the Tripoli option may be on the back-burner, but is still on simmer. I'll definitely grab Syria at some point

I think punishing UK and ensuring that the french and british won't attempt a post-war consensus in africa is worth bringing the last axis into war. Syria serves as a nice spring board for that...um...and that's all.
 
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Chapter 178: The Dragon’s Breath – Part Two (25 to 28 August 1942)
Chapter 178: The Dragon’s Breath – Part Two (25 to 28 August 1942)

AuthAAR’s Note: After a report on Slovakia, we will return primarily to battlefield events as the Turks attempt to crush the Adriatic Pocket while the Axis, energised by Hitler’s latest browbeating in Vienna, counter-attacks the ‘Bulge’ Turkey has made in their lines.

---xxx---

1. Slovakia – Intelligence Report

Darth Kelebek had arrived in Bratislava on 22 August and, with his customary sense of drama and menace, decided to ‘haunt’ the ruined (since a fire in 1811) and largely derelict Bratislava Castle, one of the great landmarks of the Slovakian capital.

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Bratislava Castle - Kelebek’s new temporary lair. The location provides excellent views of Bratislava, Austria and, in clear weather, parts of Hungary. Ruined after a great fire in 1811.

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OTL: Bratislava Castle after its restoration in 1953.

Government and Politics. Ögel’s Foreign Intelligence Directorate reported that the Slovakians had tense relations with the Hungarians, even they were both fighting together for the Axis in the Balkans, sometimes side-by-side. On 15 June 15 1939 a border war had broken out between Slovakia and Hungary [not sure if it’s a game event]. Although Slovakia had signed a "Protection Treaty" with Nazi Germany, Germany refused to help Slovakia, in direct violation of that treaty. Ending 11 days later on 4 April 1939, the Slovak-Hungarian War (also called the "Little War") resulted in the Hungarian occupation of a narrow strip along the border which had previously been Slovakian (see note 3 below, area marked in blue).

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Map of Slovakia with border-changes in the south and east against Hungary & Germany (1939-1945) (from Wikipedia):
1 — Bratislava bridgehead, part of Hungary until 15 October 1947.
2 — Southern Slovakia, from 2 November 1938 until 1945 to Hungary, due to the First Vienna Award.
3 — Strip of land in eastern Slovakia around the cities of Stakčín & Sobrance, part of Hungary from 4 April 1939 (following the Slovak–Hungarian War) until 1945.
4 — Devín and Petržalka (now parts of the city of Bratislava), from 1938 until 1945 part of Germany.
5 — German “Protection Zone”, military occupation as a result of the protection treaty with Slovakia Note: Transfers on the Slovak-Polish border not marked.

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Slovakian soldiers, seen here during the recent Adriatic Pocket campaign, have been a small but noticeable and persistent presence on the Balkan Front for the last two years.

Security Services. Slovak Interior Minister Alexander Mach came to the fore in 1938 after the Munich Agreement and subsequent upsurge in Slovak nationalism as a close associate of Vojtech Tuka and Ferdinand Ďurčanský. Mach played a leading role in orchestrating the violence that followed the collapse of Czechoslovakia in March 1939 in his role as head of the Slovak Office of Propaganda. He served initially as Propaganda Minister in the first Slovak Republic before holding the position of Interior Minister in the government of Tuka since 29 July 1940.

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Alexander Mach (b. 11 October 1902) is a Slovak nationalist politician. Mach is a strong supporter of Nazism and Germany. He is currently the Interior Minister of Slovakia.

Like Tuka, whom Mach often deputised for during the Prime Minister's regular spells of illness, he supported a pro-Nazi policy and the speedy establishment of a fascist state, something which led to frequent clashes with the less ideologically minded President Jozef Tiso. Tiso managed to briefly deprive Mach of his position in the Hlinka Guard in May 1940, although Mach's pro-German stance meant the Nazis backed him for high office consistently.

Plot Involvement. Kelebek has identified Mach as the man specifically responsible for the succession of Slovak agents who have killed a number of Turkish agents in Italy and who have been caught in turn by Turkey in Italy (Ögel’s MAH agents) and within Turkey and the UGNR (Kaya’s Secret Police, from the Interior Ministry). Kelebek is convinced Mach would have been instrumental in providing Slovak assistance to the recent German-led plot to assassinate President Inönü. Mach will soon have a playing card made up for him as a target for S.I.T.H. ‘executive action’ when the time comes.

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Some of Kelebek’s more obvious efforts in Bratislava – he tends to make no particular secret of his presence – have not gone unnoticed. This is a Slovakian Secret Police artist’s impression of the strange figure seen in the vicinity of Bratislava Castle – and some Governmental facilities in recent days.

---xxx---

2. The Sava Sector: 25-28 Aug 42

25 Aug 42

Early on the morning of 25 August, the situation in Doboj continued to gradually deteriorate. With Mostar clear and 12 SD already starting to march north, the resting 97 SD ‘Shev’ was put on trucks and sent north as well, also to Doboj, while 17 Inf Div would march to Banja Luka. 1 Mtn Div continued to press hard against Makarska and was confident of cleaning it up soon.

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Four hours later, while the attack on Doboj had been ramped up with a fresh Italian division now in reserve and 4 SD failing, MAJGEN Noyan’s 10 Inf Div was ordered to make a desperate assault across the Sava on Brcko, from Tuzla. This meant breaking their entrenchments – a definite risk – but the less well-equipped 217 SD was left as the ‘secure foot on the ground’ in case of another attack on Tuzla. Two of the enemy divisions in Brcko were hit in the flank as they attacked Doboj, but the other two were set. This was a difficult assignment for Noyan: he wasn’t expected to win – just to maybe distract the enemy enough to break off their attack on Doboj.

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But the Axis commanders were alert to this ploy: they in turn quickly launched a spoiling attack from Backa Palanka on the Turkish spoiling attack in Tuzla! Noyan’s task just got that much harder – and more dangerous.

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10 Inf Div kept at it gamely for another eleven hours, but they were making little impression and beginning to lose organisation quickly. They were pulled back across the Sava before the defence of Tuzla itself became compromised further.

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---xxx---
26 Aug 42

4 SD in Doboj had taken all it could by 5am: they broke, retreating back to Zenica in rout. HQ 2nd Corps fought on for now, imposing as much delay on the enemy bridgehead as possible. But seeing this, the German commander MAJGEN Heinrici launched his men into a shock attack.

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At 9am, the barely recovered 97 SD ‘Shar’ was sent across from Visegrad to Zavidovici, to start digging a second line of defence. They would have to recover on the move and while entrenching. Then, like a shark sensing blood in the water, at 2pm Heinrici ordered his troops into a reckless assault: they may have received intel that Turkish reinforcements were approaching from the collapsing kessel in the south.

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Another seven hours of brave resistance by LTGEN Artunkal’s HQ 2nd Corps followed, but with the 2nd Mil Bde out on its feet, the retreat was sounded at 9pm so an orderly withdrawal could be made to Travnik, where another second line of defence could be prepared while reinforcements marched north. It had been a bloody battle and the enemy were made to pay dearly for their victory. The enemy attack on Tuzla sputtered on, but looked doomed to fail. On the Adriatic (more later) Split still held out stubbornly.

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Just an hour later, the command net burst into life. It was MAJGEN Bözer, who now commanded the defence of Beograd:

“One this is One-Three, contact! Four German divisions, attacking from three different directions across the Sava and Danube Rivers. We saw them coming and were able to lay an ambush. We are holding for now but will report further when the trend of the battle is clearer. Out.”

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Note, as with all these battle screens, I always give the daytime attack percentages, but at night-time the attacker is always worse off than shown.

---xxx---

27 Aug 42

At 2am, the night skies over Beograd lit up with searchlights and anti-aircraft fire from the three heavy batteries guarding the town, followed by the scream of bombs falling on the defenders’ positions and the concussion of the blasts as two wings of Luftwaffe tactical bombers hit the capital of the Serbian GNR.

“This will not stand!” shouted the Air Force Chief and Beograd CAP commander, General Örlungat. “Scramble the CAP. Send up 2 AG as well – they have recovered enough to fight again and defend our own base. Vur ha!”

MAJGEN Beröz’s 2 AG - one wing of La-5s [5 AF, 78% strength, about 40% organisation] and another of LaGG-3s [3 AF, 83% strength, about 60% organisation] had been recovering from earlier torrid air battle some days before. The plan was for the two groups to take turns intercepting rather than attack together, but coordinating that would be up to the air controllers.

As it happened, it worked out exactly according to plan. The German bombers had no escorts, but were able to press their first attack home, one of their wings taking substantial damage between 3 and 5 am. They returned at 7am, this time met by the Beograd CAP (2 AF, I-16s and 6 AF, Wildcats). By the end of that dogfight, one of the German wings was unscathed, but the other badly mauled. This time the bombers were unable to hit their targets, put off by the interception.

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As the second dogfight of the morning was ending, good news came from Tuzla: the German attack there had been soundly defeated, with the enemy losing over a thousand men killed. 7 Inf Div was now also ordered north, freed from its duties on the pocket.

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Somewhat to the surprise of the Turkish fighter pilots in Beograd, the same two German bomber wings came back for another attack on Beograd in support of the continuing attack. Again, the Turkish fighter groups took turns pummelling the unescorted bombers in four more dogfights between 11am that day and 1am the next. 5 AF was the worst affected of the fighter squadrons but they kept at it. By 5pm one of the German wings had effectively been shot out of the sky [I’m no air combat expert – would this mean they were actually shot down (ie destroyed/shattered) or will they resuscitate again in time?]. The second bomber wing was then savaged.

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Note: there were so many interceptions that day (four more) – I think the Germans got 'stuck in the air' – that I’ve only put up the final screen for each combat in this combined shot.

Air Report. Just the one German mission hit its targets in Beograd that morning, causing 200 Comintern casualties.

---xxx---

28 Aug 42

Not surprisingly, this time the German bombers did not return to Beograd and Örlungat declared a decisive air victory. Huzzah!

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1 Armd Div was sufficiently recovered and refitted that by 8am they were ordered to switch back across from Knin on the Adriatic Sector to quickly plug the gap at Banja Luka. While the German 233rd Pz Gren Division was still recovering from its earlier battle with 1 Inf Div in Bosanski Petrovac, two fresh Axis divisions had been spotted approaching from the north. The loss of Banja Luka would leave 15 Inf and 2 Mot Divs badly exposed: 1 Armd Div should be able to get there more quickly than the infantry reinforcements still making their way up from the south. They were also coming under air attack in Knin (more below in the Adriatic Sector report), so it was decided to get them out from under it: Artunkal wanted Wehib Pasha’s famous outfit back over to support the rest of 2nd Mech Corps as it held on to the east of the Sava Line: by then, the enemy had put two divisions into Doboj to hold their new bridgehead.

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In better news, 9am brought victory in Beograd: it had been a tough fight against a more numerous and well-trained enemy, but the denial of enemy air support by fighter cover and heavy AA fire had proved a great help to the defenders.

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Although battles raged in other Turkish sectors at this time, the Sava Sector was comparatively quiet for the rest of the afternoon. 97 SD ‘Shev’ was the first of the southern reinforcements to arrive and were in Zenica (immediately south of Doboj) by 4pm. Instead of waiting there, the now largely recovered rifle division was sent on north-east to Zavidovici to plug the worrying gap there. They would join their namesakes of 97 SD ‘Shar’ (still coming across from further west) there in due course.

---xxx---

3. The Adriatic Sector: 25-28 Aug 42

25 Aug 42

At the start of 25 August, one battle continued in the Adriatic Sector, where 1 Mtn and 6 Inf Divs were attacking the Slovakian 2nd Division in Makarska. The German 62nd Division was still retreating from Mostar, which 17 Inf Div had just occupied. If the Turks could drive off the Slovakian 2nd Division and occupy Makarska first, the 62nd would be forced to surrender. The main enemy concentration in the pocket was still retreating from Split, which 2 Mtn Div was marching to and hoping to occupy, thereby effectively liquidating the pocket.

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Victory in Makarska (the second in a few days, after the Hungarian 3rd Division had been beaten there on the 22nd) came at 10am. This allowed more divisions to join those already heading north the relieve the hard-pressed Sava Line.

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Note: this is just to give a general idea of the weight of forces now in motion northwards and roughly where they are heading. Final locations can be adjusted as they approach.

Just an hour later, 1 Mtn Div had liberated Makarska: the German 62nd Division, their retreat cut off, became the first trapped formation to surrender. But 2 Mtn Div’s race for Split now took an unexpected turn. The occupation of Makarska caused all the units that had been trying to leave to instead attack it, while the Slovakians attempted to retreat there. With the enemy stopped in Split as they attacked Makarska, 2 Mtn Div was now forced to attack them rather than just marching into the city, as they had hoped they would.

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This development took me by surprise, I must say!

Even though the improvised attack on Makarska was defeated by 1 Mtn Div within three hours (50 Turkish and 92 mixed Axis troops killed), this now left the rest of the enemy defending Split, where they proceeded to put up a determined fight.

---xxx---

26 Aug 42

With new enemy units being sighted to the north, at midnight 11 Inf Div was redirected north-east, to Banja Luka through Drvar. The gap in the line in this area needed to be closed off as the enemy line firmed up. Meanwhile, the resistance in Split was proving tougher than anticipated, but both 222 SD (in Zara) and 3 Mtn Div (in Sinj) were still reorganising from their previous attack and could not intervene in support. 6 Inf Div reinforced 1 Mtn Div in Makarska, but they would not be able to attack again for five days. And the situation in Doboj (as we have already seen) was also deteriorating further by that time, putting more pressure on the Adriatic Sector to finish the job and release more units to hold the newly established Sava Line.

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By 10pm, the tough professionals of the German 88th Division were leading an effective defence of the favourable defensive terrain in bitter street fighting in and around Split, even though their Axis allies were basically spent. This was starting to take a toll on 2 Mtn Div, despite conducting an effective assault on a surrounded enemy. The odds of an unaided victory had now begun to fade [down to 47%].

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---xxx---

27 Aug 42

This pattern continued into 27 August, with Turkish concerns increased when Doboj was lost at 6pm that day. 11 Inf Div’s efforts were switched for a third time, abandoning their march to Drvar and Banja Luka to return to the attack they had been mistakenly pulled from some days ago. They were now told to reinforce 2 Mtn Div’s attack on Split, to be joined by 3 Mtn Div which had finally finished reorganising in Sinj. By 8pm, they had joined the battle: two of the Axis divisions (Hungarian and Italian) had surrendered during the day, while the 2nd Slovakian Division had arrived from Makarska but was unfit to man the front line. Only the 88th Division fought on for the Axis, but 2 Mtn Div was also fading: there was a chance the attack would fail if one or both of the newly joined Turkish divisions could not reinforce in time.

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---xxx---

28 Aug 42

To show how determined they were to drag out resistance in Split for as long as they could, the Italians launched an air raid on Knin at 2am with two wings of bombers with one wing of fighters escorting. These raids would continue throughout the day.

At 2pm, welcome news came from Split: 11 Inf Div had managed to reinforce the front line more quickly than had been expected – this was just as well, because 2 Mtn Div was approaching the end of its endurance. Victory should now be assured, but the 88th Division had heeded the exhortations of their Führer to fight to the end: they still refused to surrender.

Then, shortly before midnight there was even more good news: MAJGEN Seven and COL Diskoerekto had managed to march their men to the front line in Split as well. This should hasten the seemingly indomitable will of the last German defenders to resist. But, as the day ended, the last Axis remnants in Split continued to fight, protected by the thinning German line.

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Air Report. Three Italian ground attacks on Knin killed a total of 124 Turkish defenders.

---xxx---

4. Other reports: 25-28 Aug 42

25 Aug 42

After something of a break in their detected activity, at midnight (of course) another British spy was arrested in Ankara. It seems Churchill had decided to once again abrogated the ‘Gentlemen’s Agreement’ between British MI6 and the Turkish MAH not to spy on each other. And had waited until just after the Moscow Meeting (where he didn’t get what he wanted and had found British intelligence on Turkish intentions to be inadequate) to restart their espionage efforts against their Coalition partner.

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Kaya’s Interior Ministry had received a tip-off this time – from GRU LO Agent SkitalecS3. How he had received this information was not disclosed – but clearly the Soviets had someone, probably from within the British system, feeding them information. Captured British ‘illegal’ agents were ‘neutralised’ by imprisonment rather than execution and their interrogations carried out broadly in a firm but not violent manner. Their ticket on the Midnight Express was of a higher class than that reserved for Axis spies in particular. Kelebek (who was in Bratislava at that time anyway, where he had far freer rein) was not given access to them.

“General,” said the HQ 1st Army CP’s Duty Officer, handing Inönü a written contact report. “Our forces in Chisinau in eastern Romania have been attacked!”

One of Germany’s top commanders, MAJGEN von Arnim, was trying to break through with his 10th Panzer Division. He was not yet supported (other than by the destructive German air raids) and was attacking across the Prut River from Rybnica.

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Four hours later, however, the complexion of the battle for Chisinau changed markedly. The German 4th Gebirsjäger Division joined the battle and reinforced immediately, while the Romanian-led 70 SD EF withdrew. The odds had suddenly swung in the Germans’ favour as the punishing air raids continued.

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OTL Event: Pacific. The Battle of Milne Bay began in eastern New Guinea.

Air Report. German Air Raids on Chisinau continued (they had begun on 24 August, when they had caused 512 casualties in two raids), with morning an evening raids killing another 557 Comintern soldiers (Romanian and Soviet, including the Turkish-controlled EF of 177 SD).

---xxx---

26 Aug 42

As a Turkish Secret Police Lieutenant looked intently at his watch, he chopped his raised hand downwards sharply as it ticked over to midnight. A door to an Istanbul apartment overlooking the base where the new Turkish Marine Division was undergoing training was crashed down. Inside, a man and woman were quickly overpowered.

“You Slovakian dogs have no trade-craft,” the Lieutenant spat at them derisively. “You were spotted peering at our marine training through the apartment window earlier today. The binoculars and the comically suspicious-looking expressions on your faces were a dead giveaway.”

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The two said nothing, but struggled vainly to get to their cyanide capsules.

“Hah,” the Secret policeman continued. “Speaking of ‘dead’, you will have no such luck. Yet, anyway. You are both for the Midnight Express. 3rd Class tickets for Fascist running-dog lackeys such as yourselves – especially after what you lot tried to do to our Glorious President!”

He paused briefly for effect as the two Slovakian spies struggled even harder. “Perhaps the Dark Lord Whose-Name-Shall-Not-Be-Mentioned will be conducting tonight?” he finished with undisguised malice. Turning to his men, he said “Take them away,” and then began examining the room for any useful information.

News Report: London, UK. The British government lifts the ban on the communist newspaper The Daily Worker.

Air Report. Another 363 Comintern troops killed in two German raids on Chisinau.

---xxx---

27 Aug 42

The day began with good news: an important an advance in infantry anti-tank weapons [the last of the four Level 5 advances] which would soon be getting distributed to all units as a priority. The drive to improve Turkey’s logistic support continued with research directed to improving supply organisation.

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The situation on the ground in Chisinau continued to worsen, with the Romanian 8th Inf Div nearing the end of its resistance that night. A request was sent to the Soviet Ukrainian Front HQ for a spoiling attack on 10th Panzer Division in Rybnica now they had reoccupied the province to the north-east of Chisinau over the Prut River, but it was made more in hope than expectation.

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OTL Event: Eastern Front. German Army Group B captured Prokhladny, pushing closer to the oil prize of Grozny.

Air Report. The Luftwaffe’s raids on Chisinau did not let up. Two more that day killed 423 Comintern defenders.

---xxx---

28 Aug 42

The War Ministry advised Inönü that supply production was currently at a broad equilibrium [with 54.47 IC out of a total of 188 allocated]. Equipment upgrades (primarily the new AT weapons for all infantry divisions) and reinforcement costs took more capacity [around another 22 IC]. This left new production at a little over two-thirds of its programmed requirement. Delayed projects can be seen in the graphic below.

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Fighting in Chisinau continued throughout the day as German air raids continued.

Air Report. The ‘customary’ morning and afternoon German air raids caused another 366 Comintern casualties, bringing the total to 2,221 since their latest bombing campaign on Chisinau began on 24 August.

---xxx---

Coming Up: Can that dangerous gap in the north of the ‘Bulge’ be secured before the enemy exploit it? Will the Axis be able to exert further pressure on the wavering Sava Line to expand the two bridgeheads (at Doboj and Sabac) they now hold over it? Are 15 Inf and 2 Mot Divs in danger of being cut off and pocketed themselves? How long will it take to liquidate the Adriatic Pocket and free up the rest of the troops there for duties to the north?

How will the rest of Romania and the wider Patriotic Front have fared by the end of August? Does Leningrad still fly the Soviet flag? Can the Soviets begin the slow roll-back of the vast Japanese gains on the Eastern Front? How have the intrepid guerillas in the Far East gone – have the Japanese mobilised some rear-area security forces against them yet? Can the Sleeping US Giant stir itself to meaningful activity in the Pacific?

We will also see if the British are able to capture Tobruk or fall short once more, while they desperately try to hang on in Burma and Malaya without any Comintern support. There will be more special reporting on espionage developments, US industrial production and fleet movements, and the usual monthly naval report: how did that large battle off Singapore earlier in the month between the RN and IJN turn out?
 
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It's interesting that the Germans will have to release the info that they didn't kill the turkish president officially, and a few weeks later will also have to admit that they got several divisions trapped behind enemy lines and told them to die fighting rather than getting them out. The slaps in the face continue, especially as questions will be publically raised as to why the axis navies didn't try to save the coastally trapped divisons, meaning the axis will also have to admit or at leasr make clear to the entire world that their combined fleets are at the bottom of the ocean.

If the german counter attack fails in the balkans or the Soviets delay their advance in the east, I think morale is going to plummet. Having 'won' for so long, suddenly realising that they might not only be losing but in serious danger of attack themsevles...not going to go down well, espeically in italy.
 
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Even when it seems like we're winning, the grim news seem to outnumber the happy ones. Good episode, one that asks more questions than it answers :)

“One this is One-Three, contact! Four German divisions, attacking from three different directions across the Sava and Danube Rivers. We saw them coming and were able to lay an ambush. We are holding for now but will report further when the trend of the battle is clearer. Out.”
They'll all pay dearly for this!

Not surprisingly, this time the German bombers did not return to Beograd and Örlungat declared a decisive air victory. Huzzah!
This kind of victories were unimaginable only a short while ago. We've really come far.

MAJGEN Seven and COL Diskoerekto had managed to march their men to the front line in Split as well.
We infiltrated through the valleys of mountain creeks into the suburbs of Split and hit the fascists from their flank! They didn't see it coming!

“General,” said the HQ 1st Army CP’s Duty Officer, handing Inönü a written contact report. “Our forces in Chisinau in eastern Romania have been attacked!”
This is not a good sign but let's hope it's a blip and not the start of something coordinated.

The odds had suddenly swung in the Germans’ favour as the punishing air raids continued.
Not good

The situation on the ground in Chisinau continued to worsen, with the Romanian 8th Inf Div nearing the end of its resistance that night.
Not good at all :/

USSR really should start pulling its weight and USA should really start fighting the Japanese. It seems like we're trying to keep the world alive all by ourselves :)
 
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I am more concerned for the situation around Chisnau than in the Bulge. If necessary a retreat from the Bulge would be a relatively simple matter, with much good achieved. However the prospects of retreat from Chisnau seem considerably more fraught given it likely ends with being split off from the USSR and Romania on the verge of collapse.
 
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If the axis really do try by combining an army with their airsupport, they could with not too much effort force us to abandon not just our forward postions but romania and everything north of greece. This is going to remain the case probably untill near the end of the war, raising the issue of them going on an omicidal hacking spree out of spite at some point.
 
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I'm glad the dark lord has found a suitable place to fold his wings in Bratislava castle.

The aside on the 'Little War' and Solvakia's territorial 'losses' is enlightening, definitely not the kind of thing you see in secondary school history lessons, unless you're in Slovakia, maybe. I don't believe it's really modelled in Hoi3, the territory which changed hands looks smaller than a HOI3 province. That and the short duration of the war makes it unlikely it's an event. That said, I haven't played Slovakia, so I wouldn't know for sure.

The GRU has been watching this Mach character for a while, and from the reports I read, it seems that he actually has something of an idea of what he's doing. He slipped our net multiple times, allowing him to set up any number of operations we know nothing about. That level of trade-craft is atypical for anything related to Slovakian intelligence. Watch out for that one.

The Sava river line looks tense, and those daft Germans fighting till their last bullet in Split aren't helping things. That said, even if you have to retreat somewhat, Turkey will have captured tens of thousands of trained enemy soldiers. It would be interesting to have an exact count of the number of troops, and the composition of troops captured by Turkey. Once Split is secured, of course.

It seems that the Turkish Air Force has, to all intents and purposes, destroyed the entire 40 Kampfgeschwäder over Beograd. Orlungat is right to declare that a victory. Good job. I expect that the bombers were 'stuck in the air' due to the fact that they kept getting intercepted by Turkish fighters before they could leave the province. Looking at the start times for those battles. An aerial battle in HOI3 lasts 3 hours, and during a battle an air unit is not moving on the map, and often movements are reset. As soon as they disengaged, they were engaged again by another bunch of Turkish fighters.

Kaya’s Interior Ministry had received a tip-off this time – from GRU LO Agent SkitalecS3. How he had received this information was not disclosed – but clearly the Soviets had someone, probably from within the British system, feeding them information. Captured British ‘illegal’ agents were ‘neutralised’ by imprisonment rather than execution and their interrogations carried out broadly in a firm but not violent manner. Their ticket on the Midnight Express was of a higher class than that reserved for Axis spies in particular. Kelebek (who was in Bratislava at that time anyway, where he had far freer rein) was not given access to them.
Glad to be of assistance. Let's just say we're making sure the UK is keeping it's promises to Turkey, and we do like to hold MI6 to account for every single agent they infiltrate into the Glorious Union. Of course, we also have other operations that target the British, they are, after all, nothing more than the enemy of our enemy. Once that enemy is beaten, all bets will be off. I do hope the British realise how lucky their spies are to be given a first class ticket on the Midnight express, and a comfortable imprisonment. These standards might be the norm in the UK, but in Turkey they are far from it. SITH is really a fearsome organisation.

The fighting in Chisinau is worrying, in particularly, the German coordination of Air and Ground units on the offensive is looking problematic, especially as no Comintern Air assets seem to be in a position to intercept the air raids there. Over 2.000 casualties is definitely nothing to scoff at.

“You Slovakian dogs have no trade-craft,” the Lieutenant spat at them derisively. “You were spotted peering at our marine training through the apartment window earlier today. The binoculars and the comically suspicious-looking expressions on your faces were a dead giveaway.”
This is more the usual level of Slovak espionage efforts. Mach is definitely a dangerous outlier.

The Turkish variant of the PTRD-41 AT Rifle comes not a day too soon. With Panzers arriving at the bulge, and trying to dislodge Turkish defences and turn the tide in the Balkans, you will need all the help you can get. Especially at relatively short ranges, those rifles will shoot straight through most armour. A well-aimed shot can really do some damage, and terrain short of open plains offers plenty of opportunities for Infantry to hide and let the Panzers close in first, to make every shot count.

That the Turkish Army may perforate many Panzers with it's shiny new kit,

SkitalecS3
 
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Oh, KG40 is definitely "dead" but it won't be removed as a unit unless the other wing is also destroyed. It just lingers on like a zombie until it is brought back to life. Unlike when CAGs hit 0 in Str/Org and disappear completely...

...because Paradox.
 
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Thanks for the comments so far! I'm on to Rome and then Rurikid AARs next, so there's still time for further comment and discussion in the meantime.

It's interesting that the Germans will have to release the info that they didn't kill the turkish president officially, and a few weeks later will also have to admit that they got several divisions trapped behind enemy lines and told them to die fighting rather than getting them out. The slaps in the face continue, especially as questions will be publically raised as to why the axis navies didn't try to save the coastally trapped divisons, meaning the axis will also have to admit or at leasr make clear to the entire world that their combined fleets are at the bottom of the ocean.
I think their standard response in such situations was not to say anything about such reverses themselves, then go at anyone (internal) that did by branding them 'defeatists'. :( We assume that is what they are doing right now. Perhaps soon they will start boasting about 'Wunderwaffen' on the drawing boards! :rolleyes:
If the german counter attack fails in the balkans or the Soviets delay their advance in the east, I think morale is going to plummet. Having 'won' for so long, suddenly realising that they might not only be losing but in serious danger of attack themsevles...not going to go down well, espeically in italy.
Yes, this could end up being a little Stalingrad for them. No-one else so far has surrounded and bagged so many Axis troops (including two good German infantry divisions). If/when the pocket collapses, you can be sure the Istanbul Times will be running a front page headline! ;)
Even when it seems like we're winning, the grim news seem to outnumber the happy ones. Good episode, one that asks more questions than it answers :)
Thanks. A world at war is indeed a grim thing. Why can't we all just be friends? :(;)
They'll all pay dearly for this!
Oh, they shall indeed. 'Red Danube' all over again! :mad:
This kind of victories were unimaginable only a short while ago. We've really come far.
It was a good one, even if it did bring more wear and tear on the fighters. They caught them with the old one-two stuck in the air just as I'd hoped they would. :D
We infiltrated through the valleys of mountain creeks into the suburbs of Split and hit the fascists from their flank! They didn't see it coming!
Vur ha!
This is not a good sign but let's hope it's a blip and not the start of something coordinated.

Not good

Not good at all :/
Tough times, but can the Axis sustain a victory and breakthrough? This is the $64 question - and I don't know the answer any more than you, my Dear ReadAARs! :confused:
USSR really should start pulling its weight and USA should really start fighting the Japanese. It seems like we're trying to keep the world alive all by ourselves :)
There will be an update on these aspects in the end-of-month episode. For starters, we need the Soviets to finally work their way through all those somewhat dubious infra/industry etc projects and start delivering some real battlefield hardware! Still a little while to go on that. As for the US - they too need far more gear than they have to hand now. There is a Comintern strength comparison also in the next update.
I am more concerned for the situation around Chisnau than in the Bulge. If necessary a retreat from the Bulge would be a relatively simple matter, with much good achieved. However the prospects of retreat from Chisnau seem considerably more fraught given it likely ends with being split off from the USSR and Romania on the verge of collapse.
Very true. And while I can help a bit and suggest objectives, which the Romanian and Soviet AIs have been comparatively reasonable at considering, it is really their fight. Which is what makes me a bit nervous about it too. I hope the Turkish Supreme HQ doesn't need to start dusting off those 'what if Romania collapses' contingency plans! You may recall way back, that the strike through the eastern Romanian border area was one of my original principal concerns. :eek:
If the axis really do try by combining an army with their airsupport, they could with not too much effort force us to abandon not just our forward postions but romania and everything north of greece. This is going to remain the case probably untill near the end of the war, raising the issue of them going on an omicidal hacking spree out of spite at some point.
Yes, a concern since the GLW started in June 1940, even though Turkish capability has markedly improved since those early days. As it has always been, the hope is that the Germans don't quite have enough to completely blitz one area without exposing themselves elsewhere. Had the Japanese not been so aggressive on the Eastern Front, the Soviets would probably have punished them way more severely by now. At least the main front in Russia is equal in terms of the AI leadership on each side: makes for an interesting game in terms of balance.
I'm glad the dark lord has found a suitable place to fold his wings in Bratislava castle.

The aside on the 'Little War' and Solvakia's territorial 'losses' is enlightening, definitely not the kind of thing you see in secondary school history lessons, unless you're in Slovakia, maybe. I don't believe it's really modelled in Hoi3, the territory which changed hands looks smaller than a HOI3 province. That and the short duration of the war makes it unlikely it's an event. That said, I haven't played Slovakia, so I wouldn't know for sure.

The GRU has been watching this Mach character for a while, and from the reports I read, it seems that he actually has something of an idea of what he's doing. He slipped our net multiple times, allowing him to set up any number of operations we know nothing about. That level of trade-craft is atypical for anything related to Slovakian intelligence. Watch out for that one.
Mach is now in the S.I.T.H. little black book. His life is likely to become ... 'interesting' at some point.
The Sava river line looks tense, and those daft Germans fighting till their last bullet in Split aren't helping things. That said, even if you have to retreat somewhat, Turkey will have captured tens of thousands of trained enemy soldiers. It would be interesting to have an exact count of the number of troops, and the composition of troops captured by Turkey. Once Split is secured, of course.
You are in luck: I was deliberately tracking the rough numbers via the reports, and (all the screenies have been edited for the month-end chapter) there is indeed a detailed estimate of the numbers involved. :) But as a general indication, the Turks have counted six Axis infantry divisions (a mix from all four countries), a Corps HQ and an Army HQ trapped in the pocket.
It seems that the Turkish Air Force has, to all intents and purposes, destroyed the entire 40 Kampfgeschwäder over Beograd. Orlungat is right to declare that a victory. Good job. I expect that the bombers were 'stuck in the air' due to the fact that they kept getting intercepted by Turkish fighters before they could leave the province. Looking at the start times for those battles. An aerial battle in HOI3 lasts 3 hours, and during a battle an air unit is not moving on the map, and often movements are reset. As soon as they disengaged, they were engaged again by another bunch of Turkish fighters.
Yes, I thought that while tracking it. It's happened a few times before and was just the effect I'd been hoping for from the two wings. Who could get up and back easily as they were defending their own base in Beograd.
Glad to be of assistance. Let's just say we're making sure the UK is keeping it's promises to Turkey, and we do like to hold MI6 to account for every single agent they infiltrate into the Glorious Union. Of course, we also have other operations that target the British, they are, after all, nothing more than the enemy of our enemy. Once that enemy is beaten, all bets will be off. I do hope the British realise how lucky their spies are to be given a first class ticket on the Midnight express, and a comfortable imprisonment. These standards might be the norm in the UK, but in Turkey they are far from it. SITH is really a fearsome organisation.
Ah, it all gets very murky - the next part of the espionage drama has already been written, but there wasn't quite enough room to squeeze it into the last chapter, so it will be at the start of the next one. And we (though not the Turks) will discover who Skitalec's source is ... among others.
The fighting in Chisinau is worrying, in particularly, the German coordination of Air and Ground units on the offensive is looking problematic, especially as no Comintern Air assets seem to be in a position to intercept the air raids there. Over 2.000 casualties is definitely nothing to scoff at.
That was what did us in during the Axis counter-attack after the 1941 offensive. We have managed to blunt (though not eliminate) that effect this time on the Adriatic-Danube Line through the recent build-up in the Turkish Air Force. But when they have free rein ... the German TAC in particular is deadly.
This is more the usual level of Slovak espionage efforts. Mach is definitely a dangerous outlier.
Quite. Away from their home ground they are not nearly so scary or effective. Though they have 'neutralised' a lot of our spies in Italy. The swine! :mad:
The Turkish variant of the PTRD-41 AT Rifle comes not a day too soon. With Panzers arriving at the bulge, and trying to dislodge Turkish defences and turn the tide in the Balkans, you will need all the help you can get. Especially at relatively short ranges, those rifles will shoot straight through most armour. A well-aimed shot can really do some damage, and terrain short of open plains offers plenty of opportunities for Infantry to hide and let the Panzers close in first, to make every shot count.

That the Turkish Army may perforate many Panzers with it's shiny new kit,

SkitalecS3
This will indeed help the defensive battles to come. And brings Turkish infantry divisions up to 'contemporary' (by the game) world standards again in equipment. I wish doctrine was as advanced! :(
Oh, KG40 is definitely "dead" but it won't be removed as a unit unless the other wing is also destroyed. It just lingers on like a zombie until it is brought back to life. Unlike when CAGs hit 0 in Str/Org and disappear completely...

...because Paradox.
Ah, useful info. Was wondering why they hadn't vaporised yet! :rolleyes: Still, it will take a lot of rebuilding.
 
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Very true. And while I can help a bit and suggest objectives, which the Romanian and Soviet AIs have been comparatively reasonable at considering, it is really their fight. Which is what makes me a bit nervous about it too. I hope the Turkish Supreme HQ doesn't need to start dusting off those 'what if Romania collapses' contingency plans! You may recall way back, that the strike through the eastern Romanian border area was one of my original principal concerns. :eek:
Sometimes it just feels like even if Romanian/Ukrainian front breaks we'll be in Berlin quicker than Axis will make it to Istanbul if we forget caution and just go hard for that. Sometimes it feels like only craziness.
 
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Sometimes it just feels like even if Romanian/Ukrainian front breaks we'll be in Berlin quicker than Axis will make it to Istanbul if we forget caution and just go hard for that. Sometimes it feels like only craziness.
With a couple of corps to hold the Calistar Line, I reckon I can hold it forever! So their filthy hands will never get across the Bosporus, by Ataturk! o_O:D
 
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Ah, useful info. Was wondering why they hadn't vaporised yet! :rolleyes: Still, it will take a lot of rebuilding.

Makes me wonder why the team building the system for combats didn't have a nice sit down to use one roughly equivalent system for Sea/Air/Land. I would have done it thus. Terrain/Time/Weather considerations, then Intel/Surveillance/Reconnaissance, then combat forces, then the shots, then hits, then mitigation of hits. boom, final report... ugh. I sometimes wish that HoI3 had 4's production system (far more realistic) as well as the battalion-based division designer.
 
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Chapter 179: The Dragon’s Breath – Part Three (29 to 31 August 1942)
Chapter 179: The Dragon’s Breath – Part Three (29 to 31 August 1942)

AuthAAR’s Note: Here follows the last report from the August play session, including monthly reports. It includes more battlefield action, espionage hi-jinks and of course a sweep across the other theatres of the Second Great War.

---xxx---
29 Aug 42

In London it was just a minute or two after midnight. Brigadier Stewart Menzies, the Head of the SIS (MI6) was sweating on a coded message from Ankara. His latest mission to infiltrate agents into the Turkish system had begun poorly, but he had recently sent two of his 'brightest chaps' there to get things cracking along again. That tiresome David Callan in Baghdad kept banging on about a “mole in London”, but Menzies discounted that.

“Callan is a worry-wort,” he remarked to his key Directors. “Chaps like us – from the right class of people, ex-officers and with good recommendations from other chaps – would never betray King and Country in time of war.”

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“Callan is a worry-wort.” BRIG Stewart Menzies, Head of MI6, 29 August 192.

Menzies was at heart an amiable upper-class sportsman who may well have been out of his depth. Other than the code-breakers at Bletchley Park, many allies and opponents thought British Intelligence to be rather like Menzies: anti-intellectual amateurs and wholly outclassed. Especially by the Soviets at this time.

“Our latest agent in Ankara, Michael Ipcress, will do very well, I’m certain of it," Menzies continued. "His cover as a British businessman assisting with the provision of lend-lease is as close to watertight as we can make it. And our new ‘Cultural Attaché’ in Ankara is one of our best and brightest young chaps.”

Unfortunately for the personable but naïve Menzies, one of the attendees at that meeting was an up-and-coming MI6 operative by the name of Kim Philby!

---xxx---

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Kim Philby. He was in MI6's Section Five in August 1942.

Harold Adrian Russell "Kim" (a.k.a. ‘Sonny’) Philby (b. 1 January 1912) was recruited by Soviet intelligence in 1934. After leaving Cambridge, Philby worked as a journalist and covered the Spanish Civil War and the Battle of France, after which he fell out of contact with his Soviet handlers. In 1940, he began working for MI6 in the Special Operations Executive (SOE). He was appointed as an instructor on clandestine propaganda at the SOE's finishing school for agents. Philby's role as an instructor of sabotage agents again brought him to the attention of the Soviet Joint State Political Directorate (OGPU).

The new London rezident, Ivan Chichayev (code-name Vadim), re-established contact and asked for a list of names of British agents being trained to enter the USSR. Philby replied that none had been sent and that none were undergoing training at that time. This statement was underlined twice in red and marked with two question marks, clearly indicating confusion and questioning of this by disbelieving staff at Moscow Central in the Lubyanka. He did however report that Britain had inserted a succession of agents into what was by then the Comintern partner - the UGNR (Turkey). In September 1941, Philby began working for Section Five of MI6, a section responsible for offensive counter-intelligence. He began to supply the names and covers of these agents from then onward.

This led to the arrest and ‘neutralisation’ of a succession of British spies in Turkey and the wider UGNR. British suspicions that there may be a Soviet ‘mole’ within MI6 became aroused at this time, led especially by MI6 Agent David Callan, the head of operations for the Middle East and Turkey. The ‘blowing’ of the legendary agent ‘the Thorn’ around the time of the Tehran Conference in early February 1942 crystallised these concerns. Philby's information (carefully masked) was usually passed between Moscow and Ankara through Agent Boğafiltresi (the MAH Station Chief in Moscow). Soviet inter-agency suspicions and antagonism, plus the logistical problems of being stationed in Turkey, meant the NKVD did not brief the GRU liaison to President Inönü on Philby. He was kept in a separate, strictly ‘need-to-know’ compartment.

---xxx---

There was worse in store for Menzies. He would have been shocked had he been aware of how deeply the Soviets had managed to penetrate his service by this time. The other ‘new chap’ in Ankara was none other than British diplomat and MI6 operative Donald Maclean!

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Donald Maclean, British ‘Cultural Attaché’ (ie MI6 Station Chief), Ankara, 29 August 1942.

Donald Duart ‘Homer’ Maclean (b. 25 May 1913) is a British diplomat and member of MI6. In 1938, he was made Third Secretary at the Paris embassy, where he kept the Soviets informed about Anglo-German diplomacy. After the fall of France, Maclean continued to report to Moscow from London, where he was assigned by the British Foreign Office to work on economic warfare matters. Maclean became the Foreign Office's expert in economic warfare, civil air matters, military base negotiations and natural resources useful in the war.

In July 1942, he was posted to the British Embassy in Ankara as the "Cultural Attaché". After being contacted by GRU Agent SkitalecS3 in a clandestine meeting in mid-August, he began passing information on British agents through the GRU LO. The actual identity of this Soviet double agent was withheld from the Turks, who received the information only through SkitalecS3.

Around this time, ‘pre-neutralisation interrogations’ of captured British agents began to hear mention of a key MI6 operative in Turkey nick-named ‘the Rose’. Given the Turks were instantly suspicious of this new British ‘Cultural Attaché’, who they assumed (correctly) to be the MI6 station chief in Ankara, he was soon being referred to by this name. But, because he had diplomatic immunity, they could not touch him. Little did they know that the man they knew as ‘the Rose’ was in fact a Soviet plant – and SkitalecS3 did not need to intervene to protect him, and thus blow his cover, which was a very closely guarded Soviet secret. It was a mixture of reports from both Maclean in Ankara and Philby in London to their respective Soviet handlers which was betraying a series of brave British agents to their ‘neutralisation with extreme prejudice’ in Turkey.

The card of poor Ipcress was therefore well and truly marked, potentially exposed from at least two different directions via the various arms of the Soviet intelligence apparatus. In this case, it was a murmured conversation between Maclean and the Soviet Defence Attaché at a cocktail party for the Coalition Partners at the British Embassy.

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A drawing (c. 1935) of the new British Residence in Ankara, where building commenced in 1938. Soon after the start of GW2, the First Building and its shell was complete. The Office of Works took a good deal of persuading that the building should be used throughout for offices, stipulating in particular that internal partitioning work must not damage the walls. By August 1942, to help cope with the much enlarged staff, the dining room contained the chancery, the drawing room two registries, the bedroom floor was mostly taken over by the military, the future lawn by Nissen huts and the future tennis court by a garage and maintenance unit.

---xxx---

A cable soon arrived at MI6 in London : Maclean reported an alert from the Turkish Interior Ministry that a recently arrived British businessman, one Mr Michael Ipcress, had been detained on suspicion of “activities inconsistent with his supposed business interests in Turkey and inimical to Turkish national security”. He was currently “assisting Turkish authorities with their inquiries” at an undisclosed location. Any requests for consular access would be “considered in due course and the fullness of time, when the situation was more propitious.” The Ipcress File had been opened earlier that month in Kaya's Ministry in Ankara: it was now stamped “Neutralised.”

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---xxx---

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MI6 Middle East and Turkey Operations Chief David Callan, Baghdad, 29 August 1942.

So, after a break, in August 1942 the British had tried to re-establish a network of agents in Turkey, in contravention of the so-called “Gentlemen’s Agreement” between the Chief of MI6 (Sir Stuart Menzies) and Turkish Intelligence Head Şükrü Âli Ögel, Chief of the Milli Emniyet Hizmeti (MAH) (National Security Service). These arrests of more British Agents in late August 1942 convinced Callan that MI6 itself had been compromised at a high level – not by the Gestapo, but by the NKVD. He now had to ponder what to do about it. And he was a very determined, ruthless and suspicious man.

Callan had a plan: his own agent, recruited from the Italian expat community in Baghdad, a fluent Arab-speaker who could pass as a local. Leonardo Montague, a native of Verona and therefore (of course) nicknamed ‘Romeo’.

“Romeo! Romeo!” Callan called out into the section office. “Where are you, Romeo?”

“I am here, Boss.”

“I need you to pick a good Arabic cover name and identity. Your real name is your enemy. Some other name than Montague.”

“What’s in a name, Mr Callan?”

“Plenty, Leonardo,” Callan smiled, then joked at his protégé’s penchant for wearing strong after-shave colognes. “Don’t worry; that which we call a Rose by any other name would smell as sweet! You’re off to Istanbul soon – Ankara is too ‘hot’ right now. We need to find out who is betraying our agents in Turkey so regularly. It can’t all be put down to poor trade-craft and bad luck.”

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“What’s in a name, Mr Callan?” Leonardo ‘Romeo’ Montague, Baghdad, 29 August 1942.

---xxx---

Back at the front, the final battle for Split raged on, with the Turks increasing the pressure on the beleaguered Axis troops stuck there [now to 82% odds in favour of the attackers]. Further north, at 1am 4 SD arrived in Zenica, completely spent after their rout from Doboj. It would take them many days to recover their organisation, but they began to dig in with the Corps HQs already there.

In Chisinau on the Romanian-Soviet border, the Germans kept up their attack. Although the 10th Panzer Division was becoming badly worn by then, the 4th Mountain Division attacking from Orhei was fresh and making the difference as they sought the breakthrough. Only 177 SD (the Turkish EF) and 310 SD (the Romanian EF) were left in the fight, and the odds against them were worsening as the merciless Luftwaffe air strikes continued.

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“A message from Split, sir!” said Inönü’s adjutant at the new (and very secure) HQ 1st Army compound in Užice, handing him a note from the duty officer in the CP.

“Ah,” he said quietly but happily. “The enemy have surrendered in Split – unconditionally.”

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2 Mtn Div had suffered heavy casualties in their long fight, but recent reinforcements from 11 Inf and 3 Mtn Divs had finally put an end to Axis resistance. Victory came at 8am: 2 Mtn Div continued on to occupy the city and begin recuperating. The rest of the units now freed from the destruction of the pocket were ordered north, joining the rest who had begun to move earlier. This was not a moment too soon, as word was received at 9am that a German infantry division (under Italian command) had just occupied the hills of Bosanski Petrovac. A Turkish counter-attack, when units were ready in a few days’ time, was likely, as that province was part of the consolidated defensive line the Turks hoped to secure now the Adriatic Pocket had been eliminated.

As the reports came in, it was clear the Axis had suffered a major disaster – the greatest setback for them of the Second Great War, just a few days before the third anniversary of its commencement on 1 September 1939.

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These figures include the German 62nd Division, which had surrendered a few days before when their retreat from Mostar was cut off.
But at the end of the day, the news was not so good from eastern Romania: HQ 6th Corps ordered 177 SD to withdraw in good order from Chisinau, while it was still capable of fighting again. They would move initially to Cahul, at which time their next position would be determined. It would be up to the Romanians and Soviets to do what they could to secure any subsequent German advance into Chisinau.

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Air Report. Italian air raids on Knin continued until 8pm that night, despite the earlier surrender of the forces trapped in the Adriatic Pocket, causing another 220 Turkish casualties. The Luftwaffe also continued to pound Chisinau, with 429 more Comintern soldiers killed – bringing the total to 2,650 since the raids restarted on 24 August.

---xxx---

30 Aug 42

The British supplied a report on another uprising by the Polish Home Army that was centred on Warsaw, but becoming quite widespread. The brave Home Army partisans may be doomed again, but it must be causing significant distraction and disruption for the Germans.

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At 4am, Artunkal’s battered HQ 2nd Corps finished their controlled withdrawal from Doboj, setting up a hasty defence in Travnik. They would need reinforcement to provide more than a brief delay to any further German attacks.

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Then, at 10pm, Noyan reported an attack on the Comintern defences of Tuzla:

“They are attacking across the Sava from three different directions. They seek to counteract the disadvantage of the river crossing with the speed and ferocity of their attack and by enveloping us. 217 SD is well dug in, while my 10th Division troops have had three days to prepare hasty defences. They are still a little worn from the diversionary attack on Brcko a few days back, but should hold strong. We should prevail, but they have sent four fresh divisions – one German and three Hungarian – against us.”

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There were no further recorded air attacks by either side in the Turkish sector for the rest of the month.

---xxx---

At midnight, just in time for the third anniversary of the war’s commencement, the badly disorganised 2 Mtn Div fully liberated Split and its environs, thus formally closing the pocket. The facilities and infrastructure there had taken some damage, but a new air base was available should the Turks wish to switch any aircraft there in the future, while the naval base could also be handy later.

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Near Beograd, 1 Mot Div (ordered across from the eastern Danube Line some days before) was in Pozega. It was ordered on to Valjevo: some argued for a counter-attack against the Italian division holding Sabac, to re-secure the southern bank of the Sava River there and shorten the line again. And at 10am, the now partly-recovered 97 SD ‘Strel’ made it to Zavidovici to help set up the containment lines for the Axis’ Doboj breakthrough.

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At 6pm, 222 SD finished its move from Zara to Ubdina on the Adriatic, to perhaps either participate in a later attack on Bosanski Petrovac or free other forces up to do so. By the end of the day, the general position on the Sava-Adriatic Front was still in some flux, with the line not yet secure in and around Banja Luka; 15 Inf Div’s Gradiska bridgehead exposed; two Axis bridgeheads over the Sava River at Doboj and Sabac and a heavy attack continuing on Tuzla. But on the positive side, Split was secure, the Pocket eliminated and more freed-up units were redeploying north to reinforce the line. Cennet was in Zagreb and US LO MAJ Tyler Durden had slipped into Tuzla to view the fighting there.

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---xxx---

Monthly Summary Reports

The Patriotic Front was a mixed bag once more when the whole month’s movements were considered. The Northern Sector had seen Axis gains but Leningrad still held. The Central Sector witnessed a Soviet counter-offensive to the north of Vitsyebsk and was otherwise roughly even, with only small exchanges of territory. The position in Ukraine was grim but not collapsing, with the loss of Kiev during the month and general Axis gains. The main central Romanian front had been pushed back on a broad front, with Iasi and Brasov both lost [though neither are VP cities]. The brightest spot was the deep gains made in the Turkish Summer Offensive, with the recapture of Split and the creation and then elimination of the Adriatic Pocket.

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Note, all these maps show net movements for the whole month of August, not just the last few days since the previous chapter.

A detailed look at the northern part of the Northern Sector shows German gains, but with the Soviets now setting up defences on the forested and marshy terrain stretching south-east from Leningrad.

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The Centre tells a better story, although a German medium panzer division has pushed to the outskirts of Vitsyebsk. The Soviets have shown they are now able to conduct their own offensives again.

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The loss of Kiev had been the main blow for the month in Ukraine, but there had at least been no German breakout into the open plains as the summer fighting season now began to head towards autumn.

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As noted previously, Romania was once again a major concern, with a broad advance by Axis forces, including a dangerous strike to Brasov – like a dagger aimed at the oilfields of Ploiesti. The situation in eastern Romania and the approaches to Odessa was of concern as well, but not yet desperate due to a recently successful counter-attack by the Soviets north-east of Chisinau.

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On the Soviet’s Eastern Front, there had been more Japanese advances in the north, but the Soviets were pushing pack in front of Novosibirsk and to its south. This was welcome news after the almost unrelieved setbacks there of the previous couple of years.

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And in the Central Asia Sector, the Japanese and their puppets were also being pressed back in front of the Turkish screening forces there.

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The gallant Soviet partisan forces in the Far East seemed to have melted back into the countryside, but they had diverted at least three enemy divisions who now had to mop up the disaffected provinces they had raised in rebellion.

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In North Africa, The British had managed to secure Tobruk with their 4th Armoured Division and, though still not deploying many divisions, were forcing back large numbers of Italian units. Perhaps those supply problems were really beginning to bite for Mussolini’s troops now; and losing Tobruk would lengthen their supply lines back to Bengasi. A landing there by Turkey’s US Marine Expeditionary Force, potentially cutting off the bulk of the Italian army in North Africa and allowing western Libya to be secured was now very tempting and would be seriously considered by the Turkish Supreme HQ planners.

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The latest Warsaw uprising continued, with a couple of irregular Polish militia brigades there and to its north-west. But three regular German divisions were closing in on them, likely dooming their brave resistance – for now.

In South East Asia, the slow deterioration of the British positions in Burma and Malaya continued, but Singapore and Rangoon still held out. Given a whole month was summarised, Japanese advances had been comparatively slow.

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The Japanese and their Thai allies had advanced up to the Sittang River in Burma during August and, just in the last few days, crossed it in the south. The British were sending in the 23rd Indian Division to hold Rangoon, but they might soon be surrounded as the defences to its north appeared to be collapsing.

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In Malaya, Montgomery’s 1st Armd Div was still resisting an enemy attack in Gonung Mandi Agin, but looked to be approaching the end of its resistance. Which may be a good thing on balance, otherwise it could be cut off. For now, the Australian 1st Division was holding open a narrow corridor for it to retreat through. Both divisions were really needed further south, to join the Belgian 1st Mot Div in a final defence of the southern Malayan peninsula north of Singapore.

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US Industry, Production and Fleet Movements; Comintern Comparisons

US industry was now gearing up for war, though they did not seem to be constructing any new major fleet units. They were mainly producing motorised, marine, and mechanised infantry plus medium armoured divisions. The ‘Arsenal of the Comintern’ (and of Britain) was also distributing a mighty 175 units of industrial capacity in lend-lease shipments. Aircraft production was very limited, even though all their theatre HQs were demanding them above anything else.

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After an inquiry from the Turkish Defence Attaché, an update was also provided on major ship movements in the Pacific. Admiral King reported that most of the task forces in the Pacific were in the process of returning to the US east coast again!

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With EFs bolstering the Turkish and Romanian brigade counts, Turkey found itself with the second largest army in the Comintern, followed by the US and Romania. The Soviet Air Force was slightly larger than the US (USAAF and USN carrier-based aircraft combined), with the Turks coming in at third with 12 wings.

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Naval Report

For the Allies, during August the British lost one BB, two SS and two DD.

Axis ship losses were:
  • Germany – one DD.
  • Italy – one TP.
  • Japan – one BB.
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The IJNS Mutsu was the second and last Nagato-class dreadnought battleship built for the Imperial Japanese Navy (IJN) at the end of World War I. Laid down: 1 June 1918; launched: 31 May 1920; commissioned: 24 October 1921. The ship was modernised in 1934-1936 with improvements to her armour and machinery, and a rebuilt superstructure in the pagoda mast style. Displacement 39,050 t; complement 1,475; main armament: eight (4 × twin) 41 cm (16 inch) guns. Sunk in August 1942 by the HMS Exeter (CA). (Note: This is some revenge for the Mutsu having sunk the Soviet light cruiser Profintern earlier in the (TTL) war.)

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HMS Warspite was a Queen Elizabeth-class battleship built for the Royal Navy during the Great War. She was assigned to the Grand Fleet and participated in the Battle of Jutland. In GW2 (TTL) she sank the German battleship Bismarck and the Italian light cruiser Alberico da Barbiano. Laid down: 31 October 1912; launched: 26 November 1913; commissioned: 8 March 1915. Displacement 33,110 t; complement 1,262; main armament: eight (4 × twin) 15-inch (381 mm) guns. Sunk by the IJNS Yamashira (BB) in August 1942.

Oh no – not the Warspite! :( One of my favourite ships and (in TTL) the sinker of the Bismarck. A sad blow – even Inönü was moved and sent a solicitous cable to Churchill. At least the Mutsu was also sent to the bottom – probably in the same engagement somewhere in the South China Sea, but the Royal Navy has declined to disclose the details.

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Coming Up: Will the Turkish Staff recommend a naval landing to seize Bengasi ‘blind’ - and out of range of any Turkish air cover? Can Turkey firm up the Adriatic-Sava Line and eliminate the troublesome Axis bridgeheads over the Sava River? Will the Axis disaster in Split make it harder for them to hold the western Baltic front? Or will they divert forces from their dangerous advance in Romania or their war on the Soviets? Perhaps in sufficient numbers to start pushing back the recent Turkish gains?

More widely, will the growing cynicism about US capacity to make a major impact in the Pacific be reinforced? Are they instead gearing up more for a major land war in Europe – or even against Canada!? Why aren’t they producing major ships (especially aircraft carriers) or more aircraft to help prosecute the war against Japan? And without that US decisive involvement against Japan, can the Soviets hold and throw back the Japanese onslaught on the Eastern (Asian) Front?

Can the British hold Singapore for a while yet and also avoid a major defeat in Burma? Or are the days of their colonial holdings there numbered? Will they keep pressing in North Africa, despite their relatively small army there? And can they sustain a protracted naval war against Japan without any serious support from the US?
 
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Great update, Bullfilter. There's definitely problems with the production AI in HoI3, and I'm finding it difficult to keep up with all of the problems (like the US only having 5 [!!!!] fleet carriers in 1942, and no new battleships).
 
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Harold Adrian Russell "Kim" (a.k.a. ‘Sonny’) Philby
Soviet inter-agency suspicions and antagonism, plus the logistical problems of being stationed in Turkey, meant the NKVD did not brief the GRU liaison to President Inönü on Philby. He was kept in a separate, on a strictly ‘need-to-know’ compartment’.
I knew we had someone high up in British Intelligence, but definitely did not need to know who it is. Philby seems to be doing a great job.

The actual identity of this Soviet double agent was withheld from the Turks, who received the information only through SkitalecS3.
That's definitely the way it should be. No offense to Turkish intelligence, they did not need to know.

Any requests for consular access would be “considered in due course and the fullness of time, when the situation was more propitious.”
A Committee will be set up to examine the request, and of course timing is critical. Such a request would, of course, be very courageous.

These arrests of more British Agents in late August 1942 convinced Callan that MI6 itself had been compromised at a high level – not by the Gestapo, but by the NKVD. He now had to ponder what to do about it. And he was a very determined, ruthless and suspicious man.
This is somewhat annoying. I'm sure the GRU will find a counter to this development, something to do with incriminating a loyal Englishman to put Callan off Philby's trail if I had to guess.

“Ah,” he said quietly but happily. “The enemy have surrendered in Split – unconditionally.”
Finally. 50.000 fewer Axis troops to fight! I'm quite surprised that the Turkish papers didn't round up the number of prisoners to 100.000, boasting of 10 captured Divisions.

The Sava river line comes under ever more pressure, but the freed up units from Split should allow for a more solid defence to be set up, even if some territory has to be forgone. An then, once your troops are somewhat rested, we can talk about the next offensive, or maybe an adventure in Libya, or in Sicily?

Romania is worrying, as is Ukraine. Losing Kyiv is a serious blow, though the Dniepr river line hasn't been breached yet. The Eastern front is stabilising nicely. Let's hope we manage to cut supplies to some of the Japanese units, and have our own little Siberian encirclement party.

The British are losing on the ground in SE-Asia, the only reason the Japs aren't winning more quickly, is that the whole peninsula is covered in thick jungle, which could hide more Allied fighters, so they're having to be slow and methodical about their offensive.

Despite her excellent war-record (OTL and TTL), HMS Warspite was a great war era Battleship, a very good one, but still. Mutsu is more modern, has bigger guns, better armour etc. If I was the 1st Lord of the Admiralty, and someone asked me if I was prepared to trade Warspite for Mutsu, I would do so in a heartbeat. I'd prefer not losing Warspite, but if the reward is sinking Mustu, I think it's worth the sacrifice. And of course, it's revenge for Mutsu sinking Profitern...

the naval base could also be handy later.
If you continue to have supply issues at the front, it would be wise to ship supplies from Turkey, directly to Split. Of course, it depends on whether you have the convoys to do so, and on whether the Italian navy is very active in the Adriatic.

The battle in the shadows between Comintern and Allied spies is right up my alley, and I will use any means in my power to try and counter Callan's operations in the UGNR, alongside SITH and Kaya's boys, of course.

SkitalecS3
 
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Thanks for a nice wrap up of the month, a lot of questions for the future to answer indeed :)

Milli Emniyet Hizmeti (MAH) (National Security Service).
This is interesting because the name of the organization and the English translation of it is as you write, but you may have noticed the abbreviation is a little different because when it was first being formed in the dying phase of the Ottoman Empire its name was milli âmâle hizmet (service to national goals, sounds stupid but I guess back then they didn't know better).

Boğafiltresi
By the way, what's the story behind your nickname if you want to share?

In London
I really liked this new thread. Being a fan of cold war spy thriller tropes and aesthetics, I'm sure there'll be more good stuff to come from this storyline :)

The gallant Soviet partisan forces in the Far East seemed to have melted back into the countryside, but they had diverted at least three enemy divisions who now had to mop up the disaffected provinces they had raised in rebellion.
They should've gone for the railway! Damn it!

can the Soviets hold and throw back the Japanese onslaught on the Eastern (Asian) Front?
Here I want to revisit my single cav or mil brigade marauding of the transsiberian railway by going through Sinkiang behind enemy lines. If there's anything we can spare it can be worth a shot.

 
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I assume Germany will have trouble replacing over 40 thousand soldiers and, more importantly, have trouble replacing those Divisions.

What worried me is the rest of the Front. As Turkey makes gains the rest of the line seems, mostly, being pushed in.

And while the Japanese seem to be reaching the end of their supply "leash" against the USSR, they seem to pushing back the UK in Asia and having no trouble in the Pacific. *sigh*

On the other hand the UK seems to be doing well in Africa. But, not to sound like downer, does that help the Comintern?
 
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That tiresome David Callan in Baghdad kept banging on about a “mole in London”, but Menzies discounted that.

And here we see a classic example of that famous British diligence in all things! :p

Harold Adrian Russell "Kim" (a.k.a. ‘Sonny’) Philby (b. 1 January 1912)

Interesting to see how once again OTL and ATL converge. Will we eventually see the entire Cambridge Five, I wonder?

Callan had a plan: his own agent, recruited from the Italian expat community in Baghdad, a fluent Arab-speaker who could pass as a local. Leonardo Montague, a native of Verona and therefore (of course) nicknamed ‘Romeo’.

“Romeo! Romeo!” Callan called out into the section office. “Where are you, Romeo?”

“What’s in a name, Mr Callan?”

“Plenty, Leonardo,” Callan smiled, then joked at his protégé’s penchant for wearing strong after-shave colognes. “Don’t worry; that which we call a Rose by any other name would smell as sweet!

Oh Lord. More of the shoehorned references and Shakespearean fan-fiction we've all come to know and love from our beloved authAAR! :rolleyes:

As the reports came in, it was clear the Axis had suffered a major disaster – the greatest setback for them of the Second Great War, just a few days before the third anniversary of its commencement on 1 September 1939.

Vur Ha! One sincerely hopes that the troops now freed from the elimination of the Split pocket can now not only reinforce the front lines of the Bulge, but help extend its reach ever closer to Rome and Berlin! :mad:

The Patriotic Front was a mixed bag once more when the whole month’s movements were considered.

Another way of saying, the fascist scum are no longer able to prosecute a coherent offensive across the entire front. Clearly they are reaching their limit, and it is merely a matter of time and manpower before they are ground into dust!

On the Soviet’s Eastern Front, there had been more Japanese advances in the north, but the Soviets were pushing pack in front of Novosibirsk and to its south. This was welcome news after the almost unrelieved setbacks there of the previous couple of years.

Excellent news, which certainly reduces pressure on the USA to do something in the Pacific. Is this for better, or for worse?

In North Africa, The British had managed to secure Tobruk with their 4th Armoured Division and, though still not deploying many divisions, were forcing back large numbers of Italian units. Perhaps those supply problems were really beginning to bite for Mussolini’s troops now; and losing Tobruk would lengthen their supply lines back to Bengasi. A landing there by Turkey’s US Marine Expeditionary Force, potentially cutting off the bulk of the Italian army in North Africa and allowing western Libya to be secured was now very tempting and would be seriously considered by the Turkish Supreme HQ planners.

In light of this and the following naval report, I wholeheartedly endorse making a Turkish landing in western Libya. More below.

The Japanese and their Thai allies had advanced up to the Sittang River in Burma during August and, just in the last few days, crossed it in the south. The British were sending in the 23rd Indian Division to hold Rangoon, but they might soon be surrounded as the defences to its north appeared to be collapsing.

I believe Rangoon should be able to hold for quite some time. The forces there can be supplied comfortably by sea, and the Japanese will struggle to maintain their supply chain through the thick Burmese jungles.

After an inquiry from the Turkish Defence Attaché, an update was also provided on major ship movements in the Pacific. Admiral King reported that most of the task forces in the Pacific were in the process of returning to the US east coast again!

Who let the USA AI out of @Eurasia's AAR again? :eek:

For the Allies, during August the British lost one BB, two SS and two DD.

Axis ship losses were:
  • Germany – one DD.
  • Italy – one TP.
  • Japan – one BB.

The lack of any more significant losses by the Italians I believe confirms that they have no significant naval presence in the Mediterranean, right on time for a Fall landing and offensive in Libya for the Turkish heroes! I do believe that a fleet of transports escorted by the bulk of our surface fleet will be more than enough to get the job done. My only concern here is whether the Italians may still have some naval air power they could bring to bear to disrupt our landings - which would pose a serious problem, since we lack access to the British air base on Malta to provide air cover for our forces.

Are they instead gearing up more for a major land war in Europe – or even against Canada!?

I wonder if it might make sense to set some US objectives in the Balkans? They should have an easier time landing forces in allied territory than making landings across the Pacific against a substantial enemy navy, and those forces could greatly accelerate the falls of Rome and Berlin.
 
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As the reports came in, it was clear the Axis had suffered a major disaster – the greatest setback for them of the Second Great War, just a few days before the third anniversary of its commencement on 1 September 1939.

Not a moment too soon. We need to reinforce our battle line and figure out how to bail Romania out again.

The British supplied a report on another uprising by the Polish Home Army that was centred on Warsaw, but becoming quite widespread. The brave Home Army partisans may be doomed again, but it must be causing significant distraction and disruption for the Germans.

If only the British could send a fleet and army in. Then again, it appears they've spent the whole war building nothing but ships and planes so they might not have an army left save for the stuff left from initially spawn and colonial stuff currently under attack. Very peculiar AI strategy given how we've seen previous evidence that they have the capacity to be a serious ally on land too if they want to be.

The Sava river line comes under ever more pressure, but the freed up units from Split should allow for a more solid defence to be set up, even if some territory has to be forgone. An then, once your troops are somewhat rested, we can talk about the next offensive, or maybe an adventure in Libya, or in Sicily?

Err, actually what we need to do is figure out how best to save Romania again, and if we can't, figure out how to retreat properly, and where to.
If we can keep pushing northwards, that should pull the armies thrusting through Romanian back, or we can get a little further North and then turn right and try to flank the whole invasion force. It depends on how many troops are left in the south outside of Romania now we removed 50k from there...and how many in Romanian lands on top of that?

If the Axis still outnumber us, then we need to try to distract them for a bit to relieve pressure, or trick them into attack fortified positions instead of carrying on into Romania. If we have parity with them, for no way ATM least, we should try to manoeuvre that to our advantage.

I really liked this new thread. Being a fan of cold war spy thriller tropes and aesthetics, I'm sure there'll be more good stuff to come from this storyline :)

Looks like he's doing Shakespeare again as well.
 
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