Chapter 64: Poland in Flames (7 to 14 September 1939)
7 Sep 39
The Propaganda Department liked this poster from the British
Daily Mirror. They will store it away for now, rather than producing a Turkish version for inclusion in the
Istanbul Times and local Turkish-language papers. Hitler and the Nazis are still greatly disliked (even more so now), but given the sobering effect of what they are doing to Poland and how far away the hoped-for Soviet alliance remains, there is a degree of circumspection in the Turkish public propaganda at the moment.
Cabinet Meeting. However, in Cabinet, the fate of poor Poland is being studied with great interest and not a little fear. While the General Staff cannot of course be sure, they believe Turkey may have enough troops to hold the
Calistar Line indefinitely. But they definitely do not believe they have anything near enough to hold southern Greece. Nor the manpower reserves for future unit building plans such as a separate campaign to take advantage of any opportunities that may arise in the Middle East in the shorter term. Or indeed to start laying the foundations for the Great Counter Attack when (not if) the Soviet hordes succeed in defeating the Fascists (whenever that may be – no-one is counting on the Nazi-Soviet Non-aggression pact going its full term). Not to mention distant possibilities of continuing the victorious march of the Comintern across Europe and the world once Fascism has been defeated.
“We must mobilise the now considerable population of the Glorious Union more than we have done to date,” states President Inönü as he opens the meeting. As he is now also Armaments Minister, he is acutely aware of the brake the lack of manpower (and poor tank and aircraft technology) has put on Turkey’s plans. There is only so much infrastructure to be built – what we need is men.
“For now, the only alternative is the good old-fashioned infantry and artillery division for the offensive,” continues the President. “And they’re pretty useful for defence as well. Bayar,” he says, turning to the Prime Minister, “what can we do with legislation? I want to be able to mobilise more men as soon as possible, to build our forces further before war comes to us. But I realise there’s only so much we can do in peacetime. We should have further plans in place to trigger on the outbreak of war, and emergency plans for if we lose significant territory and must call up essential workers and others – who for reasons of age or fitness – may not be recruited to our frontline forces now. We should also take a leaf out of our Great President Atatürk’s book and ensure we can cover some of that increased mobilisation drain by bringing more women into the workforce, including in reserved occupations. It
is the
Motherland, after all!”
Bayar ponders this, then starts to form some suggestions. “First, as Cabinet has debated previously before I joined it, our current
One-Year Draft laws are very inefficient. They actually decrease our manpower generation by 25%. Given our neutrality has long been at zero, we can bypass the
Two-Year Draft and go straight to
Three Years (which gives a 25%
bonus) once our National Unity reaches 70%. Kaya advise it is currently very nearly at 68% and seems to be growing at around 0.1% per month. At that rate, 70% unity is still a way off - we’re more likely to be at war by then and able to impose
Service by Requirement anyway (100% bonus). So, unless there is some way to dramatically boost National Unity now, we need more than Conscription Law reform. And also, that kind of accumulation is incremental – we need something larger and more immediate, as a ‘one-off’."
“Yes,” muses Inönü. He addresses the Chief of Staff next. “Örlungat, we all saw what the Germans did with that ‘
Blitzkrieg Declaration’ of theirs a few days ago. They motivate the masses and got an immediate ‘sugar hit’ of 200 manpower! We need something like that.”
Örlungat confers with Fuad Calistar, who remains the Supreme (Theatre) Commander and still sits in Cabinet as Information Minister (including his beloved Propaganda Department). “Perhaps, in the short term, we can mount a patriotic campaign to mobilise some new recruits from our vast new Dominions. New units raised under that program can be given patriotic names derived from their Glorious National Republic roots. We could call new units raised under these provisions the
‘National Republican Guard’ and give them localised titles. The Balkans in particular can now see the Fascist threat up close: they may not all love us yet, but the Glorious Union is now looking better than the prospect of living under Nazi tyranny and they have seen the fresh examples of Czechoslovakia and Poland. It would only be a relatively modest recruiting drive given we’re not at war yet, but that should be say 10-12 Brigades worth (say around 40 MP).”
“Yes, good, I like it!” enthuses Inönü. “For many of our poorer Dominion citizens, the pay they will get in the Armed Forces will be significantly better that what they’re getting now and we can support that. What else can we do.”
“We can have a couple of emergency measures in place,” says Celal Bayar, who has been thinking while the others have been talking up their plan. “Once war comes, our manpower accumulation will of course start to grow quickly, but it is off a low base and we may soon find ourselves needing many reinforcements just to keep our units fighting and recovering from battle. That defence correspondent from the
Istanbul Times, Nukeluru Slorepee, has had some good ideas recently. I think it would be very reasonable to declare a
‘Defend the Motherland’ edict if we go to war with a major power, which would allow us to call up non-mobilised reserve forces from across the UGNR. Slorepee seemed to think that might yield up to around 100 more MP.”
“Excellent, excellent! Let’s draw up plans for that and start identifying the members of this ‘Motherland Defence' program.” This is good, but Inönü still wants to consider the worst case. “This is not defeatism, but we have all lived through the dark days of the fall of the Ottoman Empire and the desperate fight against the Greeks that followed, when they almost seized
Ankara. We will keep the following highly confidential, but we need to make more plans in case disaster befalls us. By then, the situation will be desperate enough to justify radical measures and the people will be motivated to resist imminent destruction and enslavement by godless Nazi oppressors. Let us draw up plans in case the defences of either
Istanbul or
Ankara fall and we must defend to Glory or Death." Perhaps both!
“Slorepee has done some private research on this eventuality, but our censors – very wisely – prevented him from publishing such alarmist analysis. It’s not like we have a free press that can publish anything it likes, no matter the danger to the Nation!” Bayar notes. Murmurs of ‘hear, hear’, ‘indeed not’ and ‘a good thing too’ echo around the table. “He thought that might generate another available 500 MP – which should keep our industry cranking out land forces for as long as we can sustain them. Though presumably losing the industrial base of the Balkans and
Istanbul would put a large dent in our industrial potential. We can tap the manpower pool as necessary – they are not all going to be removed from the workforce at once, and we will ‘encourage’ military aged men from any overrun Balkan provinces to keep falling back to the Turkish heartland, where they can be used to augment this pool. We will simultaneously keep our industry and agriculture going, as we bring more women into the mainstream workforce.”
“Yes, good thinking. Perhaps we should start looking at building some more IC capacity in safe areas to replace what we may lose and be able to take advantage of any wartime manpower boosts? By then we may also be producing armour and air units once we can get decent licenses again from our Soviet brethren. We’ll have to give this Slorepee the traditional signed Atatürk photo and cash bonus. More than the 50 lira we normally give out.” Inönü is now in a better mood: Turkey never wants to be in a position where its major industrial centre, ancient capital and European toehold or current capital have been conquered, but if that were to happen, at least such measures can give hope for redemption and revenge. “If the dark day ever comes where we must enforce this program, we will rally the Motherland and the Glorious Union with the cry of
“For Atatürk and Glorious Victory!”
Plans will now be set in place and the first public information campaign drawn up. Busy times beckon for Braanszon and Persephonee. Turkey will not be caught with its guard down!
8 Sep 39
In a major turning point for the war … Luxemburg mobilises! The report says the usual “soon they will have a strong army”, but that will be taken with a very large grain of salt in this case.
9 Sep 39
Led by the commander of the Polish 19th Div MAJGEN Oziewicz, and supported by 15th Div, Polish forces in the north continue to attack the Germans in East Prussia. Alas, in this battle, although hard pressed, the German 2nd Inf Div in
Marienwerder is entrenched, fortified, has a river covering one flank and the better general. Not a recipe for easy Polish success, unfortunately, but maybe with superior numbers they will prevail – though for what would only be a costly and symbolic victory. Noteworthy are the German bomber wings which are very active in Polish skies.
A German Heinkel He 111 bombing the Polish 19th Div in Grudziadz, 9 Sep 39.
The Polish fighters have tried to contest the skies, but have been outnumbered and outperformed by their German adversaries. This is the Polish-built mainstay fighter, the PZL P11. Alas, many of them were caught like this in the first few days – on the ground. But they continue to survive and fight back where they can.
While the gallant but futile
Battle for Marienwerder continues to the north, at 0900
Poznan falls to the Germans. While the significant forces there (a Corps HQ and three infantry divisions) fall back east to
Gniezno, that province itself is also already under attack from the west and south, where the Polish 4th Div is trying to hold ground to enable their compatriots to escape. In
Krepice to the south, 28th Div is also trying to retreat from an isolated position.
10 Sep 39
The enemy is still some distance from
Warszawa, but bombing raids have begun.
[Ed: the Germans here are a bit slower than in OTL – the siege of Warsaw had begun by 8 Sep.]
Polish Heavy AA guns near Warszawa prepare for another German air raid – their main defence with the Polish Air Force being so hard-pressed.
11 Sep 39
By the early morning of 11 Sep, Polish units are beginning to emerge from
Poznan to
Gneizno, but the Polish 4th Div is under heavy pressure, including from medium tanks (PzKpfw IIIs) attacking from the south. With no specialist AT units, this is going to be a hard fight against time, especially now that the
next province to the east –
Kolo – is also under attack from German medium armour, and has no set defence.
Rydz-Śmigły (aka Śmigły-Rydz) on the cover of Time Magazine, Vol. XXXIV No. 11, September 11, 1939. The caption reads ‘This was to be a holy war’. Poland’s defence continues, but now looks to be in serious danger of collapsing.
On 11 September, from his Theatre Headquarters in Warszawa [in OTL, as CinC he had evacuated to Brest-Litovsk by then] Field Marshal Edward Rydz-Śmigły ordered the Polish capital to be defended at all costs. In his plan, Warszawa and the nearby Modlin fortress were to become two redoubt-citadels in central Poland to fight on for months while the bulk of the Polish forces were to defend the Romanian bridgehead and await the counterattack promised by Poland's French and British allies. Unknown to Rydz-Śmigły (but suspected by Turkey through its spy network in Paris), the Western Allies had no such plans and expected Poland's fall.
Rydz had proven himself an extremely able commander on smaller fronts in earlier wars, but was not an experienced strategist in a great conflict. Indeed, in 1922, in an evaluation of Polish generals, Piłsudski had written about him: “in operational work he displays healthy common sense and a lot of stubborn energy. I could recommend him to everybody as a commander of an army, I am however not sure if he possesses sufficient abilities to function as commander-in-chief in a war between two states.” Poland’s preparations for the lead up to the Second Great War and its early days saw the bubble of his public reputation – even adulation – well and truly burst. There will be no second chance in this ‘Blitzkrieg’, as the Germans are terming it.
By midday on 11 Sep, the remaining two infantry units fleeing entrapment in
Poznan (the 14th and the 17th Divs) have made it to
Gniezno and are joined in flight by MAJGEN Haller de Hallenburg’s 4th Div, which has totally spent itself holding on for their comrades to pass through. Together with the Polish 30th Div retreating from the south and another straggler from
Poznan, they are all in a race for
Kolo against the German Panzers.
In the vicinity of
Lodz, all Polish HQs (four) and one unit (16th Div) are either in forced retreat or are attempting to withdraw in an orderly fashion to the north.
Lodz too will be abandoned to the Nazis
[Ed: they had occupied it by 9 Sep in OTL].
At the same time, reports from our observers in the southern sector report that all resistance has dissolved.
Krakow has been abandoned and the Germans will soon occupy it
[Ed: in OTL they had already done so by 6 Sep]. There are no forces in place to hold the river-lines, with only
ad hoc and isolated positions being formed in depth. The German panzer divisions are now loose in open space.
German troops with a PzKpfw 35 (Czech Skodas taken over by the Germans earlier that year and being used in many of their light armoured brigades) on the open plains of southern Poland. It seems there is nothing to stop them for many miles.
Back in Turkey, a fourth battery of Heavy AA is installed in
Istanbul. If the Polish experience so far is anything to go by, they will be sorely needed.
At 6pm that night, Australia joins the Allies – and the Second Great War.
12 Sep 39
Krakow is occupied in the early hours of 12 Sep [6 Sep in OTL], without a shot being fired. By the morning, a German marching band leads troops through the streets.
Word comes in during the morning that Japan’s Axis puppet Mengkukuo is mobilising.
13 Sep 39
While the fighting continues in Poland, the big news today is that Turkey’s Axis neighbour Italy is also mobilising. This is of far more significance. Of course, it is no guarantee they will involve themselves in the war, but puts them a step closer. France has more to fear from this right now than Turkey. Having to cope with a massed Italian assault on the south of France would seriously tax reserves they would need for the war with Germany. This surely seals the fate of Poland, as France cannot risk an expensive and essentially diversionary attack on Germany when it now has to worry about their vulnerable southern flank.
14 Sep 39
Aras provides another diplomatic update over night: this time the news is far better. Since the declaration of war on 1 Sep, our alignment distance has plunged around
40 points and now sits at only
150.27. It was recently sitting at well over
200.
With plans on the drawing board for a recruiting drive, a new infantry brigade is queued for construction. That leave manpower at 33 for now. IC is still at 76, 56.7 of which is available for production. Upgrades and reinforcements account for about 4.0, with the balance of 15.2 going into consumer goods to keep the citizens of the Glorious Union happy. All resources and cash remain in the green.
Early in the morning, before dawn, Inönü receives his weekly situational brief on the war in Poland from one of Ögel’s senior analysts. It doesn’t make for pretty reading.
In the north, the ‘Polish Corridor’ – the ostensible reason for the war – remains open. The corridor has narrowed to just one province wide, but
Danzig (though under heavy attack) is still in Polish hands and can trace a line of supply to the capital in
Warszawa. The three divisions stationed there remain in firm defensive positions. In the centre, around
Torun, German panzers are advancing and the town is now undefended. The desperate units fleeing from the
Poznan Pocket are still under arms and trying to make it east to the fortifications of
Modlin and the capital.
Lodz is open, but the Germans are not yet moving on it.
In
Warszawa itself, two wings of fighters (PZL P11s – both low on organisation) and a wing of tactical bombers (Bristol Blenheim Mk1s – the same as used by Turkey – at a bit over 50% organisation) are still in action. A check of the air screen reveals (as expected) there has been heavy German bombing during the last week in battles on the western and northern approaches, with five raids by our bombers in East Prussia and one air battle in
Sieradz, to the west of
Lodz. There are no details, but it looks as though Polish interceptors may have been trying to hinder German bombing runs there earlier in the week.
The next map summarises German advances in western Poland since the beginning of the war.
A map of general dispositions shows most of Poland’s eastern forces on their way back to the west, trying desperately to plug the yawning gaps in the line, especially in the south. The task seems hopeless. The Soviets still remain in force on Poland’s border, but have made no move and the Soviet Union has not mobilised.
The final graphic illustrates the estimate of Poland’s will to fight. Their national unity is quite similar (a little higher) than Turkey’s: a sobering thought. They are far from willing to give up yet, but the imminent loss of major cities in the west will affect that.
Coming Up: After two weeks of war, Poland is down but not out. Let’s hope they bleed the Germans as much as possible. In France, it’s “all quiet on the Western Front”, except for a few air battles over the
Maginot Line at
Wissembourg and
Cattenom. It looks like Poland will go down fighting, without any material assistance. What use is that kind of ‘security guarantee’? Poland has been diplomatically, strategically and tactically outmanouevred in the most decisive way. In retrospect, they never stood a chance.
The Cabinet is current very glad they didn't hitch their wagon to the Allies: by now we'd also be at war and probably with just as useless a 'security guarantee' as Poland.
[Ed: though it is interesting to theorise as to the effect Turkey being in the war now - just with the Germans and their puppet - might have had on the survival of Poland and the course of the rest of the war.]
In Turkey, preparations will get underway soon in earnest to generate the new
National Republican Guard structure and start recruiting some provincially sourced units with the hoped-for new manpower. And the Government hopes the stocks of the Comintern continue to rise as spectacularly as they have since the outbreak of the
Second Great War.