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Surviving players, excluding Yours Truly, 4 of whom are filthy Russians. So far, it's tough to really get a read on anyone 
; really, I feel like there's a quasi-plausible case on everyone. These are my thoughts so far.
Claude LC / Клавдий кто приходит поздно Voted Voyager and Arky. Got minor attention day 1. Could be worth sweating to see where people stand on him.
F72 Voyager / Мореплаватель Voted (and was voted by) Claude day 1 before switching to Capi. Voted Wagon basically at random, and is now after Hax. Basically another blank slate.
Capibara / Водосвинка Got a lot of attention day 1. Voted Capage for self preservation day 1 and Hax day 2. Considering lots of people have voted for him in a high pressure situation, we might learn more from looking at someone else, but he's far from clear.
Wagonlitz / Спальный вагон Attracted some attention day 1, but both voters moved off for survival reasons. Attracted some attention day 2. Has generally seemed reasonable, but is sneaky enough to fake it as a wolf. Voted Capage and Arky, both dead. Also far from clear, but not really my top suspect.
Tornadoli / Торнадоли That tie! That atrocious Tie! Why? E_L was easily the weakest of the major candidates yesterday! Now the village has lost its chance to make a carefully planned out tie. This is my 2nd game ever with Torn. Does he often make ties like this? Was he trying to see if he could lure wolves into creating dumb ties? And why Lostie? He's probably going to get a lot of attention, so for now I'll look elsewhere for now, but I'm fine with him as a candidate.
Audren / Аудрен Audren has received almost no attention, and has been kind of quiet. Broke our tie day 1, but landed on Lostie, probably the most suspicious person to vote, yesterday. Could literally fit as a packmate with anyone alive now. Possibly worthy of attention for this alone. Forcing people to react to Audren as a candidate could potentially yield useful information.
BlackCrown / Чернаякорона Hasn't said anything too sketchy or BlackCrown-y yet. Still, very quiet and another Lostie voter. Could fit as a packmate with most people. Hasn't received any attention, not a bad candidate.
Jacksonian Missionary / Миссионер Джексона (Wow. Dzheksona. That's some goofy transliteration!) Was voted by the seer. As suggestive as getting voted by the seer is, Jackson is a good enough wolf-catcher that killing him on a whim is likely a bad idea. He does fit into a pack with just about anyone, though, having voted Jeray and Arky.
Hax / хакс Torn may have called for the tie, but Hax actually executed it. Lots of people are now justifiably calling for his blood. In truth, as Voyager pointed out, both Torn and Hax painted huge targets on their backs with their votes yesterday. With no seer and relative inactivity (though that was a fairly exciting deadline), all the wolves really have to do to win this is stand back and let the village tear itself apart, so casting high profile votes like this seems foolish if they were actually wolves (also, big bold moves is in character for Hax). I'm actually inclined to excuse this behavior; he's basically the perfect fall guy for the wolves. Also, he's been voted by / voted for lots of people, giving him a relatively small selection of potential packmates.
SpockyT / ВульканT Tunneled against Capi for 2 days, and now is going after Hax. Nothing blatantly wolfish, nothing especially clearing.
I have lost my phone and am freaking out. I left it in a public place and the battery was dead . Without it, I won't be able to check in again before deadline. Hopefully I can recover it quickly. In case I don't...
VOTE AUDREN
The tie-makers will get lots of attention without me. For various reasons mentioned, I think Audren is probably the most likely wolf of the relatively quiet non-tiemakers by a narrow margin. Voyager's interacted with other people more, BC is always like this, and Claude's vote record is less sketchy.
; really, I feel like there's a quasi-plausible case on everyone. These are my thoughts so far.Claude LC / Клавдий кто приходит поздно Voted Voyager and Arky. Got minor attention day 1. Could be worth sweating to see where people stand on him.
F72 Voyager / Мореплаватель Voted (and was voted by) Claude day 1 before switching to Capi. Voted Wagon basically at random, and is now after Hax. Basically another blank slate.
Capibara / Водосвинка Got a lot of attention day 1. Voted Capage for self preservation day 1 and Hax day 2. Considering lots of people have voted for him in a high pressure situation, we might learn more from looking at someone else, but he's far from clear.
Wagonlitz / Спальный вагон Attracted some attention day 1, but both voters moved off for survival reasons. Attracted some attention day 2. Has generally seemed reasonable, but is sneaky enough to fake it as a wolf. Voted Capage and Arky, both dead. Also far from clear, but not really my top suspect.
Tornadoli / Торнадоли That tie! That atrocious Tie! Why? E_L was easily the weakest of the major candidates yesterday! Now the village has lost its chance to make a carefully planned out tie. This is my 2nd game ever with Torn. Does he often make ties like this? Was he trying to see if he could lure wolves into creating dumb ties? And why Lostie? He's probably going to get a lot of attention, so for now I'll look elsewhere for now, but I'm fine with him as a candidate.
Audren / Аудрен Audren has received almost no attention, and has been kind of quiet. Broke our tie day 1, but landed on Lostie, probably the most suspicious person to vote, yesterday. Could literally fit as a packmate with anyone alive now. Possibly worthy of attention for this alone. Forcing people to react to Audren as a candidate could potentially yield useful information.
BlackCrown / Чернаякорона Hasn't said anything too sketchy or BlackCrown-y yet. Still, very quiet and another Lostie voter. Could fit as a packmate with most people. Hasn't received any attention, not a bad candidate.
Jacksonian Missionary / Миссионер Джексона (Wow. Dzheksona. That's some goofy transliteration!) Was voted by the seer. As suggestive as getting voted by the seer is, Jackson is a good enough wolf-catcher that killing him on a whim is likely a bad idea. He does fit into a pack with just about anyone, though, having voted Jeray and Arky.
Hax / хакс Torn may have called for the tie, but Hax actually executed it. Lots of people are now justifiably calling for his blood. In truth, as Voyager pointed out, both Torn and Hax painted huge targets on their backs with their votes yesterday. With no seer and relative inactivity (though that was a fairly exciting deadline), all the wolves really have to do to win this is stand back and let the village tear itself apart, so casting high profile votes like this seems foolish if they were actually wolves (also, big bold moves is in character for Hax). I'm actually inclined to excuse this behavior; he's basically the perfect fall guy for the wolves. Also, he's been voted by / voted for lots of people, giving him a relatively small selection of potential packmates.
SpockyT / ВульканT Tunneled against Capi for 2 days, and now is going after Hax. Nothing blatantly wolfish, nothing especially clearing.
I have lost my phone and am freaking out
. I left it in a public place and the battery was dead . Without it, I won't be able to check in again before deadline. Hopefully I can recover it quickly. In case I don't...VOTE AUDREN
The tie-makers will get lots of attention without me. For various reasons mentioned, I think Audren is probably the most likely wolf of the relatively quiet non-tiemakers by a narrow margin. Voyager's interacted with other people more, BC is always like this, and Claude's vote record is less sketchy.
Votecount (5 hrs. until deadline):
Hax - 2: Spockyt, F72Voyager
Tornadoli - 1: Wagonlitz
Audren - 1: alynkio
Not-Voted - 7
Hax - 2: Spockyt, F72Voyager
Tornadoli - 1: Wagonlitz
Audren - 1: alynkio
Not-Voted - 7
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why was it most suspicious to land on E_L? And what do you think of BlackCrown's out of nowhere, no explanation vote on E_L, which has yet to be responded to.
VOTE BLACKCROWN
I'm going to vote Wagonlitz.
Vote Wagonlitz
Yeah, whatever, it's a revenge vote. But a justified one it is.
Why?
Because Wagon is usually not stupid, and he usually pays attention to detail. Wagon is not the kind of player who wouldn't realise that, even though I enthiusastically called for it, I didn't actually make the tie.
Also, there were a few posts yesterday (I can dig them up if there will be popular demand), where it just seemed to me as if he had background knowledge that both Arkasas and E_L were goodies. I think it might have been a subtle crovax there.
Vote Wagonlitz
Yeah, whatever, it's a revenge vote. But a justified one it is.
Why?
Because Wagon is usually not stupid, and he usually pays attention to detail. Wagon is not the kind of player who wouldn't realise that, even though I enthiusastically called for it, I didn't actually make the tie.
Also, there were a few posts yesterday (I can dig them up if there will be popular demand), where it just seemed to me as if he had background knowledge that both Arkasas and E_L were goodies. I think it might have been a subtle crovax there.
I find the tie that Hax executed as a too risky move if he were a wolf, as he would be drawing attention to himself, specially after we killed no baddie with that TIE. Still, he could be a wolf doing precisely that thinking someone would say what I'm saying, but I find the first option more likely.
For today's vote I'd rather look before the deadline madness and will have to agree with Audren regarding BlackCrown and his vote for E_L. Besides, if he turns out to be a wolf, I could bet there's at least one wolf between Wagon and Hax. So, for the time being...
VOTE BLACKCROWN
For today's vote I'd rather look before the deadline madness and will have to agree with Audren regarding BlackCrown and his vote for E_L. Besides, if he turns out to be a wolf, I could bet there's at least one wolf between Wagon and Hax. So, for the time being...
VOTE BLACKCROWN
At the time, town was in a three way tie, one which no person besides the wolves could possibly benefit from. My vote served the purpose of breaking the tie, only for it to be reinstated a short time later. I didn’t operate on much logic other than preventing a mass slaughter on day 2. If the three people turned out to all be villagers, that’s four goodies dead with nothing gained. If anything, people should be going after the ones who reinstated the tie and not the ones who broke it.
Votecount (1 hr. 51 min. until deadline):
Hax - 2: Spockyt, F72Voyager
BlackCrown - 2: Audren, Capibara
Wagonlitz - 1: Tornadoli
Tornadoli - 1: Wagonlitz
Audren - 1: alynkio
Not-Voted - 4 : @BlackCrown @Hax @Claude LC @Jacksonian Missionary
Hax - 2: Spockyt, F72Voyager
BlackCrown - 2: Audren, Capibara
Wagonlitz - 1: Tornadoli
Tornadoli - 1: Wagonlitz
Audren - 1: alynkio
Not-Voted - 4 : @BlackCrown @Hax @Claude LC @Jacksonian Missionary
Book of Bond, James Bond incoming...
Could somebody please make a proper votecount for day 2?
Could somebody please make a proper votecount for day 2?
I don't really see Tornadoli trying to advocate for a tie so early if he were a villager, that's an awfully bold move to waste the tie like that and there weren't any good enough cases to justify trying to make the tie yesterday. One may try and have him hide behind "this is normal Tornadoli villager shenanigans" but I'm not sure if I buy that. I don't really read villager Torn from that move at all, and to top it all off he puts down a revenge vote on Wagonlitz that is pretty much a throwaway and the logic is really bad. He's slipping into his old "anyone who votes me is a wolf" mantra and I think all of these factors combined he's a good candidate.
Vote Tornadoli
Vote Tornadoli
No, if you look on page 9, when I cast my vote, it immediately followed a three way count.
Anyway with all the shenanigans that happened at yesterday, Capi has been wrung up and then mostly forgotten. Perhaps more detailed analysis could be made of that, but that was never my forte. Anyway, let’s try to get more information out of him.
VOTE CAPI
Ok. So few ideas in my head.
There has been a lot of mayhem and disaster. A dead seer. Only villagers lynched. And we are only in day 3.
Nothing really strong to work with. But have a few ideas. I think some of them have already been addressed by someone else. But still going to mention them. .
1. Yes Hax made the tie possible but I feel that he is being dunno funny I guess. But still could be like Capibara said. He is putting himself in the spotlight to make people think he ain't wolf. Worth reminding that.
2. Tornadoli is being reckless. I mean yes the last game needed a little bit more action but I feel that a tie this early without a seer might have been a little bit to much. I mean he normally doesn't do this moves. Yes he is willing to make them. But being that sure of someone being a wolf so early.
3. Wagon is being oddly quiet. And you know what they say "Wagon alive, Wagon a wolf"
4. A theory I have is Wagon-Torn pack. They antagonize each other they sort of vote each other without gaining much attention and they break the village in half. They control the village without a seer to check them.
So. I could say let's kill them both. But that would be stupid of me. We would be risking everything in a theory of mine. Because we have no proof that my theory is right.
Also as yesterday's tie was the same. No proof and even though that. They made it happen.
VOTE TORNADOLI
Since making a tie between them 2 would be way to risky right now.
There has been a lot of mayhem and disaster. A dead seer. Only villagers lynched. And we are only in day 3.
Nothing really strong to work with. But have a few ideas. I think some of them have already been addressed by someone else. But still going to mention them. .
1. Yes Hax made the tie possible but I feel that he is being dunno funny I guess. But still could be like Capibara said. He is putting himself in the spotlight to make people think he ain't wolf. Worth reminding that.
2. Tornadoli is being reckless. I mean yes the last game needed a little bit more action but I feel that a tie this early without a seer might have been a little bit to much. I mean he normally doesn't do this moves. Yes he is willing to make them. But being that sure of someone being a wolf so early.
3. Wagon is being oddly quiet. And you know what they say "Wagon alive, Wagon a wolf"
4. A theory I have is Wagon-Torn pack. They antagonize each other they sort of vote each other without gaining much attention and they break the village in half. They control the village without a seer to check them.
So. I could say let's kill them both. But that would be stupid of me. We would be risking everything in a theory of mine. Because we have no proof that my theory is right.
Also as yesterday's tie was the same. No proof and even though that. They made it happen.
VOTE TORNADOLI
Since making a tie between them 2 would be way to risky right now.
Votecount (14 min. until deadline):
Tornadoli - 3: Wagonlitz, Jacksonian Missionary, Claude LC
BlackCrown - 3: Audren, Capibara, Hax
Hax - 2: Spockyt, F72Voyager
Wagonlitz - 1: Tornadoli
Audren - 1: alynkio
Capibara - 1: BlackCrown
Not-Voted - 0:
Tornadoli - 3: Wagonlitz, Jacksonian Missionary, Claude LC
BlackCrown - 3: Audren, Capibara, Hax
Hax - 2: Spockyt, F72Voyager
Wagonlitz - 1: Tornadoli
Audren - 1: alynkio
Capibara - 1: BlackCrown
Not-Voted - 0:
I don't like BlackCrown's avoidance of either Hax or Torn, both of whom are, I feel, being run up justifiably (Hax moreso).
Book of Bond, James Bond [PART 1]
Post analysis of day 2:
First vote of the day. Spockyt goes for a RP vote.
Arkasas votes for Eternaly_Lost.
No reason stated why Voyager voted Wagonlitz.
Eternaly_Lost votes Hax. Look guys, I know it's frowned upon to declare yourself villager but I must do this now to get a clearer picture how me, Arkasas and E_L become the vote targets.
jeray votes Wagonlitz.
Wagonlitz votes Hax.
Audren joins in on E_L.
Votecount (1 hr, 29 min to deadline):
Hax - 2: Eternaly_Lost, Wagonlitz
Wagonlitz - 2: F72Voyager, jeray2000
Eternaly_Lost - 2: Arkasas, Audren
Capibara - 1: Spockyt
Not voted - 7: @Hax @Capibara @Jacksonian Missionary @Tornadoli @Claude LC @alynkio @BlackCrown
Get to voting guys.
Please?
1,5 hours until deadline but half of the village haven't voted yet. Both me and E_L are in the run. Wagonlitz unknown.
Very lazy vote from BlackCrown on E_L. No reason stated. Fishy fishy.
Jackson votes Arkasas. First vote on him.
Capi votes Hax. TIE between me and E_L.
Wagonlitz votes for Arkasas, but it was E_L who used hunt analysis to vote me.
Tornadoli votes for Hax.
While it's still only day 2 and it's hard to come up with real cases (or I'm having trouble coming up with real cases
So... guess we killed Capage yesterday. Capage can be goofy, and his phrasing is sometimes odd, but he's active and regularly tries to analyze the game. Killing him day 1 is less than ideal. Of course, immediately running up his voters claiming they were trying to save their obvious packmate Capibara is unlikely to succeed; though I am a little (pleasantly) surprised no one has gone for the "Audren broke the tie, let's kill him!" argument yet.
Wagon, Hax, and Claude had attracted a few votes yesterday, but their votes didn't really stick. One of them could be a beneficiary of some of the later Capage voters (or Capi voters for that matter). Voyager and Jeray notably switched their votes to Capi shortly after Claude and Hax picked up their second votes. Could possibly be packmates trying to score alibi votes, but jumping off when their packmate started to attract attention. Claude additionally had sort of a throw-away vote on Voyager. Arky and Torn were early boosters for Capage and could be the packmates pressuring Capage to keep their fellow wolves from taking off in votes. Is any of this strong? I admit that it is not, and a fair portion of the people I named are likely to be villagers.
Lostie's posts have made sense; I don't really understand how Lostie is a leading candidate today. Rovsea did fake-crovax yesterday, and EL couldn't have known he was the seer.
There are (weak) reasons to vote Hax and Wagon, but they really wouldn't be my first choices, and the ease and relative lack of explication with which they have been pushed up is vaguely exonerating. I say we try and take the wolves by surprise with a vote switch!
VOTE ARKY
He was one of the early switchers to Capage. Let's see if he was trying to help a mate!
Big post from alynkio and finalizes it by voting Arkasas.
Now this votecount is very interesting. *analyzes it*
Wagon is against a threeway.
alynkio wants to break the TIE but he does not want to do it immediately.
E_L breaks it and goes for Arkasas.
I unknowingly recreate a TIE between Arkasas and E_L.
Switches to Arky.
CLC goes lazily for Arkasas. Uses Wagonlitz' words as reasoning.
Votecount (2 min to deadline):
Arkasas - 6: Jacksonian Missionary, Wagonlitz, alynkio, Eternaly_Lost, Hax, Claude LC
Eternaly_Lost - 3: Arkasas, Audren, BlackCrown
Hax - 2: Tornadoli, Capibara
Wagonlitz - 2: F72Voyager, jeray2000
Capibara - 1: Spockyt
Not voted - 0:
Votecount (Deadline):
Arkasas - 5: Jacksonian Missionary, Wagonlitz, alynkio, Eternaly_Lost, Claude LC
Eternaly_Lost - 5: Arkasas, Audren, BlackCrown, Tornadoli, Hax
Hax - 1: Capibara
Wagonlitz - 2: F72Voyager, jeray2000
Capibara - 1: Spockyt
Not voted - 0:
Objections?
Non Ark or E_L voters: Capibara posted 12 minutes before deadline but did not participate in the vote shenanigans. Voyager posted 13 minutes after update and did a easy vote on me. Spockyt posted two hours after deadline.
PART 2 incoming