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That will be 459.

Bossemanden does have a good point. If we bring everything way down, we might have problems.

Steele
 
I'd say the cut averyone by 1/3 approach is not very good. There just doesn't seem to be any kind of reason to do it like that, and it will raise issues with regions not having any IC for improvements. If we want a simplistic approach to the IC values, why not just keep the original values and claim a different scale of measurement? That is far easier to do, and I'd say equally precise.

Unless we have data for 1914 (or '13, maybe) GDP, as 1938 GDP was apparently the measure used in vanilla HOI, the values will just be wrong, so why change them?
 
Woah, woah...back the truck up there. Who said anything about cutting eveyone by a third. The only country that has been talked about cutting by a third was Russia. Russia was not as industrialized in 1914 than in 1936.

As to killing regions with IC, I would prefer that no place that currently has 1 IC go below that, unless that province has less than 34 infrastructure (1914 has a lot less motorized trucks/cars to support industry than 1936, so industry would be concentrated around good infrastructure, at least that is my reasoning on this.). The cuts will no doubt come from the host of provinces that have 5+ IC's.
 
Ah, OK, I misunderstood. That makes sense, then, and 1/3 is probably low :). Of course, the GDP figures for 1913 would still be great, so we could adjust historically, and then do as Paradox, and abandon the strict path of history to balance things out. :)
 
Yeah good luck finding those GDP figures, I looked everywhere for those. My only hope is that Johan Elisson might have them in that 1913 Encyclopedia (You out there Johan?).

As for Russia, 1/3 might be low, but we can start from there and move to 1/2, and so on until it is right.
 
The best I've seen is the league of nations data, but I think that only has the budgets (but it has the 1913 ones, IIRC). Maybe a state budget = x% of GDP thing?
 
Originally posted by Gwalcmai
The best I've seen is the league of nations data, but I think that only has the budgets (but it has the 1913 ones, IIRC). Maybe a state budget = x% of GDP thing?

If you could post those numbers I would be most appreciated. If the numbers are satisfactory, perhaps, but the more autocratic governments might be eating up a more of the percentage (government spending out of GDP) then say the US.
 
Here's the link to the data

Having gone through it, there's data for a whole lot of things for 1913 in the 1926 documents. Unfortunately, not the budgets. That starts in 1923. So the effects fo the war are already in them.
 
This may be of some use (or not). Amounts are in 1919 US $.

Code:
Expenditure on War ($ billion)

		Total	Per Year
Britain		$38	$9.5	(4)
France 		$26	$6.5	(4)
USA 		$22	$11.0	(2)
Russia 		$15	$5.0	(3)
Italy 		$13	$4.3	(3)
Belgium 	$2	$0.5	(4)
Romania 	$2	$1.0	(2)
Portugal 	$2	$1.0	(2)
Serbia 		$2	$0.5	(4)
Japan 		$0.5	$0.1	(4)
Greece 		$0.5	$0.5	(1)


Germany		$39	$9.8	(4)
Austria		$21	$5.3	(4)
Turkey		$2 	$0.5	(4)
Bulgaria	$1	$0.5	(3)

Figures for the smaller countries are guesswork - the source 
actually said "Belgium, Roumania, Portugal, Jugo-slavia $8b; 
Japan, Greece $1b" (combined, not each).

National Wealth 1913 ($ billion)

Italy 	$15
France 	$67
Germany 	$78
UK 	$85
USA 	$220
 
Anybody out there want to tackle China? ptan54? Looking at it, it has in my opinion too many IC's. (Not counting Manchuria)

We need to adjust China to prevent them from building thousands of divisions. Mu suggestion is to cut the number of IC's, cocentrate on the Coast for IC placement, with a few IC centers scattered elsewhere.

We also need an accurate Infrastructure there, so while your tackling IC's feel free offer ideas on that too.
 
Originally posted by StephenT
This may be of some use (or not). Amounts are in 1919 US $.

Code:
Expenditure on War ($ billion)

		Total	Per Year
Britain		$38	$9.5	(4)
France 		$26	$6.5	(4)
USA 		$22	$11.0	(2)
Russia 		$15	$5.0	(3)
Italy 		$13	$4.3	(3)
Belgium 	$2	$0.5	(4)
Romania 	$2	$1.0	(2)
Portugal 	$2	$1.0	(2)
Serbia 		$2	$0.5	(4)
Japan 		$0.5	$0.1	(4)
Greece 		$0.5	$0.5	(1)


Germany		$39	$9.8	(4)
Austria		$21	$5.3	(4)
Turkey		$2 	$0.5	(4)
Bulgaria	$1	$0.5	(3)

Figures for the smaller countries are guesswork - the source 
actually said "Belgium, Roumania, Portugal, Jugo-slavia $8b; 
Japan, Greece $1b" (combined, not each).

National Wealth 1913 ($ billion)

Italy 	$15
France 	$67
Germany 	$78
UK 	$85
USA 	$220

Might I inquire as to where you found this?

If we had national wealth for everybody, or at least all the majors and some minors (we could guestimate for other minors off that), we could just multiply those numbers by 10 to get IC's (1 IC = $1 billion US). Since the US was a third of the world's industrial power the ceiling could be 6600 (220*10*3).
 
Some more data, which will be extremely useful if somebody can dig up population figures for the countries listed.

Per capita GDP in 1913 - in 1990 US$

Australia 5505
USA 5307
New Zealand 5115
UK 5032
Canada 4213
Switzerland 4207
Belgium 4130
Netherlands 3950
Germany 3833
Denmark 3764
Austria 3488
France 3452
Sweden 3096
Ireland 2733
Italy 2507
Norway 2275
Spain 2255
Finland 2050
Greece 1621
Portugal 1354
Japan 1334
South Korea 948
Taiwan 794

Unfortunately, Russia isn't listed :( although I'd think that their per capita GDP was almost certainly less than that of Finland. Also, the source said "Austria" - not sure if they mean Austria-Hungary, or literally just those parts of the Monarchy which today form Austria (note that "Ireland" is listed separately from the UK also). I wouldn't be surprised if Hungary or Bosnia were much poorer than the region around Vienna.

Source: a book on economics which quoted as its source for this table, the following book: Britain's Relative Economic Decline 1870-1995 by N F R Crafts, 1997 Social Market Foundation. Anybody got access to a good university library? :)
 
The 8 Great Powers and some info.

1913 steel production (millions of tons)
US - 31.8
GB - 7.7
Germany - 17.6
France - 4.6
Austria-Hungary - 2.6
Russia - 4.8
Japan - .25
Italy - .93

1913 coal consumption (millions of metric tons)
US - 541
GB - 195
Germany - 187
France - 62.5
Austria-Hungary - 49.4
Russia - 54
Japan - 23
Italy - 11

1913 percentages of world industrial output
US - 32.0
GB - 13.6
Germany - 14.8
France - 6.1
Austria-Hungary - 4.4
Russia 8.2
Japan - 1.2
Italy - 2.4

1914 National Income (billions of 1914 $US)/per capita
US - 37/377
GB - 11/244
Germany - 12/184
France - 6/153
Austria-Hungary - 3/57
Russia - 7/41
Japan - 2/36
Italy - 4/108

Steele
 
Originally posted by StephenT
Some more data, which will be extremely useful if somebody can dig up population figures for the countries listed.

Brilliant! The league of nations data for 1926 includes "Latest pre-war census or official estimates" for area and population. Followed by a 1913 estimate. The data is in thousands, but I think that discrepancy of less than 1000 people could probably be ascribed to "rounding error".

Let's see:

Population in thousands
Australia : 4.872
USA : 96.512 (Alaska listed separately, 65)
New Zealand : 1.147
UK : 42.890 (without IFS)
Canada : 7.412
(Labrador 4, Newfoundland 244)
Switzerland : 3.864
Belgium : 7.639
Netherlands : 6.213
Germany : 66.978
Denmark : 2.830 (Faroe Is. 18, Iceland 88)
Austria : 29.193 (post-war territory, or Austria proper, 6.745)
France : 39.790
Sweden : 5.639
Ireland : 3.110 (Irish Free State)
Italy : 35.598
Norway : 2.464
Spain : 20.370
Finland : 3.231
Greece : 4.810
Portugal : 5.974
Japan : 55.131
South Korea : 15.170 (Korea)
Taiwan : 3.256 (Formosa, right?)

Glitch : Colonies not included. Not that they aren't in the data, I just didn't add them up. Didn't think they calculated the per capita GDP of Portugal, f.ex., with the 8 to 9 million population of the colonies in mind. Probably just the near 6 of the european Portugal.
 
Originally posted by StephenT
Some more data, which will be extremely useful if somebody can dig up population figures for the countries listed.

Per capita GDP in 1913 - in 1990 US$

Australia 5505
USA 5307
New Zealand 5115
UK 5032
Canada 4213
Switzerland 4207
Belgium 4130
Netherlands 3950
Germany 3833
Denmark 3764
Austria 3488
France 3452
Sweden 3096
Ireland 2733
Italy 2507
Norway 2275
Spain 2255
Finland 2050
Greece 1621
Portugal 1354
Japan 1334
South Korea 948
Taiwan 794

Unfortunately, Russia isn't listed :( although I'd think that their per capita GDP was almost certainly less than that of Finland. Also, the source said "Austria" - not sure if they mean Austria-Hungary, or literally just those parts of the Monarchy which today form Austria (note that "Ireland" is listed separately from the UK also). I wouldn't be surprised if Hungary or Bosnia were much poorer than the region around Vienna.

Source: a book on economics which quoted as its source for this table, the following book: Britain's Relative Economic Decline 1870-1995 by N F R Crafts, 1997 Social Market Foundation. Anybody got access to a good university library? :)

Population numbers (as given by Elisson in the MP thread):

Afghanistan (1921) - 6.380.500
Albania (1921) - 1.400.000
Argentina (1 june 1914) - 7.885.237
Austria-Hungary - ca 52.000.000 (the Ö-volume (which A-H beginns with in Swedish, Österrike-Ungern) was published in 1922, so no exact number is given)
Belgium (1902, 1920) - 6.896.079, 7.684.272
Bhutan (no date publ. 1905) - ca 250.000
Bolivia (1900, 1915) - 1.734.000, 2.890.000
Brazil (1903, 1920) - ca 16.000.000, 30.635.605
Bulgaria (1900/1900, 1921) - 2.644.299/3.744.283, 4.861.439 (later 1900-number includes Eastern Rumelia)
Chile (1905, 1920) - ca 3.300.000, 3.754.723
China (1875, 1900, 1904, 1899-1901, 1906, 1924) - ca 350.000.000, ca 400.000.000, ca 270.000.000, 407.345.305, 432.214.000, 318.653.000 (the three first are estimated numbers, the two next are Chinese official numbers and the last is Statesman's year-book including Mongolia and Tibet)
Colombia (no date publ. 1906, 14 october 1918) - 3.917.000, 5.855.077/6.295.491 (two different numbers for the same date)
Costa Rica (1904, 31 december 1920) - 331.340, 468.373 + ca 3.500 "uncivilized indians"
Cuba (1899, 1919) - 1.572.797, 2.899.705
Denmark (1 february 1906, 1921) - 2.588.919 + 16.344 at Faeroe Islands + 11.900 Greenland (1901) + 31.500 Caribbean (1901), 3.267.831 including Sönderjylland/Schlesvig
Dominican Republic (no date publ. 1907, 1921) - ca 416.000, 897.405
Ecuador (1889, 1915) - 1.272.160, ca 2.000.000
El Salvador (1914) - 1.225.835
Ethiopia (no date publ. 1922) - ca 8.000.000
Finland (1905, 1910, 1921) - 2.892.088, 3.115.197, 3.402.593
France (1911, 1921) - 39.604.992, 37.500.017
Germany (1910, 16 june 1925) - 64.925.993, 62.365.478 (no colonies included in numbers)
Greece (1907, 1920) - 2.631.952, 5.536.375

(Mongolia (1924) - 1.800.000
Tibet (1924) - 2.000.000)

Guatemala (31 december 1903, 1920) - 1.842.134, 2.004.900
Haiti (no date publ. 1909, 1918-1919) - ca 1.900.000, 1.631.250
Honduras (1905, 1922) - 500.136, 662.422
Italy (1 january 1909, 1911) - 34.269.764, 37.276.738 (no colonies included in numbers)
Japan (31 december 1903, 1908, 1921) - 46.732.876 including Korea + 2.797.702 Taiwan + 54.759 Pescadores, 52.337.934 including Taiwan and Pescadores, 77.067.924 including all above + 667.382 Kwantung (good to know for German colonies)
Liberia (no date publ. 1912) - ca 1.500.000-2.100.000
Luxemburg (1910, 1922) - 259.891, 260.767
Mongolia (no date publ. 1913, 1924) - 1.850.000, ca 1.800.000
Montenegro (no date publ. 1913, 1921) - 285.000, 199.857 (latest number for the province M. in Yugoslavia)
Nepal (no date publ. 1913, no date publ. 1925) - ca 5.000.000, 5.600.000
Netherlands (1909, 1923) - 5.858.175, 7.086.913
Nicaragua (no date publ. 1913, 1920) - ca 600.000, 638.119
Norway (10 december 1910, 31 december 1912) - 2.391.784, 2.435.700
Oman (no date publ. 1914) - ca 402.600-1.000.000
Ottoman Empire (1914, no date publ. 1920) - 32.770.000, ca 19.991.000 (first number includes Egypt with 12.170.000, second number is probably also a pre-war number but without Egypt)
Panama (1910, 1920) - 337.142, 446.098
Paraguay (1911, 1917) - ca 800.000 ca 1.000.000 (second number probably to high)
Persia (1907, 1925) - ca 9.500.000, ca 10.000.000
Peru (1906, 1921) - ca 3.547.829, ca 5.500.000-7.000.000 (both numbers probably to high, probably closer to 3.000.000 for first number and 5.000.000 for second)
Portugal (1911, 1 december 1920) - 5.960.056, 6.032.991 (both including Azores and Madeira, no colonies)
Romania (19 december 1912, 1920) - 7.234.919 + 273.090 conquered from Bulgaria, 16.262.177/ca 10.000.000 (last number is 1920 number minus conquered parts, unsure)
Russia (1 january 1912) - 173.359.900 (including 12.776.100 Poland and 3.140.100 Finland)
Sanusia - no idea... Manpower should probably only allow one militia division to be raised (or no at all).
Serbia (1910, 1913) - 2.911.701, 4.574.992 (first number + conquered areas)
Spain (1910, 1920) - 19.950.817 +44.629 African colonies, 21.338.381
Sweden (1913, 1914, 31 december 1916) - 5.638.583, 5.679.607, 5.757.566
Switzerland (1 december 1910, 1 december 1920) - 3.753.293, 3.886.090
Tibet (1924) - ca 2.000.000
Uruguay (1908, 1917, 31 december 1924) - 861.464, 1.407.247, 1.640.214
USA (1910, 1920) - 91.972.266 + 7.635.426 Philippines, 117.823.165 (including Philippines and other "colonies")
Venezuela (1891, 1917, 1921) - 2.323.527, 2.844.618, 2.411.952 (second number probably to high)

Arabian states:
Hedjaz (no date publ. 1904) - ca 300.000
Yemen (no date publ. 1904) - ca 750.000
Oman (no date publ. 1904) - ca 1.000.000, check above
Nejd (no date publ. 1904) - ca 1.318.000

British Empire (1911) - 389.000.000 (not including UK and Ireland)
United Kingdom and Ireland (1911) - 45.370.530
Canada (1901) - 5.372.315
North America (1901) - 5.590.000 (including Canada),
India, Burma and Ceylon (1901, 1911) - 298.000.000, 315.000.00
Belize (1901) - 37.479
North Borneo (no date publ. 1905) - 200.000
Aden (no date publ. 1906) - ca 115.000
Somaliland (no date publ. 1905) - 154.000
East Africa (no date publ. 1905) - 5.000.000
South Africa (1911) - 5.973.394
Australia (1901) - 3.782.943
New Zealand (1911) 1.008.206 + 49.844 Maori
New Guinea (1911) - 272.000
Cyprus (1901) - 237.022
Guyana (1891) - 278.328


Dutch Colonies:
East India (1905) - 37.960.000 (all)
New Guinea (no date publ. 1914) - 200.000
Surinam (1905) - 92.000

German Colonies (1913) - 12.400.000:
New Guinea (no date publ. 1914) - 112.000

French Empire (1901) - 51.317.000 (not including France):
France (1906) - 39.252.267
Algeria (1901) - 4.801.475
Tunisia (1901) - 1.820.000
Sahara (1901) - 790.000
Madagascar (1904) - 2.644.672
Reunion (1897) - 173.192
Comores (1901) - 85.000
Guyana (1901) - 32.908
Guinea (no date publ. 1908) - 1.500.000
India (1901) - 273.185)
Indochina (1904, 1906) - 18.925.988, 15.858.514
Congo (no date publ. 1908) - 8.500.000
Somaliland (no date publ. 1908) - 50.000
West Africa (no date publ. 1908,) - 9.100.000/12.700.000 (including Guinea, two numbers)
America (1901) - 428.819 (including Guyana)
Pacific (1901) - 89.000

This might be what we need: site