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Well, that was why I was working with the SMELT idea: especially if the Italian navy is done, then they cant bring in reinforcements. It would be worth it alone to cut off the supply lines for the Italian troops in NAfrica, relieve the British, but that should be the only hostile troops there.

The caution from the recruit is wise though. Even with the italian navy destroyed in any meaningful capacity, your naval plan is very complicated. We don't want a very complicated and finicky cross-theatre campaign plan really. We don't have the resources. If we are going to open a new front, in Italian africa or against the vichy french somewhere, we would have to focus everything we have spare on it to garuntee a speedy sucesses (and as we have all already agreed, it must be a speedy victory) against them. Honestly, I am uncertain how much we can afford to focus on new fronts when the battle of the bulge is ongoing and we have no clue as to whether we can keep pushing, will have to draw a new defensive line or even be pushed back after the envelopment.

Mind you, it would make sense to launch an attack soon whilst the axis are asking these same questions about the balkans. Whether to keep their advance into russia, try to hold the turks back or withdraw to a new line. If there was a time to open a new front whilst they weren't paying attention, it would be now. However, using that logic, we must attack Italy in africa. Attacking vichy france means, as I've already said, a new ally for the axis in europe, an enemy that can focus purely on us and one that can strike at our homelands. So unless we are absolutely sure we can obliterate syria within a few days/weeks, we should leave them alone and take down italian north africa instead. Then after that, we can restock. After all, we may be at the alps by then, or the war may have stalemated again, or we may be fighting in greece. We cannot plan too much because of the bulge.

So we should plan for north africa if we can, see what we have avaible, determine whether we can take italy by ourselves and then do it. After that, we can return to vichy if needs be. They aren't doing anything right now.
 
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More good debate - you may recall my original thinking was for around a full expeditionary Corps (up to five divs + HQ) in addition to any marine landing spearhead to make something like Sicily work, with the hope of the US joining but no expectation. Syria could be cheaper and also has the land border with Turkey, so it would be a pincer move (bit of a naval Market Garden). But brings in Vichy, of course.

North Africa would need at least a small mobile Corps to exploit, including armour/mot. Perhaps with smaller 3-4 bde divs in order to spread the troops out a bit. With two screens currently deployed (Central Asia and eastern Romania) to bolster the partners, my strategic reserve is now just the marine divs.

So a major expedition - peninsula Italy, Sicily or North Africa, would mean taking a body of troops away from the Bulge. Or maybe retrieving troops from the screens if no longer needed. Which in turn means waiting for it to play out, a new line established and seen to be sustainable against any Axis counter-offensive. Then the amphibious project needs to be seen and better strategic value than using the troops on the main front.

You can perhaps see why I’ve been arguing that a Sicily operation would probably not be before early 1943 - perhaps when I was getting closer to breaking into northern Italy by land. Anything before then would have to be a lot more limited - where the marines could do most of it themselves.

The other thing is, if you think on it, the equivalent in WW2 was the Torch landings. The US, with additional forces to those the British were throwing into North Africa as they drove from Egypt. And they didn’t start Sicily until North Africa was wrapped up all the way to Tunisia. Meaning they could operate as actual operational Allies (which you can’t do with an AI partner in this game), with both their armies available, plus the naval and air support they commanded. My capacity is dwarfed by comparison, so needs to be carefully employed.

Of course, the Meeting allows us to make requests of other allies as well, so we shall see what the others are willing to offer (even if we can’t extract commitments and can only make suggestions for objectives and see whether they will take any notice). :)
 
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More good debate - you may recall my original thinking was for around a full expeditionary Corps (up to five divs + HQ) in addition to any marine landing spearhead to make something like Sicily work, with the hope of the US joining but no expectation. Syria could be cheaper and also has the land border with Turkey, so it would be a pincer move (bit of a naval Market Garden). But brings in Vichy, of course.

North Africa would need at least a small mobile Corps to exploit, including armour/mot. Perhaps with smaller 3-4 bde divs in order to spread the troops out a bit. With two screens currently deployed (Central Asia and eastern Romania) to bolster the partners, my strategic reserve is now just the marine divs.

Those missing units clearing up Afghanistan and holding the Japanese off are going to be missed, for sure. I think it would be prudent to be pessimistic about bringing Vichy into the war, and assume that we would need that many troops for fighting them too, purely because of the homeland connection, the huge size of their African holding and just the stuff it would allow the Axis to do or not do when they join them.

Which in turn means waiting for it to play out, a new line established and seen to be sustainable against any Axis counter-offensive. Then the amphibious project needs to be seen and better strategic value than using the troops on the main front.

As I said previously, it's looking more and more like we can and should be planning for all of these operations, it's just that the order must be decided upon first.

You can perhaps see why I’ve been arguing that a Sicily operation would probably not be before early 1943 - perhaps when I was getting closer to breaking into northern Italy by land. Anything before then would have to be a lot more limited - where the marines could do most of it themselves.

Yeah so here's the timing thing again. We go after the Italians in Africa, defeat them there and conquer Libya. That shouldn't take too many people or resources away from the battle of the bulge, which would be occurring at the same time. Hopefully both campaigns end around the same time too, which means we can take stock of the situation in Africa and in the Balkans. If we smashed through the Italians in Africa quickly and have all our men left, plus new airstrips, we should be secure there. If the bulge is taken, it depends on how the Axis react. If they do nothing, we keeping pushing until they stop us. If they make a solid defensive line, then we can hold position and focus on Vichy teritoy. And I forget they redirect an army or something and seriously start pushing us, we can retreat back to a defensive line and hold out there.

The other thing is, if you think on it, the equivalent in WW2 was the Torch landings. The US, with additional forces to those the British were throwing into North Africa as they drove from Egypt. And they didn’t start Sicily until North Africa was wrapped up all the way to Tunisia. Meaning they could operate as actual operational Allies (which you can’t do with an AI partner in this game), with both their armies available, plus the naval and air support they commanded. My capacity is dwarfed by comparison, so needs to be carefully employed.

Mm, yes I think what would be planned in universe and asked for by our allies would be this:

1) force the Balkan front back as far as we can, to take pressure from Russian and Romanian forces. The closer we get to Italy, the better as they'll pressure the Axis to defend them and Hungary over fighting Russia.

2) everyone will want us to invade Italian North Africa. The British have already asked for support, and the Us and Russians will want both someone else running that land and also force the British to commit to a serious front in either Europe or Asia. The US would in universe probably support us with troops and naval assists...in game we have their marines and maybe a naval escort. The British would probably go from pleased to angry when they figure out we meant to keep that land and not give it to them, and that we're pressuring everyone's else to let us take Egypt and the Middle East later on.

3) Vichy France...hard to say. The French probably want them dealt with, which means the British presumably want it done too, if only because they'll have troops there after finishing Italy off. I suspect the Russians wouldn't mind us attacking a neutral nation for land and to remove fascism, especially as they have hopes for France later on. Some Americans won't like it though and I'm worried about what they may or may not do, since we're hoping they are going to be our 'sponsor' in the Middle East against the empires. Basically, we'll do it with the Russians, but only after distracting everyone else by gaining libiya and a place to launch a US and British naval invasion of Italy's and France from. Hopefully they'll be too busy/distracted to raise too much of a fuss, though we'd have to grovel a bit with the US ,after on to make up for it I think. Basically, hoping that they're hoping we'll be their gobetween for Russia after the war, and they'll let us get away with it at least in practice.

4) If we pull all that off, I imagine we'll be expected to keep pushing through the Balkans, help clean up Vichy North Africa and perhaps help take Sicily but I suspect this all would be whaTTL meeting would argue or revolve around.
 
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Sorry for being late to the party! Really this Soviet-Romanian-Turkish frontline is an epic story! So cool. It looks like the Axis is showing signs of fatigue, and sooner than later they'll enter the death spiral. The question is, what happens next. Will Comintern DOW on the Allies? Would you consider prolonging the game beyond 1 January 1948 to see how a cold war becoming WWIII ends? I mean, expecially being Turkey, the outcome of such a conflict will not rest primarily on your shoulders, such is the fate of Minors...
 
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Sorry for being late to the party! Really this Soviet-Romanian-Turkish frontline is an epic story! So cool. It looks like the Axis is showing signs of fatigue, and sooner than later they'll enter the death spiral. The question is, what happens next. Will Comintern DOW on the Allies? Would you consider prolonging the game beyond 1 January 1948 to see how a cold war becoming WWIII ends? I mean, expecially being Turkey, the outcome of such a conflict will not rest primarily on your shoulders, such is the fate of Minors...
Just a quick one on the objectives for the AAR:
  • Indeed, as previously mentioned, war with the Allies (which now blessedly doesn’t include the US) is possible in the end game, but only if we need it to get to the 12/15 Comintern game objectives to bring the ‘New World Order’.
  • I’ll never say never, but at this stage I think I’d end it there (if it can be achieved, of course) with a stupendous and Glorious victory parade in Ankara!
  • And if it’s 1948 and I’m still not there, then I think (again, just my strong feeling) that I’d go with whatever we had at the time below the 12/15 victory, or even a defeat on points.
That still gives us up to another five and a half years of what would be intense global warfare! :eek:;) And I have 3-4 other HOI3 AAR projects in mind, which I’d like to have a crack at. TT is my first and most time-consuming (and favourite) AAR, so it does absorb a lot of time. On top of the other two AARs I run. So I think I’d retire it at that point ... though would ensure I kept the game file, in case I was ever tempted to do that subsequent GW3 scenario - as I have set up for my ‘Quick and Dirty’ post-colonial France AAR :)

PS: All comments are very welcome, no matter the timing! Never too early or late, but exactly when intended. :D Lovely to have you on board.
 
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A couple of questions for future planning.
1. I know the list was posted somewhere but I can't find it so are there any comintern objectives in Italian North Africa, Syria, or Vichy North Africa?
2. Do we have some sort of rough estimate of Italian naval capability at this point?
 
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A couple of questions for future planning.
1. I know the list was posted somewhere but I can't find it so are there any comintern objectives in Italian North Africa, Syria, or Vichy North Africa?
2. Do we have some sort of rough estimate of Italian naval capability at this point?
1) No objectives there. Yet. ;)
2) Virtually zero, we believe. All we see now are occasional unescorted transports and they keep building destroyer flotillas. The RN, USN and even the Soviet Black Sea Fleet patrol the Med.
 
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1) No objectives there. Yet. ;)
2) Virtually zero, we believe. All we see now are occasional unescorted transports and they keep building destroyer flotillas. The RN, USN and even the Soviet Black Sea Fleet patrol the Med.

Whilst it makes sense that Africa isn't part of the official end goals, I think it would be prudent to add 'dismantle as much of the European empires as possible' to the unofficial list. Quite frankly, it's going to be complicated enough dealing with two superpowers. Turkey certainly can't afford rivials in the Middle East and Africa outside of local ones. We want Europe to be the battleground for US/USSR influence, not our own backgarden.
 
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With as much of the RM at the bottom of the Med as we think there is, and their inability to adequately resupply their forces (combined with AI GB's fickleness in maintaining their own front lines), I think at least Phase 0 and Phase I of the SMELT offensive (cut off and destruction of the Italian forces in Tobruch) should occur with the Marines. Even if they wind up having to hold the territory for a time, we get the benefit of them being in a better position to conduct more operations against our prime enemy, Italy, from.an unexpected direction.

@Bullfilter , could we get overall imagery of the Med? For instance, what the exact situation is for the territory controller for all of NAfrica and the Boot?
 
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@Bullfilter , could we get overall imagery of the Med? For instance, what the exact situation is for the territory controller for all of NAfrica and the Boot?
Will do next time I have the game up. But in brief, Vichy neutral (so still controlling Algeria, Tunisia, Syria etc). Libya and Egypt almost back to status quo ante. Italy all in charge of its own stuff (Peninsula, Sicily, Sardinia). UK has never lost Malta.
 
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Just a quick one on the objectives for the AAR:
  • Indeed, as previously mentioned, war with the Allies (which now blessedly doesn’t include the US) is possible in the end game, but only if we need it to get to the 12/15 Comintern game objectives to bring the ‘New World Order’.
  • I’ll never say never, but at this stage I think I’d end it there (if it can be achieved, of course) with a stupendous and Glorious victory parade in Ankara!
  • And if it’s 1948 and I’m still not there, then I think (again, just my strong feeling) that I’d go with whatever we had at the time below the 12/15 victory, or even a defeat on points.

Oh dear, I didn't notice the US is in Comintern. It's not easy to read 131 pages of any AAR :confused:. Can you post maps of Europe, Mediteranean and of East-Asia so that new readers better understand what is going on globally?

That still gives us up to another five and a half years of what would be intense global warfare! :eek:;) And I have 3-4 other HOI3 AAR projects in mind, which I’d like to have a crack at.

There is another thread, probably the 10 years Slovak comedy saga from @El Pip, where people started discussing about new AAR projects. This subject deserves a special thread where we constantly exchange ideas.

Turkey certainly can't afford rivials in the Middle East and Africa outside of local ones. We want Europe to be the battleground for US/USSR influence, not our own backgarden.

Well, if the US is communist, there will be no US-SOV battleground for influence. A Cold (or Hot) War scenario starting from this one belonging to @Bullfighter, would have been workable with the US in the Allied boat and starting a war with Comintern, right after the German&Italian defeat.

The problem for minors is that technically, once they entered an alliance, it is impossible to get out of it and return to neutrality. This forces a Minor to choose between alliance only with the endgame in sight, very limiting and historically unrealistic. In reality all the Minors have constantly negotiated diplomatically (in secret) second options with opposing alliances, because their goal was survival, not the success of the Majors' alliances...
 
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Well, if the US is communist

They aren't communist and don't like the soviets very much. But given the circumstances at the time, the allies were committed to doing nothing and the Japanese and Germans were deep in Russian territory. So they joined us. But after the war ends, all bets are off, at least inuniverse.
 
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Oh dear, I didn't notice the US is in Comintern. It's not easy to read 131 pages of any AAR :confused:. Can you post maps of Europe, Mediteranean and of East-Asia so that new readers better understand what is going on globally?
There is always a round-up at the end of each month, sometimes mid-month, which shows all the active fronts :) Did you have a look at the summaries of the first two 'books' of the AAR, right at the front? They cover the first half of the AAR in two summary chapters. But it was a lot of work, so I haven't done them for the next sections (with two other AARs now, the time is rationed).
There is another thread, probably the 10 years Slovak comedy saga from @El Pip, where people started discussing about new AAR projects. This subject deserves a special thread where we constantly exchange ideas.
I'm sure there's a place for it somewhere in the chat forums, but I'm not so familiar with them. Maybe one of the other readers knows (anyone)?
Well, if the US is communist, there will be no US-SOV battleground for influence. A Cold (or Hot) War scenario starting from this one belonging to @Bullfighter, would have been workable with the US in the Allied boat and starting a war with Comintern, right after the German&Italian defeat.
NB: auto-correct oftenchanges Bullfilter to Bullfighter :D. I don't think there is a Bullfighter on the forums, though there should be!! ;) Edit: oh, there is! Good stuff. But not me. :p
They aren't communist and don't like the soviets very much. But given the circumstances at the time, the allies were committed to doing nothing and the Japanese and Germans were deep in Russian territory. So they joined us. But after the war ends, all bets are off, at least inuniverse.
Indeed. Though that universe will be hypothetical (well, unless I have a change of heart in the distant future), but open to reader interpretation and speculation. :)
The problem for minors is that technically, once they entered an alliance, it is impossible to get out of it and return to neutrality. This forces a Minor to choose between alliance only with the endgame in sight, very limiting and historically unrealistic. In reality all the Minors have constantly negotiated diplomatically (in secret) second options with opposing alliances, because their goal was survival, not the success of the Majors' alliances...
I don't think any country can leave an Alliance once they have joined it. But if you were serious about doing a game where that didn't apply, if there's no mod that covers it I'm sure it would be possible to do it by save file editing: It would probably be quite simple, but is not something I've tried.
 
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I'm sure there's a place for it somewhere in the chat forums, but I'm not so familiar with them. Maybe one of the other readers knows (anyone)?

Tends to happen in lull periods of AARs. There's been a few on all of mine (many, many such periods there) as well as all of yours. Pip doesn't actually have that many primarily because people are instead begging him to update that damn norwegian story of his.

I would also advise to read the summaries, and the last poltical summary of where nations were at (I think it was a month ago or something like that).

As for a proper place to do it...hmm...I know @coz1 has made a FAQ on the main AAR sub forum page for various writing spaces and advise guides, but if all else fails, and you don't just want to make your own discussion on that page, there's always the bAAR. Very nice spot, if temporally vexed and sporadic.
 
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Thanks for the info.

With no Italian navy I would favor a attack at Tobruk with plans to destroy any axis forces between there and Egypt as soon as some troops can be freed up from the screens to act as a reserve or the current operations around Split are completed. Bengazi and Tripoli could probably be taken overland as a follow up to this. After that the marines could be relieved by the troops freed from the screen and be available for future operations. Possibly a submarine sweep along the coast for some recon is in order. I don't like an immediate attack at Tobruk as I don't like having no strategic reserves while in the middle of a pocketing operation. Our position in the Balkans has improved significantly in terms of offensive potential and I would not like to risk having to give back much of our current gains.

As far as save editing to change alliances it is fairly simple. I did it once to remove all at start alliances. It is only one line in each country entry with an easily recognized change. I don't remember the exact wording and do not have access to the game right now or I would include it.
 
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Just read up to and including Ch 139

My my the fight in the Balkans remains a tense affair. One cannot help but admire Turkish pluck, but the committing of the air forces betrays a sense of almost desperation at how stretched matters have become.

I wonder what on earth Cennet is getting up to in Calabria. Call me intrigued.
 
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Just read up to and including Ch 139

My my the fight in the Balkans remains a tense affair. One cannot help but admire Turkish pluck, but the committing of the air forces betrays a sense of almost desperation at how stretched matters have become.

I wonder what on earth Cennet is getting up to in Calabria. Call me intrigued.
Yes, after the flow of the offensive came the ebb of the Axis counter-attack. Sometimes Inonu was forced to commit pretty much everything. As for Cennet ... she likes to be at the pointy end of the action. ;)
 
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Thanks for the info.

With no Italian navy I would favor a attack at Tobruk with plans to destroy any axis forces between there and Egypt as soon as some troops can be freed up from the screens to act as a reserve or the current operations around Split are completed. Bengazi and Tripoli could probably be taken overland as a follow up to this. After that the marines could be relieved by the troops freed from the screen and be available for future operations. Possibly a submarine sweep along the coast for some recon is in order. I don't like an immediate attack at Tobruk as I don't like having no strategic reserves while in the middle of a pocketing operation. Our position in the Balkans has improved significantly in terms of offensive potential and I would not like to risk having to give back much of our current gains.

As far as save editing to change alliances it is fairly simple. I did it once to remove all at start alliances. It is only one line in each country entry with an easily recognized change. I don't remember the exact wording and do not have access to the game right now or I would include it.
I've been against a move to Libya but maybe I can see a scenario where we land, encircle and destroy any Axis units there, grab the land and leave no garrison whatsoever and return doing whatever it's we'll do. The main objective of destroying divisions and the secondary objective of painting the desert provinces our color would be accomplished and we couldn't care less if revolts or whatever happen there?

So the marines not stuck garrisoning Libya, no units pulled from already tight fronts, all objectives regarding Libya completed anyway.
 
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@diskoerekto that's exactly what I was encouraging with the SMELT offensives: jumps from port to port with limited forays away from them except to chase down and destroy any enemy forces present.

Getting back to our offensive operations and the "where we are" for planning:

I feel like Turkey is at the cusp of getting things rolling to such an extent that we better have a good framework for operations. Think the US in 1942: things are about to turn the corner, and we're launching into Guadalcanal and Torch. Obviously not designed to end the war tomorrow, but certainly designed to strip away some of the enemy's capability to render harm.

The reason I think Tobruch has become the ideal place to land the forces are all mentioned above (far away from Italian air, no chance of enemy counter landings through naval maneuver, a low-priority theater). The objective would be much like that of countering the Japanese: cut off a portion of the enemy's territory which they would be unable to reinforce, and chew that up before moving onto the next. These objectives would obviously be focused on Libya and Sardinia, as they would be unable to reinforce via traditional methods (unless they had an airborne capability that we've not seen yet). Sicily would be another option as we can hold at Messina and the Italians can break themselves against a strong defensive position which divides their attention.

As a reminder:

I (as the US liaison here) suggest a sort of "Strategic Marine Expeditionary Leapfrog Transit" (SMELT) operation, to be completed in X phases:

Phase 0: Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance (ISR) of the North African coastline. I'd avoid Vichy for now, let the sleeping dog lie.

Phase I: Initial SMELT into Tobruch with Marine forces. During this phase, we cut off supply of the Italian forces in North Africa by removing any worthwhile territory by capturing all infrastructure capable of bearing logistics overland to their forces, and assault into their rear areas. This also has the benefit of likely causing the Germans to lose a heavy armor brigade, and several Italian infantry divisions. By rapidly moving towards the Egyptian border, we can keep the British gains limited.

Phase II: Consolidate on Tobruch after defeating Axis forces threatening Egypt. It is unlikely that there are significant holding forces behind the lines, pending the ISR by our assets.

Phase III: SMELT to Benghasi. Given our ISR efforts--and perhaps this could be a tasking for intelligence services to undertake--I don't think either Tobruch or Benghasi are within range of land-based air from Italy, or even Sicily. Don't waste time trying to occupy the desert or territory between the two (that can come later) unless there are Axis forces which need to be destroyed. This could be were our 1 TAG (the Blenheims) could really shine, as there is unlikely to be enemy counter-air to chew them up, nor is there any ground-based air defense artillery to prevent bombings.

Phase IV: On Order, SMELT to Tripoli. This phase is characterized by the removal of the last stronghold of the Italians in NA. This port is certainly within air range of land-based air in Sicily, and thus can likely wait until we have the build-up of air superiority units to defend our skies.

These operations build up experience in our Marines and make them ready for operations in Syria or Tunisia (should they become necessary).
 
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@diskoerekto that's exactly what I was encouraging with the SMELT offensives: jumps from port to port with limited forays away from them except to chase down and destroy any enemy forces present.

Getting back to our offensive operations and the "where we are" for planning:

I feel like Turkey is at the cusp of getting things rolling to such an extent that we better have a good framework for operations. Think the US in 1942: things are about to turn the corner, and we're launching into Guadalcanal and Torch. Obviously not designed to end the war tomorrow, but certainly designed to strip away some of the enemy's capability to render harm.

The reason I think Tobruch has become the ideal place to land the forces are all mentioned above (far away from Italian air, no chance of enemy counter landings through naval maneuver, a low-priority theater). The objective would be much like that of countering the Japanese: cut off a portion of the enemy's territory which they would be unable to reinforce, and chew that up before moving onto the next. These objectives would obviously be focused on Libya and Sardinia, as they would be unable to reinforce via traditional methods (unless they had an airborne capability that we've not seen yet). Sicily would be another option as we can hold at Messina and the Italians can break themselves against a strong defensive position which divides their attention.

As a reminder:


Well I think we agree here. As long as we are not using the marines, or other fighting capability from other fronts to keep conquered territory I'm all for a Tobruk landing. It destroys enemy divisions, captures some land (albeit useless), is a good experience for the marines and landing craft, and no big risks to take.

It also has a historical significance as it was the place a very young Mustafa Kemal and friends made a clandestine operation when he was an Ottoman officer. They tried to organize the local tribes into fighting with the Italians. Since Italians had total naval supremacy it didn't turn into any kind of control but that was one of the first times he proved himself on the field to peers and superiors.
 
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