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Monarchist Spain? What's next? Redubbing the Nazis as Patriotic Socialists or the Stalinists as Non-discussionist Social Democrats?
A very nice AAR, though :)
 
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El Pip said:
Lord Strange - As much as I appreciate a new reader and enjoy receiving such praise (that's a hint to the rest of you lurkers :p ) I'm not about to give up my much cherished 'slowest updater ever' badge. Well not unless someone can provide me with much more time off or, ideally, a wage so I can quit work. Until that time I'm afraid the speed remains the same.

I'm working real hard to steal that 'slowest updater ever' badge from you...Look out! :p

That aside...one wonders how the Monarchists will contrive to lose now that Madrid and Barcelona are in their hands. Time to see the effect of another butterfly wing?

TheExecuter
 
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I just read my way through this Very interesting indeed.
 
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Eams - Monarchist Spain. They're Spanish and fighting to put the king back on the throne. What else would they be called? :confused: Sure they want to be the power behind the throne but 'Machivelian puppet masters behind the throne Spain' is not a very snappy name.

TheExecuter - I believe the next update will reveal how. Anyway get back to writing your alleged lovestory AAR, because frankly there's a distinct shortage of ladies so far so I think your stringing us along on that front.

Unless my theory is correct and the long term love story is between Ian and the KGB interrogator Rubashov, Ian fighting to reconcile his forbidden love with his duty to protect his brother from going to the salt mines. Because that really would be different.

Faeelin - Glad it intrigued you and that you got past the opening updates, they're not especially representative of the rest of the AAR.
 
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Great AAR Pip!

I have finally caught up, and can now feel free to post. :D

I especially like the idea that Britain is slowly but surely isolating itself through some actions of belligerence, and some events that I think Briatain would have preferred to remain a little more "covert". I think it is going to yield a very interesting tale. (Of course, how could I expect otherwise... :D )

Cheers!
 
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Bafflegab - You've timed it well sir, an update is due this very evening!

Interesting you raise the point about Britain, not entirely intentionally, isolating herself, that very subject is alluded to in the next update as a few more twists are added to the tale. I sincerely hope not all your posts are this prophetic or I'll never be able to spring a surprise again! :eek: ;)
 
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El Pip said:
Bafflegab - You've timed it well sir, an update is due this very evening!

Interesting you raise the point about Britain, not entirely intentionally, isolating herself, that very subject is alluded to in the next update as a few more twists are added to the tale. I sincerely hope not all your posts are this prophetic or I'll never be able to spring a surprise again! :eek: ;)


Sweet! (On two counts... First, updatery is always awesome, and second, for not getting a ridiculous amount of flak for admitting to finally "catching up" to the self described "Officially the slowest updating AAR on the board by a considerable margin."...) :D
 
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What why, anupdate. THIS CANNOT BE. you are merely torturing us. Also is this actually a real game or what.
 
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Bafflegab - It may be slow, that doesn't mean it's short. :D On which note this update is an epic, no wonder it took so long. (El Pip - Getting excuses in early since 2006 :D )

Lord Strange - Of course its a real game, heavily modded mind and I occasionally fudge mulitplayer so I can play two (or more) countries at once and play with their build queues and research (AI modding is beyond me).

Anyway, for those of little faith; Update!
 
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Chapter XLIX: The Politics of Pragmatism.
Chapter XLIX: The Politics of Pragmatism.

The confusion and chaos that immediately followed the failed Monarchist coup could, and indeed has, filled several books. While the many groups that rose and fell need not detain us in detail, it is worth noting the shear variety of these groups, the range ran from factory staff forming anarcho-syndicalist communes to ambitious, if deluded, local councils declaring their rule over entire regions. The vast majority of these groups had faded within weeks of the coup with one significant exception; Bilbao and the Basque country. Separated from the new Republican government in Valencia a combination of separatists, anarchists and communists ruled the area for much of the war, the ever changing name of the notional government reflecting which faction or factions were in the ascendancy. This parallel government severely complicated the problems faced by the Republicans by making co-ordination between the 'Northern Pocket', as it came to be known, and the rest of the rump state far more difficult than it should have been, a fact that contributed to the failure of several link-up offensives.

The fraught relations with the 'Northern Pocket' was only one of the problems facing the Republican government; Much of the army had joined the Monarchists, any army would have to be based on the leftist political militias and the para-military Guardia de Asalto (Assault Guards, the Spanish urban police force mainly drawn from ex-army personnel), financially the flight from Madrid had cut the government off from the country's gold reserves and it's financial capital and on the broader economic front most of the modern heavy industry in the country was either in the 'Northern Pocket' or under monarchist control. Worse the Popular Front was experiencing a second, far more subtle, bureaucratic coup as communists and revolution socialists began taking over key functions in the new government, either by ministerial appointment or stuffing the ministry with loyalists. This expansion was at the expense of the Popular Front political moderates, lacking the bargaining chips of an armed militia or mass membership they were a far easier target than the anarchists and trade unionists that made up the rest of the front. Two main groups to benefit were Largo Caballero's revolutionary wing of the Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE, Spanish Socialist Workers' Party) and the Partido Comunista de España (PCE, Communist Party of Spain) under José Díaz. The success of the PSOE was down to their larger numbers, strong links with the trade unions and the not inconsiderable charm of Caballero in converting much of the party to revolution. The PCE's success in gaining such power and influence despite small numbers was far simpler and down to one simple fact; money, specifically floods of Soviet money routed from Moscow via the Comintern to the PCE. These funds paid for propaganda and campaigning costs during the 1936 election and later for the bribes to ensure the best jobs went to PCE members or sympathisers. The wisdom of helping a group theoretically dedicated to abolishing money gain power because of bribery by that group is, perhaps, questionable, although the irony of the situation is beyond doubt. The strength of the PCE's position would only grow over the following months as the Soviet's commitment to the Republicans increased.

This massive financial support was the first tangible proof of Stalin's change of foreign policy to the west, a change that began in the aftermath of the British General Election of 1935. The problem was not the poor showing of the hard left parties, little was expected of the small if committed Communist Party of Great Britain and little was duly delivered, nor was the failure of Labour to make gains a cause for alarm, the fate of the heirs of Lenin's 'Useful idiots' was not a matter that bothered Stalin. The problem was far simpler; the rise of Churchill to Prime Minister represented another Great Power with a vehemently anti-communist leader, a worrying trend for a leader already highly paranoid and with considerable fears of being surrounded and attacked. It was therefore declared that the absolute priority of Soviet foreign policy had to be stopping any other significant nation electing anti-communist leaders, a priority which would be backed by the entire weight of the state. Piecing together the narrative it appears France was considered, incorrectly as it happened, primed for a Popular Front victory and therefore 'safe' while Spain was correctly believed to be marginal. The flow of funding began at the start of 1936 and waxed and waned in accordance with the international situation, slowing as Britain and France became distracted by South Africa, Italy and the Rhineland and peaking as those troubles were overcome and Léon Blum's Popular Front lost in France. In the aftermath of the coup this behind the scenes support became far more extensive and, unavoidably, far more public despite the Soviet Union maintaining an official stance of non-intervention. Although not the most numerous in terms of feet on the ground there is little doubting the importance of the intervention, both in terms of supply of weapons and the opportunity for the hard left parties to leverage the Soviet presence into disproportionate influence on the always shaky Republican government.

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Maxim Litvinov, Soviet Foreign Minister and one of the behind the scenes architects of the Popular Front policy. The failure in France had been more than balanced by the success in Spain, particularly after Sarraut had acted so decisively in the Rhineland, the aim of Popular Front had been as much anti-fascists as pro-communist after all. The Monarchist coup had badly spooked the Soviets, rumours of the links between the Spanish right and Italy had reached as far as Moscow. This reaction only grew stronger as the German involvement became apparent and was the spur behind the increase in Soviet intervention.

The Soviet Union was far from the only country to intervene in the war, as the dust settled and it became apparent that the matter would not be quickly overcome many of the nations of Europe began taking a serious interest in Iberia. For the most part the interest was entirely commercial, the prospect of significant arms sales at a time of depression was enough to motivate many otherwise disinterested countries into action. Government export officials and arms salesmen, often the same person for the state owned firms, flooded into the country to hawk their wares, Dutch Fokker representatives rubbed shoulders with Belgians from Fabrique Nationale, the Czechs machine gun makers of Zbrojovka Brno and a dozen other national arm makers all chasing the same two buyers. These efforts were, initially at least, to be a disappointment to the salesmen and their political and corporate masters, the two factions had already agreed their respective sources of arms, although for completely different reasons. The Monarchists choice had been made for them, in a rare burst of complete agreement the British and German 'advisers' had declared that the only firms based in their countries would be acceptable. While this strained relations between the two sides it was not too serious an issue, especially as both nations made sure no firm took excessive advantage of the situation and offered mostly fair deals without skimping on quality or specification. Critically however there was an early stand-off by both sides, neither willing to sell their latest models to Spain to avoid tipping of the other, while this would relax as the conflict grew more serious it was always a factor in the availability of Monarchist arms and equipment.

The Republicans faced a more fundamental problem before deciding on supplier; how to pay for the arms in the first place. Separated from both the gold reserves and the hard currency holdings in the treasury their options were decidedly limited, payment in exported goods or credit purchases appeared to be the only short term possibilities. The need for these unconventional deals was a boon for the moderates, the requirement for presenting an 'acceptable face' (ie non-Communist) to the many suppliers and their governments kept President Azaña in office and the Foreign Ministry full of moderates, even as they were squeezed from the rest of government. Unsurprisingly the push for credit sales was mostly unsuccessful, the vast majority of arms firms were, and still are, unwilling to extend substantial credit to anyone, let alone a government in a civil war. The idea of credit sales was also far from popular with the Soviet Union's representatives, the communist state could always find uses for foreign hard currency whatever official ideology said about the evils of capitalism. However the idea was grudgingly accepted and arrangements were made for significant shipments, deposits paid for in exports and the balance on credit to be paid when Madrid was re-captured, something the Soviets were assured was top priority. Theses relatively generous terms did not make the deals particularly good however, far from it in fact, the shipments regularly arrived late, even allowing for the convoluted supply routes, and with far less ammunition than any European supplier would dream of providing. For all that though there were positive to the Soviet deals beyond the price; the communists militias received free equipment and training, 'observers' were sent who rapidly did far more than just watch and the 'volunteer' units who flocked to Spain were little more than cover for crews and training staff for the new tanks and aircraft.

The other significant supplier was somewhat surprising, and certainly due to the policy of maintaining the façade that the Popular Front was still in power; France. The news of the coup had come as a total shock to Sarraut and his government, while it was known in general terms the government was unpopular no-one in the Quai d'Orsay had predicted a coup and was consequently left somewhat flat footed. Initially the coup managed the previously unthinkable and united left and right, with both Léon Blum's Popular Front and Pierre-Étienne Flandin's Democratic Republican Alliance calling for immediate and active intervention in the war, sadly however they were calling for intervention on different sides; Blum naturally cleaving to the Spanish Popular Front while Flandin equally naturally favoured intervention on the Monarchist side. For Sarraut the choice was less obvious, following his parliamentary ally Flandin's lead would upset much of the Radicalist left and possibly lead to the fall of the government, while backing the Republicans would mean building a new coalition with Blum's Popular Front and hoping he didn't lose too many from the right of his party. This did of course presume intervention was the correct course of action, with French troops still occupying the Rhineland General Gamelin and the General Staff urged caution, if France became too heavily embroiled in Spain there was a great risk the Germans may take advantage of the overstretch, forcing the country into a two front war. With such considerations weighing heavily on Sarraut's mind there can be little doubt the revelation of German involvement in the coup came as something of a relief, transforming a complex strategic and political decision into a far simpler one. As news spread through the government Flandin rapidly changed sides, recoiling from the prospect of supporting the Germans and hurriedly converting to the Republican cause.

The revelation was also welcomed by General Gamelin who played it up for all it was worth, revelling in the proof that his staff's warnings had been correct, while neatly sidestepping the fact that his staff had also never suspected foreign involvement in Spain. Despite this the General Staff's stock was once again high, their opposition to the Rhineland operation was increasingly seen as foresighted not over-cautious, this recovery of reputation allowed them to effectively veto direct military intervention, not that this was entirely unpopular with the politicians. For all the bluster by politicians of both sides the words had been carefully chosen to never specify what sort of 'intervention' France should make, reflecting the continuing doubts over whether the electorate's rediscovered desire for 'Honour and Glory' would survive an actual battle, let alone suffering casualties. The shaky consensus also ruled out significant economic aid, with the depression still gripping France tightly none but the most committed could justify the vast cost of meaningful financial aid, a decision that extended to supply of free equipment. With options limited the government, supported in the main by the Popular Front, decided to exert pressure on arms firms to sell their wares at reduced rates, with the incentives of tax breaks and Popular Front pressure on the relevant unions not to strike for firms who agreed. As the deals were negotiated and it became clear the Republicans would try and pay with goods and raw materials, this assistance rapidly snowballed into government agents agreeing to assist with the assessment of the exports, providing an honest value for the cargoes guaranteed by the French government, at the cost of any over payment going straight to the treasury not the arms firm.

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With the bulk of the French border in Monarchist hands, bar the area around the Northern Pocket, the Republican were forced to export by sea. As the railways had previously dominated the result was an explosion of activity in the ports along France's Mediterranean coast. This was just one of the many benefits to the French economy of intervention, although it would not be long before the downsides became all too apparent.

That the Deuxième Bureau (the Second Bureau of the General Staff, France's external military intelligence agency) also reported the British presence and suspected involvement was not acted upon at the time, frankly there were enough problems for France to deal with without a major row with a formerly close ally. However it would not be forgotten, especially by the Anglophobic 'Contintentalists' in the government, and would later become the catalyst for a major change in French foreign policy.
 
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Well Pip, that was a marathon update. Very interesting how the Spanish Civil War is beginning to divide Europe along very different fault lines...
 
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Hmm Britain working relatively well with Germany and France no longer as close as they had once been. Very interesting :wacko:
 
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Looks like the Republicans will be a lot stronger than suspected at first sight with financial aid from the USSR, access to the arsenals of smaller countries and bargains from France. Plus without Italy, there will be a lack of ideologues among the foreign volunteers for the Nationalists. I do think Britain is about to suffer the effects of a painful mistake by alienating the french and appearing far too tolerant of Nazi-ism to the liking of Germany's neighbours.
 
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Another great update. A few weeks ago I had copied all chapters onto my computer, so WHEN (or IF) its finished, I can print it and have it trussed (I dont know if this is the right word).

P.S. Please let it be WHEN and not IF. :D
 
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C&D said:
Looks like the Republicans will be a lot stronger than suspected at first sight with financial aid from the USSR, access to the arsenals of smaller countries and bargains from France. Plus without Italy, there will be a lack of ideologues among the foreign volunteers for the Nationalists. I do think Britain is about to suffer the effects of a painful mistake by alienating the french and appearing far too tolerant of Nazi-ism to the liking of Germany's neighbours.

How is this going to hurt Britain. Far be it from me to comment on France's real life performance in WW2 (or indeed Britain's contribution to the defense of France) , but their contribution prior to May 1940 was minimal in hurting Germany.

In this timeline Germany attack France without GB support - France loses. Difference to our time line - nil.

What is more interesting is if there is a Molotov-Daladier Pact in place of the Molotov-Ribbentrop pact - and a cooling of the Entente Cordiale.

Could GB stand aside if France and Russia square off against Germany?

Is Germany still racked by Great War demonstrations?

All will be revealed.............slowly :cool:
 
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First off can I just say; 60,000 views! Has the world gone stark staring mad?

Duritz - It was indeed an epic and if I'm honest it probably should have been two short ones, a lesson I've learnt for the future.

Next updates are on the fallout from all these divergent events and a chance to show how the rest of the world has changed (or not). Alliances are shifting not just in Western Europe...

Jalex - It's a common sense return to an earlier foreign policy; allying with Germanic types to fight the French.
ja_zps42369c2d.gif


Funkatronica - Being sensible I don't think the British are wildly keen about working with Hitler either, many German domestic policies are at best unsavoury if not downright unpleasant.

That said no-one on the British side is proposing any serious alliance, or even much co-operation beyond Spain. Whether the bridges with France and others are too badly burnt, and what Hitler will do when he discovers his 'Grand anti-communist alliance' exists only in his head, are questions for the future.

C&D - It is indeed a far closer match than it first appeared, without the bitter ideological feuds both sides can be a bit more practical and a bit less political.

To continue from the above, at this stage Germany hasn't really tipped her hand on foreign matters. The Rhineland operation, treaty violations and the like aside, was only about trying to re-occupy a piece of Germany. At this stage there are few rational reasons to fear an aggressive German foreign policy. France on the other hand has troops occupying the Rhineland in order to enforce a twenty year old vicious peace treaty, surely they're are the aggressive threat to peace not the poor Germans? ;)

Carlstadt Boy - When, definitely when. Having been on a course for the last week I have a stack of notes (on the AAR, not the course ;) ) so the next few updates are planned. Which is unusual to say the least.

Bafflegab - The French have suffered too long under the oppressive weight of self-rule, Britain has a duty to lift that heavy burden and run the country as a colony. For their own good naturally. :D

Derek Pullem - French foreign policy is primed for a big change certainly, although I can't see Sarraut's centre-right working with Stalin. Mind you no-one foresaw Molotov-Ribbentrop so I suppose anything is possible. High strategy can trump political prejudice, not always for the better though.

As you obliquely mentioned I do need to mention the domestic fall out in Germany to all this, probably not good is my initial suspicion but I'll have to give it some thought. Fortunately I've planned the next three updates to cover just such questions. :)


On which note the next section is a global summary to catch up on how everyone is reacting to all the wars and what they're doing and plotting. It comes in three parts; Americas, Europe and Africa/The East. Any preferences on order of these three?
 
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El Pip said:
On which note the next section is a global summary to catch up on how everyone is reacting to all the wars and what they're doing and plotting. It comes in three parts; Americas, Europe and Africa/The East. Any preferences on order of these three?

Europe first. There are a lot more relevant countries to offer a little juice and some dirt. Plus, we have to keep a close eye on those untrustworthy Swedes! :mad:
 
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